Alpha Cognition (ACOG) 2026年第二季財報電話會議:ZUNVEYL 銷售額成長 71%
Alpha Cognition 2026年第二季表現強勁,ZUNVEYL 產品淨營收達 600 萬美元,季增 71%,總需求量達 8,294 瓶,毛利率約 94%,淨虧損收窄至 880 萬美元。處方醫師與安養院採用率持續擴大,重複開藥率達 76%。公司下調全年營業費用指引至 5,000 萬至 5,400 萬美元,維持 2027 年實現營運獲利目標。短期主要挑戰為保險給付覆蓋進展較預期緩慢。
重點摘要
- ZUNVEYL 產品淨營收達約 600 萬美元,較 2026 年第一季的約 350 萬美元成長 71%。總營收為 610 萬美元,去年同期則為 170 萬美元。
- 總需求量約 8,294 瓶,季增 37%。管理層表示,並無顯著的通路囤貨現象,顯示此一成長反映了真實的基礎需求。
- GAAP 產品毛利率約為 94%。淨虧損自去年同期的 1,320 萬美元(或每股 0.82 美元)收窄至 880 萬美元(或每股 0.40 美元)。
- 開藥醫師與醫療機構的採用率持續擴大。本季開立 ZUNVEYL 處方的醫師達 1,347 名,累計開藥醫師人數為 1,908 名;開立處方的安養院數量則季增 20% 至 1,095 家。
- 保險給付覆蓋(Payer access)仍是近期的主要限制因素。廣泛處方集(formulary)的納入進展比管理層預期的要慢,但公司表示,即使沒有取得新的處方集資格,需求仍持續成長。
- Alpha Cognition 將 2026 全年營業費用指引從 5,400 萬至 5,800 萬美元下調至 5,000 萬至 5,400 萬美元,並維持在 2027 年實現營運獲利的目標。
核心財務業績
| 指標 | 2026 年第二季 | 比較 | 說明 / 備註 |
|---|---|---|---|
| ZUNVEYL 產品淨營收 | 約 600 萬美元 | 較 2026 年第一季的約 350 萬美元成長 71% | 由處方需求驅動 |
| 總營收 | 610 萬美元 | 2025 年第二季為 170 萬美元 | 主要來自 ZUNVEYL 銷售 |
| GAAP 產品毛利率 | 約 94% | — | 基於 600 萬美元的產品銷售額及約 40 萬美元的產品成本 |
| 營業費用 | 1,350 萬美元 | — | 包含 1,150 萬美元的銷售、一般及管理費用 (SG&A) 以及 200 萬美元的研發費用 (R&D) |
| 淨虧損 | 880 萬美元 | 2025 年第二季為 1,320 萬美元 | 每股虧損由 0.82 美元改善至 0.40 美元 |
| 現金及現金等價物 | 4,140 萬美元 | 截至 2026 年 6 月 30 日 | 流動資產總額為 5,790 萬美元 |
| 營運資金 | 約 5,150 萬美元 | 截至 2026 年 6 月 30 日 | 流動負債為 640 萬美元 |
Alpha Cognition 還提前結清了對 Galantos 的權利金義務。管理層表示,該交易消除了未來的權利金成本,簡化了資本結構,並提高了公司在 ZUNVEYL 長期經濟效益中的參與度。
業務與營運表現
ZUNVEYL 的月度處方量在整個第二季逐月成長,其中 6 月是截至第二季需求最強勁的月份。管理層補充指出,這一成長動能延續至第三季,同時強調公司不提供營收指引。
第二季銷售量約為 8,294 瓶,季增 37%。藥局與批發商主要是按需採購,管理層表示並無顯著的囤貨效應好處。
商業團隊透過約 60 人的第一線外勤組織聯絡了 3,905 名開藥醫師。單季開藥醫師人數達 1,347 名,累計開藥醫師人數增加至 1,908 名,使公司接近 2026 年累計約 2,000 名開藥醫師的目標。約 76% 的醫療提供者開出了重複處方,每位開藥醫師的開藥效率提升至約 6 張處方。
開立 ZUNVEYL 處方的安養院數量季增 20% 至 1,095 家,其中包含 346 家新加入的機構。約 81% 有開立處方的機構進行了重複訂購。管理層將約 5,000 家高優先順序的安養院及約 3,000 名頂尖醫師鎖定為長期照護的核心市場機會,顯示未來仍有廣闊的滲透與深化空間。
管理層將重複開藥歸因於醫療提供者觀察到的良好耐受性、認知效果及行為效益。管理層還估計,新患者或先前未接受治療的患者,與從其他療法轉過來的患者,各約佔業務的一半。
臨床與證據專案
BEACON 研究取得了積極的頂線數據。在開始使用 ZUNVEYL 後,醫療提供者報告患者在認知、神經精神症狀及日常生活活動方面均有所改善,同時多重用藥現象減少。公司已提交這些研究結果,擬於未來的醫學會議上展示。
回顧性 CONVERGE 研究的頂線數據預計將於 2026 年第三季公布。管理層表示,該研究將評估各類阿茲海默症療法在持續性、遵醫囑性、多重用藥、耐受性、患者特徵及日常生活活動方面的表現。相關出版物預計將於 2027 年公開發表。
RESOLVE 研究的受試者招募進展符合管理層預期。目標於 2027 年第二季完成,數據預計於 2027 年夏季或秋季公布,具體時間取決於完成日期。
Alpha Cognition 還在針對舌下錠劑型進行比較藥物動力學研究,結果預計於 2026 年第三季出爐。管理層估計,有吞嚥困難的患者可能佔阿茲海默症人口的約 10%–20%。藥物動力學結果將決定後續臨床計畫的時間表。
管理層財務指引
Alpha Cognition 將 2026 全年營業費用指引從 5,400 萬至 5,800 萬美元下調至 5,000 萬至 5,400 萬美元。調整後的區間反映了已實現的營運效率提升,同時繼續為商業化和臨床證據生成計畫提供資金支援。
