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CME发出“史诗级灾难”警告!多家顶级交易所齐声反对美国干预油市

FX1682026年3月12日 21:25
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FX168财经报社(北美)讯 在伊朗冲突推高国际能源价格之际,包括芝商所集团(CME Group)和多伦多证券交易所母公司TMX Group在内的多家顶级交易所负责人,对美国政府可能干预原油期货市场表达明确反对。市场此前传出消息称,美国财政部正评估与油价相关的潜在措施,以应对战后能源价格飙升。

据相关报道,美国政府已于周三宣布将从战略石油储备中释放1.72亿桶原油,以缓解因美以对伊战争引发的供应中断与油价上涨压力。与此同时,国际能源署(IEA)也建议协调释放4亿桶原油储备,但多位分析人士认为,这一规模仍不足以平息市场对供应冲击的担忧。

据英国《金融时报》报道,芝商所(CME)的负责人警告称,如果特朗普政府在与伊朗的冲突期间试图通过干预衍生品市场来压低油价,那么将会面临“一场灾难性的后果”。

芝商所CEO特里·达菲(Terry Duffy)表示,如果美国政府试图通过干预期货市场来遏制原油价格的上涨,这将会削弱市场的信心。该交易所负责管理着美国的石油期货交易市场。

达菲本周在一场小组讨论中直言:“市场不喜欢政府干预定价的行为。”他表示,如果政府采取此类行动,可能会引发“史诗级灾难”,因为届时投资者可能会对市场设定关键商品的价格这一功能失去信心。此前有报道称,美国财政部正在考虑采取措施降低油价,包括干预期货市场#伊朗危机追踪#

(来源:金融时报)

TMX Group首席执行官约翰·麦肯齐(John McKenzie)也表达了类似看法。他说:我通常认为,这类事情——也就是政府可能干预市场——往往会带来意想不到的后果。你试图解决第一个问题,却会制造出另一个问题。市场会自行完成调整。

一位要求匿名的头部交易所CEO也警告称,如果美国财政部贸然介入,反而可能让问题恶化,因为一旦能源价格继续上涨,政府自身也将面临巨大亏损风险。这反映出交易所和市场基础设施运营方普遍担心,政策部门若直接进入期货市场,可能扰乱定价、削弱流动性,并放大市场不确定性。

近期油价波动加剧,也让有关“财政部是否已暗中介入”的猜测升温。英国《金融时报》报道称,近期布伦特原油盘中异常波动,外加美国能源部长一则后来删除的社交媒体帖文,引发了交易员对政府是否试图影响市场情绪的质疑。不过,美国财政部与能源部均否认曾直接干预油市。

从市场背景来看,霍尔木兹海峡运输风险仍是推动油价飙升的关键变量。IEA已警告,当前伊朗战争正造成“油市历史上最大规模的供应扰动”;布伦特原油一度重新升破每桶100美元,全球市场对滞胀和能源冲击的担忧同步升温。

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