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券商观点|361度2025Q3数据保持强劲增长势头,长期配置价值凸显

香港智远权证网2025年10月30日 00:00
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近日,361度(1361.HK)发布了2025年第三季度营运概要,其稳健的业绩表现迅速吸引了资本市场的目光。公告显示,公司主品牌及童装线下零售额均实现约10%的同比增长,电商平台流水增幅更是达到约20%。

这份成绩单发布后,包括中金公司、国盛证券、华泰证券、申万宏源等在内多家券商迅速跟进解读,研报普遍认为,在当前消费环境充满挑战的背景下,361度展现出强劲的经营韧性,其清晰的成长路径和不断提升的品牌价值,正推动长期配置价值日益凸显。其中,华泰证券给出了最高的目标价8.0港元,预示着可观的潜在上行空间。

稳健增长的业绩彰显经营韧性​​

361度在三季度交出的答卷,其可贵之处在于“稳健”二字。主品牌与童装线下零售额延续二季度亮眼表现继续保持双位数增长,电商业务在高基数上依然维持20%的高增速,这充分说明了公司品牌影响力和渠道运营效率的提升并非昙花一现,而是具备可持续性。更为关键的是,这种增长是高质量的。华泰证券、申万宏源等券商报告中均指出,公司的库销比保持在4.5-5.0健康水平,终端折扣率也控制在7折左右,显示出良好的终端动销和库存管理能力。在消费市场整体承压的当下,361度能够实现量价齐稳,其背后的经营韧性与精准的市场策略获得了分析师的普遍认可。

增长动能来自多维度的战略协同​​

361度业绩的强劲势头,并非单一因素驱动,而是产品力、品牌力和渠道力协同作用的结果。在产品层面,公司持续以科技赋能创新。三季度密集推出一系列迭代新品如“雨屏9代”跑鞋、“飞燃4.5”马拉松竞速鞋以及“狂飙2 PRO”篮球鞋等均搭载了自主研发的核心技术,精准切分了跑步、篮球等专业运动场景的需求,强化了“专业+科技”的品牌标签。这种基于用户真实需求的产品迭代,构成了公司最坚实的竞争壁垒。

在品牌建设上,361度采取了“内外兼修”的策略。对内,通过签约NBA球星尼古拉·约基奇、斯宾塞·丁维迪等开展中国行活动,并深度运营“触地即燃”等自有IP赛事,持续深耕篮球品类,拉近与年轻消费者的距离。对外,积极亮相柏林马拉松博览会,并作为第20届亚运会官方合作伙伴将为赛事提供全面装备支持,英皇证券表示这将进一步拓展公司全球品牌声量。

渠道的创新与升级则是将产品力和品牌力转化为销售成果的关键桥梁。其中最引人注目的是“超品店”的快速扩张,截至三季度末已增至93家。这类门店通过更大的面积、更丰富的SKU和更佳的购物体验,有效提升了客单价和连带率,成为驱动线下增长的新引擎。同时,公司与美团闪购等即时零售平台的合作,开辟了“平均30分钟送达”的新渠道,为消费者开启运动消费新体验。华西证券认为,361度构建了「线上引流+线下核销」的完整闭环,有效打通了线上流量赋能线下门店的通道,为线下零售注入新活力。

未来成长空间有望进一步打开​​

除了主品牌的稳健发展,361度未来的增长图谱中还有更多值得期待的亮点。旗下芬兰户外品牌ONEWAY在国庆期间的焕新亮相,标志着公司正式加码中高端户外市场。华鑫证券强调,ONEWAY凭借其北欧专业基因和361度成熟的运营体系,在当前户外运动热潮下,有望开辟全新的增长曲线。此外,超品店的持续拓展、女子运动概念店的落地以及电商业务的精细化运营,都将为公司注入持续的成长动力。

估值低位凸显长期配置价值​​

尽管业绩表现亮眼且成长路径清晰,但361度的估值水平仍处于相对低位。根据多家券商的盈利预测,公司当前股价对应的2025年市盈率(PE)约为8-10倍,相较于其业绩增速和行业平均水平,具备明显的吸引力。华泰证券在报告中指出,公司健康的现金流和可观的分红回报,进一步增强了其对于长期资金的配置价值。市场也普遍认为,当前的估值尚未完全反映公司品牌升级和效率提升所带来的潜在价值重估。

综上所述,361度通过产品科技化、品牌国际化、渠道多元化的战略组合拳,不仅在三季度延续了强劲的增长势头,更夯实了面向未来的核心竞争力。在消费市场分层化、专业化趋势日益明显的背景下,公司凭借其清晰的战略定位和高效的运营能力,已经展现出穿越周期的韧性。随着其内在价值的持续释放,361度有望持续获得投资者的重点关注,其长期配置价值正愈发凸显。

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