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TA用4年时间证明:股神巴菲特错了!

FX1682024年8月12日 01:47
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FX168财经报社(亚太)讯 比特币巨鲸、美国上市公司微策略(MicroStrategy)在2020年8月10日买入第一枚比特币,这一大胆举措在4年后已演变为该公司决定性战略,其回报率甚至超过了股神巴菲特(Warren Buffett)旗下的伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司。

据CoinTelegraph报道,截至2024年8月10日,微策略拥有价值137.71亿美元的226500枚比特币储备,其平均收购成本约为37000美元。目前比特币交易价格约为60500美元,微策略目前拥有约53.9亿美元的未实现利润。

(来源:SaylorTracker)

尽管收益颇丰,但微策略首席执行官塞勒(Michael Saylor)仍坚持持仓比特币,不出售任何累积资产。该公司已表达了继续增持比特币的意图,其最近一次于8月1日购买比特币进一步证明了这点。

微策略的MSTR股票价值对其比特币购买做出了乐观反应,自2020年8月以来已飙升约1000%。相比之下,这相较比特币的回报率高1.5倍,比标准普尔500(SPX)指数同期的回报率高16.25倍。

(来源:Trading View)

有趣的是,自微策略首次购买比特币以来,巴菲特的伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司A类股票BRK.A的表现明显逊于MSTR。在此期间,BRK.A仅上涨了104.75%,巴菲特对比特币的持续负面立场使伯克希尔·哈撒韦无法探索加密货币投资。

2018年,巴菲特将比特币称为“老鼠药的平方”。他的亲密伙伴、已故的查理·芒格在2021年的声明中更进一步,预测比特币的价格将跌至零,称其为令人厌恶的产品。

尽管如此,近年来,比特币和MSTR的表现优于巴菲特持有的顶级股票,即苹果、美国运通和美国银行。

(来源:Trading View)

然而,一些交易员表示想做空MSTR股票,投资公司Kerrisdale Capital认为该股票的交易价格相对于比特币“溢价过高”。

Kerrisdale Capital首席投资官Sahm Adrangi解释说:“软件业务的价值为10亿美元,也许为15亿美元,或者介于两者之间,价值不高。”

他补充道: “比特币价格必须上涨,公司的价值才会上升。如果价格下跌,公司的价值也会下降。公司应该以比特币的价值进行交易。我们的论点是‘做空微策略、做多比特币’。”

另外值得关注的是,尽管巴菲特不直接投资比特币,但伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司所持仓的巴西Nubank股票,实际上也接触了数字资产。

Finbold报道,伯克希尔·哈撒韦公司持有Nu Holdings高达1.07亿股股票,该公司今年的股价涨幅惊人。2021年,在Nu Holdings首次公开募股(IPO)阶段前后,巴菲特以近7.5亿美元的价格购买了该公司股份。

尽管早前部分涨幅回吐,但截至上周五(8月9日)美股收盘,Nu Holdings年初迄今累积49.94%涨幅,报在12.40美元。

(来源:Trading View)

免责声明:本网站提供的信息仅供教育和参考之用,不应视为财务或投资建议。

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