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뉴텍원(NEWT) 2026년 3분기 실적 발표 콜: 사상 최대 순이자이익, 가이던스 재확인

TradingKeyOct 29, 2026 8:05 AM
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뉴텍원의 2026년 3분기 기본 및 희석 주당순이익은 0.34달러를 기록했으며, 경영진은 연간 EPS 가이던스 1.70~1.80달러를 재확인했다. 순이자이익은 분기 기준 사상 최대인 1,890만 달러로 증가했고, 뉴텍 은행 예금은 26억 달러로 확대됐다. 연초 대비 누적 대출 실행액은 1,2억 달러를 기록했다.

반면, 고금리와 인플레이션으로 인해 신규 대출 실행에 어려움이 존재하며, C&I 장기 분할상환 대출의 부실채권은 4,600만 달러에서 8,200만 달러로 증가했다. 경영진은 대출 심사 기준을 강화하고 있으며, 2027년 1월 자산유동화를 추진할 예정이다.

AI 생성 요약

뉴텍원(NASDAQ: NEWT)은 2026년 3분기 기본 및 희석 주당순이익(EPS)이 0.34달러를 기록했다고 발표했다. 사상 최대 순이자이익과 예금 증가, 대출 실행액 증가가 이번 분기 실적을 견인한 반면, 경영진은 고금리 장기화, 지속적인 인플레이션, 기존 대출 자산의 경과(seasoning)에 따른 압박이 존재함을 인정했다.

핵심 요약

  • 2026년 3분기 기본 및 희석 EPS는 0.34달러였다. 경영진은 2026년 연간 EPS 가이던스인 1.70달러~1.80달러를 재확인했다.
  • 순이자이익은 분기 기준 사상 최대치인 1,890만 달러를 기록해 전분기 대비 26%, 전년 동기 대비 30% 증가했다.
  • 뉴텍 은행 예금은 2023년 1월 인수 당시 1억 4,200만 달러에서 26억 달러로 증가했다. 핵심 개인 예금은 전분기 대비 2억 3,100만 달러, 전년 동기 대비 11억 달러 늘었다.
  • 주당 유형자산장부가치는 12.30달러로 전년 동기 대비 10%, 은행 인수 이후 78% 증가했다. 주당 장부가치는 12.80달러를 기록했다.
  • 연초 대비 누적 대출 실행액은 12% 증가한 12억 달러를 기록했다. 2026년 9월 30일로 종료된 SBA 회계연도 기준, 뉴텍 은행은 SBA 대출 승인 건수 1위, 승인 금액 2위를 기록했다.
  • 신용 리스크 관리가 계속해서 핵심 과제로 남아있다. 상업 및 공업(C&I) 장기 분할상환 대출 중 부실채권은 전분기 4,600만 달러에서 8,200만 달러로 증가했으며, 경영진은 대출 심사 기준을 강화하고 있다고 밝혔다.

핵심 재무 데이터

지표2026년 3분기 실적변동 내용 및 배경
기본 및 희석 EPS$0.34연간 가이던스 유지
순이자이익1,890만 달러전분기 대비 26% 증가, 전년 동기 대비 30% 증가; 금융지주회사 전환 이후 분기 최고치
매출 내 순이자이익 비중26%2025년 3분기 19% 대비 상승
연초 대비 누적 매출 내 순이자이익 비중23%2025년 첫 9개월간 20% 대비 상승
주당 장부가치$12.80—
주당 유형자산장부가치$12.30전년 동기 대비 10% 증가, 2023년 1월 이후 78% 증가
뉴텍 은행 예금26억 달러2023년 1월 인수 당시 1억 4,200만 달러에서 증가
연초 대비 누적 대출 실행액12억 달러전년 동기 대비 12% 증가
대손충당금5,700만 달러약 5,100만 달러는 정부 미보증 SBA 7(a) 대출 관련 금액임
미보증 SBA 대출 잔액 대비 대손충당금 비율8.1%미보증 SBA 대출이 은행 전체 대손충당금의 약 90%를 차지함
정부 보증 제외 무수익여신 비율3.9%실질적인 신용 익스포저 평가를 위해 경영진이 제시한 지표

사업 및 영업 실적

순이자이익 증가에는 2분기에 실행된 C&I 장기 분할상환 대출의 한 분기 전체 이자 수익과, 뉴텍원이 SBA 7(a) 대출의 정부 보증 부분을 과거보다 더 오래 보유한 점이 반영됐다. 예금 비용이 보합세를 유지하고 전반적인 차입 비용이 감소함에 따라 자금 조달 비용도 개선됐다.

