直覺機器 (LUNR) 2026 年第二季財報電話會議:在手訂單達 18 億美元,重申財測指引
Intuitive Machines公布2026年第二季營收達2.06億美元,毛利改善至3,600萬美元,調整後EBITDA為負1,400萬美元。季末在手訂單達創紀錄的18億美元。管理層重申2026全年營收指引為9億至10億美元,並維持調整後EBITDA轉正預期。公司透過多項併購拓展太空基礎設施業務,積極推進多項登月與衛星製造計畫。
重點摘要
- Intuitive Machines 公布 2026 年第二季營收達 2.06 億美元,高於前一年水準的四倍以上。毛利改善至 3,600 萬美元,前一年同期則為虧損 1,200 萬美元。
- 調整後 EBITDA 從前一年的負 2,500 萬美元改善至負 1,400 萬美元。營業損失為 4,700 萬美元,其中包括因 IM-4 有效載荷變更而進行的 1,470 萬美元完工估計調整。
- 該公司第二季結束時的在手訂單達到創紀錄的 18 億美元,且合約涵蓋 80 多艘航天器。在手訂單中,民用太空約佔 37%,商業太空約佔 49%,國家安全太空約佔 14%。
- 管理層重申 2026 全年營收指引為 9 億至 10 億美元,並維持調整後 EBITDA 轉正的預期。
- 截至電話會議舉辦日,Intuitive Machines 年初至今的新增預訂額達 17 億美元,其中包括第二季至電話會議舉辦日之間的 12 億美元。管理層預計,隨著下半年合約敲定,現有的開工授權將再增加 3 億美元的預訂額。
- 由於公司投資於庫存、產能與通訊基礎設施,現金儲備有所下降。在該季度部署 8,400 萬美元資金後,第二季結束時的現金為 3.67 億美元。
關鍵財務數據
| 指標 | 2026 年第二季 | 比較或背景說明 |
|---|---|---|
| 營收 | 2.06 億美元 | 為前一年水準的 4 倍以上;由衛星製造、CLPS、NSNS 及 OMES 計畫所推動 |
| 毛利 | 3,600 萬美元 | 較前一年的負 1,200 萬美元改善 |
| 調整後 EBITDA | 負 1,400 萬美元 | 較前一年的負 2,500 萬美元改善 |
| 營業損失 | 4,700 萬美元 | 包含 1,470 萬美元的 IM-4 完工估計調整 |
| 銷售、一般及行政費用 (SG&A) | 6,000 萬美元 | 包含約 1,100 萬美元的股份基礎給付費用及 800 萬美元的收購與整合成本 |
| 研發費用 | 800 萬美元 | 專注於登月著陸器、軟體定義衛星及未來基礎設施服務 |
| 營運活動所用現金 | 6,000 萬美元 | 包含加速庫存投資、收購成本以及給 SpaceX 的 IM-4 里程碑款項 |
| 資本支出 | 2,400 萬美元 | 主要用於 NSNS 衛星星座與地面段設施 |
| 總現金部署額 | 8,400 萬美元 | 反映了營運投資、資本支出與里程碑款項支付時點 |
| 季末現金 | 3.67 億美元 | 包含第二季期間透過按市價增發計畫獲得的 2.35 億美元淨收益 |
| 在手訂單 | 18 億美元 | 創紀錄水準,具備多年營收能見度 |
截至目前,該公司透過按市價增發計畫,以 26.81 美元的成交量加權平均價,累計募集 2.91 億美元總收益。截至 8 月 6 日,流通在外總股數為 2.289 億股。
業務與營運表現
Intuitive Machines 正圍繞三大支柱組織其擴展的業務:建造、連接與營運太空基礎設施。收購 Lanteris 增加了衛星製造能力;收購 KinetX 增加了任務營運與導航專業知識;收購 Goonhilly Earth Station 與 COMSAT 則擴大了地面通訊基礎設施。
航天器製造
該公司已交付 SDA Tranche 1 追蹤層的所有 16 顆衛星,並繼續進行 Tranche 2 的生產。此外,公司還獲得了 18 顆 Tranche 3 追蹤層衛星,以及另外 18 顆支援 Golden Dome 架構的 AMDT-3 衛星相關合約。
Intuitive Machines 目前已有 70 多艘 IM-300 航天器簽訂合約。管理層表示,該平台具有高度的衛星公用平台通用性,且大部分非經常性工程已在首批 16 顆 Tranche 1 衛星中完成,這將支援規模化生產。
在商業太空方面,該公司獲得了一家未公開客戶的三顆對地靜止軌道通訊衛星訂單。這些合約在 30 個月內的價值超過 6 億美元。SiriusXM-11 已於第二季發射並部署,預計將於 2026 年 8 月晚些時候交付給客戶。
登月計畫
在 2026 年較早前頒發 CT-4 任務後,NASA 又選擇 Intuitive Machines 執行 CS-8 任務。這是該公司在商業月球載荷服務 (CLPS) 合約下的第五和第六次任務,將其月球運送時序延展至 2030 年。
IM-3 仍預計於 2027 年 1 月至 3 月的發射窗口搭乘 SpaceX 獵鷹 9 號 (Falcon 9) 發射。剩餘工作包括功能測試、整合引擎熱試車,以及著陸與避障感測器的驗證。預計將於 2026 年 10 月進行進一步的飛行準備就緒審查。管理層表示,IM-4 仍按計畫於 2027 年底發射。
有效載荷達 500 公斤的 Nova-D 著陸器在現有合約下已獲得大部分飛行資金支持。Intuitive Machines 也在評估更重貨物變體的技術投資,這些變體能夠向月球表面運送至少 1 公噸,並最終運送 2 至 5 公噸的載荷。
通訊與經常性服務
首顆月球通訊中繼衛星 Altus-1 預計於 2027 年第一季與 IM-3 一同發射。該公司目前計畫在 2028 年的專屬任務中,一次性部署 Altus-2 至 Altus-5,加速獲得完整星座功能以支援 NASA 的阿提米絲 (Artemis) 計畫。
規劃中的營收模式將按分鐘計費的資料中繼,與獨立的定位、導航及授時服務相結合。管理層提到政府初始需求每年約 50 萬分鐘,但未量化民用、商業與國家安全客戶的潛在上限。
管理層指引
管理層重申 2026 全年營收指引為 9 億至 10 億美元,並繼續預計全年調整後 EBITDA 轉正。
第二季在手訂單中,約有 25% 至 30% 預計將於 2026 年轉化為營收,35% 至 40% 預計於 2027 年轉化,其餘則在此之後。管理層表示,決定業績落在營收範圍何處的主要變量是合約敲定與營收轉化的時點,而非客戶需求。
隨著投資水準趨於穩定及里程碑應收帳款入帳,自由現金流預計將在下半年改善。該公司尚未提供實現自由現金流損益兩平的目標日期。
風險與關注焦點
- 營收轉化取決於採購時點以及目前在開工授權下運作的合約最終敲定情況。延誤可能會將營收從 2026 年推遲至 2027 年。
- 第二季現金支出偏高,原因包括 1,700 萬美元的加速庫存與基礎設施投資、800 萬美元的收購與整合成本,以及給 SpaceX 的 1,700 萬美元 IM-4 里程碑款項。
- 由於所有五顆 NSNS 衛星及相關地面基礎設施的工作持續進行,預計未來幾個季度的資本支出仍將維持高位。
- IM-3 的發射時機取決於航天器準備情況、發射載具可用性以及 NASA 利害關係人的優先事項。在預計於 2027 年第一季發射之前,仍需進行關鍵的技術測試。
- 第二季獲利能力受到 1,470 萬美元 IM-4 完工估計調整、較高的銷售、一般及行政費用,以及持續研發投資的影響。
分析師問答亮點
管理層表示,2026 年營收指引的低端具有很高的能見度。達到範圍的中段或高段主要取決於採購加速,以及在開工授權下的合約是否能足夠早地敲定,從而在今年認列營收。
關於額外月球機會,管理層提及兩份登月任務的需求建議書草案、一個月球軌道器探測器機會,以及預期的 CLPS 2.0 合約。後者預計將是一個多方獲獎、為期 10 年、估值超過 100 億美元的架構合約,並可能附帶 5 年的選擇權。
