Xponential Fitness (XPOF) 2026年第三季法說會：營收下滑 21%，更新財測指引

重點摘要

• 第三季營收年減 21% 至 6,230 萬美元，調整後 EBITDA 則下滑 27% 至 2,430 萬美元。
• 北美全系統銷售額減少 2% 至 4.24 億美元。旗下品牌同店銷售額下滑 7.5%，Club Pilates 則下滑 5.6%。
• Xponential Fitness 在第三季新開 54 家門市、關閉 34 家門市後，截至 2026 年第三季底全球門市達 3,185 家。美國本土門市淨增 1 家，國際門市淨增 19 家。
• 管理層將全年全球淨新開門市數下修至 124 至 130 家，並將調整後 EBITDA 財測區間縮窄至 9,100 萬至 9,400 萬美元。營收財測則維持在 2.5 億至 2.6 億美元。
• Club Pilates 全新網站在 9 月底上線後，潛在客戶表單提交量與首堂體驗預約轉換率均呈現雙位數百分比成長。
• 董事會持續評估各項策略替代方案，包括潛在的出售、合併或其他策略性或財務交易。

關鍵財務數據

加盟營收減少 850 萬美元或 16%，主因加盟合約終止導致區域營收減少 710 萬美元。同店銷售額下滑以及 2025 年的品牌剝離亦導致權利金收入減少。

設備營收減少 320 萬美元，主要因為新開門市與設備安裝數量減少。商品營收下滑 440 萬美元，反映了新收入認列模式的影響，以及過渡至委外物流合作夥伴過程中所產生的營運與執行問題。

業務與營運表現

Xponential 本季在北美新開 28 家門市，國際市場新開 26 家。公司共售出 58 張授權，包括 43 張國際授權與 15 張北美授權。截至季末，公司擁有 618 項具合約約束力的北美授權義務，以及 741 項國際主加盟義務。

Club Pilates 仍是公司的主要擴張引擎。管理層表示，儘管同店銷售呈現負成長，但該品牌的單店平均年營收 (AUV) 仍維持在 100 萬美元以上，具備誘人的門市層級經濟效益。其長期目標是在未來五年內將 Club Pilates 擴展至 2,000 家以上門市。

第三季國際門市淨增 19 家，今年以來累計淨增 48 家。澳洲、西班牙、法國及葡萄牙在本季均達成展店新里程碑。

管理層正專注於更高品質的潛在客戶開發、改善潛在顧客轉換率、提高會員留存率並加強門市執行力。公司亦導入 AI 輔助的 SEO 內容、透過 Meta 重組在地行銷、優化 Google 商家檔案，並推出網紅行銷平台。

Club Pilates 全新網站帶動潛在客戶表單提交量與首堂體驗預約轉換率達到雙位數百分比的改善。Xponential 正將相同的網站重新設計應用於其他品牌，並以 Pure Barre 為起點。

管理層財務預測

管理層在考量 10 月業績、預期成本撙節、新開門市、Club Pilates 門市翻新活動以及商品銷售表現後，預估第四季銷售額水準將與第三季相當。

風險與關注焦點

同店銷售額持續承壓，管理層指出自然流量疲軟、自然潛在客戶開發減少以及新會員轉換率下滑為主要挑戰。公司引用的信用卡數據亦顯示，相較於 2026 年上半年，精品健身產業在第三季整體出現放緩跡象。

商品銷售與訂單履行持續面臨過渡至委外物流合作夥伴所產生的問題。公司正致力於改善商品組合及物流履約作業。

門市拓展速度有所放緩，主因優質街邊商場中合適的 2,000 平方英尺場地取得難度提高。管理層亦表示，進階的選址分析促使公司拒絕了一些過去可能會核准的地點。

公司在第三季支付了 400 萬美元用於聯邦貿易委員會 (FTC) 相關和解金，並預計在 2026 年第四季支付約 340 萬美元的加盟商訴訟和解款項。

分析師問答重點

管理層將 Club Pilates 同店銷售下滑主要歸因於新會員獲取放緩，而非會員留存問題，並強調留存率依然穩固且強勁。管理層亦指出，在該品牌單店平均年營收 (AUV) 突破 100 萬美元後，成長有所緩和本在預期之中。