管理層維持了在 2027 年實現營運獲利的目標。公司認為其目前的資本狀況、預期的 ZUNVEYL 銷售額,以及潛在的里程碑金和權利金收入足以支持該計畫。
公司預計 2027 年的支出將保持在大致相似的區間,不過預算尚未最終確定。部分臨床研究預計將於 2027 年第二季前結束,但額外的商業投資可能會抵消這些節省的開支。2027 年的費用指引預計將於 2026 年第四季末或 2027 年初公布。
風險與關注焦點
保險給付覆蓋仍是短期內最大的阻礙點。廣泛處方集的啟用尚未達到先前預期的規模,公司已簽約的開放式業務量維持在 16% 左右。管理層指出了與《通膨削減法案》(IRA)相關的醫療保險 D 部分(Medicare Part D)方案成本增加,是影響保險業者決策的因素之一。
管理層將給付覆蓋擴展較慢歸因於時間問題,而非需求限制。然而,納入處方集的時間點仍具不確定性。報銷率保持在約 74%,管理層預計若無重大處方集新增,年底前將維持類似的財務效益。
公司目前對平均治療持續時間或 6 個月及 12 個月的患者留存率尚無精確估計。管理層表示,長期照護數據可能使醫囑遵從性難以衡量,並正持續完善其分析。
分析師問答亮點
- 重複開藥處方:管理層表示,醫療提供者通常需要兩到三個月的患者使用經驗,才會增加 ZUNVEYL 的開藥量。76% 的重複開藥率歸因於觀察到的耐受性、療效與行為改善效果。
- 拓展至長照以外領域:公司仍專注於極大化長照市場。未來若要拓展至零售神經科市場,將取決於是否實現營運獲利以及取得更廣泛的處方集覆蓋,因為高額自付額(copay)可能會增加患者放棄處方的情況。
- 保險給付時程:管理層對 2026 年下半年取得處方集進展仍抱有希望,但未提供明確的時間表。管理層將未來取得保險給付視為潛在的上行空間,因為當前的成長是在未擴大給付覆蓋的情況下實現的。
- 患者停藥原因:管理層表示,觀察到的主要停藥原因包括患者死亡、暫時住院、機構轉移及報銷問題,而非耐受性問題或療效不足。
- 區域市場趨勢:美國所有地區均實現成長,沒有單一地區表現大幅優於其他地區。管理層將全面改善歸因於更精準的目標定位,以及已完全組建完畢的 60 人第一線團隊。
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完整財報電話會議逐字稿
管理層陳述
Operator
Thank you. are in a listen-only mode. A brief question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. Should anyone require operator assistance during a conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. As a This conference is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce your host, Henry Du, interim CFO, VP Accounting and Finance. Thank you. You may begin.
Henry Du
Thank you, Saatchi. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us today for Alpha Cognition's second quarter 2026 financial results conference call. Today, after the close of the market, the company issued a press release announcing these results. On the call with me are Alpha Cognition Chief Executive Officer Michael McStadden and Chief Operating Officer Lauren D'Angelo. Today's call is being made available via the investor section of the company's website at www.alphacognition.com. During the course of this call, management may make certain forward-looking statements regarding future events and the company's future performance. These forward-looking statements reflect Alpha Cognition's current perspective on existing trends and information. Any such forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and involve risks and uncertainties, including those noted in the risk factors section of the company's latest SEC filings.
