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鑫苑服务:业绩稳健高质,AI赋能远期成长

香港智远权证网2025年9月8日 00:00
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今年以来,物业板块重心随大市上移,但未现趋势性机会。在此背景下,能够稳住基本盘、展现内生增长能力的物管企业可多加关注。鑫苑服务(01895.HK)中期业绩稳健,上半年总收入同比增长11%,至约4.5亿元(人民币,下同);本公司拥有人应占溢利同比增长16.7%,至约0.59亿元。在行业整体毛利承压的大环境下,其毛利率较2024年同期提升1.9个百分点至34.5%,亦属难得。

从核心业务上看,截至2025年6月30日,鑫苑服务的合约面积达67.4百万平方米,在管面积达40.2百万平方米,双双稳步增长。结构上,其在管面积中非住宅占比提升至29.5%,覆盖商业办公、产业园、学校、医院等多元领域,这一布局不仅优化了整体盈利结构,还极大地增强了企业的抗周期能力,使其在市场波动中能够更加从容应对。更重要的是,在管面积中,第三方占比提升至59%;合约面积中,第三方占比高达68%,进一步转向市场化,内生增长动能强劲,业绩成色较高。

增值服务方面,2025年上半年,鑫苑服务的美居、租售、纯水等业务迎来爆发,收入分别同比增长23%、129%和17%。公司“空间运营+场景服务+数字科技”的服务生态雏形已现,增值服务的快速增长,不仅拓宽了公司的盈利渠道,也让整体收入结构更为均衡,有助于物业跳出“人力密集”的成长天花板,实现未来业绩的“非线性增长”。

而在前沿科技迅猛发展的当下,科技赋能不是点缀,而成为打造护城河的关键要素。鑫苑服务构建了大物管全栈式科技综合服务产品体系,打通了供给侧与需求侧,升级了传统服务模式,形成了“科技投入→品质升级→效率提升→成本优化→利润增长→再投入科技”的数字化【飞轮效应】。尤其是,2025年上半年更在行业内首发“客服智能体&管家智能体”,开启了物业+AI时代的新征程。

板块方面,经过近几年的深度出清,减值压力下降,外部环境逐步回暖。但是物管市场呈现剧烈分化态势,兼具稳健盈利与前瞻布局的企业正迎来拐点机会。其中,鑫苑服务一手稳业绩,一手押科技,韧性与成长并举,前景可期。但公司估值仍在板块低位游走,TTM市盈率(约3.5倍)和市净率(约0.5倍)仍未完全反映其长期增长潜力。另外,考虑到公司董事会已提出2025年中期派发每股2.77港仙的股息,显示管理层信心,可谓攻守兼备。

总体而言,鑫苑服务已完成角色转换,凭硬核服务力与科技先手,重塑业绩增长路径。公司财务稳健奠定底盘,结构优化强化韧性,并率先AI数智化落地,打开成长空间。当前定价仍受旧周期阴影响,但基本面已踏上新轨。结合公司高质量增长与科技红利,该股中长线有望迎来价值重估。

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