高階主管表示，只要門市總數、全系統銷售額及權利金收入持續成長，即便單店平均年營收 (AUV) 下滑或同店銷售持平至微幅負成長，仍足以支撐 Xponential 的經濟效益。

針對展店預期下修，管理層指出主因在於房地產租賃延遲與更嚴格的選址審核，而非加盟商意願減弱。管理層強調，這些因素不會改變 Club Pilates 的長期成長軌跡。

管理層婉拒提供當季同店銷售數據，但表示網站轉換率提升與行銷舉措旨在促進新會員成長。

完整法說會逐字稿

完整財報電話會議逐字稿

管理層陳述

Operator

And welcome to the Xponential Fitness Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Patricia Nir at Addo IR. You may begin.

Patricia Nir

Thank you, operator. Good afternoon, and thank you all for joining our conference call to discuss Xponential Fitness' third quarter 2026 financial results. I'm joined by Mike Nuzzo, Chief Executive Officer, Jennifer Ryu, Chief Financial Officer, and Robert Julian, Interim Chief Financial Officer.

A recording of this call will be posted on the Investor section of our website at investor.xponential.com. We remind you that during this conference call, we will make certain forward-looking statements, including discussions of our business outlook and financial projections. These forward-looking statements are based on management's current expectations and involve risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially from such expectations.

For a more detailed description of these risks and uncertainties, please refer to the earnings release issued today, our most recent Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025, filed with the SEC, and our subsequent filings with the SEC. We assume no obligation to update the information provided on today's call, except as required by law.

In addition, we will be discussing non-GAAP financial measures in this conference call. We use non-GAAP measures because we believe they provide useful information about our operating performance that could be considered by investors in conjunction with GAAP measures that we provide. A reconciliation of these non-GAAP measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures is included in the earnings release issued earlier today and in the investor presentation, both of which are available on our website at investor.xponential.com.

We are not able to provide quantitative reconciliation of forward-looking non-GAAP measures without unreasonable efforts to the most directly comparable GAAP measure due to the high variability, complexity, and low visibility with respect to certain items. Please also note that all numbers reported in today's prepared remarks refer to global figures unless otherwise noted.

As a reminder, in order to ensure period-over-period comparability and consistency with our reporting methods since IPO, we present all KPIs on a pro forma basis, meaning for full KPI history presented, we only include brands that are under our ownership as of the current reporting period for the period ended September 30, 2026. This includes BFT, Club Pilates, Pure Barre, StretchLab, and Yoga6.

I will now turn the call over to Mike Nuzzo, CEO of Xponential Fitness.

Michael Nuzzo

Thanks, Patricia. Good afternoon, and thank you all for joining today. First, I'd like to take a moment to officially welcome Jen Ryu as our new Chief Financial Officer. Jen brings extensive experience and a strong track record across finance, capital allocation, and investor relations, as well as a disciplined, data-driven approach. I'm excited to have her on our leadership team and look forward to partnering with her as we continue to strengthen our business and drive shareholder value. Welcome to the team, Jen.

Jennifer Ryu

Thanks, Mike. I'm thrilled to join Xponential as CFO. What attracted me to the company was a differentiated portfolio of brands, scaled platform, and exceptionally talented team. Over the past few weeks, I've had the opportunity to spend time with Mike, Robert, and the broader leadership team, learning more about the business, our franchise system, the franchisee community, and our financial priorities. I'm excited to be here and look forward to connecting with many of you.

Michael Nuzzo

Thanks, Jen. I would also like to take this time to thank Robert Julian for his tenure as interim CFO. Robert's leadership and steady hand on all things finance and accounting have been invaluable for our company. Congratulations, Robert, on an outstanding career. And on behalf of the entire team, I wish you and your family all the best.

Turning to the quarter, I am confident that we are focused on the right initiatives to build a stronger Xponential Fitness for our franchisees and members. We are seeing early progress in several key areas as we improve capabilities across the business, and the entire executive team is aligned and focused on translating initiatives into measurable results.

