FTC Solar (FTCI) Q3 2026 Earnings Call: Umsatzwachstum und Profitabilitätsziel für Q1 2027
FTC Solar verzeichnete im dritten Quartal 2026 einen Umsatz von 32,8 Mio. US-Dollar, was einem Anstieg von 25,4 % gegenüber dem Vorquartal entspricht. Die Non-GAAP-Bruttomarge verbesserte sich auf 8,4 %, während sich der bereinigte EBITDA-Verlust auf 5,2 Mio. US-Dollar verringerte. Für das vierte Quartal prognostiziert das Management einen Umsatz von 44 Mio. bis 52 Mio. US-Dollar sowie ein profitables bereinigtes EBITDA für das erste Quartal 2027. Das Unternehmen sicherte sich neue Aufträge im Wert von über 100 Mio. US-Dollar. Als Risiken gelten mögliche Schwankungen bei der Projektausführung, Zölle sowie volatile Beschaffungs- und Logistikmärkte.
Wichtigste Erkenntnisse
- Der Umsatz in Q3 2026 erreichte 32,8 Mio. US-Dollar, ein Plus von 25,4 % gegenüber dem Vorquartal und 26,1 % gegenüber dem Vorjahr und lag damit knapp über der Mitte der Zielspanne des Managements.
- Die Non-GAAP-Bruttomarge verbesserte sich auf 8,4 %, verglichen mit einer Bruttoverlustmarge von 5,1 % in Q2 2026. Der bereinigte EBITDA-Verlust verringerte sich gegenüber dem Vorquartal auf 5,2 Mio. US-Dollar von 9,8 Mio. US-Dollar.
- FTC Solar prognostiziert für das vierte Quartal einen Umsatz von 44 Mio. bis 52 Mio. US-Dollar. Der Mittelwert von 48 Mio. US-Dollar entspricht einem Wachstum von rund 46 % gegenüber dem Vorquartal und wäre der höchste Quartalsumsatz des Unternehmens seit fast fünf Jahren.
- Das Management erwartet ein weiteres sequentielles Umsatzwachstum und ein profitables bereinigtes EBITDA in Q1 2027, gefolgt von einem deutlichen Umsatzwachstum und Profitabilität auf Ganzjahresbasis im Jahr 2027.
- Seit der letzten Telefonkonferenz zu den Quartalszahlen sicherte sich FTC Solar neue Aufträge von mehr als 100 Mio. US-Dollar, darunter Projekte in den USA, Großbritannien und Indien.
- DNV bestätigte die Installationsleistung von Pioneer 1P mit etwa 81 Arbeitsstunden pro Megawatt, was laut FTC Solar 30 % bis 50 % niedriger ist als der in Tests von Konkurrenzprodukten gemeldete Arbeitsaufwand.
Wichtigste Finanzergebnisse
| Kennzahl | Q3 2026 | Vergleich / Kontext |
|---|---|---|
| Umsatz | 32,8 Mio. US-Dollar | Plus 25,4 % ggü. VQ und 26,1 % ggü. VJ |
| GAAP-Bruttoergebnis | 1,9 Mio. US-Dollar | 5,8 % Marge; Q2 verzeichnete einen Bruttoverlust von 2,2 Mio. US-Dollar |
| Non-GAAP-Bruttoergebnis | 2,8 Mio. US-Dollar | 8,4 % Marge; Q2 verzeichnete einen Bruttoverlust von 1,3 Mio. US-Dollar |
| GAAP-Betriebsausgaben | 10,4 Mio. US-Dollar | — |
| Non-GAAP-Betriebsausgaben | 8,1 Mio. US-Dollar | Rückgang gegenüber 8,5 Mio. US-Dollar in Q2; 8,0 Mio. US-Dollar im Vorjahreszeitraum |
| GAAP-Nettoergebnis | 6,7 Mio. US-Dollar | Das Management meldete zudem einen verwässerten Verlust pro Aktie von 0,54 US-Dollar; die Ergebnisse enthielten eine bargeldlose Neubewertung des beizulegenden Zeitwerts von Warrants |
| Bereinigtes EBITDA | -5,2 Mio. US-Dollar | Verbessert von -9,8 Mio. US-Dollar in Q2; -4,0 Mio. US-Dollar im Vorjahreszeitraum |
Geschäfts- und operative Entwicklung
FTC Solar baute seine vertraglich gesicherte Projektbasis in mehreren Regionen weiter aus. In Nordamerika erhielt das Unternehmen einen Zuschlag für ein 750-Megawatt-Projekt, das 2027 beginnen soll, sowie ein weiteres 175-Megawatt-Projekt in den USA. Darüber hinaus verfolgt das Unternehmen im Rahmen seiner Zusammenarbeit mit Linxon und Hitachi Energy mehrere Projekte, darunter ein Portfolio in Puerto Rico von mindestens 700 Megawatt mit ETCM.
