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外汇市场劲爆行情突袭!日元突然暴涨逾230点 究竟怎么回事?

FX1682024年8月19日 06:18
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#日本市场#FX168财经报社(亚太)讯 周一(8月19日)亚洲交易时段,美元/日元大幅下挫,目前该货币对跌至145.25附近,日内暴跌超过230点。

分析人士指出,在美元普遍走软的背景下,对日本央行加息的押注刺激日元兑美元走强。美联储主席鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)本周的演讲将为美联储9月降息铺平道路。

(美元/日元60分钟图 来源:FX168)

美国彭博社周一报道称,在本周央行高官发表评论之前,日元兑美元大涨,在十国集团(G10)货币中领涨。在美元普遍疲软的背景下,日元一直在反弹。日本央行行长植田和男(Kazuo Ueda)将于周五(8月23日)在国会露面,美联储主席鲍威尔同日将在杰克逊霍尔发表讲话。

(截图来源:彭博社)

东海东京情报实验室(Tokai Tokyo Intelligence Laboratory Co.)高级策略师Hideki Shibata说:“投资者似乎还没有放弃对日本央行加息的押注。”

市场正在等待植田和男关于日本央行加息路径的任何暗示。日本央行副行长内田真一(Shinichi Uchida)的立场较7月会议更为鸽派,暗示决策者不会在市场不稳定时加息。

在日本首相岸田文雄(Fumio Kishida)表示不会在9月份竞选执政的自民党总裁后,日本国内政治也给加息预期蒙上阴影。

Shibata指出,在本周晚些时候美联储主席鲍威尔和日本央行行长植田和男发表讲话之前,投资者可能会试图买入日元兑美元。

尽管近期市场剧震之后对日本央行将进一步紧缩政策的预期降温,但一些顶级机构仍押注日本未来几个月会加息,坚持自己的策略。

全球第二大资产管理公司Vanguard已加倍做空日本国债,仍然认为日本央行可能在年底前再加息50个基点。

对日本央行再次加息的预期也促使M&G Investment Management继续增持日本国债空头头寸,同时超配日元。

北京时间14:06,美元/日元报145.26。

免责声明:本网站提供的信息仅供教育和参考之用,不应视为财务或投资建议。

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