Toast (TOST) 2026年第3四半期決算説明会：利益成長と業績見通しの引き上げ

主要なポイント

• Toastの継続的売上総利益は2026年第3四半期に前年同期比27%増加し、ARRは24%増加しました。
• 調整後EBITDAは36%増の2億4000万ドルとなり、マージンは260ベーシスポイント拡大して37%となりました。GAAP営業利益はほぼ倍増の1億6500万ドルとなり、マージンは26%となりました。
• Toastは純増で8,500店舗を追加し、当四半期末の総店舗数は前年同期比21%増の約189,000店舗となりました。
• GPV（総決済額）は20%増の620億ドルとなりました。総合テイクレートは、ソフトウェア、決済、Toast Capital全体でのマネタイズ進展を反映し、6ベーシスポイント上昇して104ベーシスポイントに達しました。
• 経営陣は、通期の継続的売上総利益の成長率見通しを26%に引き上げ、調整後EBITDAの見通しを8億4000万ドル〜8億5000万ドルに上方修正しました。
• 「Toast IQ Grow」は引き続き同社で最も急成長している製品であり、年末までにARRが1000万ドルに達する見込みです。また、経営陣は「Toast IQ Team」による初期の人件費削減効果についても強調しました。

主要財務データ

貸倒損失および信用関連費用3500万ドルを除く営業費用は、前年同期比で16%増加しました。Toastが自社のアジェンティック（自律型AI）プラットフォーム、新規市場、社内AIツールに投資したことで、販売・マーケティング費用は23%増加し、研究開発費は15%増加しました。

事業および業績ハイライト

Toastは、年商250万ドルを超える大型レストランを含め、あらゆる顧客セグメントで店舗数を拡大し続けました。新規顧客の獲得には、Ruby Tuesday、Jean-Georgesのレストランポートフォリオ、および800店舗へのToast導入を計画しているBagel Brandsが含まれます。

同社が「Horizon 2」と位置付けるエンタープライズ、国際展開、リテール市場は、約4年で2億ドルのARRに向けて拡大しており、経営陣は2年連続で倍増すると見込んでいます。最近の動向としては、オーストラリアのOutback Steakhouse店舗での導入、ケベック州でのフランス語版の提供開始、および3,000品目（SKU）を扱うZingerman'sの高級食料品事業におけるリテール導入などが挙げられます。

Toast IQ Growは、SEO、クチコミ、顧客向けオファーにAIエージェントを活用しています。経営陣によると、同製品は年末までにARRが1000万ドルに達するペースで推移しており、コアARPUの拡大に寄与しています。Toastによると、Morning Mugsは同製品の導入後、マーケティングに起因する売上高が前年同期比で約10万ドル増加しました。

Toast IQ Teamは、需要予測、シフト作成、勤怠管理、給与計算、チップのワークフローを統合しています。「Scheduling Pro」を使用しているレストランでは、従業員1人当たりの残業時間が平均41%削減されました。経営陣は、エージェント機能を在庫管理や記帳などの領域に拡張することを計画しています。

AIは社内の業務効率化も支えています。Toastは、AIツールがカスタマーサポートの問い合わせ対応で占める割合が高まっており、SaaS売上総利益率の320ベーシスポイント拡大に貢献したと述べました。

業績見通し（ガイダンス）

2026年第4四半期について、経営陣は以下を予想しています。

• サブスクリプションおよびフィンテック売上総利益の成長率：前年同期比22%〜24%増。
• 調整後EBITDA：2億ドル〜2億1000万ドル。

2026年通期について、Toastは見通しを以下のように引き上げました。

• 継続的売上総利益の成長率：26%増。
• 調整後EBITDA：8億4000万ドル〜8億5000万ドル。

経営陣は、2027年の正式なガイダンスは2月の決算発表時に公表するとしています。同社は、店舗シェアの拡大、ARPUの向上、新規市場での成長に支えられ、既存の20%超の継続的売上総利益成長フレームワークに引き続き自信を示しています。ただし、Toastは新たな成長機会に投資する柔軟性を維持するため、2027年の調整後EBITDAマージンの改善は緩やかなものにとどまると経営陣は予想しています。

Toastは、コア事業の調整後EBITDAマージンはすでに40%を超えており、今後も拡大を続ける見込みであると述べました。長期的に経営陣は、営業生産性、ARPU、ハードウェアの収益性、導入オンボーディング効率の改善に伴い、Horizon 2のマージンがコア事業の水準に収束していくと予想しています。

