Twin Disc (TWIN) 2026财年第四季度业绩电话会:销售额创历史新高
Twin Disc公布2026财年第四季度销售额达到1.144亿美元,同比增长18.3%,有机营收增长15.9%。营业利润780万美元,EBITDA为1110万美元,净利润940万美元。毛利率受产品组合与关税影响降至26.3%。在手订单保持在1.783亿美元,国防业务占比提升至17%。公司自由现金流1720万美元,净杠杆率降至0.5倍,并将季度股息提高25%。管理层预计2027财年资本支出将超2000万美元,并重申2030财年实现5亿美元营收的目标。
核心要点
- Twin Disc公布2026财年第四季度销售额达到创纪录的1.144亿美元,同比增长18.3%。有机营收增长15.9%。
- 营业利润增长19.5%至780万美元,而EBITDA增长35.1%至1110万美元。净利润达到940万美元,即摊薄后每股收益0.64美元,其中包括每股约0.17美元的所得税收益。
- 毛利率下降约600个基点至26.3%,反映出产品组合、关税稀释效应以及上年同期300万美元的有利库存成本调整带来的影响。关税使本季度毛利率下降了约60个基点。
- 六个月在手订单保持强劲,达1.783亿美元,尽管出货量增加且公司致力于减少逾期订单,但与第三财季末的1.795亿美元相比总体保持稳定。
- 截至财年末,国防业务占总在手订单的17%,同比增长56%。管理层将国防业务视为受美国海军和北约相关需求支撑的长期、多年增长引擎。
- 自由现金流为1720万美元,有助于将净债务降至1380万美元,净杠杆率降至0.5倍。董事会将季度股息提高了25%至每股0.05美元。
关键财务数据
| 指标 | 2026财年第四季度 | 变动 / 点评 |
|---|---|---|
| 销售额 | 1.144亿美元 | 同比增长18.3%;创下季度新高 |
| 有机营收增长 | 15.9% | 不含收购和汇率影响 |
| 毛利润 | 3010万美元 | 同比下降3.5% |
| 毛利率 | 26.3% | 下降约600个基点 |
| 销售及管理费用 | 2220万美元 | 下降9.8%;占销售额的19.4%,此前为25.5% |
| 营业利润 | 780万美元 | 从650万美元增长19.5% |
| 归属于Twin Disc的净利润 | 940万美元 | 上年同期为260万美元 |
| 摊薄后每股收益 | 0.64美元 | 上年同期为0.19美元;包含约0.17美元的税收收益 |
| EBITDA | 1110万美元 | 增长35.1%;利润率提升120个基点至9.7% |
| 自由现金流 | 1720万美元 | 管理层提及环比有显著改善 |
| 六个月在手订单 | 1.783亿美元 | 第三财季末为1.795亿美元 |
| 现金 | 1610万美元 | 截至2026年6月30日 |
| 总债务 | 3140万美元 | 净债务为1380万美元 |
2026财年全年销售额为3.813亿美元,有机增长率为4.6%。营业利润从1110万美元增加到1800万美元,EBITDA总计2990万美元。全年净利润为2710万美元,即摊薄后每股收益1.86美元,其中包括因冲回国内估值备抵而产生的1400万美元所得税收益的影响。
业务与经营表现
船舶推进系统销售额同比增长20%,主要受Veth Propulsion需求强劲、军用船舶变速箱需求改善以及亚洲商业航运活动增强的推动。
陆基变速箱销售额增长26%,主要是由于出货量增加。油气业务占本季度营收的10%多一点,创下自2024财年第四季度以来的最高金额记录。管理层表示,电驱压裂(e-frac)项目具有更高的利润率,已交付约两个压裂车队,预计未来还将交付更多。
工业部门销售额略有下降,不过管理层表示该板块继续趋稳。Katsa收到了与新兴数据中心市场相关的订单,而北美建筑和回收客户的需求保持稳定。
欧洲市场占第四财季销售额的41%,其次是北美(29%)和亚太地区(22%)。欧洲市场的增长主要反映了包括Katsa在内的被收购业务的贡献。
Twin Disc正在扩大芬兰的国防产能,并提升威斯康星州拉辛(Racine)的人员配备和机加工能力。公司还正在将ARFF变速箱装配线搬迁至德克萨斯州路夫金(Lufkin),以减少关税风险,并释放拉辛工厂的产能以满足美国海军、商业船舶和油气需求。
公司将部分存货的会计核算方法由后进先出法(LIFO)改为先进先出法(FIFO)。这一调整使截至2026年6月30日止财年的列报存货增加了3000万美元,历史数据已据此重述。
管理层展望
管理层预计2027财年的资本支出将超过2000万美元,反映了芬兰工厂的建设、一条产品线向路夫金的转移以及额外的机床投资。
芬兰工厂预计将于2026日历年末左右开始接收设备,但管理层表示在2028财年之前不太可能产生全面的运营效益。
Twin Disc重申了其2030财年的目标:实现5亿美元营收、30%的毛利率以及高于60%的自由现金流转化率。管理层计划通过有机投资、区域扩张、严谨的资本配置和选择性收购来实现这些目标。
风险与关注领域
- 毛利率仍面临产品组合和关税的风险。关税稀释使第四财季毛利率下降了约60个基点。
- 即使管理层对赢得项目充满信心,国防业务转化成订单所花费的时间也可能长于预期。
- 产能扩张需要在芬兰、拉辛和路夫金各地有效推进,包括招聘、设备安装和生产转移。
- 2027财年超过2000万美元的资本支出增加了近期投资需求,不过管理层提及公司拥有可用的信贷额度且杠杆率较低。
- 季度净利润和每股收益受益于一项税收项目。管理层强调营业利润是衡量基础业务表现的更常态化指标。
分析师问答环节亮点
