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随着中东供应担忧缓解,WTI 下跌

FXStreet2026年9月18日 01:27
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  • 沙特阿拉伯正努力恢复其东西管道,利用穿梭油轮安全绕开眼前风险。
  • 在利雅得直接呼吁后,中国敦促伊朗约束胡塞武装对沙特能源设施的袭击。
  • 在即将举行的海湾峰会前,随着外交努力升温,美国领导层正在权衡对伊朗采取行动。

周五亚洲时段,西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)价格连续第三个交易日维持低迷,交投于每桶 96.40 美元附近。随着对中东供应中断的担忧缓解,原油价格下跌,且市场对恢复外交努力以解决冲突并恢复稳定能源流动的希望不断升温,也为油价提供了支撑。

沙特阿拉伯正积极修复其能源基础设施,目标是在数日内恢复其东西管道约一半的输送能力,并预计在六周内全面恢复运营。为在此期间维持供应,该国正将部分原油出口改道经霍尔木兹海峡。沙特通过使用穿梭油轮先将原油运过海峡,再装载到停泊在海峡外的油轮上,从而有效降低其船队遭受伊朗潜在袭击的风险。

幕后外交压力也在加大。报道称,在利雅得发出呼吁后,中国敦促伊朗帮助约束胡塞武装,以回应该反叛组织对沙特能源设施日益加剧的袭击。与此同时,美国总统唐纳德-特朗普表示,他正在评估是否恢复对伊朗的军事打击,此前他在纽约与海湾国家领导人即将举行会晤前发表了上述言论。

油气价格走低,缓和美联储后债券抛售

法国兴业银行(Societe Generale)策略师指出,在 Axios 报道美国计划下周恢复与海湾国家就伊朗相关问题的谈判后,债券市场“在今早开盘时得到了较低油气价格的助力”。他们指出,“昨晚偏鹰派的美联储加息后,卖盘最初蜂拥而至”,而“由于点阵图和中性利率上修,风险资产回落,10年期美债收益率一度跌至 4.94%,随后在亚洲时段回升至 5.02%。”

WTI原油常见问题(FAQ)

WTI油是在国际市场上销售的一种原油。WTI是布兰特、迪拜原油等3大原油之一的西德克萨斯中质油(WTI)。WTI也被称为“轻”和“甜”,因为其相对较低的重力和含硫量分别。它被认为是一种容易提炼的高品质油。它在美国采购,并通过库欣中心分发,库欣中心被认为是“世界管道的十字路口”。它是石油市场的基准,WTI价格经常被媒体引用。

与所有资产一样,供需关系是WTI原油价格的关键驱动因素。因此,全球增长可以成为需求增长的驱动力,反之亦然,导致全球增长疲软。政治不稳定、战争和制裁可能会扰乱供应并影响价格。主要产油国组成的石油输出国组织(OPEC)的决定是油价的另一个关键驱动因素。美元的价值影响WTI原油的价格,因为石油主要以美元交易,因此美元疲软可以使石油更便宜,反之亦然。

美国石油协会(API)和能源信息署(EIA)发布的每周石油库存报告影响着WTI原油的价格。库存的变化反映了供需的波动。如果数据显示库存下降,则可能表明需求增加,从而推高油价。库存增加可以反映供应增加,从而压低价格。空气污染指数的报告每周二发布,环境影响评估报告于周二发布。它们的结果通常是相似的,75%的情况下误差在1%以内。环境影响评估的数据被认为更可靠,因为它是一个政府机构。

欧佩克(石油输出国组织)是由12个石油生产国组成的组织,每年举行两次会议,共同决定成员国的生产配额。他们的决定经常影响WTI原油价格。当欧佩克决定降低配额时,它可以收紧供应,推高油价。当欧佩克增加产量时,它会产生相反的效果。“OPEC+”指的是一个扩大后的组织,新增了10个非OPEC成员国,其中最引人注目的是俄罗斯。

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