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不光黄金和原油!市场专家揭示:伊朗遭袭后,哪些资产将暴涨?

FX1682026年3月2日 05:00
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#伊朗危机追踪#FX168财经报社(亚太)讯 金融分析师兼作家Clem Chambers就伊朗地缘局势升级发表看法,并分享了他认为在事态余波中最可能走强的市场趋势。

(截图来源:Finbold)

Chambers日前与David Lin对话时表示,虽然对伊朗的直接打击可能引发短期价格飙升,但真正的投资机会在于地缘紧张局势的持续存在。

值得注意的是,这位分析师还强调了中美之间的战略竞争以及AI热潮的重要性,认为这同样需要与中东正在发生的事件一并纳入考量。

在他所称的这一复杂博弈中,他认为最有望上涨的资产是大宗商品,尤其是黄金、铜、铀,并且最终还包括原油。

Chambers说:“推动金价的重要力量之一是中国。我一直在想他们为什么买这么多。黄金是为战争而存在的。”

金价将涨到6000美元?

Chambers表示,在全球动荡背景下,贵金属仍具备结构性支撑。

不过他也强调,即便伊朗相关的直接军事升级可能引发一波急速但短暂的上涨,他更预期黄金会继续“缓步走高”,而非出现垂直式飙升。

美国和以色列上周六(2月28日)凌晨对伊朗发动袭击,导致伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊(Ali Khamenei)身亡。美国总统特朗普(Donald Trump)敦促伊朗人抓住时机,“接管”政府。

在周一亚市早盘交易中,现货黄金价格上涨逾2%,至5390美元/盎司上方。

从长期来看,Chambers称在当前条件下,黄金今年有望触及6000美元/盎司。他补充说,白银通常会跟随黄金走势,因此在散户推动的动能行情中,白银也可能出现更快的上行。

至于下一个可能出现重大突破的品种,Chambers点名铜。他指出,尽管铜价近年已大幅上涨,但相对而言仍落后于黄金和白银,未来可能以戏剧性的方式“补涨”。

他甚至预计,在AI带来的需求推动下,铜价可能在两年内上涨至三倍,吨价或有望达到5万至10万美元。

铀也将受益

Chambers还指出,铀以及与核电相关的基础设施,将同时受益于AI扩张与能源安全担忧的升温。

他尤其认为,AI对电力的巨大需求正迫使政策制定者重新评估核能,把它视为一种不可或缺的能源来源。

Chambers说:“所以,任何懂核电的人都知道:它(相关产业)会一路飙升。”

他补充称,中东局势升级(包括伊朗相关事态)可能进一步强化各国推动能源独立与加速核电建设的理由。

原油将“暴涨”

Chambers表示,原油最终将出现“爆炸式上涨”。这在情理之中,因为伊朗是重要产油国,也是地区航运要道中的关键角色。

周一亚市早盘,布伦特原油期货一度飙升13%,随后回吐涨幅至约4%。

Chambers强调,原油更大的行情可能会在更后面出现:一方面,AI驱动的用电量激增将迫使能源优先级重新排序;另一方面,内燃机相关需求仍具韧性。

因此,这场对话将伊朗局势视为推动行情的短期“催化剂”,而非大宗商品牛市逻辑的核心驱动因素。更重要的是,AI仍将是主导性的利多顺风因素,其特征包括大规模资本投入、通胀压力上升以及全球竞争加剧。

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