管理层表示,本季度国防在手订单增长了53%。主要项目包括针对美国海军的船舶变速箱、用于北约相关Patria卡车的Katsa部件、用于快速巡逻艇的Arneson表面驱动装置和Rolla螺旋桨,以及与BAE在M88 Hercules救援车项目上的持续合作。
Twin Disc报告截至6月30日,国防项目管线规模在3000万至5000万美元之间。管理层表示,其军用项目管线中的机会中标概率通常高于50%,但项目启动日期仍难以预测。
拉辛工厂的产能正在通过增加机械师、新设备以及可能增加第二和第三班次的人员配备来扩大。将ARFF装配线移至路夫金旨在为船舶和油气生产创造额外产能。
业绩电话会完整文本
完整财报电话会议逐字稿
管理层陈述
Operator
Welcome to the Twin Disc, Inc. Fiscal 2026 Fourth Quarter Conference Call. We will begin with introductory remarks from Jeffrey Knutson, Twin Disc CFO. Please go ahead.
Jeffrey Knutson
Good morning, and thank you for joining us today to discuss our fiscal 2026 fourth quarter results. On the call with me today is John Batten, Twin Disc CEO. I would like to remind everyone that certain statements made during this conference call, especially statements expressing hopes, beliefs, expectations, or predictions for the future, are forward-looking statements. It is important to remember that the company's actual results could differ materially from those projected in such forward-looking statements.
Information concerning factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements are contained in the company's annual report on Form 10-K, copies of which may be obtained by contacting either the company or the SEC. Any forward-looking statements that are made during this call are based on assumptions as of today, and the company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise these statements to reflect subsequent events or new information. During today's call, management will also discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures.
For a definition of non-GAAP financial measures and a reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP financial results, please see the earnings release issued earlier today. Now I'll turn the call over to John.
John Batten
Good morning, everyone, and welcome to our fiscal 2026 fourth quarter conference call. We closed out the fiscal year with record revenue in the fourth quarter of 2026, as we continue to build on the strong demand and order momentum that we saw throughout the fiscal year. Our 18% top-line growth for the quarter resulted in operating income of 7.8 million, net income of 9.4 million, 11.1 million in EBITDA, and free cash flow of 17.2 million. Defense activity is strong and continues to be a key structural growth driver for us, supported by increasing demand from customers that include the U.S. Navy and NATO. More to come on this.
