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UK: Surveys and GDP outlook – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s Sanjay Raja expects a relatively quiet UK data week, with focus on March DMP survey signals around the Iran conflict, inflation expectations, and hiring plans. He forecasts only marginal upside risk to Q4-25 GDP, with the ONS likely confirming 0.1% q-o-q growth.
Fxstreet
Fri, Mar 27
ECB’s Müller: The longer the war lasts, the more likely that we will have to respond
European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Madis Müller said in an interview with Econostream that the central bank might need to wait for the release of second-round inflation effects before making any monetary policy adjustment.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Fri, Mar 27
ECB: Limited hikes despite inflation spike – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Jörg Krämer expects the ECB to react to war‑driven energy inflation with at most one additional rate hike. Inflation is projected to rise above 3% by summer before easing, while Eurozone growth is revised down to 0.6% in 2026.
Fxstreet
Fri, Mar 27
Ireland Retail Sales (MoM) fell from previous 1.5% to -0.8% in February
Ireland Retail Sales (MoM) fell from previous 1.5% to -0.8% in February
Fxstreet
Fri, Mar 27
Ireland Retail Sales (YoY) declined to 0.8% in February from previous 3%
Ireland Retail Sales (YoY) declined to 0.8% in February from previous 3%
Fxstreet
Fri, Mar 27
Italy 10-y Bond Auction increased to 4.09% from previous 3.31%
Italy 10-y Bond Auction increased to 4.09% from previous 3.31%
Fxstreet
Fri, Mar 27
Italy 5-y Bond Auction: 3.48% vs 2.62%
Italy 5-y Bond Auction: 3.48% vs 2.62%
Fxstreet
Fri, Mar 27
Former BoJ Kuroda: Central bank should not pause approaching policy normalization
Former Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said in an interview with the Asahi newspaper that the central bank should continue pushing the monetary policy towards normalization.
Fxstreet
Fri, Mar 27
NOK: Hawkish Norges Bank supports carry – Societe Generale
Societe Generale analysts note that Norway’s central bank, Norges Bank signalled higher rates are likely soon to bring inflation back to target, even at the cost of weaker growth.
USD/NOK
Fxstreet
Fri, Mar 27
Italy Trade Balance non-EU increased to €5.529B in February from previous €2.124B
Italy Trade Balance non-EU increased to €5.529B in February from previous €2.124B
Fxstreet
Fri, Mar 27
Austria UniCredit Bank Manufacturing PMI increased to 52.4 in March from previous 49.4
Austria UniCredit Bank Manufacturing PMI increased to 52.4 in March from previous 49.4
Fxstreet
Fri, Mar 27
Iran's Araghchi: US soldiers using local residents as shields
Iran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said in a post on X, formerly known as Twitter, that United States (US) soldiers are using local people to shield themselves.
Fxstreet
Fri, Mar 27
ECB: Energy shock keeps hikes in play – Nordea
Nordea’s Jan von Gerich argues that higher energy prices from the Middle East conflict have sharply increased uncertainty around the ECB’s rate path, with April hikes now being priced but still seen as premature without clearer inflation spillovers.
Fxstreet
Fri, Mar 27
ECB’s Patsalides: I would not rush into any decision due to lack of information
European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker and Governor of the Central Bank of Cyprus Christodoulos Patsalides said in an interview during European trading hours on Friday that there is no need to rush for any monetary policy adjustments until the central bank has sufficient information.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Fri, Mar 27
Spain Consumer Price Index (MoM) climbed from previous 0.4% to 1% in March
Spain Consumer Price Index (MoM) climbed from previous 0.4% to 1% in March
Fxstreet
Fri, Mar 27
Spain Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM) registered at 1.5%, below expectations (2.1%) in March
Spain Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (MoM) registered at 1.5%, below expectations (2.1%) in March
Fxstreet
Fri, Mar 27
Spain Consumer Price Index (YoY) registered at 3.3% above expectations (2.4%) in March
Spain Consumer Price Index (YoY) registered at 3.3% above expectations (2.4%) in March
Fxstreet
Fri, Mar 27
Spain Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY) below expectations (3.9%) in March: Actual (3.3%)
Spain Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY) below expectations (3.9%) in March: Actual (3.3%)
Fxstreet
Fri, Mar 27
Forex Today: Middle East uncertainty forces markets to remain cautious
Here is what you need to know on Friday, March 27:
Fxstreet
Fri, Mar 27
NOK: Norges Bank hawkish hold supports currency – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team highlights that the central bank of Norway, Norges Bank delivered a hawkish hold at 4.00%, with internal debate over an immediate hike and an upwardly revised rate path. The bank now expects two 25bp hikes in June and September, followed by cuts from 2027.
USD/NOK
Fxstreet
Fri, Mar 27
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