Our priorities are clear across the organization: improve franchisee and studio-level economics; support healthy and disciplined unit expansion, both domestically and internationally; strengthen Xponential's financial performance; and elevate our member experience across our portfolio. To do this, we are concentrating our efforts on four areas where we can have the greatest impact: marketing, brand operations, technology, and financial performance.

Importantly, several key initiatives we discussed earlier this year are now being implemented and starting to positively impact our business. Our objective is to demonstrate continued progress across these areas and build a stronger foundation for improved performance.

Let me now turn to a more detailed discussion of the quarter. We ended Q3 with 3,185 open studios globally. Domestically, we delivered net unit growth of 1 in Q3 and 40 year-to-date. We have streamlined our new studio development process and expect to increase new studio openings and equipment installs in Q4. We also began implementing our Club Pilates Refresh program, which is intended to modernize the member experience at our older studios.

Internationally, we delivered net unit growth of 19 in the quarter and 48 year-to-date. We continue to view international expansion, led by Club Pilates, as an important long-term unit growth opportunity, with Australia, Spain, France, and Portugal reaching new unit opening milestones in Q3.

Turning to studio performance, same-studio sales were down 7.5% overall and down 5.6% for Club Pilates. Our comp was also pressured by lower merchandise sales, which remain challenged due to the outsourced logistics partner transition issues we discussed last quarter. Work is underway to meaningfully improve our merchandise offering and fulfillment. While performance is below our expectations, sustained retention and early website conversion progress that I will discuss shortly are encouraging signs.

For Club Pilates, our AUVs continue to be industry-leading and support new unit growth. Across boutique fitness, credit card data also showed a Q3 slowdown compared with the first half of 2026, suggesting a more challenging market backdrop. Nevertheless, we are concentrating on what we can control: generating higher-quality leads, converting more prospects, keeping members in the studio longer and keeping them engaged longer, and supporting stronger execution at the studio level.

As we enter Q4, we have strengthened our capabilities across marketing, technology, and brand operations. We will continue to evaluate these initiatives based on measurable operating and financial outcomes.

In marketing, we enhanced digital, social, and creative outreach to prospective members, lowering cost per lead. We introduced a new innovative AI SEO capability that combines technology to target the best platform placement with a dedicated content production team. Since its launch late in Q3, Club Pilates articles such as "Pilates for Beginners" and "How a Pilates Membership Works" have driven an increase in organic engagement. We began rolling out a restructured local marketing platform that better leverages Meta to improve prospect targeting and is more cost-effective for franchisees. And we started a new influencer platform that optimizes social media content, a critical element of our brand positioning.

In technology, we launched the new Club Pilates website at the end of September. Its design reflects the strength and relevance of the brand as it approaches its 20th anniversary. We believe the new platform will elevate the member journey, streamline studio discovery, and drive new member acquisition. Beyond branding and visual aesthetics, the site offers significantly improved navigation. Since its launch, we have seen a double-digit percent increase in lead form submission and first-class appointment conversion and expect these results to continue to improve as we refine the online journey.

We began implementing the same website transformation across our other brands, with Pure Barre next, and expect similar conversion improvements. We invested in all studios' Google listings, which we believe will help each studio rank higher in local Google searches and improve the accuracy of information so nearby prospects can easily find and choose our locations. And lastly, we introduced new digital outreach that uses video messaging, including member and instructor testimonials, to highlight the value of our brand experiences to potential new members across their journey.

Within brand operations, we refined and focused our field team efforts, including performance dashboards and training targeting the studio cohorts with the greatest opportunity to improve lead conversion and membership performance. Our highest-performing studios continue to demonstrate the potential of our brands, and our focus is on narrowing the performance gap between those studios and our lower-performing cohorts. We also introduced new equipment, classes, promotions, and member engagement programs across our brand portfolio. At Yoga6, recently introduced programs have contributed to a recent increase in average member tenure and improved new member trends.