Actual results may differ materially from those projected in these forward-looking statements. For the benefit of those of you who may be listening to the replay, this call is being held and recorded on August 13, 2026. Since then, the company may have made additional announcements related to the topics discussed. Please reference the company's most recent press releases and current filings with the SEC. Off-ball cognition declines any obligation to update these forward-looking statements, except as required by APA's.
Unknown Speaker
I'll now turn the call over to Michael. Michael? Thank you, Henry. Good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to today's call. The second quarter of 2026 represents another important quarter of commercialization for Zunville, the first new oral Alzheimer's treatment approved in more than 15 years. It was a strong quarter of execution with clear sequential growth in Zunville, Zumbel demand, expansion and prescriber adoption, increase nursing home penetration, and continue progress with evidence generation to clinically support Zumbel. We continue to execute with discipline and confidence, and I believe this quarter demonstrates that Zimbel's commercial trajectory is tracking well with our expectations as we continue to scale the brand and the long-term care segment. Q2, we generated approximately $6 million in net product revenues, representing approximately 71% quarter-over-quarter growth versus Q1, 2026. While we're pleased with Zunbell's trajectory, we're still in the early phases of the product's commercial phase and remain optimistic that we'll continue to see signs of success. sustained product performance and adoption in the long-term care setting.
Looking at the quarter, monthly prescription volumes strengthened consistently with high single-digit sequential growth each month. All KPIs were positive, including prescriber number increases, nursing home prescriptions, and repeat prescriptions. Overall, we believe we're on track with our 2026 strategic priorities as we continue to drive prescription growth and build a durable path toward operating profitability in 2027. Turning to our clinical and medical programs, we continue to advance our evidence generation priorities in Q2, which we believe will strengthen Zumbel's positioning with both payers and healthcare providers over the long term. During the second quarter, the company reported positive top-line results from the Beacon study. We initiated conversion. a retrospective data review in long-term care, and we initiated resolve with site selected, sites activated, and initial patient enrollment underway. Of note, the BEACON study demonstrated that following initiation of Zumbel, providers observed improvements in cognition, improvements in neuropsychiatric symptoms, and improvements in activities of daily living, along with reductions in polypharmacy.
These are all meaningful outcomes for long-term care practitioners treating patients with Based on these positive findings, our medical team has submitted the data for presentation at several upcoming medical meetings. We look forward to announcing additional details as presentations are accepted and confirmed. We expect converged top line data in Q3. We believe this will provide the company two nursing home data sets that can be utilized stakeholders of the changes in cognition, neuropsychiatric behaviors, and ADLs they might expect to see when utilizing Zumbel in the nursing home setting. Henry will provide financials in detail in a moment, and Lauren will provide a more comprehensive commercial update thereafter. But first, let me make a few high-level remarks on our financial position. Our operating spend of $13.5 million this quarter continues to reflect a deliberate investment in our commercial capabilities and in studies that support our positioning. with healthcare providers and payers.
As I said last quarter, I want to be direct about the way we're thinking about this investment. Our net product loss this quarter reflects the company's intentional scaling. We're deploying capital against our highest return opportunities in the business, including expanding prescriber reach, building real-world advocacy, evidence to support Zimvel, and unlocking additional payer access. These are investments that will drive the company to achieve operating profitability in 2027 and beyond, and we continue to remain on track with these targets. I'll now turn it over to Henry.
Henry Du
Thank you, Michael. Good afternoon again, everyone. As I review our second quarter of 2026 financial results, please also refer to the press release and 10Q to be filed this afternoon. For the second quarter of 2026, Zunvale generated approximately $6 million in net product revenue, compared with approximately $3.5 million in the first quarter, representing approximately a 71% sequential growth quarter over quarter. Total revenue for the quarter was $6.1 million, compared to $1.7 million in the prior quarter year period, driven primarily by Zunvale product sales. From a margin perspective, Gap's gross product margin was approximately 94% for the second quarter, based on net product sales of $6 million and cost of product sales of approximately $0.4 million. Regarding spending, total operating expenses for the second quarter were $13.5 million, including $11.5 million of SG&A and $2 million of R&D expense. SG&A reflects continued investment behind the commercial infrastructure, payer engagement, marketing resources, and public company operations.