リスクと注視すべき点

• フリーキャッシュフローのコンバージョン率は、Toastが戦略的にハードウェア在庫をより多く調達・保有したため、前年から低下しました。経営陣は、在庫の正常化に伴い、第4四半期および長期的にはコンバージョン率が改善すると見込んでいます。
• ハードウェアおよびプロフェッショナルサービスの売上総利益は引き続きマイナスであり、継続的売上総利益の12%に相当する赤字となっています。Toastは、前世代ハードウェアの活用、低コストメモリの採用、スポット市場での調達を通じてメモリコストに対応しています。
• 米連邦取引委員会（FTC）は、Toastが個別に交渉したB2B契約に対するROSCA（オンライン信用回復法）の適用に関して訴訟を提起しました。経営陣はこの決定に強く反対しており、会社を弁護する意向ですが、訴訟解決の見通しについては示していません。
• Toast Capitalの顧客需要は引き続き堅調で、デフォルトは経営陣の予想範囲内でした。同社は貸出実行の大半で信用リスク移転プログラムを利用し続けつつも、一部の正常債権を貸借対照表上に保有し始めており、直接的な経済的エクスポージャーを拡大させています。
• Toastは、集中的なリソース配分の一環として、当四半期に600万ドルの退職手当費用を計上しました。経営陣は、資本を最も優先度の高い投資に再配分するとしています。

アナリスト質疑応答の要点

経営陣によると、Toast IQの導入数および月間アクティブ利用数は増加し続けています。Toast IQ Growは、新規顧客契約に付属する形ではなく、主に同社のアップセル組織を通じて販売されており、その好調な推移がより力強いARPU成長に寄与しています。

競争上のポジショニングについて、CEOのアマン・ナラン（Aman Narang）氏は、Toastのレストラン特化型ワークフロー、約20万店舗から得られるデータ、および顧客成果を測定する能力を強調しました。経営陣は、売上、顧客、人員配置、注文、メニューにまたがるこの統合データを、AIエージェント開発における持続可能な優位性と見なしています。

消費支出指標は安定して推移しました。経営陣によると、店舗当たりGPVは第3四半期から第4四半期にかけて狭いレンジ内にとどまり、2026年の大半で店舗当たりのコアGPVは前年同期をわずかに上回りました。

テイクアウト注文、ロイヤルティ管理、レストラン予約に支えられ、Toast Localの月間アクティブユーザー数は増加し続けました。また、Toastはオンライン注文エコシステム全体で約5000万のアクティブアカウントが存在することを報告しており、経営陣はこれをToast Localの潜在的なユーザーベースと見なしています。

次期CFOのマイケル・セノ（Michael Senno）氏は、さらなる効率化は継続的なAI投資とのバランスを取る必要があるものの、SaaS売上総利益率は長期的な拡大可能性を維持していると述べました。セノ氏はエレナ・ゴメス（Elena Gomez）氏の後任として年初にCFOに就任する予定です。

決算説明会（電話会議）全文文字起こし

決算説明会の完全なトランスクリプト

経営陣による説明

Operator

Good afternoon. My name is Jonathan, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to Toast's Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. Today's call will be 45 minutes.

I will now turn the call over to Emily Woodward, Vice President of Strategic Finance and Investor Relations. You may begin your conference.

Emily Woodward

Thank you. Welcome to Toast's Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Call. We'll start with prepared remarks from Toast's CEO, Aman Narang; and CFO, Elena Gomez. Toast's incoming CFO, Michael Senno, will join Aman and Elena for Q&A.

Before we start, I'd like to remind everyone that today's call may include forward-looking statements, which are subject to risks and uncertainties and reflect our views and assumptions only as of today. These forward-looking statements include expectations around financial and operational metrics, products, business and investment strategy and guidance. Actual results may vary significantly, and we expressly disclaim any obligation to update the forward-looking statements made today. For a detailed discussion of risks, please refer to the cautionary language in today's press release and our SEC filings.

During this call, we will discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures, including, but not limited to, non-GAAP subscription services gross profit and non-GAAP Financial Technology Solutions gross profit, which we refer to collectively as our recurring gross profit streams. These are the basis for our top line guidance. These non-GAAP measures are not intended to be a substitute for our GAAP results. Please refer to our earnings release and SEC filings for detailed reconciliations of these non-GAAP measures to the most comparable GAAP measures. Unless otherwise stated, all references on this call to cost of revenue, gross profit and gross margin, sales and marketing expense, research and development expense and general and administrative expense are on a non-GAAP basis.

With that, let me turn the call over to Aman.

Aman Narang

Thanks, Emily, and thank you all for joining us today. We delivered another strong quarter in Q3. Recurring gross profit streams grew 27% year-over-year, and we expanded GAAP operating income margin to 26%. We added 8,500 net new locations in the quarter with share gains across every customer segment. We continue to add world-class brands to the Toast platform, including Starr Restaurants' newest concept, The Nora Hotel in Florida with 6 different food and beverage formats, Jean-Georges' portfolio, including iconic restaurants like Jean-Georges, ABC Kitchen, JoJo and Perry Street as well as Ruby Tuesday.

We're also bringing that same caliber of brands to Toast across our new market segments, including renowned deli and specialty retailer, Zingerman's Deli, Outback Steakhouse Australian locations. And in enterprise, we are thrilled to welcome Bagel Brands' 800 stores to Toast. We are evolving Toast to do more for our customers, moving beyond tools that help operators run their businesses towards agents that take on the work for them. This quarter, we added new agents to Toast IQ Grow and launched Toast IQ Team, which helps operators manage scheduling and staffing. Each step brings us closer to a platform that not only supports customers but actively delivers results for them.

