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暑假旅游畅旺,看好海昌海洋公园将迎多个催化剂

香港智远权证网2025年9月8日 00:00
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神兽返校,暑假结束。今年暑假旅游市场热度持续,“跟着赛事/展演去旅游”掀起了新热潮。8月下旬,内地人气组合“时代少年团”在上海体育场连开四场演唱会,就吸引20多万人,期间上海文旅消费同比高增31%。

主题乐园依然是暑假亲子游的最爱。飞猪数据显示,上海迪士尼、北京环球影城、香港迪士尼、上海乐高乐园,以及海昌海洋公园、长隆度假区、方特度假区等品牌旗下乐园均备受消费者欢迎。

国内海洋主题公园稀缺标的,海昌海洋公园(2255.HK)今年股价涨幅超30%,呈现止跌回升态势。今年上半年,海昌旗下多个公园、酒店持续荣登2025携程口碑榜,双酒店连续2年登「全球100亲子乐园酒店」、2025美团酒店•大众点评必住榜。其中,上海海昌海洋公园度假酒店连续5年登榜,获2025全国「亲近动物」特色亲子互动住宿代表。

2025中期财报方面,海昌上半年业绩有所下滑,受阶段性宏观因素影响,下半年暑假、国庆等长假期的旺季效应料会带来改观。公司也将迎来多个催化剂,有望刺激股价走出底部。

首先,两个重磅旗舰公园如上海海昌和郑州海昌,都将迎来“二期”项目的落地。上海项目二期——东方海洋项目,总建筑面积约14万平方米,目前所有场馆及酒店主体结构已经封顶,预计于2026年开业。郑州公园二期规划总建筑面积约3.2万平方米,预期也将于2026年内开业运营。两个大型超人气的旗舰公园,随着二期项目扩容,有望带来更多的业绩增量。

另外,海昌近年在轻资产运营项目方面也实现突破。已签约的代表项目包括:北京海昌海洋公园、福州海昌海洋公园、宁波前湾新区海昌IP乐园及沙特阿拉伯海昌海洋公园等。北京、福州两个项目推进时间较快,开业时间分别为2027年和2028年,属于海昌中期阶段的业绩催化剂。远期来看,海昌也有不少处于洽谈中的轻资产项目储备,彰显了公司的品牌影响力。

资本层面,今年6月海昌引进了战略大股东——祥源控股,后者将斥资23亿元入股,将大幅改善海昌的现金流。而且,祥源控股本就是国内文旅产业的龙头企业,拥有丰富的文旅资源及管理经验,二者强强联合,也为海昌的发展前景带来更多憧憬。

海昌业绩层面处于亏损阶段,股价也是相对低位运行。宏观层面,国家对刺激消费的力度在逐渐增强,海昌自身短中期催化剂也相当丰富,且新的战略大股东带来了足够的现金流支持,当前海昌值博率已相当高。向上修复的短期目标价看1.3港元(23.6%黄金分割),中期看2.3港元(50%黄金分割),属于追落后首选。

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