Oil and gas also performed well in the quarter and is trending positively as we prioritize e-frac opportunities that drive a higher margin profile. While gross margins were down in the quarter, primarily related to product mix, tariff dilution, and a prior year favorable adjustment, we continue to pursue higher margin opportunities like e-frac that we expect to enhance our gross margins over the long term. Thanks to our strong order activity in the quarter, our six-month backlog was level with the third quarter of 2026 at 178.3 million, despite strong shipment and a concerted effort to reduce past due backlog.
Both our six-month and total backlog remain strong and are supported by a robust project pipeline and considerable sales momentum in the markets we serve. Our cash flow improved meaningfully in the quarter to $17.2 million. As a result of this strong performance and our confidence in the business going forward, our board recently approved a 25% increase in our quarterly dividend to $0.05 per share. Overall, our fourth quarter performance capped off a strong year of operational execution for Twin Disc, and we believe that we are well positioned with strong demand, a healthy backlog, and robust project pipeline to continue this trend into fiscal 2027.
Before getting into our individual product groups, I'd like to provide an update on our defense-related business. As I mentioned before, defense is a key structural growth driver for our business and represents a significant long-term revenue opportunity. Our current defense customers include shipbuilders for the U.S. Navy, for which we provide transmissions to be used in unmanned autonomous U.S. Navy vessel programs, and NATO, to whom we supply driveline components through our Finnish subsidiary, Katsa, for military vehicles across an expanding NATO-wide order book.
On that front, we broke ground on our new facility in Finland to add test stand and assembly capacity and to further support expected growth in the European defense demand. With global defense becoming more of a priority given the current geopolitical environment, we believe that we're well positioned to benefit from increased spending as defense budgets grow. As of year-end, defense comprises 17% of our total backlog, representing a 56% increase year over year. Sales momentum is also strong with defense-related projects contributing 30 to 50 million to our pipeline as of June 30th. Results have been encouraging, and looking ahead, we view defense as a reliable and durable multi-year growth driver for our business.
Now let's get into our product groups. Sales in our marine propulsion systems grew 20% in the quarter when compared to the prior year period, primarily driven by strong demand for our Veth Propulsion platform. Other factors contributing to revenue growth include performance of the [ CoVelt ] product line, as well as improved military demand for marine transmission, improved commercial maritime demand in Asia, and overall strong market conditions driving increased demand across the product group. Land-based transmission sales grew 26% year over year, primarily due to improved shipment volumes in the quarter. Specifically, oil and gas performed well.
As we continue to prioritize higher margin e-frac opportunities, we expect this segment to be a key driver of our improved margin profile. We also took meaningful steps to reduce our tariff impact in the quarter as we work to relocate our ARFF assembly to Lufkin, Texas, which would help reduce tariff exposure elements sourced in India. Similar to last quarter, land-based transmission also continues to benefit from strengthening demand trends across our core geographic markets in North America and Asia, increasing global demand for energy-related products and continued progress on next-generation electrified and hybrid solutions that support long-term demand.
Additionally, improving sentiment from North American energy customers points to additional investment in frac rigs, both rebuilds and new units, positioning the company well for enhanced performance. While industrial sales decreased modestly compared with the prior year, we remain encouraged by the opportunities that we're seeing as this segment continues to stabilize. The [ CoVelt ] product line provides considerable market opportunity, and our Finnish subsidiary, Katsa, is positioned to be a strong near-term growth driver thanks to increasing global military and trade demand for defense vehicle components.
We're also seeing consistent demand from North American construction and recycling markets, as well as stable underlying demand from industrial end markets. Also, we were pleased to see that Katsa has received orders in the emerging data center vertical. This opportunity represents a large part of the total backlog and is encouraged to see initial demand for our products in this fast-growing market segment. Our six-month backlog at the end of the fourth quarter was approximately 178.3 million, which is consistent with the backlog at the end of the third quarter of 179.5 million.