In Europa unterzeichnete FTC Solar einen mehrjährigen Rahmenvertrag mit AGR über 500 Megawatt bei Projekten im Vereinigten Königreich und erhielt einen ersten 30-Megawatt-Auftrag. In Australien setzte das Unternehmen die Umsetzung der im Vorquartal besprochenen 400 Megawatt an Projekten fort und unterzeichnete Absichtserklärungen mit sechs lokalen Materiallieferanten, um lokale Wertschöpfungsanforderungen zu unterstützen.
In Indien sicherte sich FTC Solar ein 118-Megawatt-Projekt mit Tata Power Solar, bei dem die erste Produktion bereits läuft, sowie ein 121-Megawatt-Projekt mit dem von Brookfield unterstützten Unternehmen Evren, bei dem der Produktionsstart für Q1 2027 erwartet wird.
Das Management führte die Margenverbesserung auf Lieferantenverhandlungen, Vertragsanpassungen, Effizienzsteigerungen in der Lieferkette sowie den Einsatz von Software und KI zurück. Das Unternehmen gab an, den Umsatz gesteigert zu haben, ohne die Non-GAAP-Betriebsausgaben gegenüber dem Vorquartal zu erhöhen.
Baufähigkeit und Automatisierung bleiben zentraler Bestandteil der operativen Strategie. DNV bestätigte die Installation von Pioneer 1P mit etwas mehr als fünf Stunden pro Tracker beziehungsweise etwa 81 Arbeitsstunden pro Megawatt. FTC Solar testet außerdem die robotergestützte Modulinstallation, Pfahlrammung und automatisierte Cinch-Clip-Montage mit externen Partnern und EPC-Unternehmen.
Prognose des Managements
| Kennzahl | Prognose für Q4 2026 |
|---|---|
| Umsatz | 44 Mio. bis 52 Mio. US-Dollar |
| Non-GAAP-Bruttoergebnis | 5,0 Mio. bis 8,3 Mio. US-Dollar |
| Non-GAAP-Bruttomarge | 11,4 % bis 15,9 % |
| Non-GAAP-Betriebsausgaben | 8,2 Mio. bis 8,8 Mio. US-Dollar |
| Bereinigtes EBITDA | -3,9 Mio. US-Dollar bis Break-even |
Das Management erwartet nun ein Umsatzwachstum von rund 25 % für das Gesamtjahr 2026, was unter dem vorherigen Ziel von 40 % liegt. Für Q4 wird in der Mitte der Prognosespanne eine Beschleunigung des Umsatzwachstums auf rund 46 % gegenüber dem Vorquartal erwartet.
Für Q1 2027 erwartet das Management ein anhaltendes Umsatzwachstum gegenüber dem Vorquartal sowie ein profitables bereinigtes EBITDA. Das Unternehmen gibt keine detaillierte Prognose für 2027 ab, rechnet jedoch derzeit mit einem deutlichen Umsatzwachstum und Profitabilität für das Gesamtjahr.
Risiken und Beobachtungspunkte
- Das Umsatzwachstum für das Gesamtjahr 2026 wird voraussichtlich hinter dem bisherigen Ziel des Unternehmens von 40 % zurückbleiben.
- Das Management gab an, dass das quartalsweise Wachstum je nach Fortschritt der Projektausführung schwanken kann.
- Zölle nach Section 232 stellten einige Projekte vor Herausforderungen, obwohl FTC Solar nach eigenen Angaben ein Projekt auf 100 % inländische Belieferung umstellte, um den Zeitplan des Kunden einzuhalten.
- Volatile Beschaffungs- und Logistikmärkte bleiben für die Vertragsgestaltung und das Margenmanagement von Bedeutung.