While R&D reflects continued investment in evidence generation and development programs required to build Zenville for the long term. Net loss in the second quarter was $8.8 million, or 40 cents per share. with a net loss of 13.2 million or 82 cents per share in the prior year period. As of June 30th, 2026, the company had $41.4 million in cash and cash equivalents and $57.9 million in total current assets. Total current liabilities were $6.4 million, resulting in working capital of approximately $51.5 million. During the quarter, we also completed the early settlement of our Galantos formal royalty obligation. This transaction simplifies our capital structure, eliminates future royalty burden on the product economics, increases our long-term participation in the value created by Zenvale. We believe this was a prudent use of capital and a strategic step that improves the future cash flows and strengthens the economics of the franchise as the brand continues to grow.
We continue to believe our current capital position, together with expected future sales of Zendale and potential milestones and royalties, can support our plan towards operating profitability in 2027. Lastly, based on the strong commercial performance of Zendel and our continued focus on operating discipline, we are lowering our four-year 2026 operating steps guidance from our previous range of $54 million to $58 million to a new range of $15 million to $54 million. While we remain committed to supporting the growth of Zendale and advancing key evidence generation initiatives, we have identified opportunities to operate more efficiently across the organization. This revised outlook reflects our confidence in our ability to balance growth investments with career expense management. With that, I will now turn the call over to Lauren to discuss commercial progress. Lauren?.
Lauren D’Angelo
Thank you, Henry. I'm pleased to provide a detailed update on our Q2 2026 commercial performance. Depending on the momentum we described last quarter, Q2 was a period of meaningful execution across prescriber adoption, nursing home penetration, and payer engagement. And the data tell a compelling story of durable and accelerating commercial traction. Let me start with the headline. Q2 demand generated approximately 6 million net product sales, representing 71% sequential growth over Q1. That result was driven by approximately 8,294 bottles, up roughly 37% quarter over quarter. Turning to adoption, in Q2, the commercial team reached 8,194 total commercial customers and called on 3,905 prescribers, reflecting the reach of our now right-sized, approximately 60-person productive field organization and the continued refinement of our targeting approach.
HCP writers, prescribers who wrote at least one Zunvale prescription, grew 20% 27% quarter over quarter to 1,347 and cumulative life to date writers reaching 1,908. This keeps us firmly on track to meet or surpass our 2026 goal of approximately 2,000 cumulative writers. As I've said in the past, depth matters is not the only thing that matters. much as breadth. Of our 1,024 Q2 writers, approximately 76% placed repeat prescriptions, and productivity per writer continued to climb, rising to approximately six prescriptions per writer. Evidence that adoption is deepening, not just widening. That sustained repeat behavior is one of the strongest signals that Zunville is moving from initial trial into routine clinical practice. We see the same pattern at the facility level.
Homes with Zunville prescriptions grew 20% quarter over quarter to 1,095, including 346 new homes added during the quarter. Of homes with with prescriptions, roughly 81% placed repeat orders, consistent with the durable facility level adoption we described in Q1. monthly trajectory shows how momentum built through the quarter, each month delivering sequential growth, with June our strongest demand month to date. That exit velocity establishes clear momentum as we move into Q3. Payer access remains our most significant near-term opportunity, and candidly, our most significant near-term friction point. Implementation across the downstream plan clients in Q2 was roughly consistent with Q1. We want to be very direct about that. The broad formulary activation we anticipated has not yet materialized at scale, and access expansion... is tracking slower than the axis curve we outlined last quarter.
Critically, we view this as a timing dynamic, not a demand constraint. The clearest evidence is that our Q2 demand grew approximately 37 percent in bottles and 71 percent in net sales, even without any expansion in payer access. Underlying prescription growth and an 81% facility repeat rate are being driven by genuine clinical pull, not by a formulary tailwind. That means payer conversion remains almost entirely ahead of us as upside. Reinforcing that access to the work is our real-world evidence program, BEACON, CONVERGE, and RESOLVE. We expect these studies to deliver meaningful promotional value, supporting peer-to-peer education, strengthening payer discussions, and building physician confidence around tolerability, polypharmacy management, and caregiver burden. That evidence is already fueling our education efforts.
Since March, we have conducted more than 240 peer-to-peer programs, reaching 1,058 attendees and 325 prescribers. We also maintained a strong scientific presence at key congresses, including the NADONA and MPA, Reinforcing Zunvale's Credibility Among High-Value Prescribers. In summary, Q2 2026 reflected strong commercial execution with growing demand, improving conversion, high repeat utilization, broader prescriber adoption, and deeper facility penetration. While payer access has not yet expanded, the strength of demand underscores the clinical pull behind Zunvale and the opportunity ahead. As access improves, we believe we are well positioned for continued acceleration. I'll now hand it back to Michael for closing remarks.