We are particularly pleased with this backlog, given that during the quarter, we made solid progress on shipment and continue to make a concerted effort to reduce past due backlog during the fourth quarter. In light of this, our backlog demonstrates the strength of our pipeline and demand across our product groups. Inventory as a percentage of backlog decreased to 100% in the quarter, and we expect inventory as a percentage of backlog to continue to improve as we focus on operational execution. Looking ahead, we remain confident in our long-term strategy and are focused on driving profitable growth for our shareholders.
Twin Disc is well established as a leading hybrid and electric solution provider for niche marine and land-based applications, and through organic growth, continued strategic acquisitions that expand our addressable market and ongoing disciplined capital allocation across the enterprise, we believe that we are well positioned to expand our footprint and to meet our stated 2030 full year targets of 500 million in revenue, 30% gross margins and greater than 60% free cash flow conversion. With that, I'll turn the call over to Jeff to discuss our financial results in greater detail.
Jeffrey Knutson
Thanks, John. Good morning, everyone. Sales in the fourth quarter of 2026 totaled 114.4 million, representing a record quarter and an 18.3% increase over the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025. Full year sales were 381.3 million. Revenue growth in both the fourth quarter and full year was primarily driven by increased demand in our land-based transmission markets in the fourth quarter, as well as strengthened marine and propulsion systems and stabilization in our industrial segment. On an organic basis, which adjusts for the impact of acquisitions and foreign currency exchange, revenue increased 15.9% in the quarter and 4.6% for the full year.
Gross profit decreased slightly by 3.5% in the quarter to $30.1 million. Gross margin decreased approximately 600 basis points to 26.3% from the prior year period, primarily related to product mix, tariff dilution, and a favorable adjustment of $3 million in the prior year fourth quarter related to one-time capitalization cost adjustments of cost of inventory. Excluding this adjustment in Q4 of last year, the comparable gross margin would have been 28%. For the full year, gross profit was 102.6 million or 26.9% of sales. SG&A expenses decreased 9.8% to $22.2 million compared to $24.6 million in the prior year period.
As a percentage of sales, SG&A expense was 19.4% compared with 25.5% in the prior year, which continues to demonstrate our enhanced operating leverage on strength and revenue. Fiscal full year SG&A was 84.5 million or 22.2% of sales compared to 82.4 million or 24.2% of sales in full year 2025. Operating income in the fourth quarter of 2026 increased 19.5% to 7.8 million compared with 6.5 million in the prior year period. The full year operating income was 18 million compared with 11.1 million in full year 2025.
We view operating income as an especially important metric for both the fourth quarter and full year, given that our bottom line has been impacted by an income tax benefit of $2.5 million in the fourth quarter and $14 million in the full year related to the reversal of the domestic valuation allowance. Therefore, we believe that operating income provides a more normalized snapshot of our business without the impact of income tax benefits that flow through to our net income and earnings per share. To that end, net income attributable to Twin Disc for the fourth quarter was 9.4 million, or 64 cents per diluted share, compared to 2.6 million, or 19 cents per diluted share in the prior year period.
The increased earnings per share was related to stronger operating income as well as approximately 17 cents per diluted share related to the income tax benefit and lower other expense when compared to the fourth quarter of 2025. Full year net income totaled 27.1 million, or $1.86 per diluted share, compared with a net loss of 697,000, or a loss of 5 cents per diluted share for fiscal 2025. EBITDA was 11.1 million in the fourth quarter, up 35.1% year over year. EBITDA margin increased 120 basis points to 9.7%. Full year EBITDA was $29.9 million.
