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【美股收评】贝森特与特朗普言论搅动市场!道指反弹近390点、WTI原油重挫逾5%

FX1682026年3月16日 20:57
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FX168财经报社(北美)讯 周一(3月16日),美股全线反弹,油价则自高位明显回落。经历又一个下跌周后,华尔街试图展开修复性反攻,投资者则继续紧盯伊朗战争的最新进展以及霍尔木兹海峡局势变化。

道琼斯工业指数上涨387.94点,涨幅0.83%,收报46946.41点;标普500指数上涨1.01%,收报6699.38点;纳斯达克综合指数上涨1.22%,收于22374.18点。

(来源:FX168)

个股方面,Meta股价上涨逾2%。此前有报道称,该公司计划裁员超过20%,不过Meta已将这一消息称为“猜测性说法”。与此同时,随着英伟达GTC大会周一开幕,英伟达股价上涨逾1%。

上述走势出现之际,标普500指数上周刚刚录得连续第三周下跌,并在上周五收于今年以来最低水平。

美股反弹、油价回落,市场聚焦伊朗战争最新进展

上周,国际油价强势拉升,布伦特原油自2022年以来首次收于100美元/桶上方。自战争爆发以来,由于霍尔木兹海峡这一关键航运通道运输几乎陷入停滞,原油价格持续飙升。

在周一交易中,美国WTI原油大跌5.28%,收报93.50美元/桶,尽管其隔夜一度升破100美元/桶;布伦特原油则下跌2.84%,收报100.21美元/桶。

(来源:FX168)

油价回落的直接导火索,是美国财政部长贝森特周一对CNBC表示,美国目前允许伊朗油轮通过霍尔木兹海峡。此外,《华尔街日报》援引官员消息称,美国即将宣布一个护航联盟,由多个国家共同护送船只通过霍尔木兹海峡,这一消息也进一步打压了油价。#伊朗危机追踪#

不过,特朗普周一中午向记者发表的讲话又暗示,这一所谓联盟似乎尚未完全成形,因为他仍在呼吁更多国家参与其中。

特朗普周一表示,一些国家拒绝加入护航联盟以保障油轮通过霍尔木兹海峡,这让他感到十分沮丧。

“有些国家非常积极,而有些则反应平平,”特朗普在新闻发布会上告诉记者。“我估计有些国家不会参与。我想,其中有一两个我们已经保护了大约40年、耗费了数百亿美元的国家,这次却不打算参与。”

特朗普一直向美国盟友施压,要求其派兵以确保原油能够流经霍尔木兹海峡。由于伊朗的袭击,这条狭窄海路的油轮运输量已大幅骤减。这引发了历史上最大规模的石油供应中断,自美国和以色列两周前袭击伊朗以来,原油价格已飙升约40%。

特朗普拒绝透露哪些国家已同意加入联盟。他表示,白宫很快将公布一份已签署参与协议的国家名单。

“许多国家已经告诉我,他们已经在路上了,”特朗普说道。

在特朗普讲话后,油价自日内低点有所反弹,但当日仍维持下跌;美股同样自盘中高位有所回吐。道指盘中一度上涨逾600点,涨幅约1.3%;标普500指数和纳指盘中涨幅也一度分别达到1.4%和1.6%。

特朗普对伊朗继续强硬表态,市场押注局势仍可控

上周五,特朗普下令打击位于哈格岛的伊朗军事资产。虽然这轮袭击并未波及石油基础设施,但特朗普已明确表示,如果伊朗继续封锁霍尔木兹海峡,美国将考虑打击相关石油设施。

特朗普周末还向NBC表示,伊朗有意达成协议,但他目前“还没有准备好”。

Mercer Advisors投资组合管理副总裁David Krakauer表示:“市场实际上仍然认为,特朗普从长期看会把市场利益放在心上。更具体地说,市场某种程度上仍在依赖一种判断——如果局势真的恶化,他是有能力、也有意愿让这一切停下来的。”

尽管当前地缘政治局势紧张,但美股本轮抛售幅度仍相对温和。事实上,标普500指数目前距离今年早些时候创下的历史高点仅回落了4%以上。

Krakauer还表示:“不确定性确实存在,而且局势变化很快。在战争迷雾之中,最好的策略往往是暂时按兵不动。”

反弹虽现,但成交量不足令多头信心仍受考验

从盘面表现来看,周一这波反弹多少有些“姗姗来迟”,因为在伊朗战争持续发酵背景下,市场此前已连续承压数周。

不过,这轮反弹并未伴随强劲成交量,而这通常是多头希望看到的重要信号,因为只有成交放量,才能证明市场对反弹具备更强信心。周一纽交所和纳斯达克的整体成交量,均明显低于平均水平。

整体来看,尽管油价回落与美股反弹暂时缓解了市场情绪,但在伊朗战争走向、霍尔木兹海峡通航前景以及特朗普后续政策表态仍充满变数的情况下,本轮反弹能否持续,仍有待进一步观察。

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