Beyond these initiatives, we are focused on 4 key elements that we expect will also contribute to financial performance. First, we have a strong long-term domestic and international growth opportunity in Club Pilates with our industry-leading AUVs. Domestically, we have an established network of franchisees eager to expand, and our long-term objective is to grow Club Pilates to more than 2,000 locations in the next 5 years. Internationally, we continue to build a healthy pipeline of master and sub-franchisee partners with robust development plans for Club Pilates. The brand resonates with members across countries and cultures, and our international studios continue to see strong average unit volumes. As we pursue this opportunity, we will prioritize responsible development, partner quality, and sustainable unit economics.

Second, we will continue to assess opportunities across the rest of our brand portfolio to support each brand's potential and strengthen its contribution to our overall business.

Third, one of Jen's initial focus areas will be to assess our cost structure to identify new ways to improve operating efficiency. This review will include evaluating our use of technology and AI, in close partnership with Eric, our CIO, as well as opportunities with some of our longtime vendors.

Fourth, we have made significant progress putting key legal matters behind us, an important step in improving our cash flow profile.

Our goal is to be a high-performing franchisor that supports the entrepreneurial spirit of our franchisees and delivers a differentiated experience for our members. We have certainly made progress in 2026 and will continue building on that foundation as we look ahead. I want to thank our franchisees for their resilience, their passion for our brands, and continued commitment to providing the best member experience. Every time we walk into our studios, we are reminded of the meaningful role our brands and teams contribute to the ongoing health and wellness of our members. We will continue to set the standard, evolve the experience, and drive value and positive change.

Before I hand the call over to Robert, I want to comment on our strategic alternatives review. As we shared in April, our Board initiated this review to explore alternatives to maximize shareholder value, led by our independent directors and supported by Jefferies as financial advisor. The Board remains actively engaged in a review of strategic alternatives designed to maximize long-term shareholder value, including strategic, financial, and operational alternatives. The process may include a sale of the company, a merger, or another strategic or financial transaction. Because the process is ongoing, we do not intend to comment further until it has concluded. We ask that you keep your questions during Q&A focused on the quarter.

With that, I will turn the call over to Robert for one last time for a financial review of the quarter. Robert?

Unknown Speaker

Thank you, Mike. I appreciate the kind words and have really enjoyed working with the entire Xponential team over these past 8 months. I also have great confidence in Jen and know the finance organization is in very capable hands under her leadership going forward.

I'll now begin with an overview of our third quarter results before turning to our 2026 guidance. I'd also like to mention that unless otherwise stated, all financial remarks refer to the third quarter of 2026, and all comparisons will be year-over-year comparisons versus the third quarter of 2025.

With that, let's turn to the results. We ended the quarter with 3,185 global open studios, opening 54 gross new studios, 28 in North America and 26 internationally. There were 34 global studio closures in line with historical trends and concentrated primarily within StretchLab, BFT, and Pure Barre. We sold 58 licenses globally during Q3, including 43 internationally and 15 in North America. As of September 30, 2026, we had 618 licenses contractually obligated to open in North America and 741 international master franchise obligations. We also expect to continue pursuing terminations of inactive licenses.

Third quarter North America system-wide sales of $424 million were down 2% year-over-year, and same-store sales were negative 7.5%, both on a pro forma basis, adjusting for divestitures. As Mike discussed, improving performance across the existing studio base remains a key focus, and we have a number of initiatives underway to drive performance.

On a consolidated basis, revenue for the quarter was $62.3 million, down $16.6 million, or 21%, compared to $78.8 million in Q3 2025. Franchise revenue was down $8.5 million, or 16%, primarily due to a $7.1 million decline in franchise territory revenue, driven by lower revenue recognized from franchise agreement terminations. Royalty fees were also lower, reflecting the decrease in same-store sales and the brand divestitures in 2025, and technology and training fees declined as well. Equipment revenue declined $3.2 million, primarily due to a decrease in global equipment installations driven by a decrease in studio openings compared to the prior-year period. Merchandise revenue declined $4.4 million compared to the prior year. The decline reflects the change in how merchandise revenue is recorded following the transition to our new business model, as well as previously mentioned operational, structural, and execution challenges associated with that transition. Adjusted EBITDA was $24.3 million in the third quarter, down $9.2 million, or 27%, compared to Q3 2025.

