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루시드 다이애그노스틱스(LUCD) 2026년 2분기 실적 발표 전화회의: 매출 17% 증가, Concert 커버리지 진전

TradingKeyAug 14, 2026 8:28 AM
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루시드 다이아그노스틱스는 2026년 2분기 에소가드 검사 2,770건을 실시하여 목표 범위인 2,500건~3,000건을 달성했다. 검사 건수가 안정적인 수준을 유지했음에도 매출은 전분기 대비 약 17% 증가한 150만 달러를 기록했다.

콘서트는 에소가드에 대해 자사 최초의 검사실 혜택 관리자 보험 적용 정책을 수립했으며, 3개 고객 보건 플랜이 이를 도입해 총 1,000만 명에 조금 못 미치는 대상자를 확보했다.

보통주 공모로 약 1,680만 달러를 조달한 후 분기 말 현금은 3,340만 달러이며, 2분기 현금 소진액은 1,130만 달러를 기록했다.

경영진은 메디케어의 지역 보험 적용 결정 초안을 계속 기다리고 있으며, 긍정적인 초안 정책이 곧 나올 것으로 확신하고 있으나 CMS의 업무 적체로 인해 지연되고 있다고 설명했다. 제대군인부(VA) 검사는 2분기 검사량에 유의미하게 기여하지 못했으나 10월 1일 시작되는 새 연방 회계연도와 연계된 계약을 추진하고 있다.

AI 생성 요약

핵심 요약

  • 루시드 다이아그노스틱스(Lucid Diagnostics)는 2026년 2분기에 2,770건의 에소가드(EsoGuard) 검사를 실시하여, 분기 목표 범위인 2,500건~3,000건을 달성했습니다.
  • 검사 건수가 전반적으로 안정적인 수준을 유지했음에도 불구하고 매출은 전분기 대비 약 17% 증가한 150만 달러를 기록했습니다. 경영진은 수수가능성이 높은 검사 기회에 더욱 집중한 결과라고 설명했습니다.
  • 콘서트(Concert)는 루시드의 에소가드에 대해 자사 최초의 검사실 혜택 관리자 보험 적용 정책을 수립했습니다. 3개 고객 보건 플랜이 해당 정책을 도입했으며, 콘서트의 고객 플랜 전체 대상자는 총 1,000만 명에 조금 못 미칩니다.
  • 보통주 공모를 통해 약 1,680만 달러의 순수익금을 조달한 후, 분기 말 기준 현금은 3,340만 달러였습니다. 2분기 현금 소진액은 1,130만 달러였습니다.
  • 루시드는 메디케어(Medicare)의 지역 보험 적용 결정(LCD) 초안을 계속 기다리고 있습니다. 경영진은 긍정적인 초안 정책이 곧 나올 것으로 확신하고 있으나, CMS의 전반적인 업무 적체로 인해 지연되고 있다고 설명했습니다.
  • 제대군인부(VA) 검사는 2분기 검사량에 유의미하게 기여하지 못했습니다. 회사는 10월 1일에 시작되는 새 연방 회계연도와 연계된 계약을 추진하고 있습니다.

주요 재무 데이터

지표2026년 2분기 실적비고
에소가드 검사 수2,770메디케어 적용 전 목표 범위인 2,500~3,000건 내
매출150만 달러전분기 대비 약 17% 증가
표준 가격 기준 프로포마 매출약 760만 달러2,749달러의 표준 가격 기준; 약 19%가 매출로 인식됨
분기 말 현금3,340만 달러연말 대비 변동 없음
보통주 공모 조달금순액 기준 약 1,680만 달러2분기 중 완료
2분기 현금 소진액1,130만 달러현금 이자를 포함한 4분기 평균은 분기당 1,160만 달러
비GAAP 영업비용1,230만 달러지난 5개 분기 평균인 1,220만 달러와 비교
비GAAP 주당순손실$0.06전분기 대비 약 $0.01 개선
담보부 전환사채원금 2,200만 달러만기 5년, 이자 전용, 이자율 12%, 전환가 $1의 채권
GAAP 발행주식수1억 9,080만 주2026년 6월 30일 기준

사업 및 영업 성과

에소가드 검사량은 안정적인 수준을 유지했으나, 루시드는 상업적 중점을 메디케어, VA 및 계약 기반 수익 기회로 전환했습니다. 2분기 검사 중 40% 미만이 이 범주에 속했으며, 이는 전분기 대비 대폭 증가한 수치입니다. 경영진은 전체 검사량이 전반적으로 변동이 없었음에도 불구하고 이러한 전환 덕분에 매출이 증가했다고 밝혔습니다.

회사는 소방관 건강 박람회 행사에 대한 의존도를 줄이고 1차 진료 의사, 소화기 내과 전문의 및 보건 시스템과의 연계를 강화하고 있습니다. 보건 시스템 전략에는 적격 환자를 식별하고, 주문을 간소화하며, 검사 워크플로를 지원하기 위한 전자 건강 기록 연동이 포함됩니다.

콘서트의 긍정적인 보험 적용 결정은 루시드 최초의 검사실 혜택 관리자 정책 수립 사례가 되었습니다. 이 정책은 에소가드를 확립된 스크리닝 기준을 충족하는 환자에게 의학적으로 필요한 것으로 분류한 반면, 평가된 다른 식도 전암 검사는 증거 부족으로 인해 연구 단계로 간주되었습니다. 콘서트의 3개 고객 플랜은 결정 직후 해당 정책을 도입했습니다.