Unknown Speaker
Thank you, Lauren. Let me briefly summarize what I believe are the key takeaways from the quarter. First, Sunbelt's growing. We delivered approximately 71% sequential growth from Q1 to Q2, and monthly prescriptions increased from April through June. The commercial trajectory is accelerating. Secondly, adoptions deepening. We had over 1,300 HCP riders, over 1,000 repeat riders, 1,000 nursing homes with prescriptions, and almost 900 homes with repeat prescriptions. Repeat utilization remains one of the most important indicators of good product adoption. And third, we're executing on our commercial and company strategy with discipline. Our commercial organization is in place.
Our focus is on deploying capital against high return opportunities in the business. And our evidence generation continues to advance. The company's enrolling was all converges underway and beacon was completed ahead of schedule. And the company will have publications from that study to present to the medical community this fall. So we're excited about the balance of the 2026 year. The foundation we built for Zumbel is strengthening. Our commercial indicators are moving in the right direction.
We remain focused on discipline execution. With that operator, we'll now take questions.
Operator
Thank you. We will now be conducting a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. A confirmation tone will indicate your line is in the question queue. You may press star 2 if you would like to remove your question from the queue. participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. One moment please while we pull for questions. The first question is from Ram Selvaraju from H.C. Wainwright. Please go ahead.
分析師問答
Raghuram Selvaraju
Thanks so much for taking our questions and congratulations on a very solid quarter. I was wondering if you could comment on the following three aspects at this point in the launch. Firstly, when you look at the repeat prescribers and the percentage of repeat prescribers that you have seen write prescriptions in multiple months, Can you give us an additional granularity on that specific element of prescribing behavior, particularly what it may be that converts the repeat prescriber into not only writing more than one script, but sticking with the product over a lengthy period of time? And if at this point we have enough data to indicate. what the characteristics of that group of prescribers are. Secondly, I was wondering if you could give us a sense of, at this point in time, given where you are with the launch, when you believe you might expand sales and marketing outreach beyond long-term care into the specialist neurologist population, and then lastly, Lastly, with respect to formulary access, I was wondering if you could elaborate a little bit further on when you anticipate that emerging as a tailwind above and beyond the pull-through demand that you're seeing. Thank you.
Lauren D’Angelo
Thanks, Ram. Very solid. Good three questions there. I'll start with your first one around our repeat prescriber rate, what we're seeing in terms of what's causing that repeat group to continue writing Zunville. I think it really comes down to there experience with the drug. We've talked previously on many quarters that, you know, you start out with Brett, you call on a significant amount of physicians. Once you convince them to try the drug, it takes two to three months for them to really get that experience to monitor the one or two patients. And then, of course, you know, they'll start repeating once they've experienced positive effects from Zunvale. What we're seeing is these are significant repeat rates. 76% of providers are writing again.
That's some of the highest I've seen in my experience. And we believe, based on all of the feedback we've gotten from our customers, is that it's really through First, they want to make sure this drug is tolerable because obviously their experience with the generics in the decades past has not been great as it relates to tolerability. Once they see that Zunville is a very tolerable drug, they're then looking obviously at the efficacy and they see significant difference. cognition, that core foundation of why they use these drugs in the first place. And then as we've talked about in the past, they're seeing significant benefit across the behavior. So those are really the three things. Those are the three factors that are causing these physicians to write again and that feedback is consistent. consistent across the board. As it relates to when we'll step outside of long-term care and potentially go into retail or that neurology space, we're really focused right now on maximizing the long-term care opportunity.
We obviously believe there's tremendous upside and opportunity in the long-term care space. And as we get to operating profitability next year, that's when we would look to start evaluating whether it's time to go into the neurology space. Another key aspect of that expansion into neurology is the payer lens, which obviously goes to your next question. You don't want to launch into retail without solid formulary coverage because you'll see significant abandonment rates in the retail setting when the co-pay is too high. So it's really operating profitability and payer coverage that would determine at what point in time we will expand into neurology. And then finally, your question or... payer. You know, we are, again, actively engaged with all of the key payers that really matter to the long-term care business.
We're having consistent conversations. We're focused on increasing our demand so that, you know, we increase the likelihood that we can gain formulary coverage. What we're seeing across the board, not just specifically to Zunvale, but really across the industry and the Medicare Part D space is the impact of the Inflation Reduction Act. That is having a significant impact on the plan and the additional cost that they have to pick up. So that's why, you know, we've got to continue continuing. driving demand. We're hopeful that we will see something as we've always communicated, you know, the second half of the year. But it's not a matter of if, it's a matter of when, because the payers definitely recognize the demand and the growth that we're driving, and we will continue to have those conversations to make sure that, obviously,.
