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这些消息刺激布油飙升突破100美元!黄金亚盘再遭抛售 金价一度大跌近51美元

FX1682026年3月12日 06:06
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24K99讯 周四(3月12日)亚市盘中,随着美国通胀数据削弱降息前景,同时中东战争推动油价上涨,黄金价格连续第二天下跌。

在此前一交易日下跌0.3%后,现货黄金最大回落幅度达1%。尽管美国核心通胀在年初(冲突爆发前)表现温和,但对未来通胀的担忧降低了美联储降息的可能性。而欧盟则警告称,今年其通胀可能超过3%。

ICE美元指数周四亚市盘中上涨0.3%,当美元走强,以美元计价的大宗商品对持有其他货币的投资人而言变得更昂贵。

现货黄金价格亚市盘中最低跌至5125.40美元/盎司,日内大跌近51美元。

Vantage Markets分析师Hebe Chen表示,黄金的回落“更像是暂时停顿,而非完全放弃”,“价格压力预期的回升提振了美元,并将美联储的短期宽松政策重新搁置,在一次只能容纳一种避险资产的市场中,黄金暂时被挤出了市场。”

在美以与伊朗战争爆发近两周后,冲突仍在扰乱整个中东的石油生产和炼制。由于对长期冲突的担忧超过富裕国家有史以来最大规模的紧急储备释放,布伦特原油周四回升至100美元/桶以上。作为该计划的一部分,美国表示将从其紧急石油储备中释放 1.72亿桶原油。

市场分析师Jill Disis表示,随着阿曼从其关键石油出口码头撤离所有船只,以及两艘油轮在伊拉克水域遭袭,布伦特原油价格已重返至100美元/盎司以上;这凸显中东地区能源资产面临的更广泛风险,并使国际能源署(IEA)创纪录的石油储备释放计划黯然失色。

伊朗表示,世界应该做好油价飙升至200美元/桶的准备,并继续袭击途经霍尔木兹海峡的船只。

美国汽油价格已上涨,可能对通胀形成上行压力,进而促使美联储采取更偏鹰派的货币政策。较高的利率可能吸引更多外资流入,进一步支撑美元。

除了面临借贷成本上升的前景——这对不产生利息的黄金来说是阻力——黄金还是一种流动性来源,投资者可在需要时用它来支撑投资组合的其他部分。

自伊朗战争爆发以来,交易所交易基金(ETF)持有的黄金数量有所下降——尽管在上周创下两年多来最大跌幅后,本周二又出现了资金流入。

(截图来源:彭博社)

尽管自2月28日战争爆发以来,交易波动较大,黄金上行动力已停滞,但今年迄今为止,金价仍上涨近20%,其作为地缘政治动荡时期避险资产的角色为其提供了一定支撑,

Hebe Chen表示:“避险交易并未结束,只是在喘口气。”

北京时间12;56,现货黄金报5141.61美元/盎司。

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