在製造產能方面,該公司正在休士頓增加 7.5 萬平方英呎的空間,並表示 IM-300 生產線仍有額外產能。其包含製造、生產與辦公空間在內的設施總面積已超過 100 萬平方英呎。
管理層還強調了涉及 TDRS 替代方案、軌道資料中心以及 Andromeda RG-XX 國家安全計畫的潛在競標。這些機會尚未包含在已公布的在手訂單中。
在國家安全計畫方面,Intuitive Machines 目前為 L3Harris 提供航天器公用平台,用於 Golden Dome 相關工作。管理層表示,公司計畫透過整合航天器、有效載荷、通訊網路與資料分析,以主承包商的身份爭取更多機會。
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完整財報電話會議逐字稿
管理層陳述
Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Intuitive Machines Second Quarter 2026 Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Stephen Zhang, Head of Investor Relations. Go ahead.
Stephen Zhang
Good morning. Welcome to the Intuitive Machines Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Call. Chief Executive Officer, Steve Altemus; and Chief Financial Officer, Pete McGrath, are leading the call today. Before we begin, please note that some of the information discussed during today's call will consist of forward-looking statements setting forth our current expectations with respect to the future of our business, the economy and other events. The company's actual results could differ materially from those indicated in any forward-looking statements due to many factors. These factors are described under forward-looking statements in the company's earnings press release and the company's most recent 10-K and 10-Q filed with the SEC.
We do not undertake any obligation to update forward-looking statements. We also expect to discuss certain financial measures and information that are non-GAAP measures as defined in the applicable SEC rules and regulations. Reconciliations to the company's GAAP measures are included in the earnings release filed on Form 8-K. Finally, we posted an earnings call presentation to our website, which provides additional context on our operational and financial performance. You can find this presentation on our Investor Relations page at www.intuitivemachines.com/investors.
Now I'll turn the call over to Steve Altemus.
Stephen Altemus
Good morning, and thank you for joining us. We delivered a strong quarter, highlighted by $206 million of revenue, more than 4x the prior year, exited the quarter with approximately $1.8 billion of backlog and have positioned the company for the next phase of growth. Our backlog now spans civil, commercial and national security customers, and we have more than 80 spacecraft under contract. Based on that visibility, we are reaffirming and remain confident in our $900 million to $1 billion revenue outlook and our expectation for positive adjusted EBITDA for the full year.
Two years ago, Intuitive Machines returned America to the moon for the first time since Apollo. Last year, we became the first company to land a second time at the Lunar South Pole. Those missions demonstrated our ability to deliver complex space missions that advance the state of lunar exploration. That was never our ultimate destination. It was the foundation for building the next-generation space prime, a fundamentally different company. Our strategy has evolved alongside the market. As our customers increase their presence across LEO, GEO, cis-lunar and deep space, their need is now for more than individual missions alone. We believe the next era of space will require a next-generation space prime capable of building spacecraft, connecting them through resilient networks and operating the resulting infrastructure across the space ecosystem.