또한 루시드는 미국소화기학회(ACG) 가이드라인의 주저자인 닉 샤힌(Dr. Nick Shaheen) 박사를 포함한 전문가들과 함께 보건의료 경제학 모델을 개발하고 있습니다. 경영진은 예비 결과에 따라 거의 모든 모델링 시나리오에서 에소가드가 기존 치료법 대비 비용 효율적인 것으로 나타났다고 밝혔습니다. 회사는 여름 동안 모델을 완료하고 동료 평가 학술지 출판을 위해 결과를 제출할 예정입니다.

경영진 전망

경영진은 보다 광범위한 보험 환급이 결정될 때까지 분기당 2,500~3,000건의 검사를 지속적인 목표로 삼고 있습니다. 긍정적인 메디케어 초안 보험 적용 정책이 확정되면 상업적 자원과 검사량을 늘리는 주요 동인이 될 것이나, VA 계약 및 추가적인 민간 보험 적용도 확장을 뒷받침할 수 있습니다.

루시드는 환급 상황이 개선됨에 따라 상업 인력과 프로그램을 소폭 확대할 계획입니다. 경영진은 검사의 환급 수준이 약 2,000달러이고 한계이익률이 약 90%에 달하므로 유료 검사량이 늘어남에 따라 영업비용 증가가 현금 소진에 미치는 영향이 제한적일 것이라고 밝혔습니다.

회사는 10월 1일 새 연방 예산 연도가 시작된 후 VA 구매 주문 및 계약이 검사량 증가에 기여하기 시작할 것으로 예상하고 있습니다. 경영진은 또한 향후 몇 분기 내에 추가적인 콘서트 고객 플랜이 에소가드 정책을 도입할 것으로 기대하고 있으나, 구체적인 계약이나 매출 전망은 제시하지 않았습니다.

리스크 및 주시 사항

  • 메디케어 보험 적용은 단기적으로 가장 중요한 이정표로 남아 있으나, CMS 및 MolDX LCD 업무 적체로 인해 발표 시기는 불확실합니다.
  • 매출 인식은 수금 가능성에 크게 의존합니다. 대부분의 전통적인 보험 청구는 현재 대금이 수금될 때만 매출로 인식됩니다.
  • 실적 발표 시점 기준으로 2분기 청구 건의 약 65%가 심사 완료되었습니다. 심사 완료된 청구의 약 28%에서 인정한도액이 발생했으며, 공제액과 본인부담금을 제외한 검사당 평균 인정한도액은 1,424달러였습니다.
  • 경영진은 거절 트렌드가 여전히 변동성이 크다고 말했습니다. 언급된 사유로는 사전 승인 요건, 실험적/연구 단계 분류, 추가 의료 기록 요청 등이 포함되었습니다.
  • 비급여 상태인 경우 청구건에 대해 인정한도액이 발생하더라도 환자 본인 부담금이 커질 수 있어 수금 금액이 제한될 수 있습니다.
  • 현금 소진액을 더 줄이려면 상업적 또는 임상적 활동을 축소해야 하는데, 경영진은 잠재적인 메디케어 적용을 준비하는 현 시점에서는 적절하지 않다고 판단하고 있습니다.

애널리스트 Q&A 주요 내용

메디케어 적용 시기: 경영진은 팔메토 GBA(Palmetto GBA)의 인력 변동이 루시드의 신청 건에 영향을 미치지 않을 것으로 예상된다고 밝혔습니다. 회사는 심사가 막바지 단계에 있다고 보고 있으나 발표 날짜는 제시하지 않았습니다.

민간 보험 적용: 콘서트의 고객 플랜은 중서부를 중심으로 총 1,000만 명에 조금 못 미치는 피보험자를 보유하고 있습니다. 루시드는 보험 적용을 도입하는 지역으로 상업적 자원을 집중할 계획입니다.

VA 기회: VA는 2분기 검사량에 실질적인 영향을 미치지 않았습니다. 루시드는 10월 1일 연방 회계연도 재편에 앞서 VA 센터 파이프라인을 구축하고 구매 주문을 확보하고 있습니다.

원가 구조: 경영진은 에소체크(EsoCheck) 기기 비용이 약 60달러, 검사실 처리 비용이 검사당 약 125달러 소요된다고 추정했습니다. 생산량 증대와 자동화를 통해 효율성을 추가로 제고할 수 있으나, 경영진은 시장 도입과 가격 보존이 수익성을 견인하는 더 중요한 요인이라고 보고 있습니다.

대체 지불 채널: 컨시어지 의료는 투입된 자원 대비 충분한 검사량이나 수금을 창출하지 못해 더 이상 주요 주력 분야가 아닙니다. 루시드는 대신 계약된 소방관 행사, 자가 보험 가입 기업, VA 및 보험 적용 민간 플랜을 우선시하고 있습니다.

실적 발표 컨퍼런스 콜 전문


전체 실적 발표 컨퍼런스 콜 녹취록

경영진 발표

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Lucid Diagnostics second quarter 2026 business update conference call. [Operator Instructions] The call is being recorded on Thursday, August 13, 2026. I would now like to turn the conference over to Matt Riley, Lucid Diagnostics Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Matthew Riley

Thank you, operator, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for participating in today's business update call. Joining me today on the call are Dr. Lishan Aklog, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Lucid Diagnostics, along with Dennis McGrath, Chief Financial Officer. The press release announcing our business update and financial results is available on Lucid's website. Please take a moment to read the disclaimers about forward-looking statements in the press release. The business update, press release, and conference call all include forward-looking statements, and these forward-looking statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from statements made. Factors that could cause actual results to differ are described in the disclaimer and in our filings to the SEC.

