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【黄金收评】黄金尾盘突然“大变脸”!金价跳水后收窄涨幅 聚焦周四这件大事

FX1682026年2月26日 00:18
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#黄金收评#24K99讯 周三(2月25日),现货黄金价格在上一交易日暴跌后反弹,但金价延续近期波动态势,截至收盘,金价已经自日内高点显著回落。

投资者担忧美国总统特朗普最新关税可能推高通胀,而美国与伊朗周四即将举行的会谈,也持续支撑避险买盘。黄金被视为规避通胀的工具。

美元周三走软,这也利好黄金走势。追踪美元兑六种主要货币的美元指数(DXY)下跌0.2%,报97.69。

值得注意的是,金价在周三美市盘中曾一度触及日内高点5217.78美元/盎司,但美市尾盘突然在1小时内迅速跳水逾60美元,随后自低位有所回升并收于5164.79美元/盎司,日内涨幅缩减至0.40%或20.79美元。

美国周二开始对全球进口商品加征10%的临时关税,但白宫官员表示特朗普政府正试图把税率提高至15%。

特朗普就关税最新表态

当地时间周二晚间,美国总统特朗普在国情咨文演讲中表示,美国经济形势良好,正处于黄金时代。他补充说,低利率将解决住房问题,通货膨胀正在下降,工资正在上涨,经济正以前所未有的速度蓬勃发展。

关税方面,特朗普声称,尽管最高法院近期裁决限制其权限,他仍将推进关税议程。

不过,由于新增关税需寻求国会批准,特朗普施加新关税的空间预计将受到严格限制。

特朗普对最高法院的裁决表示遗憾,“几乎所有”国家和企业都希望维持与华盛顿现有的关税及投资协议。

他说:“就在四天前,美国最高法院作出了一项令人遗憾的裁决。这个裁决刚刚下达,非常令人遗憾。”当特朗普提及关税裁决时,民主党人报以掌声。

聚焦周四美国与伊朗的谈判

特朗普同时阐述对伊朗采取军事行动的理由,表示绝不允许该国拥有核武器。

特朗普在国情咨文中表示,伊朗正在研制能够打到美国的导弹。他指出,德黑兰希望达成协议,但尚未确认放弃发展核武器。

与此同时,华盛顿和德黑兰之间的会谈将于周四在日内瓦恢复。一旦会谈进展不顺,地缘政治紧张情绪可能会刺激新的避险买盘。

黄金也被视为不确定时期的避险资产,也因为本身不生息,在低利率环境中通常表现良好。

金价曾在1月29日触及5594.82美元/盎司的历史高点,今年以来累计上涨20%。

美国银行在报告中指出:“投资者提高黄金仓位的步伐已放缓,因此我们预料金价在春季可能趋弱,不过关税不确定性再度升温,可能让眼前的盘整期相对短暂。”

美国银行同时预测,未来12个月金价将突破6000美元/盎司。

黄金技术分析

#黄金技术分析#FXStreet分析师Christian Borjon Valencia指出,根据黄金价格走势,整体趋势向上,但买家必须突破本周高点5249美元/盎司,才能维持持续高点及低点均上移结构的完整性。一旦突破5249美元/盎司水平,交易者可能会挑战5300美元/盎司,之后再测试1月30日高点5451美元/盎司。

(现货黄金日线图 来源:FXStreet)

Valencia补充道,另一方面,如果金价未能攻克5249美元/盎司,则可能出现回调,首个支撑位在5150美元/盎司。一旦跌破该支撑位,下一个目标位将是2月24日低点5093美元/盎司,下一个支撑位是20日简单移动平均线(SMA)5033美元/盎司,之后料测试5000美元/盎司。

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