비계열사 기업 예금은 전분기 대비 1,300만 달러, 전년 동기 대비 1억 900만 달러 증가했다. 뉴텍원은 11,646개의 기업 당좌 및 예금 계좌와 약 35,000개의 핵심 개인 계좌를 포함해 총 약 47,000개의 예금 계좌를 보유하고 있다고 밝혔다.

회사는 지점이나 전통적인 은행원 없이 계속 운영되고 있다. 회사의 뉴트래커(NewTracker) 플랫폼은 선불 추천 비용 없이 하루 600~800건의 고유한 기업 추천을 창출하며, 뉴텍원은 솔루션이 성공적으로 제공될 때 제휴 파트너에 수수료를 지급한다. 회사는 1,000개 이상의 제휴 파트너와 계약을 맺고 있다.

뉴텍원의 플랫폼은 중소기업을 위한 은행, 대출, 보험, 실시간 결제, 급여 관리 서비스를 통합 제공한다. 경영진은 뉴트래커, 디지털 계좌 개설 및 뉴텍 어드밴티지(Newtek Advantage) 포털이 고객 유치, 심사, 관리 및 교차 판매를 지원한다고 강조했다.

회사는 50억 달러 이상의 대출을 관리(servicing)하고 있으며, 연방예금보험공사(FDIC) 및 연방신용협동조합감독청(NCUA) 등 여러 고객을 대상으로 대출 관리 서비스를 제공하고 있다.

경영진 가이던스

경영진은 2026년 EPS 가이던스를 1.70달러~1.80달러로 재확인했다. 내포된 4분기 실적 성장은 회사의 통상적인 4분기 대출 계절성과 지속적인 순이자이익 성장에 의해 뒷받침될 것으로 예상된다.

경영진은 4분기 순이자이익이 전분기 대비 약 20% 성장할 수 있다고 시사했다. 3분기 C&I 장기 분할상환 대출 실행액이 한 분기 전체 이자 수익에 기여할 것으로 예상된다.

뉴텍원은 또한 약 3억 5,000만 달러에서 4억 달러 규모의 담보를 바탕으로 2027년 1월 자산유동화를 추진하고 있으며, 경영진은 최종 금액이 4억 달러에 가까울 것으로 예상하고 있다. 보유 지분 증권에 요구되는 자본화 조건에 따라 이 거래가 성사되면 관련 자산이 재무상태표에서 제거된다.

동시에 경영진은 고금리로 인해 대출과 사업 성장이 더욱 어려워졌다고 밝혔다. 회사는 대출 실행 전망치를 조정하고 대출 심사 기준을 강화하고 있다.

리스크 및 주시해야 할 사항

경영진은 팬데믹 이후의 고금리와 지속적인 인플레이션이 기존 대출 자산(older loan vintages)과 과거 포트폴리오에 압박을 가하고 있다고 밝혔다. 이러한 환경으로 인해 신규 대출 실행도 더 어려워졌다.

C&I 장기 분할상환 대출 중 부실채권은 전분기 4,600만 달러에서 8,200만 달러로 증가했다. 경영진은 이러한 증가가 10억 달러가 넘는 포트폴리오 내 정상적인 기간 경과(seasoning)에 따른 것이라며, 자산 건전성 악화가 특정 산업에 집중되지 않았다고 설명했다.

회사는 높은 대출 스프레드, 초과 관리 수수료 수익, 담보 및 개인 보증이 신용 리스크를 보완하는 데 도움이 된다고 주장한다. 하지만 경영진은 인플레이션, 단기 및 장기 금리, 차주의 상환 실적에 대한 불확실성을 인정했다.

자본 관리 역시 단기적으로 고려할 사항이다. 뉴텍원은 예정된 1월 자산유동화로 재무상태표 비율이 개선될 것으로 기대하고 있으며, 경영진은 분기 단위로 자본과 리스크를 관리해 나갈 방침이다.

애널리스트 Q&A 하이라이트

애널리스트들은 4분기 예상 실적 증가, 신용 건전성, 자산유동화 계획, 뉴텍원의 기술 플랫폼 가치에 주목했다.

실적과 관련해 경영진은 매각이익 수익과 SBA 대출 보유의 장기적 경제성 사이에서 균형을 맞추고 있다고 설명했다. 경영진에 따르면 자금 조달 비용이 약 3.6%~3.65%인 상황에서 쿠폰 금리가 약 10%인 SBA 대출은 약 640bp의 스프레드 수익을 창출할 수 있다.

