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日媒报道引爆日元行情!高市早苗这一表态,日元大跌近120点 怎么回事?

FX1682026年2月25日 00:55
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#日元贬值#FX168财经报社(亚太)讯 日元兑美元周二(2月24日)重挫,此前有日媒报道称,日本首相高市早苗向日本央行表达对进一步加息的担忧,这引发市场对下一次加息时点的疑虑。

据《每日新闻》周二援引多名未具名消息人士报道,日本首相高市早苗(Sanae Takaich)在上周与日本央行行长植田和男(Kazuo Ueda)会面时,对进一步加息表达了保留态度。受该报道影响,日元兑美元和欧元均走弱。

美元/日元周二收盘大涨119点,涨幅近0.8%,报155.78。

如果该报道属实,这表明货币政策层面可能出现摩擦;随着新近进一步巩固的政府施政,政策协调将变得更为微妙,这可能使日本央行的加息时间表更难推进。

加拿大丰业银行(Scotiabank)外汇策略师Eric Theoret表示:“这无疑是我认为一直压在市场心头的担忧。我们得到消息称,即便谈不上施压,至少也出现了对立场分歧的沟通。”

植田和男在上周一曾将那次会面描述为就经济和金融形势发展进行的一次总体性意见交流,并表示首相并未提出任何具体的货币政策要求。

高市早苗本人则对会谈细节讳莫如深,仅表示希望日本央行与政府密切合作,在伴随工资增长的情况下,持续实现2%的通胀目标。

针对《每日新闻》的消息,日本央行拒绝置评。日本经济再生担当大臣城内实(Minoru Kiuchi)也在周二的记者会上拒绝就此次会面发表评论,但重申希望日本央行能与政府密切协作。

此次会面举行之际,市场猜测持续发酵:在日元疲软等因素推动下,生活成本不断上升,可能促使日本央行最早在3月或4月加息。

日本央行去年12月将利率上调至0.75%,创下30年来新高,并暗示未来仍有进一步加息的可能。

路透社本月的一项调查显示,多数经济学家预计日本央行将在6月底前把关键利率上调至1%。其中一些人认为,鉴于对通胀压力加剧以及日元疲软的担忧升温,日本央行最早可能在4月采取行动。

交易员目前的定价显示:4月加息的概率为50%,到6月加息的概率为65%。

《每日新闻》报道称,高市早苗对植田和男的具体表态尚不清楚,但她此次的立场较去年11月双方会面时“更为强硬”。

根据植田和男当时的说法,在去年11月的会面中,他曾向高市早苗表示,日本央行正循序渐进地加息,以平稳引导通胀向2%的目标靠拢,并确保经济实现可持续增长。

LMAX Group的分析师在周二的一份报告中表示:“持续的通胀压力——这从服务业生产者物价指数(PPI)的稳健表现中可见一斑,并且还可能得到工资增长的支撑——强化了进一步收紧政策的理由。不过,日本央行预计将循序渐进,以避免给银行和中小企业带来压力。”

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