Raghuram Selvaraju
we start to obtain formulary coverage. And then just very quickly, I was wondering if you could maybe provide us with your sense of when converged data becomes available, to what extent that constitutes a potential game changer in trending the curve upwards, as well as when you anticipate being able provide data from the RESOLVE study. I know you've guided towards when the study would be completed, but when data would be available. And then if you could also comment on the size of the market opportunity that you expect to be addressable with the sublingual formulation and whether you would consider the possibility a revenue guidance range for 2027, along with possibly also instituting an expense guidance range for that year.
Unknown Speaker
A lot to unpack there. First, I'll start with Converge. So we anticipate top-line data for Converge in Q3 of 2026. The significance of Converge is the quantitative retrospective data analysis on the entire Alzheimer's market, and it will provide data on persistence at adherence, polypharmacy with all drugs, as well as a number of other elements like ADL improvement, tolerability, types of patients that are being profiled for each of the drugs, et cetera. That data will result in multiple publications. They likely will not be public until 2027. We'll begin writing data post-study and then submitting those for publication thereafter. We also believe that with Converge quantitative data, and beacon qualitative data, that there's an opportunity to analyze that data pharmaco-economically, which will provide additional information that we believe will be useful for payers and decision makers that have a financial interest in how Alzheimer's drugs are used.
Resolve studies underway. it's recruiting to our expectations we anticipate that study will complete and Q2 of next year, we'll have data in the summer fall, depending on when in Q2 the data resolve is provided. from a sublingual perspective, we're really excited about the sublingual opportunity. We believe that the opportunity represents about 10 to 20% of patients with Alzheimer's disease. Data indicates that about 10 to 20% of patients with Alzheimer's have either aphasia or dysphagia, meaning they cannot swallow or have difficulty swallowing, and the treatment choice is based choices for those patients currently are very limited. We believe a sublingual has the opportunity to take significant share from existing therapies and from a patch that's often used on the torso or the arm of these patients. which is quite difficult and challenging to administer and for the patients to utilize that drug. We have a gating item for the sublingual product. We're running a comparative PK study this quarter. We anticipate that data will be available in Q3, and that will determine timeline for clinical program for sublingual.
And then for revenue guidance, currently we haven't commented on when we'll provide revenue guidance. We will provide expense guidance for 2023. and will likely do that the very beginning of 2027 or the latter part of Q4.
Operator
Thank you very much. The next question is from Nav Rahman from Maxim Group. Please go ahead.
Unknown Speaker
Hi, everyone. Congrats on the quarter and the progress, and thanks for taking my questions. I just have two quick questions. In the quarter, did you have or see any outsized stocking or material stocking in the quarter that could have impacted sales? And also, if the current reimbursement and coverage is going slower, than anticipated. What do you expect your grossing nets to be by the end of the year or through the year? Thanks.
Lauren D’Angelo
Yes, both really good questions. So as it relates to material stocking, no, we did not have a significant increase in stocking. Our pharmacy and our wholesalers are now at a point where they're pretty much purchasing on demand. So what you see this quarter is pure demand growth, and we feel very strongly about that. because we can follow the trends in the data. As it relates to our reimbursement, obviously right now we're holding strong at about 74 percent. So obviously If we do not see any significant formulary ads by the end of the year, we would stay pretty consistent. We'll pick up some of the IRA penalty, but it will stay within a pretty similar GTN by the end of the year.
Operator
Thanks. Thanks for taking my questions. Sure. The next question is from Chase Knickerbocker from Craig Hallam Capital Group. Please go ahead.
Unknown Speaker
Good afternoon everyone. Thanks for taking the questions. This is Jake on for Chase. We've seen another nice month in Scripps in July. Could you maybe just speak a bit to what you have seen from a demand perspective so far in the third quarter? Sure. And what level is plan, pull through, and payer dynamics playing a role here versus just is it just commercial execution from your team?.
Lauren D’Angelo
Sure, so Q2 results and demand were increasing month on month and June was our strongest demand as of Q2. What I can tell you, I know we don't provide guidance, is that that momentum has continued. It is all, in my opinion, we have had no formulary wins. our 16% contracted open book of business is consistent since last quarter. So we believe that the strong demand in Q2 is pure commercial execution. We've gotten a lot smarter with targeting the right customers. We're now at the ideal 60-person customer facing Salesforce. So we believe that, you know, that is really what's driving the demand.
That's why we like to say that any formulary wins that will come in the future, it's all upside for us, because we've got strong growth, and we continue to have strong growth in Q3.
