Prospect for more RBNZ rate cuts can further weigh on NZD – BBH

FXStreetJan 31, 2025 11:25 AM

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NZD/USD is firmer but the prospect for more RBNZ rate cuts can further weigh on New Zealand Dollar (NZD), BBH FX analysts note.

Markets continue to imply another rate cut in February

"New Zealand January ANZ consumer confidence was disappointing. Consumer confidence dipped 4 points to a three-month low at 96.0 and remains below long-run average of 113.7. Additionally, the proportion of households thinking it’s a good time to buy a major household item, the best retail indicator, dropped a sharp 15 points to -16."

"In line with RBNZ guidance, markets continue to imply another 50bps rate cut to 3.75% at the February 19 meeting and the policy rate to bottom at 3.00% over the next 12 months."

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