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【美股收评】一则帖子引发的跳水!特朗普再对伊朗放狠话 美股上演倒V反转

FX1682026年3月10日 20:43
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FX168财经报社(北美)讯 周二(3月10日),美股在早盘反弹后迅速失去动能,尾盘回吐涨幅并转入下跌。市场一度押注美以与伊朗冲突可能较预期更快降温,但随着军事威胁再度升级、霍尔木兹海峡风险持续发酵,以及通胀与经济放缓并存的滞胀担忧升温,投资者情绪再度转向谨慎。

美国三大股指最终收盘表现偏弱,结束了此前一轮反弹。标普500指数收盘下跌0.21%,报6781.48点。道琼斯工业平均指数下跌34.29点,跌幅0.07%,收报47706.51点。纳斯达克综合指数微涨0.01%,报收于22697.10点。

(来源:FX168)

盘中波动较为明显。道指早些时候一度下跌296.57点或约0.6%,随后一度转而大幅上涨约470点或1%;标普500指数和纳指在盘中低点时分别下跌约0.5%和0.4%,随后一度分别上涨0.7%和0.9%。

美国总统特朗普在有关伊朗开始在关键航道霍尔木兹海峡部署水雷的报道传出后,再度发出报复威胁,并重申要求伊朗“无条件投降”,令市场对局势迅速缓和的希望降温。

特朗普表示:“如果伊朗在霍尔木兹海峡布设了任何水雷——尽管我们目前没有收到相关报告——我们要求立即清除!如果出于任何原因伊朗确实布设了水雷,而没有立即清除,伊朗将面临前所未有的军事后果。另一方面,如果他们清除可能已经布设的水雷,这将是朝着正确方向迈出的一大步。”

(来源:Truth Social)

Ingalls & Snyder高级投资组合策略师Tim Ghriskey表示,市场原本一度展现出一定强势,但随后又把这些涨幅全部吐回去了,投资者当前存在很大的困惑。
他指出,白宫不断释放出一些令市场看到希望的消息,但随后市场又逐渐意识到,这场冲突远未接近结束。

在当天早盘,市场本就情绪谨慎。美国国防部长赫格塞思警告称,周二将是迄今为止针对伊朗“打击最猛烈的一天”,进一步打压了风险偏好。

这场冲突引发了原油价格此前的大幅上涨,也加剧了市场对通胀的担忧。而在就业市场走弱背景下,成本上升与经济放缓并存的局面,正是市场最不愿看到的“滞胀”组合。

不过,尽管风险仍在上升,市场一度依然抱有短期内达成解决方案的希望。此前,伊朗革命卫队宣布,在美以停止攻击之前,不会允许任何石油离开中东地区。特朗普随后威胁称,如果伊朗阻断原油出口,美国将“以20倍更猛烈的方式”实施打击。

与此同时,特朗普一方面预测伊朗战争可能很快降温,另一方面其政府又暗示,可能愿意取消对俄罗斯石油的制裁。这在缓解油价上行压力的同时,也令市场憧憬俄乌战争可能出现更多结束迹象。

美国能源部长Chris Wright周二还表示,美国海军已成功护送一艘油轮穿越霍尔木兹海峡,并强调石油仍在持续流向全球市场。不过,这条帖子很快被删除,白宫发言人也证实美军并未护送船只穿越海峡。

受此影响,美国原油和布伦特原油近月合约周二收盘均大跌超过11%。

Murphy & Sylvest高级财富顾问兼市场策略师Paul Nolte表示,无论是黄金、原油还是其他资产,只要此前出现了这种抛物线式上涨,一旦市场出现相反方向的消息,往往就会引发非常剧烈的反转。

板块方面,芯片股周二表现相对较强,英伟达、SanDisk和Western Digital均录得明显上涨。

相比之下,标普软件与精选服务指数再度成为表现最弱的板块之一。该板块近几个月已因市场担忧人工智能带来的行业冲击而持续承压。

个股方面,健康保险公司Centene在重申2026年盈利预期后股价大跌。

此外,企业软件巨头甲骨文公布2026财年第三季度业绩,公司营收171.9亿美元,高于市场预期的169.1亿美元,也明显高于上年同期的141.3亿美元。其中,云服务营收为89.1亿美元,软件业务营收为61.2亿美元。受业绩表现强劲提振,甲骨文股价在美股盘后上涨近5%。

展望后市,本周稍晚公布的一系列经济数据可能进一步左右市场走势。其中包括美国劳工部将公布的消费者物价指数(CPI),商务部将公布的第四季度GDP修正值,以及更广义的个人消费支出(PCE)报告。这些数据都将为市场判断通胀路径、经济韧性以及美联储政策前景提供更多线索。

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