Unknown Speaker
Thanks for that color, Lauren. And then lastly, could you just speak to how adherence is trending now that we're more than a year into launch? How have you seen this change over time and what do you calculate patient retention is at six or 12 months, however you want to present it?.
Lauren D’Angelo
Sure. So we're still tracking adherence rates, you know, because long-term care is a little bit different how you look at the data. So, you know, it's hard for me to give you a number in terms of the average time on drug, you know, how much is new business versus refill business. But what we do see is patients do stay on drug longer in the long-term care facility, you know, versus a retail segment, obviously because they're, you know, they're being cared for every day. I hate to give you a number because we're still working through that adherence rate. But what I can tell you is Q2 was driven by significant new growth as well as those refills from previous quarters. Hopefully in the future I'll be able to give you a more accurate number around adherence.
Operator
Yes, that would be very helpful. Thank you for taking the questions. Sure. The next question is from Ryan Deschner from Raymond James. Please go ahead. Ryan Deshner, your line is open.
Ryan Deschner
Yes, we can hear you, Ryan. I have apologies for that. Two great questions for me. the first, can you comment on specific geographies or types of prescribers or really any other attributes where you're seeing the most growth this quarter and going into next quarter? And then as you're collecting feedback from prescribers who switch patients over to Zenvale, what have the primary drivers for switching over been as of recent and how refractory are the patients that you're putting on drugs in terms of number of therapies that they've already been on? How is that looking so far?.
Lauren D’Angelo
Sure. So as it relates to the growth, you know, across the nation for Q2, we've seen growth across every region. where we're seeing obviously the largest volume is coming from those key markets that have the largest opportunity. But overall, I'm pleased to say that across the country, we're seeing pretty significant growth and there's not one specific area that's doing far better than let's say another area of the country. I think we're finally getting to a point with our 60 person sales team, you know, where we're we're gaining momentum. Every region is gaining traction. So that's really exciting. Your second question around what is the feedback then and what's causing that reason for shifting. There's several reasons. We're talking to customers every day, and the feedback continues to overwhelm us with the positive impact that Zunville is having on patients. We see a lot of new patients who haven't been on drug in a while because they had already failed Dinepazil.
They already failed maybe one or two generics. and there's been no other alternative for them. So the physician is re-energized to try something else for these patients because they were not able to tolerate some of these drugs previously. We also see a significant amount of switching. And I think some of that is due to tolerability. It's due to, you know, which obviously, is insomnia on some of the other drugs. It could be the GI issues on some of the other drugs. but also the behavioral impact. So I think physicians have started to get experience with Zunvale, they're seeing a positive impact across behaviors, and so patients that are on another drug, they've seen behavioral impact with patients already on Zunvale, so it's causing them to switch those patients over to Zunvale just to from their peer experience with other patients.
I don't know if that answers your question, but those two areas are probably the biggest reasons for switch or to try ZunVeil.
Operator
That's very helpful. Thanks so much. The next question is from Dave Storms from StoneGate. Please go ahead.
David Storms
Good afternoon. Thank you for taking my questions. I just wanted to start with maybe some of the prescribers that have only been one-time prescribers thus far. Do you feel the need to maybe go back and retrace your steps there, or is there still so much runway in front of you that you're more focused on the white space there?.
Lauren D’Angelo
That's a great question. So, one of the challenges with long-term care data is we call them ghostwriters. So, even though it might show in the data that they've only written one prescription, they've actually written more. The order was just entered under another doctor. So, we don't have a lot of physicians who have tried one and dropped off and they're not using. the drug anymore. What I can tell you though that I think ties to your question is that we have segmented the market and we have obviously bucketed our physicians and our writers into our first tier, our second tier where they've written several scripts but they're maybe not writing it for 30% of patients, and then we've got a third tier. And the good news in what we're seeing in Q2 is that every single tier is improving. So if you'll remember in previous quarters, we talked a lot about those early, you know, physicians who have only tried one or two.
They need two to three months to get experience with the drug. We're seeing that wave of physicians now move into significant repeat. writing. And so it's kind of a constant cycle where we'll continue to call on a tier three, where, you know, they're getting that two to three month experience with the drug, they will move into the next tier. And so in every single tier, we've seen significant improvement. It's just time and experience with Zunvale. And we expect that that trend will continue.
David Storms
That's really great, Collier. I appreciate that. And then maybe just one more modeling question. With the SG&A expense guidance decreasing, is there any more you could give us there, just maybe how sticky that might be, how much of it could be applied into 2027? Just maybe any more color there would be helpful.