The list and the description of these and other important risks and uncertainties that may affect future operations, see Part 1, Item 1A, entitled Risk Factors, and the most recent annual report on Form 10-K, filed with the SEC, and any subsequent updates filed in quarterly reports on Form 10-Q and subsequent Forms 8-K. As required by law, Lucid disclaims any intentions or obligations to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect changes in expectations or in events, conditions or circumstances on which expectations may be based or that may affect the likelihood that actual results will differ from those contained in the forward-looking statements. I would now like to turn the call over to Dr. Lishan Aklog.

Lishan Aklog

Thank you, Matt, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us today and for your continued engagement and support. We continue to make progress across key commercialization initiatives as we await Medicare draft LCD publications, and we're eager to discuss these today. Let's begin with some key highlights from the second quarter and recently. This quarter, our laboratory performed 2,770 EsoGuard tests, and we recognized $1.5 million in revenue. Revenue is up about 17% from the prior quarter, and our volume remains within our target range of approximately 2,500 to 3,000 tests.

This reflects increased commercial focus on testing opportunities that are likely to drive revenue. In addition, we secured our first laboratory benefit manager commercial coverage policy from Concert. The Concert policy has already been adopted by multiple client health plans. This is a major commercial coverage milestone and represents third-party review of EsoGuard's clinical evidence. Concert concluded that EsoGuard is medically necessary for patients meeting established screening criteria and that the evidence definitively demonstrates improved health outcomes. We'll talk more about Concert and the significance of this policy shortly. Now let's turn to key updates related to market access and commercialization.

With regards to Medicare, we continue to wait for publication of our draft LCD, but we remain confident that we will secure a positive draft policy. We do note that there's been a broad backlog at CMS with regard to LCD output, however, there does seem to be a sign that that backlog may be loosening. Several long-awaited LCDs have been published. In regard to the VA, this remains a very large opportunity for us, and the process is progressing very well. Our team has built a robust, high-quality pipeline of VA centers across the U.S., and most notably, our clinical engagement has been extremely positive. We're essentially getting no pushback from the clinicians. The team is making progress in translating those clinical engagements into contracts. A key focus is securing contracts for the new federal fiscal year, which begins on October 1.

Next, let's try to provide some additional context on Concert and our commercial coverage updates. So as anticipated last week, Concert issued a positive coverage policy for EsoGuard, representing our first laboratory benefit manager, LBM, coverage policy. They specifically covered our test, but noted that other esophageal precancer tests that were evaluated were considered investigational due to insufficient evidence. Let's talk a little bit about how laboratory benefit managers work. Laboratory benefit managers concentrate the technical assessment of molecular diagnostic tests into single entities, and client health plans contract with them in order to ensure a coverage policy. Three of Concert's client plans have adopted our policy with several more expected to do so in the coming months. Not all plans permit public announcements, so we won't necessarily be presenting that publicly.

The plans that have adopted the policy are somewhat concentrated in certain geographic areas, which is helpful in securing these regional commercial plans. It enhances our ability to allocate resources accordingly. We continue to be actively engaged with all the other laboratory benefit managers, and we do feel confident that the Concert policy will set a precedent for others. Moving on to healthcare economic research, unlike with Medicare, an important tool for commercial coverage is demonstrating cost-effectiveness. We have partnered with the lead author of the American College of Gastroenterology guidelines and have developed a sophisticated cost-effectiveness model, working alongside HEOR experts and international key opinion leaders in Barrett's esophagus and esophageal cancer. This model compares the long-term clinical and economic impact of EsoGuard screening versus current care across the at-risk population. It's very important to take a long-term view of these cost-effectiveness models, particularly in screening where the benefit of early detection can take years to emerge.

The model assessed the impact on BE detection, on esophageal cancer state shifting, esophageal cancer avoidance, and esophageal cancer-related mortality. This information helps payers assess whether the clinical benefits of EsoGuard justify the cost. The model is expected to be completed this summer, but the preliminary results are actually very encouraging and show positive clinical impact, with EsoGuard appearing as cost-effective compared to current care. Another key area of focus is our engagement with health systems. There's extensive health system work underway, a major part of our commercialization strategy. We're translating those initial conversations into active implementation work. This process can take a long time.

The lead time of this can take a bit of time, but we're starting to see results from it. Part of the work involves tailoring the clinical workflow, supporting patient identification, ordering, and results. The EHR plays a particularly important role in health systems with regard to automated patient identification, streamlining patients within the health systems toward EsoGuard testing as appropriate. So, in summary, we really are getting meaningful traction across market access in our commercialization efforts, and we haven't been idle as we await Medicare coverage. Obviously, Medicare coverage remains our most important near-term milestone, and we remain confident we will successfully secure a positive draft policy. Our VA work, as I noted, is progressing well, and we expect that success to build in the new budget cycle and contribute to future revenue growth. Commercial coverage, economic evidence, and health system infrastructure are all advancing extremely well.

Collectively, this progress is increasing Lucid's visibility and creating interesting opportunities for broader strategic engagement. So with that, I'll turn it over to Dennis for the financial update.