Our top priorities for 2026 remain unchanged. Number one, expand what Toast can do for customers with AI, from software to an agentic platform that takes on critical work and delivers business outcomes for customers. Number two, expand the markets we serve. And lastly, reinvent how we work with AI to accelerate our most important goals and drive durable growth. Our results this year show our priorities at work. As a vertically integrated platform across software, hardware, payments and lending, we have a foundation few can match. And our momentum across these priorities reinforces our confidence in delivering durable long-term growth.

Okay. Let's jump into our priorities. Number one, expand what Toast can do for customers. Toast IQ Grow was built to help restaurants attract new guests and keep them coming back, from reaching new diners through ads to bringing them back through personalized marketing. Our latest launches build on that foundation, giving operators more ways to grow and measure what's working. An SEO agent that helps restaurants improve their visibility across traditional and AI-powered search. Our reviews agent helps turn guest experiences into reviews that influence where diners choose to eat, and an offers agent that recommends offers to help convert first-time guests or win back lapsed ones.

Morning Mugs, named Baltimore's best coffee shop for the last 5 years, came to Toast in 2024 to consolidate their operations onto a single platform and find a partner invested in its growth. The owner wears many hats, something we often see among our SMB operators, and did not have the time to invest in marketing beyond social media. Since adopting Toast IQ Grow, Morning Mugs has increased its reach and grown marketing attributed sales by almost $100,000 year-over-year. These outcomes are why Grow is seeing tremendous success. It remains our fastest-growing product on track to reach $10 million in ARR by the end of the year. Toast IQ Team is our first step in doing the back-office work that can quietly cost operators money through overtime and overstaffing.

Great operators run their businesses week-to-week off of forecast. They anticipate demand, then staff and plan around it. Managing a team is also one of the most time-consuming parts of running a great restaurant and labor is often the largest cost restaurants face. Yet operators often piece together forecasting, scheduling, time tracking, payroll and tips across separate tools. Toast has these pieces in one platform, along with the sales data that drives forecasting. Toast IQ Team brings it all together for operators to make staffing decisions based on expected demand and make labor costs more predictable. The scheduling agent builds a complete schedule in seconds based on expected sales, employee availability and overtime risk. And we're already seeing great results.

Restaurants using our Scheduling Pro solution averaged 41% fewer overtime hours per employee, which opens up valuable savings for restaurants running on thin margins. Let me give you an example. Madi Group in San Diego is known for their well-beloved breakfast and lunch restaurants and recently opened a new location in Pacific Beach. They're using Toast IQ Team to help manage labor costs and the director of operations points to data-driven scheduling capabilities, automatic overtime flags and weather and event forecasts to inform staffing decisions as a contributor in reducing the labor costs as a percentage of sales from 28% to almost 24%. Toast IQ Team is our starting point in tackling back-office work. Over time, we expect to take on more of these workflows, such as inventory management and bookkeeping.

We're building towards a team of agents that drive results for our customers, crafting marketing campaigns, forecasting demand with staffing to match, flagging low inventory before an out-of-stock and protecting margin from swings in costs. That's an exciting future for an industry known for slim margins and long hours. It also opens a market well beyond software. Restaurants already pay for marketing, scheduling and payroll and bookkeeping services, often several times what they spend on software. Toast has a structural advantage here. As our customers' system of record, Toast sees how restaurants operate, sales, guests, staffing, orders and menu changes. Our data and restaurant expertise show us which problems to solve and how the best operators work, and we built solutions designed specifically for them.

Okay. Let's shift gears and talk about our second priority, which is to expand the markets we serve. In our core U.S. SMB and mid-market customer segment, our momentum continues. Our win rates are strong. We're taking GPV share faster than any major competitor, and our largest share gains are coming from restaurants with over $2.5 million in sales. The award-winning Starr Restaurant Group, already a Toast partner at over 35 iconic high-volume fine dining locations, including Pastis, Le Diplomate and the Michelin-starred Le Coucou, is expanding its partnership with Toast for one of their most ambitious projects yet, 6 food and beverage concepts at The Nora Hotel in West Palm Beach. Starr relies on Toast's innovative hardware, intuitive user interface and first-class support to operate their complex locations and has enthusiastically embraced Toast IQ.

They use automated custom reporting tools to run complex data queries, such as server sales performance or chef prep lists, saving them valuable time as the team manages multiple restaurants and openings across the East Coast. We're also excited to welcome the legendary Ruby Tuesday to Toast. They're modernizing their technology across their restaurants to increase speed of service as well as accuracy to improve the guest experience. Across our new TAMs, enterprise, international and retail, our vertical playbook is gaining steam every quarter. Collectively, these 3 new markets are scaling to $200 million in ARR in about 4 years and will double for the second straight year, showing we have strong product market fit.

