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【黄金收评】特朗普称对伊朗真正打击浪潮即将到来!金价大涨逾42美元 如何交易?

FX1682026年3月3日 00:23
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24K99讯 避险资产黄金周一(3月2日)大幅攀升,投资者担心美国与以色列空袭伊朗之后,中东的冲突恐将演变为长期问题。

现货黄金周一收盘大涨42.50美元,涨幅0.81%,报5321.73美元/盎司。

值得注意的是,金价盘中一度暴涨逾2%,但因获利了结卖压而缩减涨幅。

美元大涨也限制金价涨幅。美元指数周一飙升近1%,使以美元计价的黄金对持有其他货币的投资人而言更昂贵。

FXStreet分析师Christian Borjon Valencia指出,周一,受中东冲突升级引发的地缘政治风险上升影响,金价飙升,盘中一度触及一个月高点5419美元/盎司。

Valencia表示,这场最初旨在除掉伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊的袭击已经扩大。真主党对以色列的袭击引发了以色列的报复,与此同时,德黑兰向以色列、海湾国家以及塞浦路斯附近的一个英国空军基地发射了导弹和无人机。

中东冲突带来的地缘政治不确定性以及乌克兰与俄罗斯和平谈判缺乏进展,可能会支撑金价。此外,油价飙升加剧通胀担忧,并引发美元指数的同步波动。

追踪美元兑六种货币表现的美元指数周一收盘飙升0.92%,报98.55。

High Ridge Futures金属交易总监David Meger说:“市场正试图判断未来几周是否会出现后续打击。我认为可能正是这种不确定性,支撑着金价。”

美以对伊朗的空袭战事升级,而且没有缓和的迹象:以色列因真主党袭击而轰炸黎巴嫩,德黑兰则继续对波湾国家发动弹道导弹和无人机攻击。美国总统特朗普扬言“更大一波攻势”即将到来,但未透露细节。

由于空袭导致中东多处油气设施停止运作,加上关键的霍尔木兹海峡运输中断,原油和天然气价格急速攀升。

特朗普称对伊朗真正打击浪潮即将到来

美国总统特朗普表示,军事行动进展非常顺利。他周一在接受美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)采访时说:“我们正在痛击他们。”

当被问及这场战争可能持续多久时,特朗普表示他认为是四周,但他补充说,他们的进度比预期要快。

特朗普在接受采访时说,在对伊朗的战争中,“更大的一波行动”尚未到来。

据CNN报道,特朗普就伊朗空袭行动表示: “我们还没开始猛烈攻击他们呢。真正的巨浪还没到来。真正的打击浪潮很快就要来了。”

他同时指出,在伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊被击毙后,美国目前尚不清楚伊朗的新领导人将是谁。

SP Angel分析师表示,地缘政治加速碎裂化,正促使金砖集团的中央银行减持美元计价的资产,改为持有黄金,这样的情况可能延续下去。

在此同时,法国巴黎银行(BNP Paribas)预测,实体黄金投资需求将是今年一大动力。

黄金被视为不确定性时期的安全资产,今年屡创新高,累计上涨近23%。

黄金技术分析

FXStreet分析师Christian Borjon Valencia指出,黄金的上涨趋势依然稳固,但价格走势显示,多头正在获利了结,因为金价已从周一欧洲交易时段触及的四周高点(超过5400美元/盎司)回落。相对强弱指数(RSI)显示,黄金的动能依然强劲,目前仍处于看涨区域,远未进入超买状态。

Valencia表示,如果金价突破5350美元/盎司,首个阻力位将是5400美元/盎司,其次是周一高点5419美元/盎司。再往上,下一个关注区域是1月30日的高点5451美元/盎司,之后是接近5600美元/盎司的历史高点。

(现货黄金日线图 来源:FXStreet)

Valencia补充道,相反,如果金价重挫至5300美元/盎司下方,首个支撑位将是2月27日高点转为支​​撑的5279美元/盎司,其次是5250美元/盎司。一旦跌破这些支撑位,下一个目标位将是5200美元/盎司。

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