Over the past 18 months, every strategic decision we have made has been focused on building that next-generation space prime. The Lanteris acquisition transformed Intuitive Machines to one of the nation's leading satellite manufacturers, adding proven production capabilities. The KinetX acquisition added mission operations, flight dynamics, deep space precision navigation and satellite constellation management, allowing us to support customers throughout the operational lives of their missions.
Our most recent acquisition of Goonhilly Earth Station and COMSAT expanded our ground segment communications infrastructure with globally recognized deep space ground systems that strengthen our ability to deliver resilient communications and navigation services from earth orbit to cis-lunar space and beyond. With these acquisitions, Intuitive Machines is an integrated aerospace company capable of building, connecting and operating a system of systems at space infrastructure. We believe that integration is becoming increasingly valuable as customers move beyond individual spacecraft toward complete operational systems.
Combined with our existing leadership in lunar transportation and infrastructure, we believe these capabilities have expanded our addressable market from roughly $20 billion only a few years ago to well over $150 billion across civil, commercial and national security space sectors. As part of our strategy, we are investing today to establish capabilities that we believe will generate value over many years. This quarter, those investments include inventory purchases, production capacity increases and manufacturing efficiency initiatives. Customers are increasingly seeking greater production volume and faster delivery. Companies can no longer rely solely on the traditional model of waiting until a procurement or contract is awarded to begin preparing. Our investments position us to respond more quickly and deliver on our customers' time lines.
NASA Moon Base is an example, an excellent example. While we begin by building and landing lunar delivery systems for NASA under the CLPS contract, we've since expanded our capability by providing communications and navigation systems for NASA and other government customers under the Near Space Network Services contract, and we continue to evolve towards production-ready landing systems and satellites in support of the rapid cadence of moon-based missions required. Across manufacturing, communications and mission operations, these investments support our objective of delivering and operating space infrastructure and expanding long-term durable operational revenue. The effect of these investments can be seen in the recent uptick in bookings this quarter.
As of this call, Intuitive Machines generated $1.7 billion in bookings this year, including $1.2 billion in new bookings in quarter 2 through today. This marks the highest quarterly bookings in company history and validates our strategy by expanding the infrastructure base we are building for the future. Quarter 2 bookings also include partial awards with authority to proceed. We anticipate these ATPs will contribute an additional $300 million in bookings through the second half of the year as the contracts are fully definitized. Our diversification strategy and capability investments have expanded our total addressable market, moving us beyond a primarily NASA and civil lunar delivery company to one able to address the broader space ecosystem.
This quarter's bookings reflect that diversification. Our $1.8 billion Q2 backlog is split approximately 37% civil space, 49% commercial space and 14% national security space. Q2 bookings through today were composed of approximately 20% civil, 50% commercial and 30% national security space, highlighting our continued diversification. As you've heard me talk about on previous earnings calls, our strategy is organized around 3 integrated pillars: build, connect and operate space infrastructure. Let me walk through each.
The first pillar, build begins with the spacecraft and physical infrastructure that make our broader strategy possible. Today, we are applying our engineering and production discipline across lunar landers, government and commercial communication satellites, national security spacecraft, orbital transfer vehicles and deep space systems. Beginning with our civil portfolio, NASA continues to advance its long-term vision for sustained lunar exploration through the Moon Base initiative. Earlier this year, we were awarded the CT4 mission. And this quarter, NASA selected Intuitive Machines for the CS-8 mission, extending our lunar delivery cadence beyond 2028 into 2030. These awards represent our fifth and sixth missions under the CLPS contract.
Looking ahead, we expect to compete for 4 additional CLPS task order opportunities this year, including the 10-year CLPS 2 multi-award follow-on contract. These opportunities represent far more than individual delivery missions. They reinforce the transition from demonstration missions toward higher cadence, repeatable and reliable lunar transportation supporting long-term operations on the moon. We also began work with NASA under our first contract supporting the reconfiguration of the Gateway power and propulsion element for NASA's flagship Mars mission, SR-1 Freedom. This program demonstrates how spacecraft developed for lunar exploration can be adapted for entirely new missions, in this case, a deep space Mars mission, extending the value of existing technologies while reducing development risk for future exploration architectures.
At the same time, we continue operating the Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter camera and ShadowCam programs. providing mission operations, data collection and lunar surface analysis. Next week, we'll fly over and image the impact area of a recently disposed upper stage on the surface of the moon. As lunar activity accelerates, we see significant opportunities to expand these capabilities through future lunar surveying, mapping and data repository services supporting NASA's Artemis program and Moon Base initiatives.
Now moving to national security space. This quarter, we successfully delivered all 16 satellites supporting the SDA Tranche 1 tracking layer while continuing production on Tranche 2 tracking layer. Earlier this year, we expanded that production line with awards for the SDA Tranche 3 tracking layer, representing another 18 satellites. And as of this earnings call, we were awarded an additional 18 satellites supporting AMDT-3, part of the nation's Golden Dome architecture. In addition, we received ATP on an award for 2 restricted 300 Series spacecraft to an undisclosed customer. With these recent awards, we have more than 70 IM-300 spacecraft under contract today. This represents an unprecedented number of IM-300 Series spacecraft simultaneously in production.
This month, we also received authority to proceed for continued development of our Nebula orbital transfer vehicle on a Phase 3 contract for a government customer. This award will take the OTV design from paper to full-scale spacecraft development, integration and testing all the way through flight. Collectively, these programs demonstrate our ability to manufacture spacecraft at production scale while supporting some of the nation's highest priority national security missions.
In commercial space, we continue to see strong demand for our flight proven IM-1300 series platform. In quarter 2, we were awarded 3 geostationary communication satellites from an undisclosed customer valued at over $600 million over the next 30 months. SiriusXM-11 also launched and deployed during the quarter, and we are on track to hand that spacecraft over to the customer later this month, continuing the long heritage of one of the industry's most reliable commercial communication satellites. Beyond traditional communication satellites, we believe the same high-power spacecraft architecture positions us well for the emerging commercial orbital data center market. We are currently discussing strategic partnerships to bring our expertise and satellite production capability to this burgeoning market.