Internationally, we're welcoming Outback Steakhouse Australian restaurants. They chose Toast to modernize their operations and use a single platform across their footprint. In retail, Zingerman's Deli, a community of businesses in Ann Arbor, Michigan, operates concepts spanning from sandwich shops to a cafe to a specialty grocer. Zingerman's expanded their footprint with Toast this quarter into retail and moved their 3,000 SKU specialty grocer onto our platform. And lastly, in enterprise, Bagel Brands will launch Toast in 800 locations across their beloved brands like Einstein Bros. Bagels, Bruegger's Bagels, Manhattan Bagel and Noah's New York Bagels.

In total, we've already opened up a bigger market opportunity across the Horizon 2 areas than the core market, and we're investing to expand the product market fit across that opportunity. Two recent examples, our launch in Quebec with a fully translated French product and our new Fuel offering in retail. We plan to methodically expand the addressable market from here across both new countries and verticals. We are incredibly proud of the progress we're making. With each new TAM in the early stages of a meaningful ARR opportunity, we're prioritizing market share gains and building towards the same flywheel benefits we have in the core. As we scale, we are proactively managing payback periods, and we'll continue to see meaningful efficiencies from leveraging the core platform.

Okay. Let's shift to our last priority, which is to reinvent how we work with AI to accelerate our most important goals and drive durable growth. We are on track for another incredible year. We are delivering world-class growth and margins at scale, driven by our decisions over the last several years to lean into high-performing growth opportunities while driving efficiency. In the core, we're gaining market share, increasing ARPU and our new AI offerings open up more opportunities to scale ARR over time. We're investing behind the success in our new TAMs and seeding long-term bets where our scale and platform advantage give us a unique opportunity to compete and win.

These are earlier-stage opportunities. We will remain disciplined in how we invest, and we'll keep you updated as they progress. With opportunities across multiple growth vectors, we have a clear path to driving durable compounding growth for many years to come. We'll keep the capital allocation discipline that got us here. Core margins keep expanding, funding new TAMs and emerging bets that we expect to add to long-term growth and cash flow. I want to thank every Toaster for their dedication and commitment to Toast. We would not be here without all of your amazing work. And thank you as well to our customers and investors for your continued support.

Before I turn the call over to Elena, I want to thank her for an incredible nearly 6-year run at Toast. Elena has been instrumental in guiding Toast through a period of tremendous growth and transformation. She has been a steady hand to me and the entire management team, and we are incredibly grateful for all of her contributions. I am also excited for Michael Senno to become our next CFO at the start of the year. Over Michael's nearly 5 years at Toast, he has become a trusted member of our leadership team. He knows Toast's business inside and out and has been beside Elena in shaping Toast's financial strategy and investment approach.

And with that, I'll turn the call over to Elena.

Elena Gomez

Thank you, Aman, and thanks to everyone for joining us today. Q3 was another great quarter, and I'm proud of our consistent execution quarter after quarter. ARR increased 24% and recurring gross profit grew 27% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA was $240 million and GAAP operating income nearly doubled year-over-year to $165 million, reaching a 26% margin. With our recurring gross profit growth plus operating margin at 55%, we continue to operate above the Rule of 50 on a GAAP basis. We added 8,500 net new locations, a double-digit growth in net adds from a year ago and ended Q3 with approximately 189,000 locations, up 21%.

In addition to gaining share and winning new customers, we're also continuing to deliver more value for our customers and expanding monetization. Total take rate measured by recurring gross profit as a percentage of GPV reached 104 basis points in Q3, up 6 basis points from a year ago. In recent years, the total take rate has steadily increased with growing contributions from our monetization engine, software, payments and capital as customers adopt more of our all-in-one platform. We expect total monetization to continue to expand as we innovate and deliver outcomes for our customers. SaaS ARR grew 28% year-over-year, driven by location growth and consistent mid-single-digit ARPU expansion. Subscription gross profit grew 36% and SaaS gross margin increased 320 basis points from a year ago.

AI tools are handling a growing portion of support tickets, providing a better customer experience and are an important contributor to that margin expansion. Payments ARR and fintech gross profit both increased 21% in the third quarter versus a year ago, with GPV up 20% to $62 billion. Fintech net take rate was 61 basis points. Payments take rate was 50 basis points, up 1 basis point from a year ago, driven by the same levers we've seen over the last several quarters, growing product adoption, processing cost efficiencies and small targeted price moves. Nonpayments fintech solutions, led by Toast Capital, contributed $69 million in gross profit and 11 basis points to take rate. Customer demand for capital remains strong with defaults within our expectations.

Moving down the P&L. Hardware and professional services gross profit was negative 12% of recurring gross profit streams. We are continuing to execute on our hardware cost mitigation strategies and expect to structurally improve hardware margins longer term as a result of our efforts. Operating expenses grew 16% year-over-year, excluding $35 million of bad debt and credit-related expenses. Sales and marketing increased 23%, fueling our location momentum and a continued build-out of our go-to-market presence in our new customer markets. R&D grew 15% with investment focused on our agentic platform, product depth in each new TAM and scaling internal AI tools.

