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【美股收评】特朗普发声安抚市场!市场迅速逆转:美股盘中狂震、油价飙升超9%后急跌

FX1682026年3月3日 21:54
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FX168财经报社(北美)讯 周二(3月3日),美股再度上演剧烈波动行情。市场对美伊冲突可能长期化的担忧持续扰动交易,不过美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的最新表态似乎在一定程度上缓解了部分忧虑。

道琼斯工业平均指数下跌403.51点,跌幅0.83%,收于48501.27点;标普500指数下跌0.94%,收于6816.63点;纳斯达克综合指数下跌1.02%,收于22516.69点。

(图源:FX168)

在日内低点时,标普500指数一度下挫2.5%,纳指一度下跌约2.7%;30只成份股的道指在最差时一度下跌超过1200点,约2.6%。

特朗普周二下午表示,如有必要,美国海军将护航油轮通过霍尔木兹海峡。

特朗普在Truth Social发文称:“立即生效,我已指示美国发展金融公司(DFC)以非常合理的价格为所有通过海湾地区的海上贸易(特别是能源)提供政治风险保险和财务安全保障。这将向所有航运公司开放。如有必要,美国海军将尽快开始护送油轮通过霍尔木兹海峡。无论如何,美国将确保能源自由流动到世界各地。更多行动即将到来。”

(来源:Truth Social)

受这一消息影响,布伦特原油与WTI原油短线大跌超2.5美元。国际基准布伦特原油收涨4.71%。这一涨幅明显低于日内高点,并且是在周一大涨6%之后再度走强。WTI原油同样从高位回落,收涨4.68%,前一交易日也上涨6%。两大原油期货价格盘中一度涨超9%。

(图源:FX168)

当天早盘能源价格的跳涨一度推高美债收益率,市场担心油价上行可能导致通胀再度升温——而这恰逢美国投资者押注美联储进一步降息以提振经济。随着油价从高位回落,收益率涨幅也随之收窄。

在贸易与通航担忧加剧之际,伊朗革命卫队一名指挥官称,全球最关键的原油运输通道——霍尔木兹海峡——已经关闭,并称伊朗将点燃试图通过该航道的船只。特朗普此前警告冲突可能持续四周以上,也进一步放大了市场不安。随着冲突进入第四天,局势加深的迹象还包括:

- 伊朗加大对沙特的攻击力度,美国驻沙特首都利雅得大使馆遭无人机袭击,美国国务院下令从巴林、伊拉克和约旦撤离部分人员;

- 得到德黑兰支持的真主党使用导弹和无人机袭击特拉维夫;

- 市场担忧海湾国家(如阿联酋)能否依靠防空系统长期抵御伊朗的导弹与无人机密集攻击。

Liquidnet美国股票市场结构负责人Jeffrey O’Connor表示:“我确实认为,更长期任务的可能性可能会在接下来几周对市场形成压力。”他指出,油价可能在高位变得更具黏性,投资者还必须应对通胀、收益率以及降息预期的后续变化。

他还说:“从历史上看,美国市场往往能够忽视这类地缘政治冲击,但话虽如此,霍尔木兹海峡已经关闭。”他补充称,鉴于全球约20%的石油消费需要经过霍尔木兹海峡,其持续关闭“不能被忽视”。

周二标普500指数11个板块全线收跌。其中,材料板块与工业板块跌幅居前,市场担忧更高的油价与融资成本可能拖累美国经济。

多只大型科技股(例如英伟达)周二走低,这些股票曾引领周一盘中反弹。美国存储芯片股也承压,延续了韩国存储芯片股明显下跌的影响。此外,《金融时报》报道称黑石旗下私募信贷基金第一季度净流出17亿美元,黑石股价因此下跌3.8%。

周二市场几乎“无处可躲”——黄金价格在周一上涨后也大幅走低。被视为华尔街“恐慌指标”的CBOE波动率指数(VIX)飙升至去年11月以来最高水平。

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