Geographically, Europe accounted for 41% of sales in the fourth quarter of 2026, followed by North America at 29% of sales and Asia Pacific at 22% of sales. Increased sales in Europe were primarily driven by contributions from our acquisitions, including Katsa, while North American sales continued to increase related to our addition of [ Cobalt ] and improving demand for our Veth products. For the full year, Europe accounted for 42% of total sales, followed by North America at 30% and Asia Pacific at 19%. As John mentioned, gross margins decreased to 26.2% in the fourth quarter of 2026, compared with 32.3% in the prior year period.
Gross margin contraction in the quarter was primarily related to product mix and tariff dilution, as well as the one-time $3 million favorable adjustment in Q4 of last year. Excluding the favorable adjustment, gross margin in the fourth quarter of 2025 would have been 28%. The margin in the quarter was also impacted by tariff dilution, which further decreased gross margin by 60 basis points. Excluding this impact, our gross margins would have been approximately 27% in the fourth quarter. We are confident about our ability to drive gross margin improvement, and our long-term strategy continues to focus on enhancing our margin profile and driving long-term profitability across our business with a stated target of 30% gross margins by 2030.
We continue to monitor the situation with tariffs and are proactively working to mitigate the impacts on our business, including moving our assembly to Lufkin, Texas. We generated strong free cash flow of 17.2 million in the quarter. We ended the quarter with cash of approximately 16.1 million. Total debt decreased to 31.4 million and net debt decreased to 13.8 million. Our reduced net debt coupled with enhanced trailing 12-month EBITDA of 29.9 million, provides us with a net leverage ratio of 0.5 as of June 30, 2026, compared with the ratio of 0.8 in the prior year.
Before discussing our capital allocation framework, I wanted to provide an update on the change in our inventory accounting method that we implemented in Q4. We elected to change our method of accounting for certain inventories from the last-in-first-out method, or LIFO, to the first-in-first-out method, or FIFO. The change to the FIFO method of accounting for these inventories is preferable because it provides better matching of costs and revenues and conforms our inventory to a single method of accounting as we continue to scale the business.
Additionally, the change allowed us to utilize expiring tax credits contributing to the reversal of the valuation allowance in the second fiscal quarter. The impact of the change in inventory accounting as reported under the FIFO method was a $30 million increase in inventory for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2026, which is reflected in our quarterly and year-end results. To provide historical information on a basis consistent with the change to FIFO, we have recast certain historical information to conform to the updated method of inventory accounting. Our capital allocation framework remains consistent with our stated goals and strategy.
We continue to prioritize debt reduction alongside returning capital to shareholders through both our dividend and share repurchase program. At the same time, we're committed to funding organic growth investments, including R&D, geographic expansion, and marketing to support our long-term strategy. When it comes to M&A, we remain selective, evaluating both bolt-on and transformational acquisitions against clear criteria. Strategic fit, particularly opportunities that diversify our existing offerings and have the potential to serve as a platform for broader expansion. This balanced approach allows us to invest in the business while maintaining the financial flexibility to act on opportunities as they arise. I'll now turn the call back to John for his closing remarks.
John Batten
Thanks, Jeff. In closing, our record fourth quarter capped off a year of meaningful progress for Twin Disc with continued gains in revenue, profitability, and cash flow. Demand across our core markets remained healthy throughout the year, and we ended fiscal 2026 with a strong backlog that reflects the sustained strength in marine and propulsion systems and land-based transmissions, along with a growing defense-related activity that we expect to be a durable driver of growth.
Moving ahead to fiscal 2027, we remain focused on the same priorities that drove our progress this year, executing on our operational initiatives, optimizing our global footprint, and investing in the business to support long-term growth, all while maintaining a disciplined approach to capital allocation. With a strong balance sheet and robust backlog providing solid visibility, we believe Twin Disc is well positioned to build on this year's momentum as we work toward our 2030 targets. Operator, please open the call for questions.
Operator
[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Max Michaelis with Lake Street Capital Markets. Please go ahead.
分析师问答
Maxwell Michaelis
I kind of want to start out here just sort of a facility update. Sounds like Finland's broken ground. Anything else you guys can really provide there in terms of detail around sort of the timelines at the Finland facility? And then secondly, can you kind of give us an update on sort of the capacity, how that's looking at the Racine facility?