Adjusted EBITDA grew 36% to $240 million and margins expanded 260 basis points to 37%, reflecting strong top line execution and continued discipline across the cost structure. As a reminder, margins are typically higher in 3Q due to the seasonality of payments. GAAP operating income was $165 million, nearly doubling from a year ago, and GAAP diluted EPS was $0.29, up from $0.16. The increase reflects our strong top line growth complemented by operating leverage down the P&L, including lower stock-based compensation expense as a percentage of recurring gross profit. Free cash flow totaled $181 million, a 75% conversion from adjusted EBITDA. Conversion was lower than a year ago from our strategic decision to acquire and hold more hardware inventory in the near term. We expect conversion to improve in 4Q. Over time, we expect to see a corresponding benefit to free cash flow and higher conversion rates when we choose to scale down inventory to more normalized levels.

Now on to our outlook. For Q4, we expect subscription and fintech gross profit growth of 22% to 24% year-over-year and adjusted EBITDA of $200 million to $210 million. We're raising our full year outlook to reflect the strong 3Q results and momentum in the business. We now expect recurring gross profit to grow 26% and adjusted EBITDA of $840 million to $850 million. We're positioned to deliver durable top line growth over the next 5 to 10 years. We have a tremendous runway across the core and Horizon 2 TAMs and the opportunity to build new S-curves keeps growing as we scale and expand. We will remain disciplined capital allocators and manage our investments across these multiple horizons.

Horizon 1 is our core. The growth algorithm continues to deliver, and we're operating with margins over 40% that we expect to keep expanding. Horizon 2 is our new TAMs, international, enterprise and retail. Aman touched on the attractive growth trajectory, and we're confident these businesses will have an equally attractive long-term financial profile. As these businesses scale, we expect their adjusted EBITDA margins to converge with the core margin. The formula is straightforward. We plan to manage payback periods to 20 months or lower, ensuring strong unit economics and expect significant leverage on R&D and G&A from our core platform and central functions.

We have a proven playbook to improve payback periods and a clear road map in each area. First, the retail and international go-to-market motions will gain efficiency as we reach steady-state sales capacity, build the flywheel effect and drive up rep productivity. Second, each new TAM has a path to expand ARPU as we launch more products. Third, we will gain efficiencies in hardware and onboarding as we scale. We've already taken steps to improve unit economics. For instance, international ARPU is growing at a healthy clip as we roll out more products, and we're improving the enterprise onboarding experience to lower the cost of acquisition.

Across R&D, our new TAMs are built on the same platform we spent more than a decade developing and we continue to innovate. They leverage the horizontal products and features we build for the core like payments and fintech, hardware and Toast IQ. The incremental investments for new TAMs focus on the vertical-specific features to drive differentiation in each customer group. We're seeing that leverage come through. Horizon 2 will reach $200 million in ARR with 25% less direct R&D investment than what it took for the core to reach that same milestone. And we expect that leverage to amplify as we scale.

We have a multibillion-dollar growth opportunity with strong customer signal, a clear path to improving payback periods and increasing leverage from our core platform and functions. Together, this gives us confidence our new customer segments will deliver both meaningful growth and cash flow generation over time. With momentum in our core, new TAMs on a rapid growth trajectory and emerging long-term growth opportunities, we're more excited than ever about the future and confident we will continue to deliver significant shareholder value. Thank you to all our employees who execute tirelessly every day and have us on track for an excellent year.

Before we move to Q&A, I'd like to take a moment to share some closing thoughts. It's been a privilege to serve as CFO of Toast and work alongside Aman and this incredible leadership team, and I'm proud of what we've accomplished together. While I'm stepping away, I couldn't be more confident in the company's future and in Senno to work alongside this leadership team to continue building this generational company. Senno has worked alongside me in close partnership for several years, and I'm confident this will be a seamless transition.

With that, I'll turn it over to Senno.

Michael Senno

Thank you, Elena. I'm humbled and honored to step into the CFO seat. I want to thank Aman and the Board for your trust and support. Elena has made an indelible mark across Toast's business and culture and is a key part of our success. It's been an absolute privilege to partner with her on this journey for nearly 5 years and to learn from one of the best. As both Aman and Elena outlined, we have great momentum, and I'm excited for the incredible opportunity ahead.

Now we'll start Q&A.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] I will now turn the call over to Emily Woodward for the Q&A.

Emily Woodward

We'll take our first call from Stephen Sheldon with William Blair.

質疑応答

Stephen Sheldon

I guess just first, can you give an update on the traction and interest levels you're seeing across the existing location base on the agentic side for Toast IQ Grow and Team, although I know it's very early for Team. I think Aman, you had some good customer ROI examples in the prepared remarks. But curious if those are representative of ROIs most early adopters are seeing, and along with, I guess, the effectiveness you're seeing from Toast's investment in an FTE model to give customers more handholding as they get set up and optimized. Would just love any additional color there.