전략적 대안에 대해 뉴텍원은 기술 제공업체, 제휴 파트너 또는 개별 사업 부문과의 논의 가능성을 열어두고 있다고 밝혔다. 경영진은 시장이 자체 개발한 기술의 가치를 충분히 인지하지 못하고 있다고 판단하면서도, 현재 검토 중인 특정 거래를 밝히지는 않았다.

예금 증가와 관련해 경영진은 저비용 핵심 기업 예금 확대가 기대보다 더디게 진행되었음을 인정했다. 회사는 교육, 최근 채용 인력, 에이전트형 AI(agentic AI) 도구를 활용해 가맹점 결제, 급여 관리, 보험을 통한 교차 판매를 확대할 계획이다.

실적 발표 컨퍼런스 콜 전문


전체 실적 발표 컨퍼런스 콜 녹취록

경영진 발표

Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the NewtekOne, Inc. Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded.

I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker, Barry Sloane, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead.

Barry R. Sloane

Thank you very much, operator, and good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to the third quarter 2026 financial results conference call for NewtekOne, stock symbol NEWT on the NASDAQ. Joining me today on today's call is Frank DeMaria, the Chief Financial Officer of NewtekOne as well as the CFO of the Newtek Bank National Association.

I wanted to thank Bryce Rowe, in charge of Investor Relations for NewtekOne, for helping put the presentation together and also the management team of all the Newtek entities for helping deliver a real solid quarter for us. For those of you that want to follow the PowerPoint presentation along, please go to newtekone.com, go to the Investor Relations section, and you'll be able to follow along with this presentation in that particular area under Presentations.

I'd like to bring everyone's attention to Slide #2 in that presentation. Please note the note that is in the document regarding forward-looking statements.

Let us go to Slide #3. Third quarter 2026 highlights. We delivered basic and diluted earnings per share of $0.34. We are able to reiterate the 2026 earnings per share guidance range of $1.70 to $1.80 for the full calendar year that is maintained. Important to note, up and to the right pattern in growth in book value and tangible book value continues to be maintained intact. As a matter of fact, our book value came in at $12.80, tangible book $12.30, respectively. The tangible book value growth was up 10% year-over-year and 78% since we took over the bank in January of 2023 and converted the publicly traded NewtekOne into a financial holding company.

Also important to note that we are able to continue to grow earnings with real good operating leverage. On a year-over-year basis, our Q3 2026 operating expenses were flat and at 3.7%, respectively, on asset growth of 47% and 3.7% is on a year-over-year comparison. Important to note, the company, since acquiring the nationally chartered bank has had good experience in growing deposits, and they have more than doubled for the second consecutive quarter.

In 15 quarters, we have grown Newtek Bank's deposits from $142 million when we took over the bank to $2.6 billion. Non-affiliate business deposits increased quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year by $13 million and $109 million, respectively. And core consumer deposits climbed $231 million quarter-over-quarter and $1.1 billion year-over-year, with loan originations also growing with deposits fueling that growth and year-to-date loan originations of $1.2 billion were up 12% year-over-year. Also important to note, for the SBA's fiscal year ending September 30, 2026, Newtek Bank ranked #1 by volume -- excuse me, #1 in units of SBA loans approved and #2 by dollars.

Slide #4. In focusing on NewtekOne, I think the important aspect of our organization, as we look at the market and the economy, clearly, the concept of how our business is going to grow going forward with the marketplace really embracing artificial intelligence, or as the President calls it, super intelligence. We have built one integrated platform over the course of 28 years to serve the 36 million demographic that are defined as U.S. SMBs through 5 digital solutions without the use of traditional bankers, brokers or BDOs.

We think this is extremely important because as the marketplace starts to move towards the use of super intelligence or artificial intelligence, organizations that embrace that, particularly financial institutions and banks, are going to be extremely important and viable going forward. We do have concerns over industry that is primarily focused on traditional bankers and traditional branch network to acquire customers.

On Slide #4, our NewTracker system, you could see, is able to acquire 600 to 800 unique business referrals per day and the cost per referral is $0. We manage that through alliance partners. It's all in our public documentation and our Ks and Qs. Organizations like UBS, Morgan Stanley, and Raymond James, One came up a trade association that don't make these types of loans, aren't depositories, don't do payroll, don't do insurance, don't do real-time payments for their customers to us to provide them solution and enhance the overall benefit to the relationship they have with the customer.

So I think it's important to note over 28 years and 3.5 years operating as a digital direct bank, we have excelled in banking, lending, insurance, real-time payments, and payroll. The patented NewTracker system, which I think is extremely important to our business model and its proprietary capabilities are extremely valuable.

