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黄金短线V型反弹!金价刚刚突破2410美元 FXStreet分析师金价技术分析

FX1682024年8月6日 08:03
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#黄金技术分析#24K99讯 周二(8月6日)欧市早盘,现货黄金短线持续反弹,目前金价位于2410美元/盎司附近;亚市尾盘,金价一度跌破2395美元/盎司。FXStreet分析师Haresh Menghani最新撰文,对金价技术走势进行分析。

(现货黄金15分钟图 来源:24K99)

Menghani写道,受到一系列因素的拖累,周一黄金价格连续第三个交易日走低。不过,对美联储9月降息50个基点的押注以及地缘政治紧张局势应有助于限制金价下行空间。

现货黄金价格周一收盘大跌32.85美元,跌幅1.35%,报2409.49美元/盎司;金价盘中最低跌至2364.19美元/盎司。

据CME“美联储观察”,美联储9月降息25个基点的概率为17%,降息50个基点的概率为83%。

Menghani指出,从技术角度来看,金价在50日移动均线附近受到强劲支撑,该均线目前在2365-2364美元/盎司附近。对于短线交易员来说,这应该是一个关键水平,如果跌破这一区域,这将为金价延续跌势铺平道路。

Menghani称,若金价遭遇一些后续抛售,并跌破上周波动低点(约2353-2352美元/盎司区域),将重申看空倾向,并拖累金价跌至2342美元/盎司区域,或100日移动均线。

如果金价令人信服地跌破100日移动均线,可能会使近期倾向于看跌交易员,并引发积极的技术性抛售。

上行方面,Menghani补充道,2430美元/盎司水平可能会构成短期阻力,接下来的障碍在2448-2450美元/盎司水平区域。下一个障碍位于2468-2469美元/盎司区域附近,若突破这一区域,金价或将挑战7月创下的历史高位(在2483-2484美元/盎司区域附近)。

金价接下来的阻力在2500美元/盎司心理关口,如果突破这一关口,将为金价近期进一步上涨奠定基础。

北京时间15:57,现货黄金报2410.48美元/盎司。

免责声明:本网站提供的信息仅供教育和参考之用,不应视为财务或投资建议。

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