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随着伊朗战争升级,日元跌至自2024年7月来的最弱水平!

FX1682026年3月13日 06:41
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#伊朗危机追踪#FX168财经报社(亚太)讯 美国彭博社周五(3月13日)最新报道称,投资者在周末前降低风险之际,日元跌至自2024年7月以来的最弱水平,因为持续的中东战争推高油价并加剧通胀担忧。

(截图来源:彭博社)

由于布伦特原油价格在经历了历史上最波动的交易周之一后徘徊在约100美元/桶,日元兑美元一度下跌0.2%,至1美元兑159.69日元。

日本国债也出现下跌,10年期日本国债收益率上升5.5个基点,至2.235%。

更高的原油价格正在给日本通胀带来压力,因为日本在很大程度上依赖中东石油。

与此同时,交易员表示,对冲基金一直在购买针对多种货币的短期美元看涨期权,以对冲周末伊朗战争消息可能导致美元在下周一高开缺口的风险。

(截图来源:彭博社)

三菱日联信托银行(Mitsubishi UFJ Trust & Banking Corp.)纽约分行负责销售与交易的Takafumi Onodera表示:“如果由于伊朗战争导致油价和收益率持续走高,美元/日元可能会逐步逼近160水平。实际干预可能比较困难,这意味着美元/日元可能会继续上涨。”

日元下跌使其接近日本当局此前曾干预以支撑货币的水平。不过,策略师认为干预门槛仍然较高,因为伊朗冲突以及美国经济数据的韧性从基本面上推高了美元。

彭博策略师Mark Cranfield表示:“在考虑何时抑制日元疲软时,日本当局最不希望看到的是短端美债收益率持续上升。随着两年期美债收益率突破重要上限,这在日本央行预计将维持利率不变的会议前,为美元提供了进一步上涨的动力。”

日本财务大臣片山皋月(Satsuki Katayama)周五对记者表示,金融当局正比平时与美方保持更密切的联系,她本人将避免就货币干预问题发表评论。

官员们表示,他们更关注的是市场波动性和汇率变动的速度,而非具体的汇率水平。

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