The Newtek Advantage, which is the business portal, which is on our website that gives the client a real advantage of doing business with us over other financial institutions, offers a single pane of glass, delivering a full product suite to the customers. It gives them transactional capability, analytics, and data that our competitors simply do not.

Looking at our organization further, we are an S&P-rated servicer. We're currently servicing over $5 billion worth of loans. And this is a business that we excel in. We service for the FDIC. We service for NCUA. NCUA is the credit union regulator. We have a nice reputation in servicing small- and medium-sized business owners and loans that are made to that particular investor group. Also important to note, we have a frictionless digital account opening infrastructure that continues to gain momentum.

Now a lot of banks have digital account opening, but it's primarily for consumer checking or consumer high-yield savings. There are very few financial institutions and in particular, even the biggest banks in the United States, in order to open up the banking account for business, you have to go into the branch and fill out the paperwork. We've done a very good job in this particular area.

We have approximately 47,000 depository accounts with no traditional bankers with 0 branches that basically are assisted by business service specialists on camera in the United States 24 hours a day, 7 days a week. We're very proud of our operating history and have really delivered robust, flexible, and financial returns, both for ROAA, ROATCE, revenue growth, and our last 12 months of trailing net income.

On Slide #5, we talk about our ecosystem for the customer with our five solutions built around the SMB, banking, lending, insurance, payments and payroll, all necessary and important functions for business owners that instead of dealing with us, if they don't deal with us, they're going to ADP and Paychex. They're going to a local insurance agency, they go to a fintech for their loan and their bank for deposits. And regarding real-time payments, they just don't have it. So we're very proud of the ecosystem that we have built for our customers and think it is very much of a hidden value in our organization. Historically, we have expensed the intellectual property and the IT off of our balance sheet and income statement.

Slide #6, NewtekOne's ecosystem, once again, focusing on that SMB value proposition. It all relates to the customer, helping them grow their business and their revenues, reduce business owner risk, reduces business owner expenses and give them one platform, the Newtek Advantage for real-time data, which enables us to onboard them in a frictionless manner very quickly, give a customer a real-time view of their balances, card batches, chargebacks, ACH, Fed wires visible in the Newtek Advantage as well as an invoicing system, as well as full analytics, capturing historic transaction information and a lot of information that exists in the Advantage, including document storage and QuickBooks integration, as well as QuickBooks Analytics.

On Slide #7, there's a nice diagram on Slide 7, which really discusses how clients approach us with a referral through the NewTracker system. So you have this very big funnel, some coming from financial institutions for referrals, trade associations, CPAs, law firms, and alliance partners. And we get these unique referrals. We don't pay for them. We do pay a success fee if we provide a solution, some upfront in the case of lending and ongoing reoccurring income usually on the other solutions.

And we're able to do this without branches, traditional bankers or brokers. We have -- we say hundreds of alliance partners. It's actually in excess of 1,000 that we have contracts with. And these referrals come in on a regular basis. But when customers come to us for a loan, we don't look at the client saying, you're applying for an SBA loan, you're applying for commercial and industrial loan or a line of credit. We look at the customer and fit them with the best solution. So if we actually go to our website, we don't advertise on the website, we're an SBA lender. In many cases, they get an SBA loan, but we wind up giving them the best product at an attractive price and a low monthly payment to fit their needs.

NewTracker is our patented engine. It's one application. It's one CRM. It gives us tremendous intake, particularly using artificial intelligence to examine tax returns and spread financials, to examine lease agreements, to examine operating agreement as well as using AI to go to municipalities and get liens. This is how we're able to make loans on a completed loan package within 7 days from having all the information in one particular area.

We also offer real-time tracking to our alliance partners, 24/7, 365 as well as giving them nightly reports. Underwriting and compliance check, it's terrific. We have complete data on the interaction with the customer, whether it's a text, whether it's an e-mail or a telephonic conversation.

Let's go to Slide #8. The Newtek Advantage: a single pane of glass. Extremely important is the quality of service. Matter of fact, when you look at our Trustpilot scores, NewtekOne on Trustpilot, 4.9 out of 5. Newtek Bank, 4.5 out of 5. When you go to entities like Deposit.com and you compare us against some of the top banks, which are below 2. They're like 1.8, 1.7, 1.6, we're 4.0 on Deposit.com. We're very proud of the fact that Trustpilot has us positioned as the #1 payroll provider for service and #2 in real-time payments.

