Cuộc họp công bố kết quả kinh doanh Q3 2026 của Titan America (TTAM): EBITDA giảm, hạ triển vọng biên lợi nhuận

Điểm nhấn chính

• Doanh thu quý 3/2026 tăng 5,7% so với cùng kỳ năm trước lên 462 triệu USD, bao gồm khoảng 30 triệu USD từ Keystone Cement.
• EBITDA điều chỉnh giảm 18,6% xuống 95 triệu USD, trong khi biên EBITDA điều chỉnh thu hẹp từ 26,7% xuống 20,6%, phản ánh chi phí năng lượng và nguyên vật liệu tăng cao, nhu cầu suy yếu tại Florida, thời tiết bất lợi và sự cố gián đoạn hoạt động tại nhà máy Roanoke.
• Lợi nhuận ròng giảm từ 57 triệu USD xuống 40 triệu USD, và EPS giảm từ 0,31 USD xuống 0,22 USD.
• EBITDA điều chỉnh tại Florida giảm từ 81 triệu USD xuống 61 triệu USD do sự suy yếu của thị trường nhà ở, tình trạng thiếu hụt lao động và lượng mưa kỷ lục trong tháng 9 gây áp lực lên hoạt động xây dựng.
• Ban lãnh đạo đã cập nhật triển vọng cả năm 2026 với mức tăng trưởng doanh thu ở mức một con số trung bình và biên EBITDA điều chỉnh giảm khoảng 250–300 điểm cơ bản so với cùng kỳ năm trước.
• Dự án Cornerstone đã mang lại khoảng 20 triệu USD lợi ích trong năm 2026. Titan America đặt mục tiêu đạt hơn 50 triệu USD lợi ích tính theo tỷ lệ năm vào năm 2029, cùng với ít nhất 30 triệu USD hiệu quả hiệp đồng riêng từ Keystone tính theo tỷ lệ năm.

Dữ liệu tài chính chủ chốt

Kết quả kinh doanh và hoạt động

Sản lượng xi măng, bao gồm bán ra bên ngoài và tiêu thụ nội bộ, đã tăng 9,6% so với cùng kỳ năm trước khi tính cả Keystone. Nếu loại trừ thương vụ mua lại, sản lượng xi măng giảm 6,2% do sự cố ngừng hoạt động tại Roanoke, gián đoạn nhập khẩu và nhu cầu suy yếu tại Florida.

Sản lượng cốt liệu tăng 1,2% nhờ hoạt động cơ sở hạ tầng duy trì ổn định. Sản lượng tro bay tăng 2% và sản lượng gạch bê tông tăng 0,7%. Sản lượng bê tông thương phẩm giảm 5,2%, chủ yếu do điều kiện thị trường kém khả quan tại Florida.

Diễn biến giá bán có sự phân hóa. Giá bê tông thương phẩm tăng 5,4% và giá tro bay tăng 6,6%. Giá xi măng giảm 1,7%, giá gạch bê tông giảm 3% và giá cốt liệu nhìn chung duy trì ổn định.

Khu vực Mid-Atlantic

Doanh thu ngoài tại khu vực Mid-Atlantic tăng 22,5% lên 213 triệu USD, chủ yếu nhờ Keystone và sự vững chắc của mảng bê tông thương phẩm. EBITDA điều chỉnh duy trì ở mức 37 triệu USD, trong khi biên lợi nhuận giảm từ 21,1% xuống 17,2%.

Sự cố ngừng hoạt động ngoài kế hoạch tại nhà máy Roanoke đã làm giảm khoảng 60.000 tấn sản lượng xi măng. Tình trạng gián đoạn nhập khẩu khiến Titan America không thể bù đắp hoàn toàn sản lượng bị mất thông qua các nguồn cung bổ sung. Ban lãnh đạo cho biết sự cố đã được khắc phục trong quý.

Florida

Doanh thu ngoài tại Florida giảm từ 263 triệu USD xuống 249 triệu USD. EBITDA điều chỉnh giảm từ 81 triệu USD xuống 61 triệu USD và biên lợi nhuận thu hẹp từ 30,8% xuống 24,4%.

Sản lượng xi măng và bê tông thương phẩm thấp hơn, giá xi măng và gạch bê tông suy yếu, chi phí năng lượng và nguyên vật liệu tăng cao, tình trạng thiếu hụt lao động cùng lượng mưa kỷ lục trong tháng 9 đã ảnh hưởng tiêu cực đến kết quả hoạt động. Hoạt động xây dựng cơ sở hạ tầng tiếp tục đóng vai trò nâng đỡ.

Keystone và các sáng kiến chi phí

Keystone đóng góp khoảng 30 triệu USD doanh thu trong quý. Ban lãnh đạo cho biết độ tin cậy, chất lượng sản phẩm và các hiệp đồng thương mại ban đầu đang được cải thiện, nhưng biên lợi nhuận vẫn ở dưới mức bình thường. Titan America dự kiến sẽ đầu tư trong đợt tạm ngừng hoạt động theo lịch trình nhằm hỗ trợ cải thiện hoạt động hơn nữa.

Dự án Cornerstone tập trung vào hiệu quả vận hành, mức tiêu thụ năng lượng và nguyên vật liệu, phân phối, năng suất vận tải đường sắt và hoạt động thu mua. Ban lãnh đạo cho biết phần lớn các khoản đầu tư vào mạng lưới phân phối cần thiết để hỗ trợ sáng kiến đã hoàn thành, do đó nhu cầu vốn còn lại là rất nhỏ.

