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黄金突发行情!金价加速回调逼近2500美元 FXStreet首席分析师金价技术前景分析

FX1682024年8月22日 02:43
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#黄金技术分析#24K99讯 周四(8月22日)亚市盘中,现货黄金短线突然加速回落,目前金价正逼近2500美元/盎司关口,金价日内重挫逾10美元。FXStreet首席分析师Valeria Bednarik撰文,对黄金技术前景进行分析。

Bednarik指出,黄金价格的修正性下跌态势可能会继续,但不太可能出现更加急剧的跌势。

(现货黄金15分钟图 来源:24K99)

现货黄金周三收盘微跌约0.1%,报2512.19美元/盎司。美联储周三鸽派会议纪要公布后,金价一度升至2519.15美元/盎司。

周三公布的美联储会议纪要显示,政策制定者强烈倾向于9月降息,一些与会者认为7月就已具备降息条件。

会议纪要显示:“一些人认为,近期通胀方面的进展和失业率的上升为在本次会议上将政策利率目标区间下调25个基点提供了合理的理由,或者说他们本可以支持这样的决定。绝大多数人认为,如果数据继续符合预期,那么在下次会议上放宽政策可能是合适的。”

FXStreet分析师Christian Borjon Valencia指出,受美联储会议纪要暗示下次会议可能降息的提振,金价仍稳定在2500美元/盎司上方。交易员将关注接下来将发布的美国经济数据,周四将公布初请失业金人数、标普全球的PMI数据和房市数据。周五,交易员将关注美联储主席鲍威尔在杰克逊霍尔研讨会开始时的讲话。

黄金短期技术前景

Bednarik表示,黄金日线图显示,金价守在其所有移动平均线上方,看涨的20日简单移动平均线(SMA)加速升至2440美元/盎司附近,并且也高于看涨的较长期移动平均线。与此同时,技术指标缺乏方向性强度,但仍远高于中线,限制下跌的机会。

Bednarik补充道,在短期内,根据4小时图,金价修正下滑继续。金价目前正在与看涨的20周期SMA作斗争,而100周期SMA和200周期SMA在远低于当前金价的水平获得上行牵引力。最后,技术指标小幅走低,动量指标接近100线。整体情况还不足以表明未来会有更加急剧的跌势。不过,如果金价明显跌破2500美元/盎司大关,可能会为金价在未来几个交易时段延长修正走势打开大门。

(现货黄金4小时图 来源:FXStreet)

Bednarik给出金价最新的重要支撑位和阻力位:

支撑位:2496.40美元/盎司;2485.10美元/盎司;2427.20美元/盎司

阻力位:2510.00美元/盎司;2523.50美元/盎司;2535.00美元/盎司

北京时间10:38,现货黄金报2501.31美元/盎司。

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