Dennis McGrath

Thanks, Lishan, and good morning, everyone. The summary financial results for the second quarter were reported in our press release that has been distributed. On the next three slides, I'll emphasize a few key financial highlights from the second quarter, but I encourage you to consider these remarks in the context of the full disclosures covered in our quarterly report on Form 10-Q. With regard to the balance sheet, cash at quarter end June 30 was $33.4 million, which is essentially flat with the year-end balance. We completed a common stock offering during the quarter with net proceeds of about $16.8 million. The average burn rate for the last four quarters, including cash interest on the debt, was $11.6 million per quarter, with the second quarter a little bit lower at $11.3 million. Our $22 million secured convertible debt is a five-year note, interest only at 12%, with a dollar conversion price, which is held by long-term shareholders.

The fair value of the convertible notes in the amount of $23.5 million at quarter end is really the only other substantive change from the previously reported balances at the end of the year and also at the end of the first quarter. The fair value decrease of $1.7 million in the quarter reflects a mark-to-market quarterly adjustment in parallel with the common stock price changes between the periods. The fair value decrease also is a substantial part of the second quarter income pickup of $1 million reflected in other income in the P&L. Shares outstanding, including unvested restricted stock awards and the earlier conversion of the remainder of the preferred shares, are approximately 203 million. After the conversion of the Series B1 preferred shares on May 6, there were approximately 22 million common shares held in abeyance due to the 4.99% ownership blockers in the former Series B and B1 certificate of designation. If these abeyance shares had been issued, common shares outstanding would be around 225 million. The GAAP outstanding shares as of June 30 of 190.8 million are reflected on the slide as well as on the face of the balance sheet in the 10-Q.

GAAP shares do not reflect unvested RSA amounts, and there are no longer any preferred shares outstanding. At present, PAVmed continues to be the single largest common shareholder of Lucid Diagnostics with ownership of approximately 15% of the common shares outstanding. Although PAVmed no longer has voting control of Lucid, together with the board and management, still have a considerable influence over Lucid with approximately 25% voting interest. With regard to the P&L, this slide compares this year's second quarter to last year's second quarter and year over year on certain key items. I trust you'll review the information in my comments in the light of the cautionary disclosure at the bottom of the slide about supplemental information, particularly non-GAAP information. Our sales team sold 2,770 tests for the second quarter with a billable value over $7.5 million, resulting in recognized revenue of $1.5 million. The test volume is within the range we have been targeting in this pre-Medicare time period.

With new investors once again joining us for this call, it's worth repeating what we've communicated in past quarters about revenue recognition. The key determinant in how revenue is recognized at this point in our reimbursement journey is the probability of collection. Therefore, due to the fact that we are in the transitional stages of our reimbursement process, means revenue recognition for the majority of our claims submitted to traditional government or private health insurance will be recognized when the claim is actually collected. For tests that have a definitive coverage arrangement, revenue will be recognized when the patient's report is delivered, invoiced, and submitted for reimbursement. As you'll see in our 10-Q, this is called variable consideration in the jargon of GAAP's ASC 606 revenue recognition guidelines, and presently there is insufficient predictive data to reflect revenue from all of our quarterly test volume at the point where the test is delivered to the referring physician.

For billable amounts contracted directly with employers, including the VA, and that are fixed and determinable, will be recognized as revenue when our contracted service is delivered. Generally, that means when the report is delivered to the referring physician. It's important to note that a pending Medicare approval decision impacts 40% to 50% of our addressable patient population, and therefore will have a significant impact on our future revenue recognition analysis. Furthermore, for tests performed on Medicare patients with dates of service within 12 months of a final positive Medicare policy, we'll also get paid within a reasonable timeframe after the final policy is issued.

With regard to the remainder of the P&L, the second quarter's total OPEX on both a GAAP and a non-GAAP basis is slightly higher than the first quarter by about 5%, reflecting expected increases in commercial activities, including headcount and sales personnel, clinical service staff, and market access. The non-GAAP net loss per share of $0.06 in the second quarter is better by about a penny sequentially and about $0.04 versus each of the previous three quarters prior to that. With regard to our operating expenses, this slide is a graphic illustration of our operating expenses after eliminating non-cash expenses for the period is reflected. Non-GAAP operating expenses of $12.3 million are basically in line with the average non-GAAP OPEX for the previous five quarters. That is 12.3 versus an average of $12.2 million for those five quarters. Let me close with a few reimbursement highlights for the second quarter. In the second quarter, as mentioned, we sold almost 2,800 tests, reflecting about $7.6 million in pro forma revenue at our list price of $2,749. During the second quarter, we recognized revenue of about 19% of that amount, or $1.5 million.

Recognized revenue included about $5.5 million in pro forma revenue. 35% from insurance claims submitted in the prior quarters with the longest dated item over two years ago. Of the claims submitted in the second quarter, about 65% have been adjudicated and 35% are pending. Out of the 65% that have been adjudicated, about 28% resulted in an allowable amount by the insurance company with an average of $1,424 per test. Of those denied, most fit into one of three buckets. A, medically not necessary, deemed to be medically not necessary or investigational. Or B, require a prior authorization. Or C, require additional medical records. The balance are deemed to be non-covered.

With that, operator, let's open it up for questions.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question and answer session. [Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from Kyle.

질의응답

Unknown Analyst

Hi, this is Alex Cicchese and I'm on for Kyle Mikson. The test volume remains essentially within the bounds of the guidance you've given us previously, so that comes to no surprise really. How did the VA factor the test volume during the quarter?

Lishan Aklog

The VA has not yet contributed meaningfully to the test volume. We're still in the process of engaging with the centers and working through budgets and contracting, and we're really in that phase. So that's going well. We're starting to secure contracts, and we'll start to see the VA contribute to our volume moving forward.