Aman Narang

Yes. Stephen, so first off, we are seeing with just really good adoption of Toast IQ within our customer base. The monthly active users continues to grow month after month, and they really value this interface to be able to get reports, engage with the back end, get -- make changes to the back end of the platform. So that's been really positive. And then I think in terms of our agentic capabilities, whether it's IQ Grow or IQ Team, one of the reasons it's such a natural fit is we are typically displacing work that these restaurateurs were outsourcing. So outsourcing, for example, to a marketing success manager or to a back-office accountant or payroll expert.

And the early data that we've seen has been really, really powerful. We, in fact, measure for customers of IQ Grow. We have a data science team that's looking at this, what the sales lift is by deploying IQ Grow relative to a control sample that is not using IQ Grow, and we've seen really good revenue growth. And this is because our tools have the data, and we're setting up a great first-party presence around things like, here, with IQ Grow, your website, your online ordering, your SEO, more recently with reviews agents, to make sure that restaurants are getting as much profitable first-party demand as possible.

On IQ Team, it's the -- again, very early. But again, we're seeing some data that shows that customers that deploy IQ Team, and this is really -- if you think about our back-office products, there's scheduling, there's payroll, there's tip automation. It's a lot of work to manage these schedules. And so what Toast IQ Team is doing is automating the work to manage those schedules. And we've seen a 41% reduction in overtime hours, which is obviously very valuable for the restaurant industry, which runs on thin margins. So again, really good early progress. These products are new, even though it's great to see, for example, Toast IQ Grow on path to surpass $10 million in ARR this year in the scale of our business. Obviously, it's still early, and we see tremendous opportunity for growth ahead.

Emily Woodward

Next question comes from DJ Hynes with Canaccord Genuity.

Operator

[Operator Instructions]

Emily Woodward

Are you there, DJ? All right, we'll move on. Next question comes from Rayna Kumar with Oppenheimer.

Rayna Kumar

Can you talk about attach rates you're seeing on Toast IQ Grow and Toast Local? And what are you baking into guidance from these products for the rest of the year?

Aman Narang

The Toast IQ Grow product, are you asking about attach rates in IQ Grow and Local?

Rayna Kumar

Yes.

Aman Narang

Okay. So Toast Local is available to all of our customers. It's really an app that we offer on top of all of our customers where customers can place orders to pickup, or delivery, they can get -- track loyalty, they can track loyalty. And so really, that's available to all of our customers. And IQ Grow, primarily, that's being sold through our upsell team. So our upsell motion has matured over the years. As you know, that we've invested in a big way in our expand motion. And that's really the team that's focused on IQ Grow.

Part of the reason we've seen, by the way, an inflection in ARPU growth in our core business. If you look at ARPU growth this year, year-over-year, we're up, and we're actually set up really well for next year. And a lot of that is, of course, driven by our whole platform. But specifically the impact that IQ Grow is having, and that's because the [ opt ] to win and the growth that we're seeing in IQ Grow has been incredibly meaningful, but it's largely in the upsell team versus attaching on new business attach.

Emily Woodward

The next question comes from Samad Samana with Jefferies.

Samad Samana

Elena, good luck on a well-deserved break in your next opportunity. Maybe transitioning just in terms of the net adds, they were strong. I was wondering if you guys could give some color on Horizon 1 versus Horizon 2 and maybe what drove the strength in the quarter. And I'll sneak in an extra one. Just last year, you guys gave an early outlook into '26. I'm curious that there wasn't anything on '27. Any contours that you want to set like last year? And if not, I'm just curious maybe what was the change in philosophy not giving an early outlook?

Aman Narang

Yes. So Samad, the net adds in our core business continue to be incredibly strong. Our win rates are strong. We're taking share faster than any other competitor in this space and just really proud of the team's progress there. And then these new TAMs, the reason they're on track to double is because we've seen accelerating net adds in our new business. So overall, really proud of the progress in terms of the progress we've made on that add this quarter and really throughout this year. And as I look to the future, I think we're incredibly confident in where we are in the market and our ability to continue to grow.

Michael Senno

And Samad, I'll take your question on '27. So there's no change in philosophy, and we've shared some color as the year goes on. But on the top line side, we've had a really strong year in '26. You've seen consistent strong results quarter after quarter. We're exiting the year with really good momentum. And on both top and bottom line, we'll give formal guidance for '27 on the February earnings call. But on the RGP growth side, we're set up to execute the same growth algorithm in '27 that you saw us deliver this year, core delivering share gains, complementing that with continued ARPU expansion, which has been really healthy, as Aman just pointed out. And on top of that, we're seeing rapid growth across our new TAMs that we are set up to continue. So we're confident in the 20% plus framework that we've provided, and we think we're set up for a really good '27.

And then on the margin side, we're going to finish this year at about 36% EBITDA margin. That's already above the medium-term target from our Investor Day. And the pace of margin expansion over the past couple of years has actually been faster than we had anticipated. We're sitting on what we believe is a generational opportunity. We have the financial profile that positions us to lean into investment to go after that opportunity. Our margin is in a really healthy spot. And as a result, we expect very modest margin progression next year.