The Newtek Advantage snapshot on Slide #8 gives you an idea of the view that the client gets when signing up for one or many of our Newtek products. It's a digital-first entry. It gives them real-time payments clarity, whether it's a wire, whether it's making payroll with the money going in on Monday and paying employees on Monday, whether it's having a batch of a Visa, Mastercard receivable actually hitting the same day that we're able to process the transaction, showing the client in the banking portal, what their batches are, refunds, chargebacks, everything right in the portal.

We really give the client a live view of cash flow, payments, loans, banking, and payroll. And importantly, it's on demand, on camera access 24/7 individuals in the United States that can help the customer. It's really tremendous value beyond traditional banking, particularly when we give clients unlimited document storage, web traffic analytics, and 2-way QuickBooks integration.

On Slide #9, this is what NewTracker does. It does many, many things, not only for the client, for the alliance partner, but for our organization. And those Trustpilot scores that we get are not by happenstance. It's a live check on the operational efficiencies of our business service specialists and our CSRs in the field each and every day, every a.m., every p.m., every day, every week, and every quarter.

Slide #10, which we talked about a little earlier, demonstrates the tangible book value per share, has a nice depiction of the dividends on top. It shows the growth from the time we bought the bank to today, $12.30 in tangible book with dividends $15.11.

Slide #11 shows the deposit growth and the success that we talked about, 11,646 business accounts for checking and business savings, core deposits, 35,000 accounts.

Slide #12. We talk about this product quite a bit. It's an important product to us. It's a growth product for us. We refer to it as commercial and industrial, acronym C&I LA, LA standing for long-amortizing loan securitizations. What we've learned over the course of 23 years is clients strongly prefer amortized loans without a balloon payment over 10 to 25 years. We do require personal guarantees joint and several and every 20% equity owner or greater at a minimum. And we also lien personal and business assets when obviously, the business assets are required, personal when applicable. But you could see when we put these loans on our balance sheet, we then put them into securitization. We're now doing these loans out of Newtek Bank National Association. So we talk about initial overcollateralization and current overcollateralization. That is the ownership certificates in these securitizations as they're done off balance sheet.

Important to note, look at the current OC versus initial. So you could see the excess cash flow that we get from these loans is amortizing the senior debt in the securitization. So it grows the ownership certificates and the book fairly rapidly over the course of time. I think this is indicative of the power of the excess cash flow coming off of loans that are put on the books at treasuries +950 over the 5 years.

When you look at our securitization spreads, which are things that we've talked about in past presentations, they're typically 660 off the 5-year treasury. The loan is typically fixed for 5 years. There's 100 basis points of servicing, which we keep. And then we have a spread historically of 560 to where the bonds are yielding in the marketplace.

Slide #13 is an important slide that's Newtek Bank, N.A. You could see that at the Bank, and we're looking to do more and more of our business at the Bank and less and less of our business at the holding company. We have fairly high ROAAs, ROEs, efficiency ratios are low. NIMs are high, cost of deposits. It's market rate. I continue to say this on conference calls. If you're paying the consumer 1% or you're paying them 3.8% -- and I use the consumer, whether it's a business or whether it's actually an individual, what's more likely to move? Paying them a market rate of interest or a rate that is materially below what the 2-year treasury or T-bills are currently paying? We think it's the latter. We think we give our customers a good deal.

And through the Newtek Advantage, we actually are able to do more things for the customer where we're typically able to pay them 1% for business checking, 3.5% on savings. And so why should they give us their deposits below the risk-free rate? Because we give them value, because we give them real-time payroll, because we give them real-time payments, because we give them analytics and transactional capability and data that they simply can't get at the top-4 big banks who historically love this customer base because they can grab their deposits at 2% to 3% below the risk-free rate.

One other important note when you look at our organization relative to capital and credit, we're utilizing more of our capital at the Bank and at the holding company. Nonaccruals, and I think this is extremely important, excluding government guarantees that the SBA prefers in SOP that we buy out of the secondary versus them, 3.9% nonaccruals. Obviously, when you include the government guarantees and the guarantees are still intact, it's a much higher number.

So as market participants and analysts take the call report data, jam it into the AI models and they come out and go, wow, this is really high, that's where we're running into issues. For those of you that are following the company, paying attention to what we're doing, we believe we've historically done a good job over 23 years, managing risk and reward and you're getting compensated for the risk that's being taken.

Slide #14 provides further evidence of the fact that we are working very hard in improving the quality of the portfolio with enhanced hires in the servicing department, managing our ACL to loans held for investment, excluding the guarantees. And this is important data and statistics that we look at and manage on a regular basis.

