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【黄金收评】特朗普一席话加剧美元崩跌!金价暴涨173美元 后市如何交易?

FX1682026年1月28日 00:37
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#黄金收评#24K99讯 周二(1月27日),现货黄金价格暴涨逾3%,延续破纪录涨势,反映持续的经济和地缘政治不确定性,正促使投资者持续抢进这种避险金属。此外,美国总统特朗普的一番言论加剧美元的崩跌态势,刺激金价进一步上涨。

现货黄金周二收盘暴涨173.19美元,涨幅3.46%,报5181.10美元/盎司。

追踪美元兑六种货币表现的美元指数(DXY)周二收盘暴跌1.32%,报95.76。

FXStreet分析师Christian Borjon Valencia指出,受贸易战引发的地缘政治紧张局势加剧以及可能干预外汇市场以提振日元的威胁推动,黄金价格周二连续第个交易日上涨。美国和韩国贸易战的升级正波及金融市场,推高黄金的吸引力。美国总统特朗普威胁对韩国商品加征25%的关税,推动美元走软,贵金属价格飙升。

Valencia补充道,随着美国国内紧张局势加剧,1月30日美国政府可能再次停摆的风险正在浮出水面。除此之外,有关可能对外汇市场进行协调干预以推高日元的威胁,也导致美元暴跌。

黄金正在延续去年破纪录的涨势,今年以来涨幅超过18%,主因是地缘政治和经济不确定性上升、美国降息预期,以及全球央行在去美元化趋势下增加购买力道等多种因素。

美国银行大宗商品策略师Michael Widmer说:“涨势通常会因为当初吸引人们进入黄金市场的驱动因素消散而结束,但事实上并非如此。”

芝商所(CME)周二表示,在周一,其金属交易组合创下333万8528份合约的单日交易量纪录,打破2025年10月17日创下的282 万9666份合约的纪录。

目前机构纷纷看涨金价后市表现。德意志银行和法国兴业银行目前预测金价将在今年年底达到6000美元/盎司。

特朗普一席话加剧美元崩跌走势

美国总统特朗普周二表示,他不认为美元“跌得太多”,并称美元“表现很棒”、汇率本就会波动。市场对其言论反应剧烈。

特朗普当天在爱荷华州对记者表示,当被问及美元走弱、并将全球最重要储备货币拖至近四年低位时,他回应称:“不,我认为很好……看看我们做的生意,美元表现得很好。”

他还补充称,希望美元“回归自身应有水平”,并称这是“公平的做法”。

受特朗普言论影响,此前原本处于跌势对的美元指数短线跳水逾70点,刷新2022年2月以来新低至95.53。

随着美元继续走弱,非美货币集体拉升,日元等主要货币走强。现货黄金价格延续强势,刷新历史高位至5190.51美元/盎司。

InvestingLive分析师Adam Button指出,特朗普长期以来一直暗示他青睐弱势美元,并认为这将有助于提升美国的出口竞争力

关注美联储决议

市场关注美联储于周二开始、为期两天的政策会议,尽管普遍预期利率将保持不变,但在美联储独立性令人担忧的情况下,主席鲍威尔周三的会后记者会受关注。

FXStreet分析师Christian Borjon Valencia表示,交易员们的目光集中在美联储周三的货币政策决议上,以及美联储主席鲍威尔的新闻发布会上。另外,还需警惕美国总统特朗普可能宣布美联储新任主席人选。

分析师指出,随着金价接连突破5100美元/盎司和5150美元/盎司,金价下一关键阻力在5200美元/盎司。

Valencia警告称,如果鲍威尔周三发表鹰派言论,可能会引发大规模获利回吐,从而打压黄金价格下跌。在这种情况下,金价的第一个支撑位将是5000美元/盎司,其次是4950美元/盎司和4900美元/盎司。

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