Unknown Speaker
Yes, I can comment on that. We anticipate some consistency, uh, Dave, and to 2027, but we haven't finalized our 2027 numbers. We have a number of studies ongoing this year which increase expenditures. Those will be concluding in Q2 of next year, but our commercial efforts and opportunities may offset that into 2027. So I ask you to bear with the company as we finalize our 2027 budget and spending plan and we'll provide those data. But it'll be in a similar range for next year.
Operator
Perfectly fair. Thank you for taking my questions. The next question is from William Wood from B Reilly Securities. Please go ahead.
Unknown Speaker
I was curious in terms of the patients that don't or come off drug and so on that churn where they don't continue persistence, what is the main driver for the patient to either to get off? drug? Is it adverse events or just lack of efficacy? Or alternatively, what's driving the prescriber to stop prescribing it? And then also in terms of long-term home care base, it looks like you've got a continued very nice expansion there. But I was curious in terms of percentage of total base that you're looking at. And I know that you're looking at a lot of home care base, but I you've been potentially building into. I know it's still early times, but just curious how much of an expansion you have sort of room to grow on that sort of top line full expansion there. Thank you. Sure, no, both of those.
Lauren D’Angelo
a really great question. So now I can tell you that we're talking to customers daily, we're getting significant feedback, and we are following those patients that discontinue Zunvale. What I can tell you, now it doesn't mean that it's not happening, I'm not speaking to the universe, but we have not had or heard of patients, especially within our data, that are coming due to tolerability or lack of efficacy. We've actually heard the very opposite. This drug works, and this drug works really well, and I think the feedback has been overwhelmingly positive. Of course, the downside of long-term care is these patients are very frail, and so you will see death for patients. You'll also see patients who leave the long-term care facility and they have a fall. So they get put into the hospital.
So you might have some break. We will recapture those patients when they come back into the home. But the time that they, you know, it looks like a discontinue in the data when they're actually checking, going into the hospital. So those are really probably the two biggest factors. And then, of course, if there's a formulary change or we. you know, the prior authorization wasn't completed, then our reimbursement team will follow up and ensure that that patient gets put back on drugs. So those would be the main reasons why you would see a patient come off Zunvale. To your question about opportunity and our base – From my perspective and the company's perspective, we have significant opportunity in long-term care.
You know, if you look at just the highest volume Alzheimer patients across the country and you split these out into homes, there's about 5,000 homes, right, that are at your Tier 1 targets. Right. that provides significant opportunity for Zunvale. And then, of course, there's about 3,000 top, top-tier physicians. So right now, you know, we've got about 1,000 writing, you know, so not only do we need to increase the depth of those providers, but we also have significant more prescribers that we need. need to activate on Zunvale. So from our perspective,.
Unknown Speaker
tons of upside opportunity from a market opportunity. Got it. And one last one, if I may. In terms of just the patients who are switching or are starting drugs, do you find that you're getting more patients that are refractory to other drugs or more switchers that are actively looking for drugs? So sort of pulling from a non-drug user or.
Lauren D’Angelo
a drug user. It's a minor difference there. Yes, we're seeing about 50-50. So if you look at the data, of course, in long-term care, you know, there's many, many patients who have already tried these drugs. You know, these drugs have been out for decades. There's nothing available to them. So they've been off drugs for some time. So they look like a treatment naive. but they're actually tried something previously likely. So we are actually, we're getting many, we'll call them treatment naive, but patients who were not on drugs, but we're also seeing a significant amount of switches. So those patients who are already either already still on it today, they're having tolerability issues, they're experiencing significant changes. significant insomnia, many of them already have behavioral issues, those patients, that patient profile right there is probably our highest switch because that is obviously, you know, with Dunville being core foundation and impacting all of those areas in a positive way, it's a pretty easy switch for a physician.
So I'd say about half of our business is coming from patients who have probably tried and failed. They're no longer on treatment right now, but we're, you know, the doctor is then adding Zunvale or they're being directly switched from a generic acetylcholinesterase inhibitor due to those issues that I described.
Unknown Speaker
Got it. Very helpful. Thank you for taking our questions and congrats on the quarter. Thanks.
Operator
There are no further questions at this time. I'd like to turn the floor back over to Michael McFadden for closing comments.
Unknown Speaker
Thanks everybody for attending the call and those who are listening to the call. We're excited about the quarter. We had a strong quarter highlighted by our growth. and bottles, prescribers, adoption, our progress in payer and evidence generation, and the focus on high target opportunities for the company that we believe will continue the growth in quarters to come. Thank you for listening to the call. If you have interest in speaking with the company further, you can reach out to our IR on website. Thank you so much.
Operator
This concludes today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.
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