I'll give you a little bit more context underneath how we're thinking about it. We've proven the operating leverage in our business model. Core margins are already over 40% and expanding each year. And the company margin is going to depend on how much we choose to invest in these new growth vectors and nascent long-term bets. And as we go into next year, we want to retain flexibility so we can offensively lean in where we see opportunities, all in service of really driving durable long-term growth and building these franchises with strong cash flow generation. But underneath that, we're going to use the same disciplined capital allocation approach that you've seen from us. Our investments are only going to be focused where we see strong long-term growth opportunities and really good ROI potential.

Samad Samana

Michael, congrats on the promotion.

Emily Woodward

The next question comes from Jason Kupferberg with Wells Fargo.

Unknown Analyst

This is [ Cathy Chan ] on for Jason. Two quick ones. So just a follow-up from the previous question just related to how you guys are thinking about memory costs. Just any updates or change in thinking in terms of -- obviously, that's been going a little better than you had anticipated, and you're still obviously building up your inventory there as well. So just seeing if there's any updates for either '27 or '26 on that? And then just any thoughts or color you can offer on, obviously, like the FTC lawsuit? I know you guys have put out a response pretty swiftly after that. But just any thoughts on what you guys think the potential impact or changes could be on your business? Or is there anything else you'd like to share there?

Elena Gomez

I'll take the hardware question. So last quarter, we gave an update and nothing's really changed. Like the team has done a tremendous job, kudos to that team for managing what I think is an incredibly dynamic environment. But like I said on the last call, we've improved the impact not only in '26, but in '27 versus our original expectations that we had shared earlier. And that's as a result of us taking some very deliberate mitigation steps, whether that's leveraging earlier generations of hardware, transitioning certain hardware to lower-cost memory, being active on the spot market.

So there's a lot of, I would say, initiatives within the organization that they're executing against. And we're maintaining through that. We're really proud to say we're maintaining really excellent best-in-class hardware. So overall, I feel really good about our ability to absorb this and manage it and no change from what we updated to you last quarter.

Aman Narang

Yes. Thank you, Elena. And we're -- on your question, [ Cathy ], on the FTC, we are incredibly disappointed with the FTC's decision to file the suit. We've been engaged with them and cooperating with them really over the past year and fundamentally believe their application of ROSCA is unprecedented for custom contracts in B2B, which is what we negotiate for every single customer. If ROSCA were to apply to B2B custom negotiated contracts in a B2B context, it would have huge implications for really the whole industry and business contracts in general. We have a lot of confidence in our business practices and are ready to defend ourselves.

And if you just zoom out and think about why we are where we are in the industry, we built a purpose-built platform with the restaurant industry over the past 15 years, we're industry leaders, and it's fundamentally grounded in customer impact. One of our values is on customer success. If you talk to our customers, one of the things they'll tell you is that we really live that value. And that is why we continue to grow and take share at the rate we are. And then lastly, I think we are here to build a generational company. And what happens here and how we settle the suit is not going to change that over the long term.

Emily Woodward

Next question comes from Adam Frisch with Evercore.

Adam Frisch

You booked $6 million of severance in the quarter. Is that part of a broader cost reset? And should we expect more of that in 4Q and into next year? And then on Toast Capital, this year, you started buying performing loans to hold to maturity. So about, I think, $65 million this quarter, $145 million year-to-date with nothing on the balance sheet at the end of last year. So what drove that change in strategy? And how much better are the economics? And how big do you expect it to get?

Elena Gomez

Yes, sure. I'll start with your first question. Look, we had a focused effort to optimize our resource allocation and align our investments with our top priorities. And periodically, we'll do that. And look, the opportunity for us to make sure we're investing in our highest priority is something we're always going to pay attention to. And we're going to reinvest back in the business, just like Aman talked about in terms of our opportunity ahead. We want to continue to invest in those high-priority things -- efforts.

And then in terms of Toast Capital and loans on our balance sheet, the program overall, Toast Capital is doing really well, and we've continued to grow originations and continue to add funding sources and diversify our funding sources and adding balance sheet was really a natural next step for us. And you're right, the balance sheet has better profitability metrics for us because we retain all the economics. We're not working with a third party. But overall, most of our originations will go through our CRT program.

But if you just zoom out and say, how will the Toast Capital program grow, I would say we'll continue to grow as our business grows. And so far, the customer receptivity has been really positive. A lot of customers come back for renewed loans. And regardless of whether we use balance sheet or CRT, we're managing across the same risk profile regardless of the program. So we feel really good about our ability to manage it as well.

Emily Woodward

Next question comes from Tien-Tsin Huang with JPMorgan.

Tien-Tsin Huang

Congrats to Senno and of course, all the best to Elena. Just want to ask on the consumer, 2 ways. One, any change in spend behavior month-to-month change in signals that you track? And then just on local, Aman, any -- it feels like you're promoting a little bit more aggressively there, which we like. Are you getting the engagement that you're seeking? Any interesting learnings so far in local as you're growing in?

