Andy Chen

TradingKey - Following the Federal Reserve's release of its June meeting decisions, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, a voting FOMC member this year, stated in his latest remarks that he has revised his full-year policy outlook from "one rate cut by year-end" in March to "one rate hike by year-end." This makes him the first core official in the current cycle to explicitly pivot to a rate-hike stance. The shift is primarily driven by the dual escalation of sticky inflation and geopolitical risks. Latest data shows that the Fed's preferred inflation gauge has risen to 4.1%, while core inflation reached 3.4%, both hitting more than two-year highs, with inflation deviating from the 2% target for five consecutive years. Kashkari believes that energy prices driven up by the Middle East conflict are unlikely to retreat rapidly, and there is insufficient certainty regarding compliance with the U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement. With geopolitical supply risks yet to be fully cleared, upward pressure on inflation persists.

TradingKey - Vessel transit has resumed through the Strait of Hormuz, significantly cooling concerns over crude oil supply disruptions in the Persian Gulf. Catalyzed by the easing of geopolitical risks, international oil prices have retreated to a four-month low, with the previously accumulated geopolitical risk premium rapidly unwinding. The latest reports indicate that Saudi Arabia is increasing its crude oil shipments while boosting loading volumes at its Red Sea ports. Reportedly, the Port of Ras Tanura, which was shut down due to conflict, has restarted crude oil loading operations, with Very Large Crude Carriers (VLCCs) docking to load cargo—marking the port's first return to normal operations since March. Meanwhile, the Port of Yanbu on the Red Sea remains highly active, with all seven of its crude oil berths operating at full capacity for the first time, driving a continuous month-on-month increase in export volumes.

TradingKey - Micron's earnings report ignited investor sentiment in memory stocks, while also proving that the consumer electronics industry, including Apple, faces cost pressures. The three major U.S. stock indexes continued their divergent trend, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average hitting an intraday record high and memory stocks leading the gains. At the close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.14% to 51,920.62 points; the Nasdaq Composite Index fell 0.46% to 25,358.60 points; and the S&P 500 Index edged down 0.73 points to 7,357.49 points.

TradingKey - Apple has officially implemented its largest global hardware price hike in recent years, raising prices across its entire Mac lineup, iPads, and other products. As a benchmark of the global consumer electronics industry, Apple's decision to pass skyrocketing supply chain costs directly onto consumers has sent shockwaves through the market, causing its stock price to plunge over 5% at one point on Thursday, marking its largest single-day decline since February this year.

TradingKey - On Thursday Eastern Time, May inflation data released by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) showed that the May PCE price index rose 4.1% year-on-year, in line with market expectations and higher than the previous reading of 3.8%. The U.S. May PCE month-on-month rate was 0.4%, lower than the market expectation of 0.50% and matching the previous 0.40%. The core PCE price index, which excludes food and energy, rose 3.4% year-on-year, in line with market expectations and higher than the previous 3.30%. The core PCE month-on-month rate was 0.3%, meeting market expectations, though the previous value was revised from 0.20% to 0.3%. Impacted by the Middle East conflict pushing up energy prices, U.S. inflation climbed further in May, with the annual PCE rate breaching the 4% threshold for the first time in three years, marking the first occurrence since April 2023. Although the monthly growth rates were broadly in line with Wall Street expectations, the clear rebound in the year-on-year rate indicates that the fight against inflation is not yet over.

TradingKey - On June 24 Eastern Time, following the release of Micron's (MU) Q3 FY2026 financial results during after-hours trading, the company's stock price surged over 13% at one point. As of press time, it remained up 13.96% at $1,194.19. During the period, Micron Technology's revenue increased by 345.72% year-on-year to $41.46 billion and rose by 73.75% quarter-on-quarter, substantially beating the market expectation of $35.84 billion. Although all four of its major business units surpassed growth expectations, the data center business recorded the most rapid growth, with revenue surging sevenfold compared to the same period last year. Micron Technology stated in a report that, in addition to its memory business, revenue from its data center solid-state drive (SSD) business also exceeded $5 billion.

TradingKey - On June 24, Eastern Time, the resumption of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz accelerated, but a strong wait-and-see sentiment prevailed in the market as Micron was set to release its earnings report after the close. The three major U.S. stock indexes diverged, with only the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising, while memory and chip stocks extended yesterday's losses. TradingKey - On June 24, Eastern Time, the resumption of shipping through the Strait of Hormuz accelerated, but a strong wait-and-see sentiment prevailed in the market as Micron was set to release its earnings report after the close. The three major U.S. stock indexes diverged, with only the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising, while memory and chip stocks extended yesterday's losses. At the close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.36% to 51,850.31 points; the Nasdaq Composite Index fell 0.43% to 25,476.64 points; the S&P 500 Index fell 0.10% to 7,358.33 points.

TradingKey - Following the recent departure of Google DeepMind Vice President John Jumper to Anthropic, Google's AI team has suffered another major blow to its core talent. According to media reports, two core Gemini researchers, Jonas Adler and Alexander Pritzel, are set to join Anthropic. Google's loss of top R&D talent in quick succession has triggered market concerns over its AI competitiveness. As of press time, Google (GOOGL) reversed its earlier gains to slide 1.16%, trading at $342.07.

