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方达控股上半年业绩扭亏,乘势CRO行业拐点,“戴维斯双击”可期

香港智远权证网2025年9月1日 00:00
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2025年,港股市场延续估值修复行情,恒指重心持续上移,年内升幅超25%。先有Deepseek横空出世点燃科技板块冲高行情,其后创新药BD出海高潮再次带飞生物医药板块,形成由基本面反转和PE被严重低估为支撑的强势行情。年初迄今,恒生综合医药保健业涨幅近90%,持续性超出预期,创新药已彻底迈入向新阶段。

然而,作为创新药行业的“卖水人”,CRO行业的经营拐点已同步降临,但板块整体表现却稍显“落后”。尽管龙头如药明康德、药明合联等年初以来已实现翻番,但板块整体涨幅仍落后于创新药,距离2021年高点仍存在较大的“补涨”空间,也侧面提供了寻找“业绩反转、涨幅温和”潜力股的绝佳窗口期。作为深耕CRO行业数十年的全球化企业,方达控股(1521.HK)凭借扎实的基本面、清晰的全球战略以及2025年中期显现的业绩拐点预期,算得上是当前CRO板块最值得关注的标的之一。

顺应行业拐点,中期业绩扭亏为盈,经营质量持续提升

方达控股最新发布的2025年中期业绩,清晰地揭示了公司已重返盈利能力上升通道,符合CRO板块拐点预期。上半年,公司实现营收126.6百万美元,其中北美及欧洲业务收入约98.6百万美元,及中国业务收入约28.0百万美元;毛利率较去年同期的27.1%增加至27.9%。最大亮点在于,公司的盈利能力迎来了关键拐点,得益于卓越的成本控制和效率优化,净利润实现扭亏为盈,录得2.9百万美元,经调整纯利同比增长26.2%。此外,公司第二季度增长势头强劲,单季收入同比增长7.8%,经调整纯利同比激增56.4%,增势强劲。

同时,方达控股未来的增长可见度亦相当高,截至6月30日在手订单总额达4.047亿美元,同比增长8.2%,为长期业绩提供了坚实保障。更重要的是,随着全球产能布局进入成熟期,公司经营质量显著提升,经营活动现金净额翻了四倍,较2024年同期的4.6百万美元增加到18.8百万美元,内生造血能力显著增强。

新增CRDMO设施正式启用,夯实核心竞争优势

业绩的显著改善,还得益于方达控股战略布局的成功。报告期内,公司核心竞争力实现了关键升级,在宾州的CRDMO新设施正式启用。该设施面积达46300平方尺,将更好地支援化学、制造和控制产品开发与制造的服务线,极大增强公司CROMO服务能力。加入此新设施后,方达控股在全球运营设施达25个,遍布北美、欧洲和中国,可更好地把握全球增长机遇。

伴随产能部署的日益完善,方达控股三地协同的优势逐渐清晰。美国聚焦于前沿研究与开发服务,中国基于工程师红利优势专注服务属地化较弱且价格敏感性较高的中小型海外客户,欧洲则可根据具体领域提供专业支持,发掘更多潜在客户。这种全球化布局不仅能抵御单一市场的风险,更能通过协同效应为不同需求的客户提供最优解决方案,厚筑方达控股的竞争壁垒。

行业迎高确定性, 方达控股“戴维斯双击”可期

长远来看,方达控股的未来增长,将植根于CRO行业持续向好的宏观环境。首先,上游需求正在加速释放,2025年上半年,中国创新药BD出海超50起,总金额超480亿,接近24年全年总和,交易金额再创新高,彰显了强劲的源头创新能力。随着全球生物医药投融资环境有望回暖,创新药企将有更充足的资金投入研发,直接转化为对CRO服务的订单需求。国内市场,政策面利好也在持续释放,审批效率加快、支持创新药纳入商保目录以及优化集采规则不再锚定最低价等,为创新药的发展保驾护航,同样将有利于提升CRO订单需求。

另一方面,随着全球生物医药投融资环境有望回暖,创新药企将有更充足的资金投入研发,直接转化为对CRO服务的订单需求。在此基础上,全球大药企正面临大规模的“专利悬崖”压力,为了降本增效、聚焦核心,将更多业务外包给专业的CRO公司已成为必然选择。这一趋势也从近期行业的中报季表现中得到验证,大部分CRO公司业绩符合预期,龙头企业的超预期表现更是印证了行业的高景气度与订单的加速兑现。而拥有全球化布局和产能优势方达控股,无疑将继续充分受益于这一趋势,为其业绩增势带来更高的确定性。

综合来看,方达控股正站在一个全新的增长起点。公司的内部动能在于其业绩向上拐点已经明确显现,盈利能力和现金流状况持续改善,为未来发展积蓄弹药。产能层面,CRDMO业务的落地和全球协同网络的成熟,将助力公司向更高附加值的产业链环节迈进,打开新的增长空间。外部驱动则在于,公司将持续受益于全球创新药研发热潮和外包渗透率提升的双重利好。相较于已大幅上涨的同业龙头,方达控股目前股价涨幅有限,估值具备明显吸引力,有望迎来业绩与估值的“戴维斯双击”。

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