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小心日本“黑天鹅”突袭!日财务大臣对日元的警告言论接近“最强硬”措辞

FX1682026年3月17日 02:36
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#日元贬值#FX168财经报社(亚太) 美国彭博社周二(3月17日)报道称,日本财务大臣片山皐月(Satsuki Katayama)表示,近期的汇率波动与经济基本面不符,并再次警告称,当局可能采取行动应对相关走势。

片山皐月周二对记者表示:“整体来看,金融市场的波动性明显加大。”

她指出,汇率走势在一段时间内都未与基本面保持一致,而目前这种偏离尤为明显。

片山皐月表示:“考虑到汇率对民众日常生活的影响,我们已做好随时应对的充分准备。”

她还提及自己周一的讲话,当时她表示,如果有必要,官员们已准备采取“大胆行动”。在日本政策制定者的表述中,这一说法通常指外汇干预。

在片山皐月发表讲话之际,受中东局势持续紧张影响,日元兑美元仍徘徊在接近160的水平。

本周稍早,日元一度触及今年以来最低水平,报1美元兑159.75日元;截至周二东京午盘前,汇率约为1美元兑159.35日元。

2024年,日元兑美元跌破160关口后,日本当局曾多次出手干预汇市,以支撑日元。

(截图来源:彭博社)

青空银行(Aozora Bank)首席市场策略师Akira Moroga表示:“她周一提到要采取‘大胆行动’,这一表态已经接近最强硬的措辞。在美元/日元逼近160关口之际,她明确表明了将遏制日元进一步走弱的明确意图。”

Moroga还表示:“市场对当局出手干预的担忧,正限制美元进一步上行。”

不过,近期市场走势主要还是受到中东局势推动,这使日本当局可采取的手段相对有限。这与1月份的情况形成对比:当时日元走弱主要是由投机交易所驱动。彼时,美日双方协调进行“汇率询价”,帮助遏制相关走势。

三菱UFJ银行(MUFG Bank)驻东京的全球市场研究主管Teppei Ino表示:“我们需要意识到,日元兑美元再次跌破160关口的可能性仍然存在。”

他补充称,日本政府官员可能会继续发出口头警告,但这些表态“恐怕难以对市场情绪产生实质性影响”。

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