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【黄金收评】伊朗向特朗普发出死亡威胁!金价大涨56美元 接下来如何交易?

FX1682026年3月11日 00:41
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#黄金收评#24K99讯 周二(3月10日),现货黄金价格大幅反弹,分析师指出,连日飙涨的油价回落,加上美元走软,帮助黄金回升。

现货黄金价格周二收盘大涨56.05美元,涨幅1.1%,报5192.87美元/盎司。

FXStreet分析师Christian Borjon Valencia指出,周二,受油价走低的影响,美元走软,金价展开反弹。这反映出美元与原油价格的密切相关性。

Valencia称,地缘政治因素持续影响着价格走势。周二,美国总统特朗普暗示美国对伊朗的军事行动可能很快结束。尽管特朗普发表了上述言论,但据美国国防部长赫格塞斯称,五角大楼透露,周二是“对伊朗境内目标进行空袭最猛烈的一天”。

受伊朗冲突可能很快结束的猜测影响,美国原油期货当日一度暴跌约14%。

油价周一曾飙升至三年多高点,但在特朗普表示战争“基本上已结束”之后,市场对石油供应长期中断的担忧和缓下来,油价闻讯暴跌。

美元指数稍稍回落,支持金价反弹。黄金以美元计价,当美元走软,黄金对其他货币的持有者来说更具吸引力。

伊朗向特朗普发出死亡威胁

不过,战场上未见战事缓和迹象,此外,伊朗高层官员对美国总统特朗普发出强烈警告。

德黑兰居民表示,美国与以色列的联军正对首都进行此次冲突爆发以来最猛烈的空袭。

伊朗最高国家安全委员会秘书拉里贾尼周二在社交媒体平台发文,向特朗普发出带有威胁意味的信息,称“小心别被歼灭”,为已持续升级的中东冲突再添紧张气氛。

拉里贾尼在X上表示:“伊朗不害怕你 (特朗普) 的空洞威胁。比你更强大的势力都未能消灭伊朗,小心别让你自己被歼灭!”

此番言论是回应特朗普周一在Truth Social上的发文。特朗普当时威胁称,如果伊朗阻止石油通过霍尔木兹海峡,美国将对伊朗发动“比目前为止强二十倍”的军事打击。

就在拉里贾尼发出警告之际,伊朗军方周二对以色列及多个波斯湾国家发动新一轮攻击。伊朗对以色列、阿联酋、沙特、科威特与巴林发射导弹与无人机。

聚焦美国CPI数据

FXStreet分析师Christian Borjon Valencia指出,周三公布的美国2月份消费者物价指数(CPI)将有助于投资者了解美联储的货币政策立场。

经济学家预计,美国2月份总体CPI同比料上涨2.4%,与1月份持平;核心CPI同比料上涨2.5%,与上月数据相同。

周五,美联储青睐的通胀指标——个人消费支出(PCE)物价指数将出炉。

Kitco Metals高级分析师Jim Wyckoff表示:“若本周通胀数据表现强劲,美联储将陷入两难境地,金价可能进一步下跌。”

美联储下次决策会议预定3月17至18日举行,市场普遍预期将维持利率不变。

黄金被视为规避通胀的工具,而低利率环境则增强了黄金这种不生息资产的吸引力。

黄金技术分析

#黄金技术分析#Valencia指出,受地缘政治不确定性以及黄金对冲通胀的吸引力影响,金价持续震荡,难以确定明确的方向。

Valencia表示,技术面显示,金价在5100美元/盎司至5250美元/盎司区间内盘整,相对强弱指数(RSI)显示多头动能占优。尽管动能看涨,但买家必须突破关键阻力位,才能为进一步上涨铺平道路。

Valencia称,如果金价突破3月2日高点5419美元/盎司,预计将测试5500美元/盎司关口。若进一步走强,金价下一个目标位在5600美元/盎司附近的历史高点。

(现货黄金日线图 来源:FXStreet)

Valencia补充道,相反,如果金价跌破5150美元/盎司,第一个支撑位将是5100美元/盎司。跌破该支撑位后,金价将下探3月9日的日内低点5014美元/盎司,之后是50日简单移动平均线(SMA)4884美元/盎司。

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