Unknown Analyst

And so, looking at operating expenses, you noted there was an uptick during the quarter reflecting increasing commercial activities. Given the potential timing of the draft and final LCDs, can you just discuss plans to potentially accelerate SG&A in the next few quarters?

Lishan Aklog

Yes, let me just start. As we've discussed before, as we're awaiting Medicare, we have been for the past couple of quarters making some updates to our commercial infrastructure in order to be ready to accelerate our commercial activities upon securing broader reimbursement. That involves shifting some of our commercial personnel to more senior personnel so that more readily and adding a modest amount, as Dennis mentioned, to the overall commercial headcount. Dennis, did you want to add anything?

Dennis McGrath

Yes, sure thing. So implicit in your question is also the implication in terms of burn and capital requirements. It's important to note when you think about that, yes, we are going to increase headcount. We are going to increase programs and take advantage of the reimbursement landscape as it improves. But because we have a roughly $2,000 test and a 90% margin for the next patient in the door, you're not going to have the incremental burn that you otherwise would have if this was a 50% margin test at a lower price point. So one of the favorable things, or tailwinds if you would, is just that, the test price, the margin. And yes, we are going to increase our OPEX, but it won't have the direct correlation to the burn that otherwise it might have.

Lishan Aklog

If I could also add one other thing, Alex, which is that, you know, as you sort of said in your first question, we do expect to start seeing the impact of our efforts at the VA as well as our efforts on the commercial payer side as we start to secure coverage policies and ultimately translate those into contracts and allocate resources accordingly. Commercial activity related to the VA and the commercial side as well.

Unknown Analyst

One last one from me. So you recently contracted with your first LBM, efforts of which you alluded to during your discussions earlier this year. Can you just elaborate a bit more on this news, as well as the potential you could bring on additional LBMs into the fold in the near term prior to Medicare coverage?

Lishan Aklog

Thanks, Alex. I think the first part was just elaborating on the LBM itself and what that means and then how this may serve as a launchpad for futures. Is that correct? Yes. Okay, great. Yes, we're quite excited about this. Maybe just a bit of an additional primer on how the system works. The diagnostic industry has on the commercial coverage side has laboratory benefit managers where they concentrate the technical expertise in assessing complex molecular diagnostic tests like ours. And client health plans, regional as well as national plans, contract with these laboratory benefit managers to write coverage policies on their behalf. So this is a very big first step for us.

This is our first laboratory benefit manager, and we're quite excited that the coverage policy that they wrote makes it clear that EsoGuard is medically necessary and really validates the bulk of our clinical evidence in support of that. And it did so looking at the entire landscape of potentially other products had found that only ours had sufficient evidence to justify that. So that was a big step and further validation of its importance is that three of its plans, three of the client plans for Concert, almost essentially immediately published their own coverage policies in sync with that, and we expect more to come.

This gives us an opportunity, as I mentioned in my prepared remarks. Often these plans tend to be regionally concentrated. It gives us the opportunity to allocate resources in a geographic fashion consistent with that. The second part of your question is also extremely important. It's always important to get the first one under our belt in conversations with other plans and with other LBMs. Obviously, a very common question is who else is on board. So having Concert on board will certainly help us, and it's been positive, has had a positive impact on our ongoing discussions with other LBMs.

Operator

Your next question comes from Mark with BTIG. Please go ahead.

Mark Massaro

I guess the first one, just maybe asking about CMS. I completely understand there's been a long queue several years. I just wanted to maybe ask, I know there was at least one person who changed or is about to change his role at Palmetto GBA. I'm just curious if you think any of the personnel change might have any impact to your wait in front of Medicare?

Lishan Aklog

We don't think so. As we've said before, we've been in close communication with the leadership at MolDX, and we obviously do our best to try to understand to the best of our ability what may be going on behind the scenes. We feel quite confident that things are in the late stages and that the work that went in to getting us this far all the way through the CAC meeting and beyond is already sort of built in, baked in. So it's our understanding, you know, to the best of our ability to ascertain that as you hinted at the beginning of your question, that there has been a bit of a prolonged backlog with the processing and the delays in processing LCDs coming out of the MACs, including MolDX at CMS. There's a sort of a broad sense within the community that this may be loosening up as a couple of long-awaited LCDs that apparently were using up a significant amount of the bureaucratic bandwidth have come to fruition over the last couple of weeks. So we're hopeful that that loosening will accelerate the process of processing our LCD.

Mark Massaro

Okay, great. And then congrats again on getting Concert over the goal line. I guess can you just remind us, it looks like three of the plans have followed their coverage. If you could remind us how many plans look to Concert and, if all of them converted, do you have a sense for how many covered lives that could mean?

Lishan Aklog

Yes, under Concert, there are numerous plans under Concert leading to just under 10 million covered lives. All I can really say publicly is that we are on board. We expect a couple more in the coming quarters, and then ultimately, we have every reason to believe that all of the client plans will ultimately mimic the coverage policy of the LBM.

Mark Massaro

Okay, perfect. If I can sneak one last one in. I just want to make sure that you're still planning to move in line with your target of 2,500 to 3,000 tests per quarter. And then I wanted to get a sense for how some of the activity is going just generally with firefighters and also with some of the more typical initiatives in primary care type clinics?