The second pillar is Connect, linking spacecraft ground systems and users through resilient communications and navigation networks. As activity expands beyond earth orbit, communications, navigation and data transport become essential infrastructure rather than supporting capabilities. Through near space network services, our lunar data relay architecture, Goonhilly, COMSAT and our investments in resilient communication networks, we are building systems that connect spacecraft from earth orbit to cis-lunar space and ultimately to the lunar surface. These investments are designed to support many customers across many missions rather than a single contract.
At the Lunar Frontier, Altus-1, our first lunar communications relay satellite remains in production and is scheduled to launch aboard IM's Mission 3 during the first quarter of 2027. As with any launch manifest, timing will reflect spacecraft readiness, launch vehicle availability and NASA stakeholder priorities. As part of the acceleration associated with Moon Base, development continues on Altus-2 through 5. We now plan to deploy these remaining 4 satellites together in 2028 to complete our lunar communications constellation ahead of schedule.
On Earth, we continue enhancing the ground segment of our near space network, including installation of our first of several tri-band antenna feeds, starting with Catawissa, Pennsylvania and integrating the newly acquired Goonhilly, U.K., and COMSAT U.S. facilities into our network. These investments extend our ability to provide secure communications, navigation, timing and data relay services across earth, lunar, cis-lunar and deep space operations.
The third pillar is operate. We believe the path toward durable recurring revenue is to not only develop and deliver systems, it is to then operate the infrastructure throughout its life cycle. Through KinetX, with our mission operations expertise, lunar navigation capabilities, communications infrastructure and future network operations, we are positioning Intuitive Machines to generate recurring operational revenue from the systems we deploy. Near Space Network Services, our operations supporting LROC and ShadowCam and the continued expansion of our communications architecture demonstrate that evolution. As additional infrastructure comes online, we expect to expand communications navigation, hosted payload mission operations and data services that deepen customer relationships and increase recurring revenue opportunities.
Whether supporting NASA's evolving Moon Base, expanding national security space capabilities, enabling commercial communications or helping commercialize the next generation of space communications networks, each opportunity builds upon capabilities that already exist within the company. As we add missions, assets and customers, we strengthen the platform and expand the opportunity to provide long-duration services and revenue. We believe this transition from delivering hardware to operating infrastructure represents one of the largest value creation opportunities in the emerging space economy.
Intuitive Machines is positioned to lead that transition because we now bring spacecraft manufacturing, communication networks, navigation expertise, mission operations and ground infrastructure together within one company. Our objective is not simply to win the next mission, it's to build, connect and operate the systems that enable the missions that follow. This is the next-generation space infrastructure prime we are building.
And with that, I'll turn the call over to Pete for a review of our financial results.
Peter McGrath
Thank you, Steve, and thanks to everyone joining us today. Q2 demonstrates how the business is changing as we scale across civil, commercial and national security markets. Year-over-year, we generated significant revenue growth, materially improved gross profit and adjusted EBITDA and added substantial backlog while continuing to invest ahead of customer demand. Those investments, which as Steve described, increased near-term cash usage, but they also strengthen our ability to execute the backlog we have already secured.
We delivered $206 million in revenue for the quarter. That was driven primarily by execution across satellite manufacturing, CLPS missions, NSNS and OMES programs. Gross profit increased to $36 million in the quarter, up significantly from negative $12 million in the prior year. This improvement was driven by the growing contribution from our satellite business and the continued focus on cost and execution across our programs. SG&A was $60 million in the quarter, which includes approximately $11 million of share-based compensation, $8 million of acquisition-related transaction and integration costs, some additional headcount as we adjusted our growth initiatives as well as some timing on software license renewals in the quarter.
Operational loss for the quarter was $47 million, driven by a higher SG&A, amortization and $14.7 million estimated at complete adjustment on the IM-4 to accommodate payload changes. Research and development was $8 million in the quarter. These investments are focused on upgrading our lunar landers, expanding our software-defined satellite architecture, increasing addressable market opportunities in GEO and system communications and supporting future high-margin infrastructure services. Q2 profitability continues to improve as adjusted EBITDA was negative $14 million compared to negative $25 million last year, driven primarily by higher margin contributions from Lanteris, partially offset by IM-4 EAC adjustments, SG&A and investment in R&D.
Operating cash used was $60 million during the quarter. Operating cash reflected strategic investments in long-lead inventory to position for competitive awards, as Steve described earlier. Operating cash included approximately $17 million of accelerated inventory and infrastructure investment supporting awarded or anticipated programs, $8 million of acquisition and integration costs and $17 million associated with the IM-4 milestone payment to SpaceX. We believe the strategic investment in the quarter has strengthened our production readiness, supported recent awards and position us to convert our growing backlog into future revenue.
Capital expenditures of $24 million was primarily for our NSNS satellite constellation and ground segment. Note that CapEx in the quarter includes not only our first NSNS satellite, but also upgrades to our ground segment and long lead material buys for satellites 2 through 5 as we look to accelerate the full constellation following our discussions with NASA. CapEx is expected to be at these elevated levels in the coming quarters as we continue to work on all 5 satellites. Taken together, these investments, along with timing of milestone payments received resulted in an $84 million of cash deployment during the quarter.
While investments increased near-term cash usage, we believe it strengthened our ability to execute our record backlog, expand our long-term competitive position and accelerate recurring infrastructure services. Free cash flow is expected to improve throughout the second half of the year as investments stabilize and milestone receivables come in following our recent awards. We ended the quarter with $367 million in cash, which includes $235 million in net proceeds in the quarter from our at-the-market program. Total to date, we have raised $291 million gross at a VWAP of $26.81. Our current liquidity provides the capital necessary to fund current operations.
