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警惕日本“黑天鹅”突然飞出!日财务大臣警告:准备在外汇市场采取一切必要措施

FX1682026年3月13日 05:32
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FX168财经报社(亚太)讯 日本财务大臣片山皐月(Satsuki Katayama)周五(3月13日)表示,当局已准备在任何情况下对货币采取一切必要措施,同时考虑到油价上涨对民众日常生活的影响。

(截图来源:彭博社)

片山皐月对记者表示,很明显,由于中东局势的变化,金融市场—包括外汇市场—正在出现大幅波动。

对于具体的货币水平,片山皐月拒绝发表评论。

分析人士认为,日本可能会考虑干预外汇市场,以防止日元过度贬值对进口成本和物价水平造成冲击。

当被问及在当前日元因油价飙升而贬值的情况下,外汇干预是否会变得困难时,片山皐月表示应避免发表评论。

片山皐月还表示,日本当局正与美国当局保持非常紧密的沟通,甚至比平时更为密切。

专家指出,这种跨国沟通反映出日本对国际资本流动的高度敏感,以及在全球金融市场动荡时期维持稳定的决心。

此外,市场人士关注日本可能的干预工具,包括直接买入日元或通过外汇掉期操作来稳定汇率。近期日元对美元汇率的快速下跌,已引发投资者对日本政策反应速度和干预幅度的猜测。

周五,日元走势维持疲软,目前位于1美元兑159.40日元,接近159.45的水平——今年1月这一水平曾促使美联储进行所谓的“汇率询价”。

(美元/日元日线图 来源:FX168)

不过,有策略师认为,当前的背景已经发生变化。与伊朗冲突相关的油价上涨以及美国经济数据的韧性,从基本面上推动美元走强,这可能使日本当局更难为干预市场提供合理理由。

日本在能源进口上高度依赖中东,因此原油价格上涨会恶化其贸易收支并推高通胀,这自然会给日元带来贬值压力。与此同时,美元则受益于避险资金流入,进一步强化这一走势。

上个月,日本首相高市早苗(Sanae Takaichi)在众议院选举中大获全胜后,日元一度获得支撑。

但此后,随着媒体报道称她对进一步加息持谨慎态度,以及她提名了两名偏鸽派人士进入日本央行政策委员会,日元再度走弱。

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