Lishan Aklog

So, yes, I think for now we're still targeting that range, sort of as we prep behind the scenes and kind of make the modifications behind the scenes that I had mentioned in my earlier response. I think the trigger for us to start trying to drive up that volume by increasing our resources will really depend on obviously the big trigger would be securing our draft coverage policy, but also the parallel efforts and traction of the VA and with our commercial plans will obviously influence that as well. You know, as we've talked about previously, the mix of that volume, even though we kind of report a fairly steady number quarter to quarter, we're trying to shift that, that earlier that was dominated by the health fair type event that you had described, that you were hinting at, the firefighter events, as those were the most efficient ways for us to generate the test volume that we need to direct claim submissions and drive and support our engagement with the commercial payers.

So behind the scenes, as we've talked about previously, we have been making adjustments to our commercial strategy, our incentive plans, and so forth to start shifting that volume back towards more traditional engagements with primary care physicians, gastroenterologists, and as we've described, health systems as well. And that is working. We've also started to see, also have been pushing the team to shift more of our health care events towards contracted plans where we have confidence and assurance that we'll get paid for. And that progress, that's progressing as well. So as you may note that our revenue this quarter was up even though our test volume was flat, a reflection of those kind of behind-the-scenes efforts. Dennis, do you want to add anything to that?

Dennis McGrath

Yes, sure thing. So, Mark, maybe just a little bit more granularity, just expanding on what Lishan said. Our comp plans are now more heavily weighted towards what the team's calling MVAC, Medicare, VA, and contracted revenue. The contracted revenue would include firefighters and self-insured employers. It's an emphasis on getting paid. And so when you look at the total of 2,800 tests in the quarter, just under 40% fit that category, and that's up substantially from the previous quarter. And the government insurance, which I'll include Medicare and Medicare Advantage, Medicaid, and TRICARE, and the VA is about half of that, and the direct contract needs the other half.

And as Lishan said, the VA presently is not contributing to the test volume. The VA is more about obtaining purchase orders and pipeline building until the new budget year in October. Test volume from those POs from those purchase orders is forthcoming and will contribute to the mix. So that gives you a little bit more color in terms of the split on the volume, but it is increasing in terms of the concentration on the MVAC commercial efforts.

Mark Massaro

Yep, that's really helpful. Thanks guys very much.

Operator

Your next question comes from Mike with Needham. Please go ahead.

Unknown Analyst

So I guess first, just on this cost-effectiveness model, I was wondering if there were any kind of metrics you could share there. I don't know if you were looking at things in terms of, you know, cost per quality-adjusted life year or something like that.

Lishan Aklog

Yes, we're not publicly ready to disclose the public numbers. We're still wrapping up the final touches to the model, but it is a very sophisticated HEOR model. We have worked with Dr. Nick Shaheen, who's one of our close advisors. You guys may recall he's the lead author of the American College of Gastroenterology guidelines. And he also happens to have a lot of expertise in this type of model building. And these are quite sophisticated models, kind of analyses that incorporate numerous variables, does modeling in a variety of scenarios, and their view is towards the long-term value across multiple parameters, as I mentioned, all the way from the detection of the precancerous conditions, all the way through the patient journey and for those who develop cancer. So yes, one of the metrics will be what you mentioned, quality-adjusted life years, but there's a lot of other details that come out of it.

It's really designed to be the type of model that commercial payers can sink their teeth into. If you recall, we said this before, Medicare doesn't incorporate healthcare economics, but obviously the commercial do and demonstrating long-term cost-effectiveness, not just budget impact, but long-term cost-effectiveness is important, will be important over the long term. So all I can say right now is that the initial results with regard to the cost-effectiveness of EsoGuard testing across that broad spectrum of parameters is looking quite good, and it's looking quite good across nearly all model scenarios that were modeled in this analysis. So those results will be released shortly. They'll be submitted for publication. These models need to go through the peer review process and publication for them to have their greatest impact in our conversations with commercial payers.

Unknown Analyst

Okay, got it, got it. And then just on, you know, curious where you're seeing your test samples being taken, you know, has there been any kind of changes there? I mean, I guess what I'm asking about is like the PCPs versus the GIs versus your test centers.

Lishan Aklog

Yes, so I sort of hit this with Mark's question, but the – and Dennis elaborated on it. Our efforts over the last couple of quarters to shift our incentive plans, so that our volume starts to shift away from being heavily dominated by these firefighter health fair type events towards engagement with primary care physicians and with GIs in our more traditional model, which in our case includes what we've referred to as our satellite Lucid test center model, where our nursing team, our clinical services team, performs testing days at private practices, primary care practices and GI practices as well as desired. So yes, behind the scenes that shift is going well. It always will include both primary care and gastroenterologists. Both of those are targets for us, but the majority of patients are at the primary care physician. However, the GIs play a very important role, as a conduit towards their primary care referral patterns, but also within their four walls, within their practice of the GIs, there are patients that they are happy to adopt our technology. I know we can discuss that further if you'd like.

In addition, as I wanted to emphasize, the long-term efforts over the last couple of years for us to engage with health systems and develop models for building programs within larger health systems that include incorporating the entirety of the primary care physician group, for example, in the health system, training them, incorporating the cell collection processes and all of the integration that's involved with EHR integration and system building and all of that, that's really starting to come to fruition and we're starting to lock down implementation and actually doing volumes and having these programs be active at multiple health systems.

Unknown Analyst

Okay, that's all I have.

Operator

Your next question comes from Anthony with Maxim Group. Please go ahead.

Anthony Vendetti

So in terms of the coverage policy from Concert, do we know the number of enrolled lives, covered lives under that, and what that potential is in terms of patients?