- Wachstum könnte den Liquiditätsbedarf erhöhen. Das Management plant, diesem durch bessere Zahlungsbedingungen für Kunden und Lieferanten, einen verbesserten Projekt-Cashflow und gegebenenfalls Finanzierungsoptionen entgegenzuwirken, die börsennotierten Unternehmen zur Verfügung stehen.
- Arbeitskräfteverfügbarkeit, schwieriges Terrain und Anforderungen an die lokale Wertschöpfung können die Projektausführung beeinträchtigen, obwohl das Management diese Faktoren auch als Alleinstellungsmerkmale für seine Produkte betrachtet.
Highlights der Analysten-Fragerunde
Das Management beschrieb den geringeren Dienstleistungsumsatz des Quartals als saisonbedingt und abhängig von projektspezifischen Garantie- und Nicht-Garantie-Aktivitäten. Das Unternehmen beabsichtigt weiterhin, Dienstleistungen und Software im Rahmen seines strategischen Plans auszubauen.
Bezüglich des Wachstums für 2027 erklärte das Management, dass der Umsatz nach Q4 2026 weiter steigen sollte, gestützt durch US-Stammkunden, neue nordamerikanische Projekte, Australien sowie ausgewählte Märkte wie Großbritannien und Mexiko.
FTC Solar gab an, dass KI und Automatisierung über die Tracker-Installation hinaus eingesetzt werden. Zu den aktuellen Anwendungsbereichen gehören Projektausschreibungen, technisches Design, Überwachung der Stahlkosten, Finanzabläufe und Lieferkettenmanagement. Das Management ist überzeugt, dass diese Maßnahmen die Margen stützen und es dem Unternehmen gleichzeitig ermöglichen können, schneller Angebote für mehr Projekte abzugeben.
Zur Liquidität erklärte das Management, dass ein höheres Projektvolumen die Verhandlungsposition gegenüber Kunden und Lieferanten verbessern sollte. Es wird erwartet, dass bessere Zahlungsbedingungen, stärkere Projektmargen und eine verbesserte Effizienz des Betriebskapitals die Liquidität mit steigendem Umsatz stützen werden.
Vollständiges Transkript der Telefonkonferenz zu den Quartalszahlen
Vollständiges Transkript der Telefonkonferenz
Ausführungen des Managements
Operator
Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to FTC Solar's Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded.
I would now like to hand the conference over to your first speaker today, Bill Michalek, VP of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Bill Michalek
Thank you, and welcome, everyone, to FTC Solar's Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. Before today's call, you may have reviewed our earnings release and supplemental financial information, which is posted earlier today. If you haven't reviewed these documents, they are available on the Investor Relations section of our website at ftcsolar.com. I'm joined today by Anthony Carroll, the President and CEO; Cathy Behnen, the company's Chief Financial Officer; and Patrick Cook, the company's Head of Capital Markets and BD.
Before we begin, I remind everyone that today's discussion contains forward-looking statements based on our assumptions and beliefs in the current environment and speaks only as of the current date. As such, these forward-looking statements include risks and uncertainties, and actual results and events could differ materially from our current expectations.
Please refer to our press release and other SEC filings for more information on the specific risk factors. We assume no obligation to update such information as required by law. As you'd expect, we'll discuss both GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures today. Please note that the earnings release issued this morning includes a full reconciliation of each non-GAAP financial measure to the nearest applicable GAAP measure.
With that, I'll turn the call over to Anthony.
Anthony Carroll
Thank you, Bill. It's really great to speak with you all again. I appreciate the opportunity to tell everyone about FTC's exciting progress, which I might summarize as more revenue, more margin, more awards and consistent improvement in a true trend towards profitability.
So on to the numbers. Our third quarter revenue grew 25% sequentially, and our results were again in line or better than our target ranges. Revenue was also above the midpoint of our guidance and gross margin and adjusted EBITDA were better than the top end of our ranges. We continue to make substantial progress improving the business in terms of efficiency, productivity, product and customer positioning. Based on that progress, we expect to see accelerating revenue growth in the fourth quarter with the midpoint of our guidance range equating to 46% sequential growth and the highest absolute level in almost 5 years. And we expect 2027 to be an even stronger year with profitability in the first quarter. So let's jump into it.
