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Canada: Core inflation trend cools as energy lifts headline – RBC

Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) economist Abbey Xu notes that Canadian headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose to 2.4% year-over-year, mainly on higher energy prices linked to conflict in the Middle East and tax distortions.

Fxstreet

Mon, Apr 20

ECB: Firmer growth and renewed tightening – BNP Paribas

BNP Paribas expects Eurozone Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth to edge up to 1.6% in 2026 from 1.5% in 2025, supported by German fiscal measures, higher military spending and AI-related investment.

Fxstreet

Mon, Apr 20

Iran positively reviewing participation in peace talks with US – Reuters

Quoting a senior Iranian official, Reuters reported that Iran is positively reviewing its participation in the next round of peace talks with the United States but no final decision has been made.

Fxstreet

Mon, Apr 20

Aluminium: Structural deficit and upside risk persist – ING

ING’s Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note that Aluminium prices briefly dropped as Iran pledged to keep the Strait of Hormuz open during a ceasefire, but renewed closure has refocused markets on supply risk.

Fxstreet

Mon, Apr 20

GBP: Stabilisation supports MPC focus on expectations – TD Securities

TD Securities strategists expect United Kingdom (UK) labour market data for February to show stabilisation, with a slight dip in unemployment and moderate job gains. Wage growth is forecast to slow across key measures, aligning with consensus.

Fxstreet

Mon, Apr 20

Canada Consumer Price Index - Core (MoM): 0% (March) vs previous 0.2%

Canada Consumer Price Index - Core (MoM): 0% (March) vs previous 0.2%

Fxstreet

Mon, Apr 20

Canada Consumer Price Index (MoM) registered at 0.9%, below expectations (1.1%) in March

Canada Consumer Price Index (MoM) registered at 0.9%, below expectations (1.1%) in March

Fxstreet

Mon, Apr 20

Canada BoC Consumer Price Index Core (YoY) up to 2.5% in March from previous 2.3%

Canada BoC Consumer Price Index Core (YoY) up to 2.5% in March from previous 2.3%

Fxstreet

Mon, Apr 20

Canada BoC Consumer Price Index Core (MoM) down to 0.2% in March from previous 0.4%

Canada BoC Consumer Price Index Core (MoM) down to 0.2% in March from previous 0.4%

Fxstreet

Mon, Apr 20

Canada Consumer Price Index (YoY) came in at 2.4%, below expectations (2.5%) in March

Canada Consumer Price Index (YoY) came in at 2.4%, below expectations (2.5%) in March

Fxstreet

Mon, Apr 20

DXY: Energy shock seen contained in broad range – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman (BBH) highlights that renewed Strait of Hormuz tensions have lifted Brent Oil nearly $10 from recent lows and weighed on global risk assets, with the US Dollar (USD) slightly firmer.

US Dollar Index

Fxstreet

Mon, Apr 20

Brent: Slower normalisation lifts forecasts – Societe Generale

Societe Generale strategists highlight that Brent futures have swung sharply with conflict headlines, recently rebounding to $95/bbl.

Fxstreet

Mon, Apr 20

CAD: Energy-driven CPI spike keeps BoC cautious – TD Securities

TD Securities strategists expect Canada’s March Consumer Price Index (CPI) to accelerate as higher energy prices lift the headline rate, while food disinflation offsets some of the impact.

Fxstreet

Mon, Apr 20

Fed: Leadership clash raises market risk – DBS

DBS Group Research’s Philip Wee highlights how the US Senate confirmation hearing for Kevin Warsh as Fed Chair could reshape the risk premium on the Dollar.

US Dollar Index

Fxstreet

Mon, Apr 20

Brent: Strait risk repricing drives fresh gains – Rabobank

Rabobank’s Senior Market Strategist Benjamin Picton highlights how shifting perceptions around the Strait of Hormuz are driving sharp moves in Brent.

Fxstreet

Mon, Apr 20

Canada CPI is expected to jump in March amid higher energy prices

Canada’s economic docket opens on Monday with the key Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures for March, which will be closely watched to gauge the inflationary impact of the war in Iran.

Fxstreet

Mon, Apr 20

CEE FX: Limited impact from energy shock so far – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose assesses the latest inflation data for Poland, Czech Republic and Hungary following the recent energy price spike. He notes that while headline inflation accelerated as expected, core measures show only mild, statistically noisy upticks.

Fxstreet

Mon, Apr 20

Iran's Baghaei: No plans for another round of talks with US yet

Iran's foreign ministry spokesperson Esmail Baghaei said during the European trading session on Monday that there is “no plan for a second round of negotiations with the United States (US) for now.

Fxstreet

Mon, Apr 20

Forex Today: Cautious start to week as Middle East tensions re-escalate

Here is what you need to know on Monday, April 20:

Fxstreet

Mon, Apr 20

DXY: New range forms as conflict risk lingers – ING

ING’s Chris Turner notes the US Dollar (USD) briefly weakened after news that the Strait of Hormuz was fully open, implying US Dollar Index (DXY) around 97.50/98.00 and EUR/USD just over 1.18 if the crisis were resolved.

US Dollar Index

Fxstreet

Mon, Apr 20

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