Lishan Aklog

Yes. So, you know, covered lives is always a bit of a tricky number. So, you know, we don't want to... There's obviously complexities that underlie that with regards to the geographic distribution, the age distribution, the demographics and so forth. But overall, the plan, again, the covered lives are not at the LBM level, right? They're at the individual client health plans underneath the LBM. And the total number is about, a bit under 10 million covered lives within the client health plans under Concert. As I said, those are – they are concentrated. They tend to be in the Midwest, in the upper Midwest, in the central Midwest, and in the upper Midwest.

Those areas are dominant within there. So in terms of the potential, yes, it's a significant potential. And we are, as I mentioned, we are, because it's concentrated geographically, it gives us the ability to allocate resources, allocate our team. You know, our team has generally been concentrated in certain areas, and this gives us some directionality in terms of where to target our resources further.

Anthony Vendetti

Okay, and then just as a follow-up, has the number of denials of coverage for your product, has that started to trend down? Or is it just every quarter it's kind of, is sort of the process, and is there anything else that you're doing from your end to try to get those denials down in terms of... I know when there's a denial, you provide evidence of necessity and so forth, but is there anything else you can do from your end to prevent the denial from happening initially?

Dennis McGrath

Yep, so it's choppy Anthony and give you a couple things that we can do when it requires additional medical information, we're doing things to provide that in advance. But some of the puzzling things which just point to as a placeholder until they get it into the networking planning policy is medically not necessary. Well, every one of our patients meet all the guidelines that exist. Or you know, a denial that's experimental or investigational. Well, United and Cigna now have policies about their endoscopy that point to EsoGuard as a gating factor to approve an endoscopy. So that, you know, goes against it being experimental or investigational. It's just an indication it's placeholders.

And it's just the continuing work of engagement, having the tools, clinical evidence, having the health economics, having the Medicare, all of those components help. And having an LBM like Concert now demonstrate coverage based upon clinical evidence is certainly a good indicator of some of these pillars are starting to fall based upon claims data, appeals, providing engagement with all of the significant clinical evidence, and there'll be more of that. But as far as the denials, there's really no trends that we can make headway out of it.

Lishan Aklog

But just to emphasize something Dennis said, as you were sort of asking, we definitely sort of leave no stone left unturned with regard to our efforts within our revenue cycle management process. So Dennis mentioned a few of those, you know, being very aggressive about supplying the full medical records and full clinical evidence in advance, being meticulous about how the test requisition forms are filled out and make sure that they have the appropriate coverage and criteria and so forth and even exploring situations where prior auth comes into place, working through the appeals process in a sophisticated way. We do all of that, but I think much of that is on the edges. At the end of the day, the only way to really flip this fundamentally is to start securing coverage policies and that's what we're doing.

Anthony Vendetti

Yes, so it sounds like you're doing everything humanly possible. It's just the way the system works. So what was the percent approximately of denials this quarter?

Dennis McGrath

I'm going back to my statistics that I put in my prepared remarks and just give me a moment here we'll get there. So in the second quarter of the year, of the 2,800 tests, we've so far had about two-thirds of them that have been adjudicated. And out of the ones that were adjudicated, about a third resulted in a payment allowance. Now, the allowance that I quoted of $1,424 is after deductibles and co-pays and that sort of thing. So it's bumping up with all of that components. It's out of network predominantly. It bumps up against the Medicare rate. And of those denied, those three buckets, experimental or investigational was 18%, require prior authorization was 22%, or required some additional medical records was 5%. So that gives you some color in terms of the percentage in those couple of buckets.

Lishan Aklog

Can I just add one thing? Because your question really does help remind people about some of the complexities here. So the issue is not simply you don't have coverage or you don't have prior auth or some of the other flags that are brought up that lead to denials, even in situations where there's an allowable amount, if you are out of network, then the ability to collect on that because of the portion that's under patient responsibility is limited. So the importance of securing these coverage policies is not simply to have claims approved, but we're also going to get paid through them because the portion that's allocated to patient responsibility goes down dramatically. Does that make sense?

Anthony Vendetti

Right, right. See, as your network grows also, it lowers the denial rate. Yes, being in network ultimately has the biggest impact on converting an allowed claim into revenue. Okay, great. That was very helpful. I'll hop back in the queue.

Operator

Your next question comes from Ed with Ascendant Capital. Please go ahead.

Edward Woo

My question is on the $2,000 test reimbursement. Is there any opportunity to increase that going forward for factoring inflation?

Lishan Aklog

Look, at this point, you know, we're not really pushing for that. We're quite satisfied that that's a fair price. You know, our cost of goods, our marginal incremental cost of goods is relatively modest, and our focus is on adoption and on securing coverage policy.

Edward Woo

Great. Well, thanks for answering my questions.

Operator

Your next question comes from Kyle with Canaccord. Please go ahead.

Kyle Mikson

So I just wanted to ask if there's any update on concierge medicine and kind of like unique ways of getting payment and maybe going forward, ways to supplement non-coverage and the traditional ways of having coverage reimbursement.

Lishan Aklog

Yes, you know, as you're hinting at, you know, last year we did explore the concierge medicine side of things and, you know, had some success, but we found that the hurdles were really quite high with regard to the resources that are required to convert a concierge practice into test volume as well as into payment. So our emphasis outside of the traditional pathways include sort of contracted events, whether it's contracted through fire departments and other entities as well as on the employer side, as well as what we mentioned, shifting our focus to MVAC. So ultimately, concierge is not a major emphasis for us. We just didn't see the payoff with regard to the resources that we were trying to allocate towards that.