Turning to the balance sheet, as of September 30, 2026, cash, cash equivalents, and restricted cash were $27.2 million compared to $41.5 million as of September 30, 2025. And as we've discussed, we've made significant progress addressing the vast majority of our regulatory matters, allowing us to focus our attention and resources on driving long-term growth. During the third quarter, we paid $4.0 million related to our agreed settlements in the FTC case. For Q4 2026, we anticipate approximately $3.4 million in total payments related to the settlement of the franchisee case. As a reminder, our franchise disclosure documents have also now been substantially refreshed with registration pending only in Maryland.

Total long-term debt was $521.1 million as of September 30, 2026, compared to $376.4 million as of September 30, 2025. The increase in total long-term debt primarily reflects borrowings incurred in connection with the retirement of the convertible preferred stock during the fourth quarter of 2025. We also had $10.0 million outstanding under our $25.0 million revolving credit facility as of September 30, 2026, with $15.0 million of undrawn capacity. We remain comfortable with the company's liquidity position.

Turning to our full-year 2026 guidance, we now expect full-year global net new studio openings to range from 124 to 130. We expect North America system-wide sales to range from $1.70 billion to $1.75 billion, unchanged from prior guidance. We expect total 2026 revenue to range from $250 million to $260 million, also unchanged from prior guidance. Full-year adjusted EBITDA is now expected to range from $91 million to $94 million.

Before we open the call for questions, I would like to say a few parting words, as this will be my last earnings call with Xponential. I want to thank Mark, our board, and the entire Xponential team for their support, as well as our franchisees who are at the heart of this system. I'd also like to thank our analysts and investors for their engagement over the past 8 months. I especially want to thank and recognize the Xponential finance and accounting teams. You are a talented and dedicated group, and it's been a pleasure and an honor to be your leader these last 8 months. I'm confident Jen and this team are well positioned for future success. I look forward to following Xponential's progress going forward.

Thank you all for your time today. We will now open the call for any questions. Operator?

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of John Heinbockel with Guggenheim Partners.

分析師問答

John Heinbockel

Hey, Mike, can you talk through the Club Pilates comp? I'm curious, you know, is that largely the product of lower members, players? It may be some per-member spend, you know, changing membership and packages. But maybe talk through that, you know, the – I know you're working on some marketing things, but sort of the path back to – maybe flat results. And I think you've said in the past, you can, given the AUVs, you can live with a low single-digit, a very modest increase in Club Pilates. Is that still true for you and the franchisees?

Michael Nuzzo

Yes, thanks for the question, John. Yes, that's correct. I think the biggest focus is on the new members. So I think we've talked about that in previous calls. Obviously, in a more competitive environment, the battle for new members is front and center for everybody. So that's the big focus relative to the comp. But you make a really good point, and I want to emphasize the point you're calling out, which is Club Pilates reached over $1 million in AUV, which again, I've said this, looking at the economics and the performance of that, you seldom see performance like that that drives profitability at a studio level in franchising in consumer. And so we expected a level of moderation off of that what I would call sort of a record-breaking level of AUV. So that also contributes to some negative comps.

But from a development standpoint and from a profitability standpoint, we're still talking about an incredibly healthy model with a lot of room to grow.

John Heinbockel

Maybe the follow-up to that, right, so what's the level, obviously if you've got existing franchisees opening Club Pilates, probably okay cannibalizing some of their units. You know, what's the level of growth there or, you know, of flatness they're okay with? And as a franchisor, if Club Pilates was sort of flat comps or even maybe slight declines, does that work economically for you given your role?

Michael Nuzzo

Yes. I mean, I guess what I would say is when we model with our franchisees new locations, the expectation around the AUV to start is relatively modest compared to where they are performing today, and the economics that that produces for the franchisee is very, very healthy. I think we've talked about our pre-sale process being one of the best in the industry. We come out of the gates really fast with a big build in membership. And so that sets the foundation for really healthy AUVs going forward. So that's how our franchisees think about expansion and the AUV dynamics. And even from a comp standpoint, they're not getting caught up in a particular comp result in any given quarter because they look at it as a total AUV dynamic, total studio profitability, and the ability to continue to add units that are incredibly healthy.