John Batten
Sure, Max. Thanks. It's John. I'm hoping that, you know, we will be enclosed and starting to move stuff in, you know, the end of the calendar year, but it's really, I would say that, you know, the impact of being fully operational is not going to be until, I would say, fiscal '28. A lot of work to do, but it's exciting. It really does increase the output of Katsa. The way we're situated right now, we don't have a facility in Finland that was built for assembly and test. We kind of have some make-do facilities that are in other plants or other facilities that really weren't meant for this. So it's going to be a big step function for them once we get in.
But we'll keep you updated. You know, the walls are up, roof's going on. Obviously, we'd like to be enclosed by the Finnish winter, that's for sure. And I think that will definitely happen. And then in Racine, obviously, we have a finished building that we've been in for 70 years. We're staffing up, adding machinists. We had two significant capital purchases that have come in, a 1.2-meter hob and a 1.2-meter grinder. We've got more CapEx on the way, and we're trying to figure out how we can be more effective in our shift staffing, and honestly looking at expanding our second shift and adding a third shift.
Because there's a lot of volume coming. And of course, there's a lot of pieces moving in the puzzle. To increase the capacity in Racine, we actually have to decrease it. And that's, you know, the tariffs gave us a good reason to relook at where we did the ARFF transmission. So it's fantastic that Lufkin's in a free trade zone, so we're scrambling like crazy to get that volume down to Texas so that we have more capacity for the marine transmissions for the Navy and just the commercial marine markets in general, and oil and gas in Racine. So a lot of moving pieces and a lot of progress has been made in the last few months, but there's a lot of work to do between now and Christmas.
Maxwell Michaelis
Perfect. Great. Moving on here, let's shift over to the defense side. Can you give any more details on the conversations you guys are having with some of these shipbuilders outside of [ Soranac ] and the speed that they're moving along at right now?
John Batten
Yes, so I would say that, you know, [ Soranac ] has set the benchmark on speed to market and everything that they were doing and the announcement of [ Port Alpha ] and all of this, but there are other builders as well that are moving pretty quickly with existing yards and reconfiguring and developing relationships. That's kind of the big thing that we've seen. You know, a lot of these shipyards, we've had decades-long relationships with them, and they've been building a certain type of vessel. Now they're partnering with different types of technology companies, forming alliances, and they're pretty fast to market too.
I can't say that, you know, [ Soranac ] certainly is getting all the headlines because they've had a lot of successes out in the field, but there are other players too. It's a pretty balanced, you know, I have to say that it doesn't look like the Department of Defense or the Navy is putting all their eggs in one basket. They are truly trying to bring back the shipbuilding industry in the U.S., and it's pretty exciting to see.
Maxwell Michaelis
And then I know you talked about sort of that $50 million to $75 million pipeline. I mean, can you give us any sort of detail on where that's at now, if that's increased or anything that can help?
John Batten
Yes, I think, Jeff, I believe it was 50% in the quarter. Yes, the backlog itself is up about 50% in the quarter, and that is a mix of, I mean, the two main buckets continue to be marine transmissions built in Racine, Wisconsin for the U.S. Navy. We have some marine transmissions that are built and other projects. Then we have obviously at Katsa, the number one is, you know, the trucks that Patria built for NATO. But they have been developing other customers in the Mideast and in Asia as well. Not sure the percentage, that's going to be a growing percentage.
Then we have, you know, it's been exciting to see our Arneson surface drive for fast patrol boats has been getting a lot of interest. So, you know, the backlog increased 53%. And I would say the main driver of that was the projects we've already been talking about. But what's in the pipeline is going to cast a much wider net that we'll see in the quarters coming on different products for different customers.
Maxwell Michaelis
So the defense side of the backlog grew 53% in the quarter, correct?
John Batten
Yes.