Michael Senno

Thanks, Tien-Tsin. I'll take the first one. You could see our GPV per location trends have been very stable 3Q into 4Q and really for the better part of the year, it's been in the same zone. Even in the core, GPV per location has been slightly up year-over-year for the majority of the year. There's been some mix as we add more in Horizon 2, and that impact has been modest, and I expect it to be gradual over time. But similar story, GPV per location a really tight band and consistent throughout the year.

Aman Narang

Yes. And Tien-Tsin, on local, monthly active users continue to tick up every month at a really healthy clip. I don't think we publicly shared exactly what that data is, but the rate of growth has been really, really strong. And really, there's a couple of use cases. One is across all Toast restaurants, similar to what you get with the Starbucks app, you can order -- you can get pickup on the app. People love that and that you get in-store prices and the experience of pickup is really seamless.

Two is tracking loyalty. So a lot of our customers offer loyalty and people love the fact that you can track loyalty across all of your restaurants in one place, which is harder to do without local. And then lastly, for reservations between Toast Tables, Resy and Tock, we've got great inventory in the app to book a table, and we've seen dramatic growth there as well. So really proud of the progress overall in local and what the team is doing. They're working hard.

And I think one other thing that I'll add here is if you look at the Toast ecosystem, just on online ordering, we have almost 50 million active users that have signed up for an account on Toast online ordering when they order on a restaurant's website. And so we've got lots and lots of users that over time could leverage local to have an easy place to really get -- to book tables, get -- track loyalty and order pickup at all of our great restaurants.

Emily Woodward

Next question comes from DJ Hynes with Canaccord.

David Hynes

All right. We'll try this again. Can you guys hear me?

Emily Woodward

Great.

David Hynes

Awesome. Elena, we'll miss you. Congrats to you, Michael. I look forward to the transition. Aman, look, I look at the numbers, you guys are clearly taking share in the space, but I still get a lot of competitive questions from investors. And I think the gist of them is as AI lowers the barriers to building software and competitors expand beyond point-of-sale. What do you think will be Toast's most durable competitive advantages, right? Is it the data? Is it the depth and breadth of the workflows? Is it distribution? Like how do you think about that and kind of frame that competitive debate for us?

Aman Narang

Yes. Yes. It's a good question, DJ. I think first off, I'll say, look, I just want to reinforce our execution is tremendous. You saw that in our results and you look at our net add growth, you look at in our core business, which is both now growing share, but also expanding ARPU. It just shows that we're executing at a high level. And if you look at what we've been about from day 1, it's been about how do we help restaurants thrive. We've been vertically focused on restaurants. And so we live and breathe these problems, I think, better than anybody else in the world.

And at its core, I think that's going to be one of our most important durable advantages long term. As an example of this, you think about Toast IQ Grow is not just about launching some AI products. The most important thing we're doing there is measuring whether or not these products are actually driving top line sales for our customers. Similarly, we think about back office. And you think about IQ Team, over time, we'll launch inventory, we'll launch bookkeeping. It's all about improving bottom line profitability.

And to do this well, part of it is like understanding the workflows, understanding the use cases, but part of it is also the data that we have and the learnings we have across approaching 200,000 restaurant locations. I'll just give you one example of this. You think about restaurant COGS, it's really valuable to know across all of the different suppliers, what is it that they're paying to make it easier for them to have visibility into what their COGS are and where they benchmark. The only way to do that is to actually know where they stand relative to all the customers near them.

And that data only exists in Toast. And there are numerous examples like this on demand and marketing, on back office, where I think our focus on the restaurant industry and our focus on driving profitability for our customers is what's going to ultimately make us successful. I think one of the data points we don't share enough is we're really proud of the fact that if you look at Toast restaurants, they're less likely to go out of business. They have more GPV on average than the average restaurant industry, and our focus is to make that even better.

Emily Woodward

Our last question will come from Andrew Bauch with BMO.

Andrew Bauch

I want to ask on subscription gross margin. You had good expansion there, 320 bps year-over-year and AI-driven efficiencies contributing. I guess how much further runway do you kind of see in SaaS gross margin into '27? And what could be the potential drivers? Or should we just expect kind of a steady-state outlook?

Michael Senno

Andrew, thanks for the question. And I'd say we've made really good progress on SaaS gross margins over the past couple of years, and you could see that consistent margin expansion. And that is probably the one area inside the company where we've had the most traction. We're furthest along on leveraging AI just in both chat and starting to do voice AI and delivering a better customer experience along with that. We'll get into the full '27 as we get into the February earnings call. But there's going to be a balance because we're also spending on AI. But longer term, I do think there's continued opportunity in the gross margin. But I'd say that's probably the area that we've seen the biggest impact so far internally from an AI efficiency.

Andrew Bauch

Congrats, Mike and Elena. You will be missed.

Operator

This concludes today's call. Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect.