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警惕日本“黑天鹅”突然飞出!日本财相刚刚警告:已准备好随时就外汇采取行动

FX1682026年3月19日 02:09
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#日元贬值#FX168财经报社(亚太)讯 美国彭博社周四(3月19日)最新报道称,日本财务大臣片山皋月(Satsuki Katayama)表示,当局已做好充分准备,如有必要,随时采取行动应对汇率波动。眼下,在日本央行稍晚将公布政策决定之前,交易员正试探美元/日元的上行空间。

(截图来源:彭博社)

片山皋月周四在内阁会议后的记者会上表示:“我们正保持高度紧迫感。我们已做好充分准备,可随时作出全面应对,并始终将汇率对民众生活的影响放在心上。”

片山皋月补充道:“今天这样的日子,投机者更容易采取行动,因为接下来将有日本央行行长的记者会、日美领导人会晤,而且中东局势也存在不确定性。”

在片山皋月发表讲话后,日元兑美元大致持稳在159.80附近,此前数小时前曾跌至159.90。2024年,日元跌破160关口后,日本当局曾多次出手干预,以支撑本币。

片山皋月发表上述言论时,距离日本央行公布最新政策决定仅剩数小时。

市场普遍预计,日本央行将维持基准利率不变,关注焦点则转向行长植田和男(Kazuo Ueda)的新闻发布会,以寻找未来利率路径的线索。

在解释过去维持政策不变的决定时,植田和男的表态有时曾令日元走弱,因为市场认为其言论偏鸽派。

周四稍早,日元一度跌至1美元兑159.90日元,创下自2024年7月以来的最低水平。此前,美联储主席鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)表示,在通胀出现更明确的放缓迹象之前,美联储将暂缓进一步降息。与此同时,在伊朗和以色列相互袭击中东主要能源设施后,油价也出现上涨。

油价上涨叠加日元走软,正引发人们对日本可能陷入“滞胀”的担忧;这一局面或将促使政府增加财政支出,并使央行的货币紧缩之路变得更为复杂。

隔夜指数掉期(OIS)市场的走势显示,交易员们预计日本央行在4月份加息的概率约为58%。

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