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突发重磅!俄罗斯发动大规模导弹袭击 金价飙升逼近2525 如何交易黄金?

FX1682024年8月26日 08:15
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#黄金技术分析#24K99讯 周一(8月26日)欧市早盘,现货黄金短线突然大幅攀升,金价正逼近2525美元/盎司。FXStreet高级分析师Dhwani Mehta最新撰文,对金价技术走势进行走势。

(现货黄金15分钟图 来源:24K99)

Mehta指出,在鸽派美联储和地缘政治风险的影响下,金价目标瞄准录高位2532美元/盎司。因黄金日线图技术面走势有利于买家,金价有望重新测试历史高点。

当地时间周一早高峰时段,乌克兰全境多地发生爆炸。乌克兰军方警告称,继凌晨一波又一波的无人机袭击之后,俄罗斯发动大规模导弹和无人机袭击。

乌克兰军方表示,俄罗斯有11架TU-95战略轰炸机在空中飞行,并确认其发射了多枚导弹。地方当局正在核实潜在的人员伤亡情况。

基辅邮报称,俄罗斯发动了可能是俄乌战争以来最大规模的导弹袭击,基辅数千人涌入地铁站。

与此同时,中东地缘政治紧张局势升级也利好黄金。以色列周日对黎巴嫩南部的真主党发动了先发制人的空袭,据称动用了100架喷气式战斗机,打击了40个地点。据称,真主党将对以色列北部和中部发动大规模导弹和火箭袭击,目标是以色列间谍机构摩萨德。

美媒Axios报道称,随着开罗停火谈判没有达成任何协议,“加沙谈判将在未来几天继续通过工作组解决问题和剩余细节”,这进一步增加对黄金的避险需求。

Mehta指出,这些有利的基本面因素令黄金价格面临上行风险,日线图上的技术面也有利于买家。下一个推动金价上涨的因素可能是美国耐用品订单数据,该数据将于周一晚些时候在美国交易时段公布。

受美联储主席鲍威尔鸽派言论刺激,现货黄金上周五收盘大涨26.77美元,涨幅1.07%,报2511.51美元/盎司。

鲍威尔称,政策调整的时机已经到来,暗示即将降息。分析师称鲍威尔发出迄今为止最强烈的降息信号。

如何交易黄金?

Mehta指出,金价的短期技术前景继续显示上行风险,而买家在2470美元/盎司三角阻力位转支撑位上方坚守阵地。

金价守住几周前确认的对称三角形的上行突破。14日相对强弱指数(RSI)稳稳地保持在50上方,目前接近63,预示未来金价将有更多涨势。

Mehta表示,黄金买家需要重新夺回纪录高位2532美元/盎司,才能瞄准下一个关键障碍2550美元/盎司。若突破后者,金价可能会挑战2600美元/盎司,然后再通往三角形目标2660美元/盎司。

(现货黄金日线图 来源:FXStreet)

Mehta补充道,相反,如果金价未能维持在较高水平,金价可能会向2500美元/盎司关口回落,一旦跌破该位,那么上周五低点2485美元/盎司受到挑战。

如果金价持续跌破上周五低点,可能面临进一步下行空间,并跌向上述三角形阻力位转支撑位2470美元/盎司。

北京时间16:04,现货黄金报2524.50美元/盎司。

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