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日本突传大消息!日媒民调:高市早苗领导自民党有望在选举中取得压倒性胜利

FX1682026年2月2日 05:35
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FX168财经报社(亚太)讯 英国路透社周日(2月1日)报道称,根据《朝日新闻》的一项调查,日本首相高市早苗(Sanae Takaichi)领导的自民党可能在周日(2月8日)的众议院选举中获得压倒性胜利,这增加了日本继续推行大规模开支和减税政策的可能性。

(截图来源:路透社)

在周日的选举中取得强劲表现将巩固高市早苗对其政党的控制,并为她的扩张性财政政策提供授权,这可能会加剧人们对日本财政状况的担忧,并推高债券收益率。

根据《朝日新闻》周日发布的民意调查,自民党可能在众议院465个席位中赢得超过233席的多数席位,远高于目前的198席。

(截图来源:路透社)

民调还显示,自民党与执政联盟伙伴维新党将赢得的席位总数可能多达300席。

三菱UFJ摩根士丹利证券(Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities)资深债券策略师鹤田圭介(Keisuke Tsuruta)表示:“自民党若大获全胜,将进一步巩固高市早苗的权力。高市早苗更有可能推行她的积极财政政策,包括降低消费税。”

由于投资者预计高市将获得选举授权,推动她以增加开支和减税为重点的“积极”财政政策,日本政府债券收益率在周一上升。

根据《朝日新闻》民调,日本最大反对党“中道改革联盟”(Centrist Reform Alliance)可能失去原有167席的一半。

“中道改革联盟”由反对党立宪民主党和公明党组成,公明党原为自民党的长期执政盟友。

高市早苗的执政联盟目前在强大的下议院中拥有微弱多数,但在上议院中处于少数地位。

高市早苗上个月解散了国会,并宣布于2月8日举行提前选举,寻求为她通过扩张性财政政策重振经济的推动争取授权。

日本上个月经历了广泛的市场动荡,此前高市早苗承诺暂停对食品销售征收8%的税率,期限为两年,这重新激起投资者对该国财政纪律的担忧,因为日本的公共债务是其经济规模的两倍多。

其他大多数政党也呼吁暂停或削减消费税,以减轻生活成本上涨对家庭的冲击。

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