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大行情来了!鲍威尔发出“最强音”!道指跳涨近300点、比特币上破6.2万美元 9月降息50个基点预期重燃?

FX1682024年8月23日 14:31
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FX168财经报社(北美)讯 周五(8月23日),美联储主席鲍威尔发出了迄今为止最强烈的降息信号,称打算采取行动避免美国劳动力市场进一步疲软。利率期货交易员预计美联储9月份降息50个基点的概率约为33%,较鲍威尔讲话前有所上升。

鲍威尔说:“我们不寻求也不欢迎劳动力市场状况进一步降温。现在是调整政策的时候了。”

“美联储传声筒”Nick Timiraos在社交媒体发文称,今日的讲话表明鲍威尔的转向政策已经完成,鲍威尔在讲话中表现出了全面的鸽派,两年前他还在同一时期表示,美联储将接受经济衰退作为恢复通胀的代价。

市场反应

股市

美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔表示即将降息后,股市周五上涨。

道琼斯工业平均指数上涨超 300 点,涨幅 0.99%。标普 500 指数上涨 0.9%。纳斯达克综合指数由于科技股表现优异,该股上涨 1.4%。

(道指30分钟走势图 图源:FX168)

鲍威尔在怀俄明州杰克逊霍尔发表讲话时暗示未来将降息,随后股市上涨。但鲍威尔并未提供何时以及降息幅度的具体信息。

“现在是政策调整的时候了,”鲍威尔在美联储年度会议上表示。“前进的方向很明确,降息的时间和速度将取决于即将公布的数据、不断变化的前景以及风险的平衡。”

根据芝加哥商品交易所集团的FedWatch数据,这让交易员们感到高兴,他们一致押注美联储将在 9 月份会议上降息 。但对于降息幅度,人们的看法并不一致。

科技股上涨势头强劲,因为投资者越来越相信低利率环境将使科技股受益。Nvidia和特斯拉两家公司股价均上涨逾 4%,而AMD上涨超过2%。

小型股也因这种前景而飙升,罗素 2000上涨约2%。

尽管周四美国国债收益率上升给三大股指带来一定压力,但本周三大股指仍有望上涨。标普 500 指数和纳斯达克指数本周分别上涨约 1.2% 和 1.3%,道琼斯指数上涨 0.9%。

比特币

比特币短线走高900美元,站上62000美元/枚,现报61784.37美元/枚,日内上涨2.38%。

(比特币30分钟走势图 图源:FX168)

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