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UK: Weak jobs data bolster BoE cut case – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s Chief UK Economist Sanjay Raja highlights further signs of weakness in the UK labour market, with falling HMRC payrolled employees, elevated redundancies and a higher unemployment rate. He argues that slack is likely to increase further, pushing the jobless rate higher.Fxstreet
Tue, Feb 17
GBP: Data-dependent BOE easing risks – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad highlights that the Pound underperformed after weak UK Q4 GDP reinforced expectations for further Bank of England rate cuts. Markets price a high probability of a March cut and around 50 bps of easing over twelve months.
Fxstreet
Tue, Feb 17
GBP: Data-driven rate cut risks weigh – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen highlights that recent UK data have become crucial after the Bank of England’s narrow decision to keep rates unchanged. She argues that labour market and inflation releases could significantly move Pound exchange rates.Fxstreet
Tue, Feb 17
RBA Minutes show a material shift in inflation risks behind February rate hike
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) published the Minutes of its February monetary policy meeting this Tuesday, which showed that the rate hike was driven by stronger-than-expected data, persistent broad-based inflation, and easing financial conditions.
Fxstreet
Tue, Feb 17
PBoC: Framework shift and firm credit – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Lay and Lim discuss speculation that the PBoC may pivot toward using the overnight repo rate as its main policy tool, further aligning with the Federal Reserve’s framework. They note strong January credit growth driven by seasonal factors and front‑loaded government bond issuance.
Fxstreet
Mon, Feb 16
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