Turning to growth and backlog. We exited the quarter with a record $1.8 billion in backlog, supported by $920 million in new bookings highlighted by 3 commercial GEO satellite awards, our sixth CLPS mission, CSA and 18 AMDT-3 Golden Dome satellites for L3Harris in support of their national security space customer. This backlog provides strong multi-year visibility and reflects increasing demand across both civil and national security markets. Approximately 25% to 30% of our Q2 backlog is expected to be revenue in 2026, 35% to 40% in 2027 and the remaining thereafter.
Looking ahead, as Steve mentioned, we expect additional backlog growth from several large multiyear NASA and national security programs in the second half of the year, including the AMDT-3 Golden Dome award that was already booked in the third quarter. In addition, we have other ATPs with contracts pending, proposals submitted awaiting selection and expect to bid on 3 new CLPS awards later this year, along with other NASA Moon Base opportunities. As of August 6, our total share outstanding are 228.9 million with 173.2 million shares of Class A and 55.7 million shares of Class C.
Moving on to guidance. We are reaffirming our full year revenue outlook of $900 million to $1 billion and continue to expect positive adjusted EBITDA for the year. Our $1.8 billion backlog provides substantial visibility into the remainder of '26. The primary variable determining where we land within the range is the timing of contract definitization and revenue conversion, not customer demand. On the profitability side, we continue to expect positive adjusted EBITDA for the full year. Our decision to reaffirm guidance reflects not only our confidence in execution, but also the benefits of a significantly more diverse business portfolio.
This quarter demonstrates that Intuitive Machines is no longer dependent on a single market, customer or mission cadence for growth. We now have meaningful business across civil, commercial and national security space with $1.8 billion of backlog with a growing communication and mission operations infrastructure. Our focus for the second half is straightforward: execute the backlog, convert it into revenue while improving profitability and continue building recurring infrastructure revenue. We remain confident in our full year outlook.
With that, operator, we are now ready for questions.
Operator
[Operator Instructions] And your first question comes from Griffin Boss from B. Riley Securities.
分析師問答
Griffin Boss
So just off the bat, I wanted to touch on backlog. You just mentioned 25% to 30% expected to convert to revenue this year, and you've already added $300 million to the backlog in 3Q. So assuming maybe even just 5% or 10% of that extra $300 million is also converted this year, you're getting relatively close to the low end of the guidance. So I just kind of want to dig into what the major swing factor is to get up to the midpoint. Are there -- is it these programs that you're bidding on that you expect to come through in the second half that are going to have immediate impact? Or is it more so is the delta primarily additional ATPs on contracts already won that you expect to flow through over the remainder of the year?
Stephen Altemus
Yes. So thank you, Griffin. I would say when I look at revenue conversion, you're right. We have a very strong visibility at the bottom end of the range. The opportunities to get to the middle of the range are a couple of things. One is timing of procurements and things as they come in. We see some acceleration of that, that gives us opportunities to move higher into the range. There's also those ATPs as we definitize them and the timing of that definitization will pull revenue into this year versus if they roll later, it would defer it to next year. So that's why we're keeping, I'd say, the wider range because we see opportunities at the low end all the way through that high end.
Griffin Boss
Got it. And then just for my second -- or my follow-up, I wanted to dive into CLPS, the task orders that you're bidding on. What's the time line for bid submission of the remaining 4, I believe you said, CLPS task orders for the remainder of the year. Do you expect those to be multi-lander awards? Or are these 4 individual awards? And then also related, did you say that 1 of those 4 is expected to be an initial CLPS 2.0?
Stephen Altemus
Yes, Griffin, Yes, we expect -- well, there's 2 awards -- or I'm sorry, task orders issued with draft RFPs that are coming on top of each other here for this summer, plus those are landed missions. The other mission coming out this year, a little bit later this summer, maybe early fall is the Orbiter surveyor to map the moon in replacement of the Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter. And then there is this year, we expect the CLPS 2.0, which is estimated to be over $10 billion multi-award IDIQ. So that will be much like CLPS 1 that spans 10 years with probably an option for 5 more years, plus up about 4x from where CLPS 1 was to really get to the heavier cargo landers, and that will be multi-award. And then we think as we cross the new year into January time frame, there's the final award for CLPS 1.0, which will be a procurement called CLPS CP-32. So those are the -- what, 5 awards that we're -- or task orders that we're expecting and contracts we're expecting for the balance of the year and crossing into the new year.
Operator
And your next question comes from Jonathan Siegmann from Stifel.
Jonathan Siegmann
Congratulations on the backlog build and the order haul. Fantastic momentum there. Can you talk a little bit about what it means to have simultaneous satellite construction? Just how similar are some of these satellites? I know there's -- you can't share too many details on what you've won, but just what does that mean for margins building this many satellites all at once?
Stephen Altemus
Yes. Jonathan, the 300 series satellite is a full-on production. You hear us talking about SDA tracking layer Tranche 1, 2 and 3. Those satellites full production line, spinning off those 300 series satellites for proliferated low earth orbit constellation. We have production line for the 1300 series geosynchronous satellites, communication satellites. You heard recently, we've launched and checked out EchoStar satellite. We've launched and are checking out the SiriusXM satellites. You see them coming in lesser numbers, but full production. And then we have a series of about 80 satellites under contract. The 300 series has the bulk in production. And then we have a series of one-off satellites. Those are our spacecraft. Those are our CLPS Mission landers, which we have Mission 3, 4, 5 and 6 to build.