TradingKey - On June 24, the two major crude oil futures plunged again after U.S. President Trump stated that no fees would be charged in the Strait of Hormuz. Trump claimed that Iran has not sought or collected any tolls, insurance fees, or any other form of fees for vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz. If this information proves untrue, negotiations will terminate immediately! He also stated that the U.S. has not provided any funds to Iran, nor has it released any funds to them. We will release a portion of the funds under our complete control for our farmers and ranchers to purchase products such as corn, wheat, and soybeans.

TradingKey - US stocks suffered another sharp sell-off yesterday, with the Nasdaq Composite Index closing down 2.21%, the Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ) falling 3.29%, and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index plunging 7.87% in a single day. This decline was dragged down by leading tech stocks; yesterday, Micron plummeted 13.18% to close at $1,051.77. The market views the memory chipmaker's upcoming earnings report as a "litmus test" for the AI industry chain, which will influence investors' judgments on the AI hardware chain, semiconductor industry prosperity, memory price hike cycles, and the valuations of high-flying tech stocks. There is widespread market concern over the risk of excessive upward revisions in earnings expectations. If valuations have already priced in the positive earnings outlook in advance, even outstanding financial results could trigger a "sell-the-news" sell-off once the earnings materialize. Broadcom's (AVGO) stock price movement on June 4 serves as a classic reference case under this logic.

TradingKey - On June 23, Eastern Time, with the core PCE inflation data and Micron's earnings report imminent, the market opted for a sell-off to wait and see, sending the three major indices lower. QQQ plunged over 3%, with memory and chip stocks leading the declines. At the close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.09% to 51,666.84 points; the Nasdaq Composite Index slid 2.21% to 25,587.04 points; and the S&P 500 Index dropped 1.44% to 73,665.46 points.

TradingKey - Following the Trump administration's earlier plan to allocate $2 billion to nine quantum computing companies in exchange for equity stakes, the latest reports confirm that US President Trump has signed two major executive orders in the quantum computing sector. Driven by the policy news, quantum concept stocks bucked the broader market trend to rise today, with Arqit Quantum (ARQQ) surging 36.32% and Quantinuum (QNT) gaining 14.91%.

TradingKey - Anthropic officially launched its new AI agent product, Claude Tag, on Tuesday within Salesforce-owned office communication app Slack, deepening its expansion in the enterprise market—a segment that has now become a core competitive arena for AI startups. Anthropic previously offered its Claude service within Slack, but with relatively limited functionality.

TradingKey - According to Bloomberg, SpaceX's debut bond offering in the US investment-grade market has met with overwhelming demand. The five-tranche bond issuance attracted a total of $89 billion in orders, representing an oversubscription rate of more than four times, ranking it among the largest

TradingKey - SpaceX (SPCX) plummeted 16.43% yesterday following its bond issuance, and briefly dipped below its initial price of $150 in pre-market trading today. However, amid a widespread sell-off in tech stocks, SpaceX bucked the trend to rise over 3%. As of press time, it remained up 2.04% at $157.75. Following the short-term plunge triggered by bond issuance rumors, SpaceX's stock price has staged a recovery, essentially reflecting the market's perception of the financing shifting from "liquidity panic" back to rational pricing.

TradingKey - As geopolitical conflicts eased significantly, tech stocks suffered a sell-off, dragging down market sentiment. Under the traditional macroeconomic analysis framework, falling oil prices typically correspond to the easing of inflationary pressures and a recovery in market risk appetite, which theoretically should provide positive support to the stock market. However, the market failed to see the expected rebound. As of press time, the three major U.S. stock indexes declined across the board: the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.01% to 51,717.81 points; the Nasdaq Composite Index fell 1.32% to 25,822.07 points; and the S&P 500 Index fell 0.88% to 74,070.05 points.

TradingKey - On June 22, Eastern Time, positive progress in US-Iran negotiations boosted market sentiment, but a sharp drop in SpaceX weighed on the market, leading to mixed performances among the three major US stock indexes. The Nasdaq Composite Index fell over 1%, while chip stocks bucked the trend to post gains. At the close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.29% to 51,712.71 points; the Nasdaq Composite Index fell 1.32% to 26,166.60 points; and the S&P 500 Index declined 0.37% to 7,472.79 points.

TradingKey - Following SpaceX's (SPCX) announcement of its inaugural investment-grade bond offering, rumors of an imminent merger with Tesla have dragged the company's stock price down once again. As of press time, SpaceX fell 15.45% to $156.41, on the verge of dropping below its listing-day debut price of $150, with its latest market capitalization standing at $2.05 trillion.

TradingKey - Google (GOOGL) saw up to $320 billion in market value wiped out today as its share price plunged over 7% intraday, hitting its lowest level since late April. Latest reports indicate that Google's AI division has suffered another loss of core research staff, marking the second departure of a top AI talent within a week. As of press time, Google was down over 6% at $346.47, with its latest market capitalization standing at $4.2 trillion.

TradingKey - Shares of SanDisk (SNDK) continued to hit fresh all-time highs following the disclosure of its new patent. As of press time, the stock rose 5.65% to $2,308.24, bringing its market capitalization to $342.5 billion, representing an astonishing year-to-date surge of approximately 50-fold. SanDisk plans to directly bond computing units with NAND flash memory, downgrading the role of HBM from core memory to an auxiliary tier.