Kyle Mikson

Got it. And when you think about hiring new reps, what industries would make sense for them to come from? I mean, how do you think about hiring from pharma or management?

Lishan Aklog

Yes, we've had a lot of experience with that over now, five or six years, and we have really honed our internal expertise and skill set with regard to recruiting and training and demonstrating what types of individuals with regard to their background fit well in certain within the hierarchy of the sales team. It actually includes sort of all of the above, that we've had good success sort of younger, early stage, early career folks out in the field as long as they're well trained in engaging directly with physicians. But certainly on the sales leadership side, you know, at the district and regional and national level, having folks who have experience within GI, within GI diagnostics. So it's a bit of a mix, but our experience over the last couple of years is really – at the end of the day, let me just emphasize one other thing, sorry, Kyle, which is that it all still ultimately comes down to training. And our training program, our team that does sales training has gotten really quite sophisticated.

And the most recent updates to our programs include AI, include AI-based role playing, handling, objection handling by physicians and sort of, you know, the ability to train folks to engage and tell our story and tell our message as they engage with physicians has gotten quite a bit more sophisticated. So backgrounds matter. It's diverse, as I mentioned, but what really translates into effectiveness in the field is converting that experience into sales training.

Kyle Mikson

Okay, and it's been years obviously offering the test. I'm just curious if you've already kind of unlocked most of the cost of goods sold savings over the years, or if there's some sort of automation or like any next-gen versions that you can kind of do that with and maybe talk about what a COGS process could look like over the long term.

Lishan Aklog

Yep, at our current volumes, we've really spent a lot of time honing our SOPs and the entire underlying processes for the assay, and it is really quite efficient. We continue to improve on that. We have new AI-based tools for requisitions for as samples come in. So there are still some improvements that we're able to extract, but we're really quite efficient. But as you hinted, clearly as volume grows and we are at higher levels of volume, there are multiple opportunities to incorporate further technological advances to improve efficiencies, and much of that centers around automation. So there are plenty of opportunities for that. I don't know, Dennis, do you want to comment on how that would –

Dennis McGrath

Yes, just to give you a sense, presently, you know, the EsoCheck device costs around $60, and to process a test through the lab is about $125 or so. We see the cost of the lab coming down marginally, and as you produce at a higher volume or the EsoCheck devices that will come down as well. Is there another $50 in there likely? Much further you can push down. You're talking about incremental amounts of 90% margins on the overall test. So adoption and price preservation are probably more important to margin profitability than trying to squeeze the profit, although they're doing everything they can. And as Lishan said, automation will certainly help with that.

Kyle Mikson

All right, thanks guys. And any other levers to reduce cash burn in the near term? I guess, I mean, obviously maybe the revenue influx would help offset that, but anything else you can think about as we model out your burn going forward and cash in?

Dennis McGrath

Well, as you do kind of a look backwards, the burn is pretty flat at $11.3 million. A good chunk of that is in commercial and clinical services and clinical evidence. And as we have indicated that we need to stay in that 2,500 to 3,000 test band at a minimum just to stay relevant with chief medical officers. You have to file claims, you have to file appeals. You don't have test volume, then you're just not going to be thought about. So when we look at that mix and trying to balance level of test volume to achieve those endpoints versus growth without getting paid, it just makes sense to try and preserve that. To cut the cash burn further, we would have to cut into some of the commercial activities, and that just doesn't make sense at this point in this, I'll call it zone of Medicare, and gearing up for that.

As we move forward, one of the comments we made earlier in this call is that with the test price at $2,000 and a margin of 90%, increasing our commercial activities with our headcount programs, and both are relevant in terms of increasing speed of adoption, you can do so without the normal significant burn because the payment cycle on the margin will help cut down what a lot of early stage companies have to suffer through, an increasing burn and consumption of capital during their growth phase. And that's a tailwind for us that's very beneficial.

Lishan Aklog

Yes, and just maybe to emphasize one other thing, I think really our best opportunity to lower our cash burn is to just drive revenue. And as you know, you should know, revenue was up a modest amount this quarter, despite the volume remaining even slightly down from quarter to quarter. So that really is where the near-term opportunity arises, is realizing revenue through the VA, through increasing contracted events, as well as by securing some of these commercial plans as we wait on Medicare.

Kyle Mikson

Perfect. Thanks, guys.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes today's Q&A session. I will turn the call back over to Dr. Lishan Aklog.

Lishan Aklog

Great. Thanks, operator, and thank you all for taking the time and for your attention this morning. As always, great questions from our analysts. I hope you found the discussions informative. Just really to summarize, we do remain confident that a positive Medicare draft LCD is forthcoming, and we're encouraged by some of the signs that the LCD backlog may be loosening. But, you know, meanwhile, we're happy with the progress we're making on multiple fronts. As we've discussed repeatedly during this call, the first LBM coverage policy is really solid progress. The VA, this new fiscal year will be really important in terms of us securing longer-term contracts within the upcoming budget. Engagement with health systems and the ability to use the EHR integration within health systems to drive success in those programs is great.

And again, it's a bit obscure, but our efforts on the healthcare economic side is extremely important, a very important milestone coming up. And it'll certainly over the long term will have a significant impact. All of this activity has been really important in sort of increasing our visibility and sort of our opportunities for broader strategic engagements, which is exciting. So thanks again. As always, we encourage you to keep abreast of our progress. Please follow our news releases, these update calls, our website, social media. And as always, feel free to reach out to us if you have any questions. So thanks, everybody, and have a great day.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this has concluded today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.

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