John Heinbockel

Okay, thank you.

Unknown Speaker

And I would say that to answer your question directly, John, does it work for Xponential with a lower AUV and same studio sales? Absolutely, it works. As long as we're continuing to grow total studios, total system-wide sales will increase and total royalty revenue will increase.

John Heinbockel

Okay, thank you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Arpine Kocharyan with UBS. Please go ahead.

Arpine Kocharyan

Hi, good afternoon. This is Darren on for Arpine. Could you talk about the same-store sales dynamics at Club Pilates specifically, including what you're seeing so far in the fourth quarter?

Michael Nuzzo

Yes, thanks for the question. We don't talk about the current quarter information. But I think as I was talking to John about the big dynamic, and this is not just for Club Pilates, but this is the focus across our brands, is really on driving that new member conversion. We have talked about our retention being incredibly strong and sustained. Loyalty to our brands is very strong, and so we have focused our programs and our initiatives on driving new member leads and new member conversion. And when we were talking about the website, that's an important additional tool that we'll have now for better lead conversion and first-time appointment conversion. So, again, I think we're focused on the right things from a comp standpoint and obviously really happy and continue to be happy with the AUVs that we're seeing out of that brand.

Arpine Kocharyan

Thank you. And more broadly, what do you think is driving the same-store sales decline across the portfolio?

Michael Nuzzo

Yes, I think we've talked about in the past some of the drivers of that. We have identified organic traffic and organic leads as a major focus for us. There have been changes in dynamics with digital marketing. And so that is the area that we are most focused on and have really targeted from a comp improvement standpoint.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your next question comes from the line of Owen Richter with Northland Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Unknown Speaker

Hey guys, this is Keon Phelps on for Owen Richter. Just a quick one from us. North American sales and guidance were unchanged. Revenue was unchanged. I guess, can you kind of just help us understand, you know, adjusted EBITDA guide being lowered?

Michael Nuzzo

Yes, I would characterize it, Owen, as we have narrowed the guide range. And I think we took a pretty thoughtful approach to Q4. So we modeled in sales similar to Q3, and taking into account October, we got some natural cost savings in the quarter. We shifted the convention. We spent more in marketing last year around an awareness campaign. And then we got really good insight into the expectations around openings, refreshes, and merchandise. So it gave us the ability to get more focused on our EBITDA range.

Unknown Speaker

Perfect. That's helpful. Yes. And then just one, if I can sneak an extra one in here looking at the net new studio openings that was lowered as well. I guess looking at that, is there a difference between, you know, new franchisees delaying openings, or are these some existing franchisees delaying openings?

Michael Nuzzo

Yes, most of our new openings are in Club Pilates, and I would call out two factors. And the first one, I think, has been reported by a few other players out there. Mid-year we were seeing that the real estate environment was getting a little bit more difficult, especially for the 2,000-square-foot spaces that we look for in good strip centers. So, you know, slower to find spaces, slower to get to LOI, leases, all of that. So, no reflection of the intent of franchisees to open new locations.

And then the other piece of which I think is a really healthy thing, is we've improved our analytics around assessing locations. And we think that this is going to be a net positive and allow us to select locations that ensure consistent opening success. So we're being more selective. We've turned down sites that we may have gone with in the past. I think that's a good thing. So I think both of these factors don't really impact the long-term growth trajectory of Club Pilates. And as I said, the intent is still there and motivation around getting more openings for the brand. So that's how I would characterize it.

Unknown Speaker

Okay, perfect. Thanks.

Operator

This now concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the floor back over to Mike Nuzzo, the CEO, for closing comments.

Michael Nuzzo

I just want to thank everybody for participating on the call today, and we look forward to updating you in the future. Thanks.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your participation. This does conclude today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines and have a wonderful day.

This live transcript is auto-generated without human intervention or review.