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霍尔木兹危机加剧 特朗普团队对伊朗“信号混乱”引爆油市巨震

FX1682026年3月11日 03:43
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能源市场周二(3月10日)连续第二天剧烈震荡,投资者争相解读特朗普政府就伊朗战争迅速变化的表态。

白宫信号反复 油价两日巨震

在美国能源部长赖特(Chris Wright)错误地发布了一则消息、随后又将其删除之后,油价暴跌。该消息称,美国海军已护送一艘油轮通过霍尔木兹海峡。

白宫新闻秘书莱维特(Karoline Leavitt)随后承认,并不存在这样的行动,但她同时补充说,美军正在“制定更多应对方案”,以应对伊朗任何试图限制这条关键航道贸易的行为。

周二晚些时候,美国总统特朗普(Donald Trump)本人也在社交媒体上接连发布多条消息。起初,他坚称美方“没有收到任何有关布设水雷的报告”,但随后又敦促伊朗部队清除其可能已经布设的任何爆炸装置。接着,特朗普表示,美国正“动用此前针对毒贩时部署的同类技术和导弹能力”来打击布雷船只。

几分钟后,特朗普又称,美国已经“击中并彻底摧毁了10艘处于非活动状态的布雷艇”,并表示“后续还会有更多行动”。

赖特在社交媒体上的失误发文,以及特朗普围绕水雷问题接连发布的激烈帖文,凸显出美方信息传递混乱,这种情况令华盛顿和华尔街的观察人士都感到沮丧。赖特发帖后,油价起初暴跌近20%,随后随着更多信息浮出水面,跌幅又有所收窄。

随后,在美国《华尔街日报》报道称国际能源署(International Energy Agency)提议进行史上最大规模的储备释放,以应对高企油价之后,油价进一步下跌。

剧烈波动之下,布伦特原油价格周一一度飙升至接近120美元/桶,周二又最低跌至81.16美元/桶。

霍尔木兹受阻与军事升级加剧能源危机

这场冲突已蔓延至整个中东,并将该地区的能源大国推向危机边缘。全球零售汽油和柴油价格大幅上涨,在美国选举年份成为一项政治脆弱点,同时也促使一些亚洲国家政府开始限制燃料使用。

至关重要的霍尔木兹海峡目前实际上已对几乎所有船只关闭。沙特阿拉伯、伊拉克、阿联酋和科威特都已削减产量。而且几乎没有迹象表明,在敌对行动至少暂时停火之前,霍尔木兹海峡能够迅速恢复通航。

(截图来源:彭博社)

沙特阿美(Saudi Aramco)首席执行官Amin Nasser称,这场扰乱是“该地区油气行业所面临的最大危机”。

加拿大总理卡尼(Mark Carney)在与法国总统马克龙(Emmanuel Macron)通话后发表声明称,七国集团(G7)领导人将于周三举行会议,讨论如何协调应对伊朗危机带来的影响,其中包括能源价格上涨问题。

美国官员周二释放信号称,针对伊朗的军事行动正在升级,且几乎没有进行外交谈判的可能,这无疑给特朗普前一天关于冲突可能很快得到解决的说法泼了一盆冷水。莱维特周二表示,美国正着手摧毁伊朗的导弹生产设施。

特朗普特使史蒂夫·威特科夫(Steve Witkoff)在接受CNBC采访时表示:“这和我们当初与他们谈判时面临的是同一个问题——他们是否真的想通过外交途径解决问题,到目前为止,证据显示并非如此。”

五角大楼周二早些时候进一步强化这一表态,称美国和以色列当天对伊朗发动了迄今为止最猛烈的一轮攻击。

美国国防部长赫格塞思(Pete Hegseth)在新闻发布会上表示:“在敌人被彻底且决定性地击败之前,我们绝不会停手。我们将按照我们的时间表,以我们选择的方式采取行动。”

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