We have then what we call the Nebula orbital transfer vehicle, which is a one-off to start with the possibility of moving that spacecraft into production later with further orders. And then we have our satellites, which we're building 5 of those Altus satellites. So you see us production in the like 50 to 70, you see those that are a handful, 5 or so to 10 and then you see the one-offs that are like 1 to 5 satellites. And that is what the production kind of layout is across the company.
Peter McGrath
Just to add one more thing to that. Steve mentioned the 300 class satellite. That's the one where we're producing 70 currently. The bulk of the non-recurring was retired with the first 16 satellites that were delivered to SDA for Tranche 1, and there's very high commonality across the BUS going forward. So that is truly more of a production run of a common satellite. So that's how we can put 70 through the factory at a given time.
Jonathan Siegmann
And when we think about the capacity for additional orders, can you layer on more in the near term? Or do they get added to the back of the queue?
Stephen Altemus
We have capacity and have been putting on additional capacity, not only here in Houston, where we're adding another 75,000 square feet of production space and manufacturing space to actually build the additional landers and satellites for the loop data relay constellation. And also, we have not yet tapped out the full 300 series production line. We have additional room to expand that throughput in that production as further orders come in. So with over 1 million square feet of manufacturing production space and office space in the company, we have ample room to grow still.
Operator
And your next question comes from Andres Sheppard from Cantor Fitzgerald.
Andres Sheppard-Slinger
Congratulations on the quarter. Very exciting to see the growing backlog. Steve, I wanted to maybe touch on IM since I don't think we've touched that on the Q&A. So just curious, what are the milestones left between now and the launch window? And how confident are we in that Q1 '27 launch window?
Stephen Altemus
We are scheduled in the launch window January through March for Mission 3 of next year on a SpaceX Falcon 9. We still have -- we are in assembly integration and test. We are doing functional testing right now on the powered up spacecraft. We have engine hot fire once it's integrated into the vehicle to do, which is where we fire the LOX/methane engine on the lander to verify that all systems are functioning through an engine ignition. That's yet to come here in the coming month. We're finalizing with Mission 2 and the laser sensor challenges that we had there. We're finalizing the integrated suite of laser sensors, cameras, IMUs that get integrated on the vehicle for precision landing and hazard avoidance. Those are the technical tests that need to be done and proved correct and accurate before we go for launch. We've had our initial flight readiness review back in July, and we'll have a Delta flight readiness review to check out all status of all the systems in October, which will give us our green light ready to fly in the first quarter of 2027. So that's what's ahead of us, and we're really looking forward to that flight and a soft touchdown.
Andres Sheppard-Slinger
Excellent. That's well said. And maybe just as a quick follow-up, I wanted to touch on LTVs. How are you thinking about the opportunities here? I think it's roughly about 10% or so of the total LTV contracts that have been awarded. So just how are you thinking about these? How are you positioned and perhaps any catalysts here that we can look forward to?
Stephen Altemus
Yes. The LTV contract was a massive award to 3 vendors that could bid on that $4.5 billion worth of value over a period of about 10 years, I think, with a 5-year option. The very small initial awards were issued back in May, if you recall. And talking to Moon Base initiative folks at NASA, there's a lot more activity left to go on LTV as they build greater and greater capability, and we'll wait to see when those task orders come out, and we'll bid on those and move that forward. I think the long pole or the -- what's driving the actually slow pace of the LTV is the fact that there are no heavy cargo landers available to fly the larger LTV, which was what our primary bid was. So we're working heads down to build a heavier cargo variant of our Nova class lander that can accommodate LTV flights in the future. And that's part of the road map that NASA Moon Base is looking for in Phase 2, and that's where we're positioning ourselves.
Operator
And your next question comes from Suji Desilva from ROTH Capital.
Sujeeva De Silva
Congratulations on the strong backlog growth here. Just curious, I don't know if you talked, Pete, about the pipeline, but I mean, I'd imagine with all the backlog conversion, unclear what we have with the pipeline, but I'm sure there's a lot of opportunity ahead of you. Any quantification or understanding of the pipeline expansion here as well?
Stephen Altemus
Yes, Suji, I did talk briefly about the CLPS opportunities with Griffin in the first question. We have 4 opportunities this year to bid on additional CLPS missions. Recently, there was a call in addition in our communications and networking area, there was a call for commercialization of a portion of the tracking data relay satellite service network, TDRS. We bid on the TDRS replacement. That's in K-band, Ka-band. And so we'll wait and see whether or not we'll receive that award that comes in 3 phases. And then there's some other strategic partnerships we're looking at in terms of orbital data centers that we bid, and we'll wait to hear whether or not our experience in high-power satellites wins the day, and we win that -- those development efforts for on-orbit data centers. So those are some of the major activities. I think there's one other in national security space that we're really keenly looking for. That's Andromeda. It's called the RG-XX. It's a GEO highly maneuvered geosynchronous orbit satellite for national security space. And so really exciting opportunities in front of us, all major programs, and that's yet to be seen in our backlog.
Sujeeva De Silva
Sounds good to see you guys are very busy certainly. And then my other question is around the pipeline for the Altus satellites 2 to 5 in '28 roughly. Do those satellites imply 4 separate missions, 1 per? Or is there ability to take multiple in a mission? Any color there would be helpful.
Stephen Altemus
Yes. So initially, Suji, what we had planned was the launch of Altus-1. And then our missions to fly additional satellites were opportunistic to align with the CLPS awards that we had received, and we would rideshare 2 additional satellites on every lander mission. What that did in effect was while it got the next 2 after Altus-1 up in orbit sooner, our fully operational capability was delayed out to 2029 or 2030. When we spoke to NASA, they were interested in putting on the fully operational capability. So we pulled the satellites off of our CLPS missions, negotiating with NASA for a dedicated launch to fly all 4 simultaneously on an independent mission to take all 4 of the translunar injection and then fly all 4 out and deposit them in lunar orbit, all at once to get a fully operational capability in 2028. That's the acceleration that we're talking about. So we're very excited about that and getting that network up and running in time for the Artemis missions.
