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港股衍生品一周市场观察2026.1.26

香港智远权证网2026年1月26日 00:00
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1、一周市场概况

2026年1月23日当周,恒指周累计跌0.36%,收26749.51点。蓝筹股方面,全周个股涨跌参半,泡泡玛特累计涨幅超20%。泡泡玛特以超20%的周涨幅成为市场核心亮点。本周港股开局受美欧关税博弈、中东地缘风险升温及美股震荡拖累,恒指1月19日单日大跌1.05%,AI应用、生物医药等前期热门板块迎来回调,市场避险情绪升温。不过后续港股逐步企稳,在南向资金持续流入、内地经济基本面企稳的支撑下,恒指自1月21日起连续三日收涨,有色金属、煤炭等板块轮番发力形成支撑。泡泡玛特的大涨则得益于公司本周密集开展股份回购、情人节限定新品上线即售罄,叠加机构研报看好其业绩增长,南向资金亦大举买入。板块层面结构性分化显著,消费、能源类标的表现亮眼,而大型科网蓝筹则相对承压。

外围市场方面,美国三大指数集体微跌,道指上周累计跌0.53%,纳指累计跌0.06%,标指跌0.35%。本周市场波动核心受多重因素交织影响,特朗普政府对欧洲八国的关税威胁先引发避险情绪致美股1月20日大幅下挫,后续取消关税的表态则带动指数反弹,政策反复加剧了市场震荡。科技板块成为重要扰动因素,英特尔1月23日披露的2026年一季度业绩指引不及预期,股价单日暴跌超17%,拖累科技股表现,仅英伟达、Meta等龙头股的逆势上涨部分对冲了利空。同时,美国三季度GDP上修、就业数据稳健反映经济韧性,叠加通胀黏性仍存,市场对美联储降息的预期从3月延后至6月,资金观望情绪升温,获利盘了结也对指数形成压制。

A股市场呈现稳中有升、结构分化的运行格局,上证指数累计上涨0.84%站稳4100点创近10年新高,深证成指涨1.11%延续强势,创业板指则微跌0.34%。本周政策面与资金面共同主导市场走向,央行超预期开展MLF操作净投放7000亿释放中期流动性,而1月19日起融资保证金比例上调至100%的逆周期调控,以新老划断方式精准降温杠杆资金,对高估值成长股形成压制。资金端北向资金连续净流入,重点加仓顺周期及硬科技板块,周五两市成交额重回3万亿元,赚钱效应向光伏、航天等赛道扩散。板块层面建材、有色金属、商业航天等领涨,创业板权重板块表现疲软,资金“弃高就低”的换仓行为进一步加剧指数分化,机构普遍认为市场中期向上趋势未改,顺周期复苏与硬科技成长仍是核心主线。

2、恒指牛熊证资金流

过去5日,恒指牛证合计约1.18亿港元资金净流入;恒指熊证则合计约5660万港元资金净流出。街货分布方面,恒指牛证街货占比约71%,分布在收回价26300点至26600点之间,累计相当约1962张期指合约;恒指熊证街货在收回价26900点至27500点之间,累计相当约3156张期指合约。

 

3、轮证一周资金流

好仓(认购证及牛证)方面,过去5日,腾讯相关好仓录得约1.01亿港元资金净流入,为最大资金流入标的,小米集团、阿里巴巴及美团等相关好仓也分别约4210万、3846万以及3447万港元资金净流入部署;S金、泡泡玛特以及携程等相关好仓则分别约1654万、723万及367万港元资金净流出套现。

 

淡仓(认沽证及熊证)方面,近5日合计,泡泡玛特、小米集团及百度等相关淡仓分别约2087万、1127万及322万港元资金净流入部署;中国平安、腾讯控股及美团等相关淡仓则分别约1626万、480万以及398万港元资金净流出。

 

备注:本文所注图表数据等主要参考法兴、瑞通、瑞信、麦格理等香港窝轮商网站。本文不作为投资建议,所有数据仅供参考。本文著作权乃归作者所有,任何商业转载需获作者授权,非商业转载请注明出处。

免责声明:本网站提供的信息仅供教育和参考之用,不应视为财务或投资建议。

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