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特朗普“语出惊人”:我选的美联储掌门能让美国经济实现15%的增长!

FX1682026年2月10日 05:37
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FX168财经报社(亚太)讯 美国彭博社周一(2月9日)报道称,美国总统特朗普(Donald Trump)表示,他提名领导美联储的人选能够刺激经济以15%的速度增长——这一目标极其乐观,但也凸显出若凯文·沃什(Kevin Warsh)获得确认,他将面临多大的压力。

(截图来源:彭博社)

特朗普在接受福克斯商业频道采访时称,沃什在他上一次遴选过程中是“第二人选”,并表示选择鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)担任美联储主席是一个重大错误。

在周一播出的一段采访片段中,特朗普对主持人拉里·库德洛(Larry Kudlow)说,如果沃什“能做到他有能力做到的工作”,那么“我认为我们可以实现15%的增长,甚至更高”。库德洛曾在特朗普第一任期内担任高级助手。

特朗普说:“我认为他会非常出色,他是一个非常高素质的人。”

尚不完全清楚特朗普所指的是同比增速还是其他指标。美国经济今年预计增长2.4%,而在过去五十年里,其年均增速约为2.8%。

自20世纪50年代以来,美国国内生产总值(GDP)仅在少数几个时期实现过15%以上 的增长速度,其中包括2020年第三季度,当时在与疫情相关的停摆之后,企业重新开业带动经济反弹。

特朗普还表示,在寻找新任美联储主席期间,他希望人选能够降息;他后来又称,如果沃什曾主张加息,他就不会选择沃什。

这些言论清楚表明,特朗普在押注:如果沃什获得确认,他能够在传统上对美国总统不利的中期选举前推动经济增长。

但沃什在参议院的确认程序可能会被拖延。来自北卡罗来纳州、即将退休的共和党参议员汤姆·蒂利斯(Thom Tillis)承诺:只要特朗普政府仍在推动司法部对鲍威尔以及美联储一项大楼翻修项目展开调查,他就会阻止任何美联储官员的确认提名。

库德洛追问特朗普,司法部的调查是否值得以拖延沃什的提名为代价。

特朗普说:“我不知道,我们得看看会发生什么。我和蒂利斯斗了很久,久到他最后干脆退出了(不再参选)。”

特朗普似乎并不担心可能出现的延迟,他补充说:“如果发生了,那就发生了。”

特朗普在福克斯商业频道采访中的言论预示着沃什可能面临一场棘手的挑战。他的言论表明,特朗普并不担心通货膨胀,而通货膨胀通常会在接近15%的增长率下飙升,并且目前通胀率一直居高不下。

根据美联储去年12月发布的预测中值,美联储官员预计2026年只会降息一次。而投资者仍然预计今年会降息两次。

在周一播出的一段视频中,特朗普表示,是前财政部长姆努钦(Steven Mnuchin)力荐鲍威尔担任美联储主席。

特朗普谈到鲍威尔时说:“我的财政部长非常非常想要他担任这个职位。我当时对他感觉不太好,但有时你会听取别人的意见,结果这是一个错误,一个非常大的错误。”特朗普的完整采访将于周二播出。

鲍威尔在拜登(Joe Biden)任内获得连任,但此后成为特朗普的攻击目标。特朗普一直大力主张降低利率,并打破几十年的先例,对美联储的独立性提出质疑。

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