Slide #15 addresses our returns that we're providing our shareholders.

With that, I'd like to turn the presentation over to Frank DeMaria and then we'll go to Q&A. Frank?

Frank DeMaria

Thanks, Barry. Barry covered most of the relevant metrics for the third quarter, but I wanted to touch on a couple of topics, namely net interest income and the bank's held for investment loan portfolio.

Moving to Slide 17. Third quarter net interest income of $18.9 million is the highest quarterly net interest income that we've generated in the almost 4 years as a financial holding company. Quarterly net interest income was up 26% quarter-over-quarter and 30% year-over-year. The quarter-over-quarter increase reflects a full quarter of interest income from long amortizing C&I loans that were originated in the second quarter as well as the impact of holding the government-guaranteed portions of SBA 7(a) loans on the balance sheet for longer than we have historically. Similarly, we expect third quarter C&I LA originations should benefit net interest income in the fourth quarter.

Year-to-date, net interest income climbed 20% versus the first 9 months of 2025, and the revenue mix is also shifting to net interest income with third quarter and year-to-date at 26% and 23% of revenue, respectively, versus 19% and 20% for the comparable periods of 2025. I'd also note a favorable net interest margin trend with a mix shift on both the earning asset and liability sides with the earning asset yield increasing with higher short- and medium-term interest rates and funding costs moving lower with deposit costs flat and the cost of borrowings down overall.

Moving to Slide 18. Slide 18 describes the bank's held for investment loans at cost, which are subject to CECL. The primary point of this slide is that the $57 million allowance for credit losses is largely comprised of reserves against the portfolio of unguaranteed SBA 7(a) loans, which accounts for almost 90% of the bank's ACL. The $51 million portion of the ACL on the SBA unguaranteed book is 8.1% of the SBA unguaranteed balances.

With that, I'll turn it back to Barry, for closing remarks before we get into Q&A.

Barry R. Sloane

Thank you. I'd like to draw everyone's attention to Slide #19. Recently, we saw a transaction in the capital markets where Bluevine, a fintech, that acquires deposits and also acquires lending opportunities for third parties, agreed to be acquired by Valley National Bank for approximately $340 million. When I look at their technology versus ours, and we have intangible and goodwill assets on our books of $14 million because we've written off our IP over the course of time. I think that there's a lot of value in NewtekOne and Slide #19 reflects that.

We have a proprietary internally developed technology stack. The NewTracker system is patented. It's a digital account opening. It's automated. It's a frictionless loan origination platform. It's automated lead generation, offering real-time payments and a tremendous value proposition for the customer through the Newtek Advantage. It is a differentiated origination engine at a much lower cost and incredibly scalable.

It's a closed-loop customer funnel. Borrowers are required to make payments from Newtek Bank account in lending, and there's a tremendous cross-service opportunity where one customer application feeds multiple applications across multiple solutions. We think that the banking industry, which has feasted on deposits below the risk-free rate and low-margin riskless loans with low charge-offs, we do believe that SI or AI will change that over the course of time. And depositors and savers, particularly with higher rates are really going to push for higher rates for what basically through FDIC insurance is essentially some form of a treasury account. We have a very scalable operating infrastructure and platform, and we have a complete offering of solution for SMBs. And once again, there's no, I'd say, real markup given the low value of the intangibles and the goodwill.

We welcome offering demos of the NewTracker system and the Newtek Advantage to the 6 analysts that follow our stock, learn more about our company, learn how we do the business, understand the scalability, and we welcome that opportunity and offer it on a regular basis. And hopefully, we'll get some takers after this call today.

So with that, operator, I'd like to turn it over to Q&A.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question will be coming from the line of Elizabeth Wainer of Raymond James.

질의응답

Elizabeth Wainer

This is Elizabeth Wainer on for Joe Yanchunis. In the prepared remarks, you reiterated your 2026 EPS guidance of $1.70 to $1.80, which implies a step-up in 4Q earnings. Could you walk us through the primary drivers of that improvement, particularly given the sharp decline in gain on sale income? Should we expect the improvement to come primarily from continued NII growth? Or are there other revenue or expense items that should contribute?