Operator
And your next question comes from Edison Yu from Deutsche Bank.
Edison Yu
One to start off housekeeping. The $600 million in GEO sats for the 3 GEO sats, is that for the C-band, related to the C-band reallocation? Or is that separate?
Stephen Altemus
Yes, I have that yet undisclosed, Edison. And in the future, we'll come out and give you a little more color on that one.
Edison Yu
Okay. And then secondly, on the cash flow, I know you talked about some of the drivers for that. How are you thinking about it in the second half? Should we expect some of these headwinds to continue? Is the working capital get better? Just -- I don't know if you can provide some rough numbers around how we should be modeling the burn.
Peter McGrath
Yes. I'll give you a little color around that. So when I look at the current OpEx and cash burn, there are a couple of anomalies that are occurring. We have -- as part of our transaction agreement with Lanteris, we have a slight uptick in RSUs or share-based comp that will exist through this year, through the end of this year as part of our retention agreement on certain employees as part of the transaction. Those will tick down next year, but we are seeing that increase this year, which is causing some of that OpEx growth. The -- so we do see, I'd say, something more of a steady state through the end of the year if you take all the adjustments out. The other benefit we're seeing too is our new CLPS contracts now have milestones lined up with the SpaceX payments. The one we saw in the second quarter, which was specific to IM-4 did not. And so we'll see cash more match those significant events now on the SpaceX payments for CS-8 and CT-4. So I think those will balance out the cash as well. So you take the anomalies out, I think you're pretty much at a steady state. And then that's probably a good way to look at it.
Operator
And your next question comes from Greg Pendy from Clear Street.
Gregory Pendy
Just on the NSN contract, can you give us kind of what the most likely cadence right now is to get to 5 satellites? And also, what does the demand right now look like in the environment in terms of the pay-by-the-minute service?
Stephen Altemus
Yes. So as you heard in this introduction, we're going to fly the Altus-1 first communication data relay satellite on Mission 3 in the first quarter of '27. We'll then follow it up with 4 additional satellites. Our complete constellation includes 5 satellites around the moon that do communications in K, X and S-band. Those will all be deployed and operational in 2028 is the plan. We'll have a pay-by-the-minute structure with a minimum set of minutes for data relay, but then there's an additional position navigation and timing service revenue as we add the PNT, the navigation and timing, which will be a kind of a broadcast always-on service that will be supported by the government to keep that signal processing for any missions that go around the moon. So that's kind of the 2-phase structure for the business in terms of payments and revenue and the timing being the 2028 activation of the full operational capability.
Gregory Pendy
Okay. So I mean I guess what I'm saying is that's ahead of the prior thought process, which I think was just 1 and then a mission with 2 in 2028. So is that a reflection that there's significant demand in the market, I guess, for the services?
Stephen Altemus
Yes. What's really important as part of the NASA Ignition event was to align all of the systems that have to support Artemis 4, which is humans on the moon in 2028. Our fully operational capability was opportunistic, flying 2 birds on the next 2 subsequent missions after Mission 3, the CLPS missions, which extended us out into July of 2029. So we needed to pull those back in, and it really wasn't a constraint for how we build the satellites. That wasn't a challenge. It was when we could get launch capacity to put those in orbit. And so by renegotiating with NASA, the launch strategy for those satellites, we're able to pull full operational capability back to the left into 2028 to support the Artemis program.
Peter McGrath
Yes. And just to note, we're seeing some benefits in that, too, because now we're buying 4 shipsets, and we've got good commonality in purchasing as well as assembly and integration. So it actually is becoming more beneficial from a business perspective to accelerate as well.
Operator
And your next question comes from Michael Leshock from KeyBanc Capital Markets.
Michael Leshock
Just wanted to ask on Lunar landers and given NASA's accelerated demand for landers, how quickly can you produce Nova-C with your current footprint? And do you see any need to expand capacity further on the lander side to support NASA's initiatives? And then also, how does that compare for the Nova-D production expectations?
Stephen Altemus
Yes. We recently bid a mission called CS-8, which was exactly what you're pulling on is how do you get to production lander. That's the whole idea here is no longer building bespoke landers for each individual mission, but how do you get the production rate up. And we did a 26-month development and build time for CS-8, and that will fly in 2028. That's for the Nova-C. We do have a Nova-D class, roughly 500 kilograms of payload to the surface under contract in CT-4. And we're looking at building 2 in a row or 2 in parallel is a better way to put it, in our facilities here, anticipating an award in -- for a second Nova-D in the same time frame, which is the 2029 time frame. So we have about a year ago or so, began a facility expansion in anticipation of growth of the Nova-D. And so those facilities are coming online now. We finished half of the expansion here, and we're completing the machine shop and manufacturing area right now. That will accommodate this increase in cadence and throughput through the factory to support the heavier cargo missions.
Michael Leshock
Okay. Great. And then just following up on NSNS as you look ahead to fully operational revenue in 2028, given the demand you talked about and time lines, what do you see as kind of the ballpark opportunity size for that program on an annual basis as it matures?
Stephen Altemus
Well, we initially bid about 0.5 million minutes a year for that operational capability. We'll have to wait and see what the ultimate demand is. I think that demand for that network will span across civil space, commercial and national security space with all the activity that's projected to be in and around the moon. So what I quote in terms of 0.5 million minutes was an initial bid into a government requirement on the civil side. And so I can't quantify the top end of that, but I can quantify roughly the bottom end at about 0.5 million minutes of time. And that doesn't include, like I mentioned, the PNT broadcast signal, which is an additional over and above the pay by-the-minute model that we're anticipating.
