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GBP: BoE hawkish shift supports Pound – UOB

UOB economist Lee Sue Ann highlights a hawkish pivot by the Bank of England (BoE), with the Bank Rate held at 3.75% and a unanimous 9–0 vote. The report removes prior expectations for three 2026 cuts, now forecasting the GBP Repo Rate steady at 3.75% through 4Q26 as inflation risks dominate.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

ECB: Inflation risks point to further hikes – ABN AMRO

ABN AMRO economists Bill Diviney and Jan-Paul van de Kerke note that the ECB is likely to respond to the renewed energy shock with additional tightening focused on preventing second-round effects.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

Germany: Rebound risks grow on Ifo slump – ING

ING’s Carsten Brzeski warns that Germany’s long-awaited cyclical rebound has been dented after the Ifo index fell sharply in March, with expectations suffering their worst hit since the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

NOK: Norges Bank seen on hold at 4.00% – TD Securities

TD Securities expects Norges Bank to keep its policy rate unchanged at 4.00%, noting stubbornly sticky inflation and risks of re-acceleration after the Middle East crisis and energy price shock.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

ECB: Hawkish shift with energy-driven inflation – ABN AMRO

ABN AMRO economists revise their Eurozone outlook after the Iran-related energy shock, expecting weaker growth but notably higher inflation. They now see the European Central Bank (ECB) hiking twice in Q2, front‑loading tightening to prevent second‑round effects.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

UK: Energy scenarios shape BoE outlook – ING

ING’s James Smith outlines scenarios for UK inflation, with current energy prices implying a brief 4% peak in autumn and ING’s base case of easing disruption pointing to a 3.5% peak in September.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

Germany: War risks darken Ifo outlook – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Chief Economist Dr. Jörg Krämer warns that the sharp March drop in the German Ifo Business Climate Index reflects rising war-related risks rather than current damage.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

BoE's Greene: There is a risk inflation expectations will rise

Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee member Megan Greene said on Wednesday that if their inflation forecasts are right, there is a risk inflation expectations will rise, per Reuters.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

Canada Employment Insurance Beneficiaries Change (MoM) declined to -1.9% in January from previous 0.4%

Canada Employment Insurance Beneficiaries Change (MoM) declined to -1.9% in January from previous 0.4%

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

United States Import Price Index (YoY) increased to 1.3% in February from previous -0.1%

United States Import Price Index (YoY) increased to 1.3% in February from previous -0.1%

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

United States Export Price Index (YoY): 3.5% (February) vs 2.6%

United States Export Price Index (YoY): 3.5% (February) vs 2.6%

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

United States Current Account above expectations ($-211B) in 4Q: Actual ($-190.7B)

United States Current Account above expectations ($-211B) in 4Q: Actual ($-190.7B)

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

United States Import Price Index (MoM) above expectations (0.5%) in February: Actual (1.3%)

United States Import Price Index (MoM) above expectations (0.5%) in February: Actual (1.3%)

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

United States Export Price Index (MoM) registered at 1.5% above expectations (0.5%) in February

United States Export Price Index (MoM) registered at 1.5% above expectations (0.5%) in February

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

BoC: Dovish stance versus market pricing – TD Securities

TD Securities strategist Andrew Kelvin notes that the Bank of Canada (BoC) is stressing downside risks to growth and appears willing to look through an energy-driven inflation shock.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

ECB: Divergent energy shock response scenarios – Nomura

Nomura analysts note that markets currently price around three rate hikes for the European Central Bank (ECB) by December 2026, implying a similar response to the Iran war energy shock as the Bank of England (BoE).

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

Germany: Recovery prospects delayed – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank economist Marc Schattenberg notes that the ifo Business Climate Index deteriorated in March as German businesses turned more pessimistic on expectations, while their assessment of current conditions was unchanged.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

India M3 Money Supply dipped from previous 11.5% to 10.7% in March 2

India M3 Money Supply dipped from previous 11.5% to 10.7% in March 2

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

United States MBA Mortgage Applications climbed from previous -10.9% to -10.5% in March 20

United States MBA Mortgage Applications climbed from previous -10.9% to -10.5% in March 20

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

Pakistan delivered US proposal to Tehran – Reuters

Citing a source, who asked not to be named, Reuters reported on Wednesday that Pakistan has delivered the United States' proposal to Iran.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

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