I recently passed the 6-month mark as CEO. While it's still early in my tenure, I'm very pleased with the progress we're making. We're strengthening the fundamentals of the business. We're positioning ourselves for continued growth, and we're accelerating the transition into profitability. Customers do love our product. Our factories are producing and delivering on time and on budget, and we're protecting our margins. We all know how challenging this industry can be. And because of this, I'm very proud of the great people in FTC that are achieving those results. If you remember, last quarter, I outlined several key areas of focus, expanding our customer base, driving immediate bookings, ramping second half revenue, optimizing cost and breakeven level and something you know I'm very passionate about, robotics and AI. Today, I wanted to keep that structure and ensure that I can share all the great progress in these areas.
Okay. So let's talk about the progress with our customers first. We're making great moves in this area, both in the U.S. and globally. Let me start with North America. On the new customer front, I'm very pleased to share that we just recently received a 750-megawatt project award from a well-regarded developer with a high-profile backer for a project to start in 2027. This is a customer we have an installed base with, so it means continued business and trust that proves our business model. We also received another 175-megawatt project with a well-known U.S. customer.
As you may have seen this past quarter, we also announced an agreement with Linxon and Hitachi Energy, a company that I hold very close to my heart, establishing a strategic collaboration framework to jointly pursue and deliver utility-scale solar projects across North America and other markets. They are outstanding partners, and we're excited about the opportunity to combine our strengths to pursue new projects and deliver true value for our customers. As part of that collaboration, we're actively working on multiple large-scale projects in the U.S. as well as a portfolio of at least 700 megawatts along with ETCM in Puerto Rico that we will be sharing more about soon.
Our engineering support has been key in these promising projects. We also continue to make progress with the top 10 U.S. EPCs, and one of them has confirmed 5 more projects in their '27 and '28 pipeline are designed with our solution. Getting this repeat business is based on our successful execution and customer support. I also wanted to mention that, as you know, 232 tariffs have challenged some projects. And at FTC, we provide solutions, not problems. We were able to move one of these projects for a top developer to a 100% domestic supply during execution to add that advantage and keep the customer's ultimate time line on track. This type of service flexibility in U.S. manufacturing is part of what makes FTC unique.
Now moving to Europe. We announced today a new multiyear MSA for 500 megawatts of projects in the U.K. This is with AGR, a really great developer that I know very well and I've worked with for more than 15 years. I'm looking forward to partnering with that team again and growing our relationship and our business together. Along with the signing of the MSA, we've received a contract for initially 30 megawatts. And we've also continued to hire great talent in Europe to support that growth.
Over to Australia, where I was last week, at the All Energy Conference. We continue to successfully execute on the 400 megawatts of projects that we shared with you last quarter. And we've also dramatically expanded our project pipeline, adding multiple gigawatts, some of those expecting to close in the near future. Also, to further support the 100% local content requirement needed for some of these projects, we recently signed an MOU with 6 significant material suppliers in Australia to deliver that local content capabilities and put us in an even stronger position in this key market.
And finally, India. As I announced last quarter, we have strategically expanded into the fast-growing renewable energy market. And I'm very pleased to share that we have recently secured new contracts with 2 premier blue-chip customers in the region. The first is a 118-megawatt project with Tata Power Solar, the solar subsidiary of India's largest power and energy company. Initial production for the project is already underway. The second is a 121-megawatt project with Evren, the Indian renewable development firm backed by Brookfield. Initial production for the project is expected to begin in the first quarter of 2027. These are outstanding wins with high-quality customers and reflect the tremendous growth we're seeing in our pipeline across India.
FTC has had presence in India since the earliest days of the company, and we have an impressive foundation in place, including global capability and training center, R&D facility and a software development hub supported by a talented team of almost 140 professionals. So overall, more projects, more new customers and more global presence, just what we said we would do when we last connected 3 months ago. Since the last call, we have received more than $100 million of new awards, essentially all of them with Tier 1 customers, and our commercial positioning in the market has never been better.
So now let's talk about revenue. In terms of our revenue growth priority, our revenue ramp continues. We grew over 50% sequentially in the second quarter, 25% sequentially in the third quarter and at the midpoint of our target range in the fourth quarter, we will grow 46%, and it will be our highest quarterly revenue level in almost 5 years. The growth rate may be variable and project execution progress determines some of these movements, but the direction and the trend are clear. And we expect to continue to see significant revenue growth in 2027.
