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创纪录暴跌后,韩国拟100万亿韩元救市!韩国股市惊人暴涨12% 后市如何看

FX1682026年3月5日 01:10
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FX168财经报社(亚太)讯 在经历有史以来最大单日跌幅后,韩国股市周四(3月5日)出现极为强势的反弹,逢低买入的资金重新回到此前因恐慌性抛售而遭重创的市场。

韩国基准指数KOSPI一度暴涨12%,为2008年10月以来最大盘中涨幅。此前一天(周三)该指数曾下跌大约同样幅度。

当地时间周三,韩国综合股价指数(KOSPI)收于5093.54点,较前一日下跌12.06%,刷新该指数有史以来的最大单日跌幅。

韩国拟100万亿韩元救市

韩国央行与财政部召开周三紧急会议。韩国金融委员会也表示,一旦出现过度市场波动,应积极启动目前正在运行的100万亿韩元(约合人民币5300亿元)市场稳定计划。

与会者“普遍认为”,由于企业盈利改善、资本市场活跃政策预期以及资金持续流入资本市场等因素仍然存在,韩国市场出现“趋势性下跌”的可能性较低。

韩国金融服务委员会主席Lee Eog-weon表示,韩国正在密切关注股市,如果市场波动过大,将积极动用其100万亿韩元的市场稳定计划。

他表示,韩国密切监控股市波动加剧期间可能出现的扰乱市场行为,将严惩任何违规行为。‍

自去年年初以来引领韩国股市全球领先涨势的芯片巨头三星电子(Samsung Electronics Co.)和SK海力士(SK Hynix Inc.)均上涨超过13%。

周四的走势标志着韩国股市在短时间内迅速反转。此前仅在几个交易日内,韩国股市就从高位大幅下跌,几乎进入熊市区间。

在人工智能交易热潮和公司治理改革推动下,韩国股市曾出现全球领先的上涨行情;但随着中东紧张局势加剧引发全球风险资产抛售,韩国市场也首当其冲。

新加坡Reed Capital Partners首席投资官Gerald Gan表示:“这轮反弹很大程度上反映了技术交易者在市场短短几天内从高点下跌近20%后入场抄底。韩国是这轮亚洲市场中受冲击最严重的市场之一。”

他补充说:“目前仍不清楚这是否标志着市场进一步上行的真正拐点,还是仅仅是一轮熊市反弹,尤其是在中东地缘政治紧张局势持续升级的情况下。”

(截图来源:彭博社)

韩国监管机构在期货开盘大涨后,曾短暂暂停KOSPI和KOSDAQ市场的程序化交易。在早盘交易中,外资和散户投资者净买入KOSPI股票,而本地机构则选择卖出。

本周早些时候的暴跌主要由伊朗战争引发的油价飙升所推动,这加剧市场对通胀上升以及经济增长可能受到冲击的担忧。

对韩国而言,这也暴露出“拥挤交易”(crowded trades)迅速平仓的风险——这种情况可能加剧市场抛售,尤其是在交易者通过借入资金进行大规模押注的情况下。随着中东危机可能进一步恶化,市场的不安情绪仍在持续。

后市如何看?

尽管经历了这轮暴跌,KOSPI指数今年以来仍累计上涨超过30%。投资者目前正在评估,本周的剧烈波动究竟意味着此前过热涨势的终结,还是 亚洲第四大经济体进入更具选择性的投资机会阶段的开始。

纽约对冲基金Amont Partners的管理合伙人Rob Li表示:“这些抛售,尤其是过去两天的下跌,完全是由仓位调整推动的,而不是基本面因素驱动的。”

他认为,在市场大跌之后,有不错的机会可以选择性买入韩国股票。

Li说:“在买入公司时,我们会非常精准地挑选标的。”他并补充称,SK海力士符合这一标准,因为该公司自由现金流强劲且估值合理。

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