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无惧前所未有的市场波动!这家知名投行看好今年金价均价达6000美元

FX1682026年2月6日 05:39
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24K99讯 尽管贵金属市场出现前所未有的剧烈波动,一家加拿大知名投行仍然看多黄金和白银,并预计到年底价格将上涨。

(截图来源:Kitco)

周三(2月4日),加拿大帝国商业银行(CIBC)的商品分析师发布更新后的黄金价格预测,预计今年金价均价将达到6000美元/盎司,较其去年10月给出的4500美元/盎司预测大幅上调。

该行预计金价将保持整体上涨趋势,并在2027年将均价推升至6500美元/盎司。上述看涨表态之际,金价在5000美元/盎司附近遭遇新的阻力位,并似乎正在进入新一轮盘整阶段。

周五亚市盘中,现货黄金最新报4827美元/盎司,日内上涨1%。

在最新预测中,加拿大帝国商业银行预计今年白银均价约为105美元/盎司,并预计明年白银均价将升至120美元/盎司。

尽管近期市场波动剧烈且出现大幅回调,但该行分析师表示,2025年的需求驱动因素依然存在。

加拿大帝国商业银行特别指出,地缘政治不确定性将继续支撑避险需求。与此同时,分析师还预计美元进一步走软将是支撑金价上涨的关键因素。

该行分析师表示:“由于各国央行和投资者为应对日益加剧的不确定性而悄然减持美国国债,美元贬值趋势可能会持续下去。我们认为,降息以及美联储与白宫之间的持续紧张关系将给美元带来进一步压力。我们相信,凯文·沃什(Kevin Warsh)将寻求收紧美联储的资产负债表,以降低实体经济的利率。”

加拿大帝国商业银行指出,上周金价从历史高位回落,是由于美国总统特朗普(Donald Trump)宣布将提名沃什接替鲍威尔(Jerome Powell)担任美联储主席所致。市场预计,曾担任美联储理事的沃什能够维护美联储的政治独立性。

展望美国货币政策之外,加拿大帝国商业银行还表示,更广泛的全球法定货币贬值交易将支撑全球对黄金的需求。

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