Another key priority I highlighted last quarter is improving our cost structure and lowering our breakeven revenue, including through greater use of software and AI to automate workflows, boost productivity and identify savings while also transforming our contracting process and our integrated supply chain strategy. We have negotiated better contracts to provide greater stability to our customers amid volatile input and logistics markets. We have improved our terms with our key suppliers as they believe in us, and they see the growth, and we will continue to win together. We are now able to bid more projects faster, and we have been able to substantially increase our revenue without seeing an increase in our OpEx.
We have also been able to further show the financial advantages of using our constructability to speed up install times, but also our terrain following solutions to save customers a great amount of cost. All of this helps us protect the margins. Let's not forget about our manufacturing capabilities in the U.S. that allow not just vertical integration and shorter lead times, but access to a pool of more profitable projects that require local content. We remain disciplined as we accelerate towards profitability. We have met our recent commitments and with our current customers and projects, I'm very confident in our continued growth and profitability in Q1.
Last quarter, I promised to talk about numbers and savings when it comes to product installation and robotics. Before that, I want to share a thought, something that has really resonated from my now hundreds of meetings since I joined FTC. Across the globe, the energy revolution is not just about electrons. It's about construction and dirt. Yes, dirt. Easy square flat sites are rare nowadays. Sites for PV plants or data centers are now often in challenging terrain with complex soils, hard weather conditions and in areas where labor is usually a challenge. Hyperscalers and developers and investors are coming to us to ask, can we even build on this site? This is why I think FTC's value proposition really resonates.
If you give superior engineering support long before the contract, faster install times, less training required, superior terrain following solutions and advanced readiness for automation, combined with great software to analyze land, construction and performance, you will win. This is why I believe in this company and this team. Going back to my promise to deliver numbers, DNV, a leading global technical adviser and assurance firm, recently validated the installation performance of our Pioneer 1P tracker, just over 5 hours per tracker or approximately 81 labor hours per megawatt. That's 30% to 50% less installation labor than reported in competing product trials.
This isn't just a model or a simulation. It's real-world performance independently validated and demonstrated in the field. How do we achieve it? It's our DNA. Our teams have always developed the product as if we were the installers and owners. Engineering always focuses on constructability, simpler connections, bolt-free rail attachments, slide and glide module placement, color-coded components, better packaging, better sequencing and delivery, optional preassembly, all of that really matters. Every feature is designed to make installations faster, simpler and more efficient, and customers do care. Developers and hyperscalers need speed without sacrificing quality or reliability.
As one of the largest global developers recently said to me, if we can build solar projects in half the time, we can deploy twice the gigawatts. Another customer also recently selected us after testing showed our solution could reduce daily labor requirements by 400 people compared with competing alternatives. In a market increasingly constrained by labor availability, that's a powerful differentiator, helping customers improve productivity, reduce costs and build more projects with the same resources. That's why FTC exists. That's the power of constructability. Better engineering translated into measurable customer value. It drives project wins, repeat business and stronger customer partnerships.
And now on to robotics, a natural extension of our leadership in constructability and a key priority I highlighted last quarter. We believe robotics will be a major driver of productivity in solar, and FTC intends to help lead that transition. Our strategy is to partner with leading companies to develop open platform-agnostic solutions to make installations faster, safer and more automated, reducing costs and enabling the industry to scale more efficiently. We reinforced that commitment at RoboDay, bringing together more than 100 industry leaders and sharing promising results from our tests and pilots. We've run hundreds of these tests, and we've signed multiple agreements with companies that automatically install modules, execute robotic pile installation, automatically install our Cinch clip and especially we've connected those companies to the top EPCs that are using us as their testing platform to validate that data to later incorporate these companies into their innovation plans.
That's the secret. It's not just about saying we believe in robotics. It's about designing the product that is best for automation, investing in the people that are driving that innovation, spending thousands of hours in our Austin lab with our solar PV field and hundreds of trackers installed that we keep testing again and again and again with all types of robots. The biggest advantage starts with product design. Unlike systems that require robotics to be retrofitted onto manually oriented installation processes, our tracker is inherently automation-friendly. Modules hang automatically when placed, reducing manual handling and alignment. Our Python and Cinch clips have also been adapted for robotic installation, eliminating the need to align bolts and turn nuts.