Operator
Your next question comes from Alex Preston from Bank of America.
Alexander Christian Preston
Just curious going back to the sort of national security Golden Dome side of things, right, the additional AMDT-3 awards supporting L3. It's clear that you guys are gaining traction on the BUS side of things. I'm curious as these programs begin to continue to scale, is there appetite to get involved more on the payloads and really come to market as an end-to-end supplier? Or I guess maybe more broadly, what is the road map for that national security business look like given the recent wins?
Stephen Altemus
Yes, very good. I think you'll see us emerge as a prime contractor here. We do work with L3 as a sub to provide the BUS, which we're going to continue to do. But as we move into other opportunities, you'll see us bidding as a prime on a lunar surveyor, supplying all the imagers for and the BUS for mapping the moon and then integrating those data products, downlinking them through our networks, bringing them back to our data repository and doing the analytics on those data products and providing derived products and digital terrain maps of the moon. So as I think about this, the prime aspect of it is not just providing a BUS with the sensors, but integrating that bus and the sensor into our platform of communications and analytics to provide the data products and information that the government is going to want. And that's where you'll see us emerge as I talk about this selling the Infrastructure-as-a-Service.
And then other places where we're working now to incubate the Nebula orbital transfer vehicle, we'll take that and provide more of an integrated solution in the future, I anticipate in terms of providing additional transfer vehicles with payloads. And also, as you think about the satellite constellation around the moon, we provide the satellites. We already provide the communications package in X, S and K-band. And there's additional payload space on those birds, which will integrate additional payloads to create a more fulsome offering in the data constellation. So we are moving towards being that prime and integrating the sensors with our BUSes as we move forward. But right now, in the Golden Dome area, we're a subcontractor supporting L3 on the BUSes.
Peter McGrath
Yes. Just a comment, as you see us rolling out those ATPs that we're talking about and as they transition to contracts, there are some in that mix that we are a prime contractor on that you will see as we roll those out.
Operator
And your next question comes from Austin Moeller from Canaccord.
Austin Moeller
I was just wondering if you see an opportunity given the recent additions to the ground stations and the ground network to support Department of Wars, Space Force programs in providing data uplink or downlink in TT&C as the growing Space Force fleet continues to expand.
Stephen Altemus
Austin, yes, in fact, that's the case, and we've been having some discussions about that, not only here in the U.S. but in the U.K. And we can bring down the full raw data stream and then patch that data stream to wherever that needs to go to give it to any customers that are interested in looking at that data stream. So the network is available for users in the cis-lunar space arena and for space domain awareness, and we're talking about that presently and actively with those customers.
Austin Moeller
Great. And can you comment on where we're at on Nova-D planning, construction, R&D process? Like what the capital might be required to support this and how much might be customer-funded R&D and CapEx?
Stephen Altemus
Yes. For Nova-D, and that's our class of lander that's say, 500 kilograms to the surface of the moon, of payload. That is currently essentially fully funded to take that development to flight and land on the moon. The one -- the 2 areas that may take investment in CapEx and technology IRAD would be when you're talking about moving to a 3-engine configuration with a fully gimbled package of 3 main engines, that gets you to at least 1 metric ton delivery to the surface. And then the NASA is calling for landers that can go from -- carry 2 to 5 metric tons to the surface. That would require an upgrade to the engine itself and maybe even an e-pump or electric pump that goes with that engine package. And so those are areas we're looking at now to provide a road map of where we're going to make technology investments in the future heavy cargo class. However, the 500-kilogram Nova-D is funded under contracts today. And we'll -- there's opportunities, like I mentioned, to rebid that class of land or for yet a subsequent mission. So that hopefully, we could build 2 in parallel. So that's kind of what we're doing in coming up with that road map of where those technologies need to be matured to get to the heavier and heavier cargo, which will be an essential point or piece of CLPS 2.0.
Operator
And your next question comes from Jeff Van Rhee from Craig-Hallum Capital Group.
Vijay Homan
This is Vijay on for Jeff. First, on just IM-4, is there anything you can provide us in terms of time line? I think originally, that was planned for 2027, if I remember correctly. But obviously, with how IM-3 has moved around. Just wondering if you have any update there.
Stephen Altemus
Yes. IM-4 is still on the books for late 2027 and still on track. You heard us talk about EAC as we shift resources over from IM-3, which is nearing completion to IM-4, slight upper there, but everything seems to be on track so far for IM-4.
Vijay Homan
Great. Glad to hear that. And then as far as free cash flow, I think you guys mentioned that you expect it to improve kind of throughout the second half. Do you guys have a target time frame for when you want to hit free cash flow breakeven? Or is it just kind of sequential improvements each quarter?
Peter McGrath
We haven't guided yet on free cash flow. So we're not providing a formal date, although I will say that quarter-over-quarter, we've been improving gross profit. And with the exception of the EAC this quarter, I think we're seeing good EBITDA growth as well. And so I think our near-term focus is EBITDA positive, and then I think the next step is definitely moving into free cash flow positive.
Operator
And there are no further questions at this time. And I would now like to turn the call back over to Steve Altemus for the closing remarks. Please go ahead.
Stephen Altemus
Well, thank you, everybody, for attending today and for your questions. You can see Intuitive Machines continues to diversify. We saw record orders across all of our customer channels, and we look forward to executing while also expanding backlog even further throughout the rest of the year. So thank you very much.
Operator
Ladies and gentlemen, thank you all for joining, and that concludes today's conference call. All participants may now disconnect.