Barry R. Sloane

Thanks, Elizabeth. I appreciate that. And I think that if you go back and look at the company's history as a bank, both and as a BDC, there clearly is a seasonal lift to Q4 particularly for lending originations, which do drive the P&L. So I think the concept of us doing more loans in the fourth quarter as well as the growth in net interest income, which our press release indicated probably is growing somewhere around 20% sequentially and certainly bigger numbers on a year-over-year basis. So that's going to start to compound. A matter of fact, if you look at an SBA loan, we are typically a prime plus 3 lender, which today would get you to about 10% coupon with our cost of funds, call it, 3.6% or 3.65%. So that's about 640 basis points of spread income. So you could sell it for a gain on sale or you could hold it for a 4- or 5-year duration. And over the course of time, you'll probably do better holding it. It does affect the current income in the current quarters. After running the bank and bank holding company model for 3.5 years, we're looking to diversify that a little bit. And I think you'll see that split up going forward. So I do appreciate the question. Thank you.

Elizabeth Wainer

Yes. That was helpful. And then we've seen some softer small business confidence data recently with inflation and labor costs continuing to pressure business owners. Are you seeing that translate at all into any weaker demand for SBA loans or any change in borrower performance? And are there any particular industries or borrower vintages where you're seeing more stress?

Barry R. Sloane

Yes. To be frank and transparent, we believe that -- and we have adjusted for that in our risk models, in our CECL calculations and in our business valuations, that the uptrend in rates, particularly post-COVID of 3% to 5%. Now we're off of the highs of 5%, but we're still pretty high. And the fact that we've had fairly stubborn inflation for a window of 4 or 5 years has been difficult on us. It's been difficult on older vintage loans. Look, I'm not -- I don't have a crystal ball. I don't necessarily have a forecast. We just had the Fed Governor who really only controls short rates and not long rates, pretty much left the short rate environment flattish, but they're looking at it. He has some concerns about inflation. And I do think that there has been stress on the historic portfolio. I do believe that once we get through these midterms, I think that oil, which has been the primary driver of inflation, these are all risk factors that are in our Ks and Qs, I point out that please read those risk factors. We'll hopefully move in the right direction, reduce rates, reduce inflation and give us a lift.

We are seeing that at these higher level of rates, it is more challenging to make loans. It's more challenging to grow the business. And therefore, we have muted our origination volumes with the guidance that we've given recently and going forward. And we've also tightened underwriting guidelines historically and are doing so as we speak right now.

Operator

Our next question will come from the line of Emily Lee of Keefe, Bruyette, & Woods.

Emily Noelle Lee

This is Emily Lee on for Tim Switzer. So I was wondering if you could provide some details just on the size and economics of the securitization expected to occur in 1Q '27?

Barry R. Sloane

Yes. We're looking to hopefully do a financing with about $350 million to $400 million of collateral. I think it will be closer to the $400 million. And we'll be looking to issue bonds in the month of January.

Emily Noelle Lee

Great. And then also, could you just elaborate on some of your comments in the release and the prepared remarks regarding exploring all strategic alternatives to help the market recognize true tech value. What exactly strategies are under consideration here?

Barry R. Sloane

Well, I think that from our standpoint, we're in the market every single day. And I wake up with a clear head and a clear vision, and that's been true since we became a public company in September of 2000. We clearly think that there are opportunities within our organization, and we have regular conversations with strategic alliance partners. We have regular conversations with technology solutions providers that are interested in our technology. From time to time, we have people that look at different components of our organization. And we will always be opportunistic to recognize value and reduce risk for our shareholders depending upon where the market is at, at a given point in time and conditions, which frankly, are pretty volatile and constantly changing.

So without putting my finger on any one particular item, I think it just says we are open to having conversations with people about our business, our business model, how it works and where we can derive value and get better value, frankly, than where we're currently receiving in the marketplace, where we think we are dramatically misunderstood, particularly when it comes to the technology platform that we have.

Operator

Our next question will be coming from the line of Christopher Nolan of Ladenburg Thalmann.

Christopher Nolan

Barry, I'll take you up on the tech demo at some point.

Barry R. Sloane

We'd love to do that, and we'll call you and schedule something right after your earnings season. Okay?

Christopher Nolan

Sounds good. Your capital ratios seem to be at a point now where should we expect balance sheet growth to slow in the fourth quarter pending the rate -- securitization?

Barry R. Sloane

Yes, Chris, good question. So when we do the securitization in January, whatever is on the balance sheet will come off the balance sheet. So that will be helpful just from a ratio perspective. And we obviously have to have the right capitalization on the ownership certificate that we'll be holding. I think that we're pretty much where a normal organization would be a bank of our size relative to these ratios. And I think from our standpoint, we're going to take it one quarter at a time, manage the capital, manage the risk and look to continue to be well capitalized given the risk that we have in the marketplace.

Christopher Nolan

Great. And then the boost in the holdco net interest margin, that was related to the strategy of moving more of the 7(a) business to the bank?