In other words, we're not adapting our tracker for the future of automation. We're advancing one that already supports it. The opportunity is significant for everyone. Combine smarter engineering with automation to reduce labor, improve safety and consistency and lower installed cost. Constructability is delivering value today. Robotics will allow us to extend that value tomorrow. So overall, we continue to make solid progress across the business. We do have a great product and great customers. We committed to increasing our global expansion, growing our revenue, transforming our supply chain and our contracts, protecting our margins and improving our EBITDA. And we are delivering to that commitment.
I could not be prouder to continue to lead this company and drive our path to a very successful future. And with that, I'll turn it over to Cathy.
Cathy Behnen
Thanks, Anthony, and good morning, everyone. I'll provide some additional color on our third quarter performance and our outlook. Overall, third quarter results reflected continued execution of our growth strategy with strong sequential growth, improved gross margins and better-than-expected adjusted EBITDA. Revenue came in at $32.8 million, just above the midpoint of our target range for the quarter.
This revenue level represents an increase of 25.4% compared to the prior quarter and an increase of 26.1% compared to the year earlier quarter. GAAP gross profit was $1.9 million or 5.8% of revenue, compared to gross loss of $2.2 million or 8.5% of revenue in the prior quarter. Non-GAAP gross profit was $2.8 million or 8.4% of revenue, representing an improvement over non-GAAP gross loss of $1.3 million or 5.1% of revenue in the prior quarter and a gross profit of $2 million in the year ago quarter. GAAP operating expenses were $10.4 million. On a non-GAAP basis, operating expenses were $8.1 million at about the midpoint of our target range. This compares to non-GAAP operating expenses of $8.5 million in the prior quarter and $8 million in the year ago quarter.
GAAP net income, which, as a reminder, includes a noncash accounting adjustment each quarter to adjust warrants to the fair value based on the change in our stock price was $6.7 million or a loss of $0.54 per diluted share, compared to a loss of $27.1 million or a loss of $1.69 per diluted share in the prior quarter and a net loss of $23.9 million or $1.61 per diluted share in the year ago quarter. Adjusted EBITDA loss was $5.2 million, which was better than our target range. Adjusted EBITDA excludes approximately $11.9 million net for the change in fair value of the warrant liability, certain transition costs and other noncash items. This quarter's results compared to adjusted EBITDA loss of $9.8 million in the prior quarter and $4 million in the year ago quarter.
With that, let us turn our focus to the outlook. We have indicated over the past couple of quarters that we expected to see sequential growth for the remainder of the year, and that continues to be our expectation. While full year revenue growth will be shy of our prior 40% target, it will still represent a strong 25% growth for the year with accelerating revenue growth of 46% in the fourth quarter.
Specifically, our targets for the fourth quarter call for the following: revenue between $44 million and $52 million; non-GAAP gross profit between $5 million and $8.3 million or between 11.4% and 15.9% of revenue; non-GAAP operating expenses between $8.8 million and $8.2 million; and finally, adjusted EBITDA between a loss of $3.9 million and breakeven. Looking ahead to the first quarter of 2027, we expect to see continued revenue growth and to achieve profitability on an adjusted EBITDA basis. And while we're not providing specific guidance for 2027, we currently expect to see significant revenue growth and profitability for the full year.
With that, we conclude our prepared remarks, and I'll turn it over to the operator for any questions. Operator?
Operator
[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Sameer Joshi from H.C. Wainwright.
Fragen und Antworten
Sameer Joshi
My first question is just about the actual results for this quarter. The service revenues are relatively low compared to the product revenues and also over the last several quarters when you compare those. Is there something unique that happened this quarter on the service side?
Anthony Carroll
Thanks, Sameer. Appreciate your question. No, it's seasonal. It depends on different services related to different projects and different warranty and non-warranty-related interventions, but we do expect to continue to grow our services and our software as part of the strategic plan.
Sameer Joshi
Understood. And then on the outlook, meaning, yes, you talk about a global progress in Australia, Europe, India. If we get at your midpoint, we will be at around $50 million or $45 million to $50 million in the December quarter. Should we expect that run rate through 2027? Because I think you also -- I also heard that 1Q 2027 is going to be sequentially higher than 4Q 2026. Should we expect this quarter-over-quarter growth or maybe compare year-over-year growth into 2027?