Maxwell Michaelis
Okay, great. And then last one for me, and I'll hang up. Can you sort of give us an idea of the pipeline of new defense programs? I know we talked about kind of the shipbuilders and Katsa, is there anything else kind of that you guys are eyeing for fiscal year '27 that could make a big splash?
John Batten
I would say the biggest ones, and we're under NDAs, but the biggest ones are going to be fast patrol boats with Arneson and Rolla propellers. It will be similar product that is going into the Patria trucks, but different for different truck builders and different militaries in the Mideast and Asia. And in the U.S., I think you'll see continuation on with BAE on the M88, the Hercules, the tank retriever. Those would be the big ones. And then there's some smaller ones, but I think the ones that are going to be expectedly exciting and meaningful are the ones that I just mentioned.
Maxwell Michaelis
Awesome. Thanks, guys. Congrats on the quarter.
Operator
[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from the line of Simon Wong with Gabelli Funds. Please go ahead.
Simon Wong
Just on the oil and gas part of your business, how big is that now? How much revenue did you do there this quarter and how did it compare to last year?
Jeffrey Knutson
Yes, it's ramping up, Simon. So it was, in terms of percentage of revenue, it's the biggest since fiscal '24. And in terms of pure dollars, because obviously everything else grew as well, in terms of pure dollars, the biggest since Q4, fiscal '24. They doubled the average of what we did the first three quarters, so definitely ramped up at the end of the year. It was about 10%, a little over 10% of overall revenue in the quarter.
Simon Wong
Great. You've referenced in your presentation and your press release about higher opportunities, I'm going to say higher margin e-frac opportunities. Did you sell any units in the quarter for e-fracs?
John Batten
Yes, the short answer is yes. I can't give you an exact number because some of them might have been in the third quarter, first calendar quarter. But there's probably, you know, two spreads that have been delivered and more coming.
Simon Wong
Okay, great. Looks like you're gaining traction there. That's good news. And then, I know you talked about the military pipeline, the $50 million, $60 million, $70 million pipeline of opportunity. How do you see that? I mean, how much of that do you think you can win in orders?
John Batten
All of that, we're pretty conservative when we put it in the pipeline. We think that we have a better than 50-50 shot of winning those. Yes, Simon, so with the military, I would say we're very good at predicting our confidence of winning. It's just when the project starts. Typically, these projects take longer to materialize when they're going to order, but we're pretty confident on winning them. It's just, you know, I don't want to give you, like, it's going to happen next quarter in six months because I'll jinx it and then it will be nine months or 12 months.
Simon Wong
Okay, that's fair. And for my reference, how big was the military business in the fourth quarter or in fiscal '26?
Jeffrey Knutson
Yes, we don't have a great number to give you there. I mean, it was definitely up. It's something that we'll do a better job of tracking and reporting. It's just so fragmented because it's across all of our products in all of our regions and a lot of it going through distribution. So we need to do a better job analytically of pulling that together as it becomes a bigger and bigger part of the business.
Simon Wong
Okay. One more from me. You talked about facility additions. What is your CapEx for '27?
Jeffrey Knutson
So the number that we put out or will put out is going to be north of $20 million. It's obviously with a new facility going up in Finland, that's a big investment, movement of a significant product line down to Lufkin, and some of the machine tools that John just referenced, a lot more behind that. So there's a good level of investment going in to fund the growth that we see. And, you know, as we start this fiscal year, we're in great shape with a new credit agreement and plenty of financial horsepower to deliver that. So, yes, it's an exciting time for us.
Simon Wong
Okay, great. Thank you, guys.
Operator
Thank you. And at this time, we have no further questions. I would like to turn the call back over to the management for closing remarks.
John Batten
Thank you for your continued interest in Twin Disc, and we hope that we've answered all of your questions. If not, please feel free to reach out to either Jeff or myself, and we'll try to answer those questions for you as soon as possible. Have a great rest of your day, and we look forward to talking to you after our fiscal '27 first quarter results.
Operator
This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect. Have a great day.