Barry R. Sloane

Yes, moving them to the bank. And while they're in that accumulation phase, they're on balance sheets that expands the NIM. I mean, the reality of it is, in the appendix, we have a slide which we refer to NIM and adjusted NIM, adjusted NIM we bring them back on the balance sheet. So we've got a much larger adjusted NIM at the holdco rather than what I would call the non-adjusted NIM because you don't have your off-balance sheet loans as part of that calculation. So if I can quickly go forward here. I think it's -- we'll have to dig it out, but it's one of the slides. I don't know, Frank, if you know what that slide is, but there's an adjusted NIM calculation, I believe, in the appendix somewhere.

Frank DeMaria

Slide 28. And to that point, Chris, we did have a full quarter of the C&I LA loans that were originated in Q2. And then cost of borrowings as we bring that down, the overall cost of borrowings came down too at the holding company. So that also helped.

Christopher Nolan

Okay. And then final question talks on deposits. One of the issues that you -- not the issue, just growth challenges that you guys experienced is growing your low-cost core deposit base. And over year-to-date, I mean, based on the last Q, it seems like growing that as a percentage of total deposits seems to have stalled excluding savings accounts and CDs and stuff. And I was just trying to get an idea as to -- obviously, you want more core deposits, but is it one of those things where we're going to probably have to wait until back half of 2027 or something?

Barry R. Sloane

Chris, it's a good question. So for all my presidents and COOs and operators who are on the phone, get moving.

Christopher Nolan

There you go, Barry, crack the whip.

Barry R. Sloane

I owe you a high 5 on that. So from real-time payments, insurance, payroll; ham and eggs -- you can't have a payroll account without a depository account. You can't have a merchant account without a depository account. Insurance, buying and moving the premiums right out of the account, particularly as it connects to payroll. So I wish we could move sort of in this really straight line with a lovely slope. And we work on trying to put this into the software and make it more of a function that just kind of goes with the whole thing. I mean, today, when you go into a Dunkin' Donuts, they jam the hash browns in your bag, whether you want them or not. And I think that: a, through better mentoring, management, and training, and we've recently made some hires, and going forward, through the use of Agentic AI robots, we're going to get this done. It's all there, and it's to be taken. However, it's slower than I'd like, and it's a good point. And yes, we're on the team. You make my job easier, Chris. Thank you.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question will be coming from the line of Crispin Love of Piper Sandler.

Benjamin Graham

This is Ben Graham for Crispin Love. Just looking at the slide deck where you highlight the C&I LA loan metrics, nonperformers increased to $82 million from $46 million last quarter. Just wondering if you could discuss a little deeper the drivers of that increase? And is it concentrated in any type of industry or type of borrower? And then what's your sort of general outlook for credit in the C&I LA loan book in the current environment?

Barry R. Sloane

It's over $1 billion portfolio. And as you ramp up the default curve for business loans, that starts to come into place. And we actually have embedded in our calculations, historic cumulative severity and charge-off number. So I would say there's no specific industry where that might be coming from. It's hard to predict a pandemic. It's hard to predict, not that we have these issues on like taxi cab medallions, where all of a sudden, overnight, an industry gets obliterated by Uber, but it's a diversified portfolio. And when you're charging borrowers at T+ 950 off the curve, the excess servicing spread and the collateral that you get for these loans and the personal guarantees offset that.

Now that this is not similar to a bank portfolio where you're doing residential mortgage loans that might have 10 or 12-year duration at 120 to the curve, and you really don't know what your duration is or car paper, which is really shortened duration. So you wind up getting the benefit from huge spreads with longer duration over time. You get that on the 7(a) portfolio, and you get that on the C&I LA loans. And that actually compounds and offsets that. So this has been where this becomes really difficult for the community and investors to look at a traditional bank model, take the stuff, put it in a computer on a call report, bang out a report, and that's kind of where we have heartburn. But we'll get through it, and we'll continue to produce the good returns. But no, there's nothing specific. And we've talked about as the portfolio seasons over the course of time, you're going to have these issues.

Operator

I would now like to hand the call back to Barry, for closing remarks.

Barry R. Sloane

Great. Thank you, operator. Greatly appreciate all the analysts' activity and the questions and paying attention to our organization. Once again, I want to thank the management team for delivering a really good quarter and also to Bryce Rowe and Frank for putting together a real strong investor deck. It's not easy. We put a lot of time and effort into this. So -- and also for all the investors for listening in today. Thank you very much. Have a good rest of the afternoon. Take care.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.

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