Anthony Carroll
Yes, absolutely. We did guide to a stronger Q1, you are correct. And we are guiding to a strong 2027 with significant revenue growth. So you should see those numbers continue to increase.
Sameer Joshi
And it is being driven by global increase or North America?
Anthony Carroll
I would say it's a combination of things, Sameer. One, our current customers in the U.S. continue to give us business. So we continue to ramp up with our top-tier customers that already trust us. Two, as you saw, we have incremental projects now. So we're also counting in the growth in Australia and hoping to announce new projects there soon, and we're diversifying into Europe. So it's a combination of U.S. strengthening with current customers and new customers, definitely some of that growth happening also in Australia and then opportunistic markets like the U.K. and other ones like Mexico.
Sameer Joshi
Got it. Just moving to operations. I'm happy that you have consistently talked about robotics and AI and are showing improvements in efficiency. Is there more room for efficiency going forward on this front? Or have you achieved all the cost improvements and efficiencies for installation? I think -- yes, go ahead.
Anthony Carroll
No, finish, Sameer, please.
Sameer Joshi
Yes. I was wondering if you are seeing this across all projects? Or is it unique to certain geographies or certain localities?
Anthony Carroll
Great question. So I'll break it down into 3 different parts. One, we are definitely using AI, automation and efficiency to improve our supply chain and to improve our costing. If we're able to maintain or increase pricing of projects, thanks to constructability, and we're able to continue implementing those efficiencies on the cost side, on the supply chain side, that's why you see protection and increase of margin.
The other lever is the one around automation for bidding and just leanness across the organization, right? We see all over the world, companies utilizing AI to create automated systems inside of the company. So we're not just using AI and robotics for the trackers. We're using AI in the finance department, in the supply chain department. We use it to track the cost of steel better. We're using it to be able to bid more projects faster, bid better because you know that if you have a better design on the engineering of a tracker project, you're actually able to maximize margin while you keep the same quality to the customer. So that's another area where we're definitely seeing that advantage.
And then on the constructability, absolutely. When customers ask us to bid a project, what they're looking at is cost and also time and efficiency because if they're able to build faster, that cost of the project is going to reduce. So using our software tools, especially PathFinder, to give them an analysis of that site very quickly for them to see the savings, not just in the CapEx, but also in the installation time is one of the reasons why we're winning projects.
And we see it across the board, not just in one region. However, regions that have challenging situations with labor, or challenging terrains that I mentioned in my remarks, the terrain following solutions, we're seeing more and more implementation because of difficult land where people are trying to install solar. That's definitely a way to maximize upside and protect our margin.
Sameer Joshi
Congrats on the good progress.
Operator
[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from the line of Sameer Joshi again from H.C. Wainwright.
Sameer Joshi
I just wanted to touch on one more aspect, and that is liquidity versus growth expectations. How should we see this incredible growth in 2027 vis-a-vis the liquidity that you have?
Anthony Carroll
We're aiming and we have a plan to increase our liquidity while we increase our volume. And there's a few different ways of doing that, Sameer. One, obviously, are the typical capital raise and financing options that are available to all public companies. But mostly, we're going to focus on the better payment terms and the better contracts and the better cash flow on our projects. There is room to continue to improve that because with volume, you have better negotiation leverage.
It's an automatic factor where you have more volume and more projects. Obviously, your vendors continue to trust you and continue to want your business. With this growth, we're going to be able to not just improve payment terms with customers, but also with vendors, improve the cash flow of projects, which will automatically result in better liquidity. And also as you improve the margin of your projects, something that we showed today, that's going to improve our liquidity position. So we expect that improvement to continue along with the growth.
Sameer Joshi
It seems in addition to operational efficiencies, we are also having working capital improvements. So that's good to see. Once again, congrats on the project.
Operator
This concludes the question-and-answer session. I would now like to turn it back to CEO, Anthony Carroll, for closing remarks.
Anthony Carroll
I appreciate that. It was a pleasure to share those exciting updates on the FTC business based on growth, path to profitability and continued trust by our customers and our product. And thank you, everyone, for joining. Have a great day.
Operator
Thank you for your participation in today's conference. This does conclude the program, and you may now disconnect.
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