Định hướng của ban lãnh đạo

Titan America hiện kỳ vọng doanh thu cả năm 2026 sẽ tăng trưởng ở mức một con số trung bình so với năm 2025, bao gồm cả Keystone. Ban lãnh đạo cũng dự kiến biên EBITDA điều chỉnh sẽ giảm khoảng 250–300 điểm cơ bản so với cùng kỳ năm trước.

Triển vọng này phản ánh các điều kiện thị trường ngắn hạn kém thuận lợi hơn, các đợt gián đoạn bảo trì ngoài kế hoạch và mức đóng góp còn thấp của Keystone trước khi tạo ra hiệu quả hiệp đồng.

Bước sang năm 2027, ban lãnh đạo kỳ vọng sự hỗ trợ liên tục từ phân khúc cơ sở hạ tầng và một số thị trường phi nhà ở chọn lọc, nhưng cảnh báo rằng áp lực đối với mảng nhà ở có thể tiếp diễn trừ khi lãi suất thế chấp và lãi suất điều hành hạ nhiệt. Công ty kỳ vọng giá bán sẽ bắt đầu bắt kịp đà lạm phát chi phí.

Có hiệu lực từ ngày 1 tháng 1 năm 2027, Titan America có kế hoạch tăng giá trên tất cả các khu vực: 12 USD/tấn đối với xi măng, 15 USD/yard khối đối với bê tông thương phẩm, 3 USD/tấn đối với cốt liệu cao cấp và 0,10 USD đối với mỗi viên gạch bê tông.

Rủi ro và các yếu tố cần theo dõi

• Hoạt động xây dựng nhà ở tại Florida suy yếu khi lãi suất thế chấp tăng từ khoảng 6,4% vào đầu tháng 6 lên 7,4%, theo ghi nhận từ ban lãnh đạo.
• Tình trạng thiếu hụt lao động tại công trường đã làm chậm tiến độ xây dựng nhà ở và phi nhà ở tại Florida.
• Lượng mưa kỷ lục trong tháng 9 đã làm gián đoạn các thị trường trọng điểm tại Đông Nam Florida.
• Lạm phát năng lượng gia tăng trong quý. Ban lãnh đạo dẫn chứng giá dầu diesel dao động gần mức 6,29–6,30 USD, cao hơn hơn 2 USD so với cùng kỳ năm trước, cùng với chi phí khí đốt tự nhiên tăng tại Florida.
• Ban lãnh đạo cho biết tình trạng gián đoạn logistics tại khu vực Mid-Atlantic đã hạ nhiệt so với quý 2 nhưng vẫn là một rào cản tiềm ẩn khi xung đột liên quan đến Iran tiếp diễn.
• Các đợt tạm ngừng hoạt động theo lịch trình trong quý 1/2027 tại Roanoke và Keystone sẽ làm phát sinh chi phí, trong khi điều kiện mùa đông tại Pennsylvania và Ohio cũng có thể ảnh hưởng đến Keystone.

Điểm nhấn phiên hỏi đáp với chuyên viên phân tích

Ban lãnh đạo cho rằng kết quả kinh doanh suy giảm tại Florida bắt nguồn từ nhu cầu nhà ở yếu hơn, tình trạng thiếu hụt lao động và mưa lớn nghiêm trọng trong tháng 9, cùng với chi phí năng lượng và nguyên vật liệu tăng cao tạo thêm áp lực lên EBITDA.

Sự cố ngừng hoạt động tại Roanoke đã được xử lý dứt điểm trong quý 3. Dự kiến không có đợt ngừng hoạt động lớn nào theo kế hoạch trong quý 4, trong khi các đợt bảo trì thường niên theo lịch trình tại Roanoke và Keystone sẽ diễn ra vào quý 1 năm 2027.

Cầu cảng mới tại Port Tampa Bay mang lại quyền tiếp cận ưu tiên, giúp giảm chi phí lưu tàu. Cầu cảng này cũng mở rộng khả năng tiếp nhận nhiều loại sản phẩm của cảng, bao gồm xỉ và các vật liệu xây dựng rời khác.

Ban lãnh đạo cho biết Keystone bước vào quy trình tích hợp với biên EBITDA cả năm khoảng 10%. Titan America kỳ vọng biên lợi nhuận sẽ cải thiện theo lộ trình nhiều năm thông qua các khoản đầu tư nâng cao độ tin cậy, gia tăng chất lượng sản phẩm và các hiệp đồng thương mại.

Toàn văn cuộc gọi báo cáo kết quả kinh doanh

Toàn văn cuộc gọi công bố kết quả kinh doanh

Phần trình bày của ban lãnh đạo

Operator

Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us. My name is Chloe, and I will be your conference call operator. Welcome to Titan America's Third Quarter 2026 Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]

The conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Michael Bennett, Vice President of Investor Relations.

Michael Bennett

Thank you, and good afternoon to everyone on the line. Thank you for joining us for Titan America's Third Quarter 2026 Conference Call. I am joined by Bill Zarkalis, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Larry Wilt, Chief Financial Officer.

Before we begin, I would like to remind you that earlier this afternoon, we released Titan America's third quarter 2026 results, which are available on our website at ir.titanamerica.com, along with today's accompanying slide presentation. This call is being recorded, and a replay will be made available on our Investor Relations website.

During the call, we will present both IFRS and non-IFRS financial measures. The most directly comparable IFRS measures and reconciliations for non-IFRS measures are available in today's press release and accompanying slides. Certain statements on today's call may be deemed to be forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements made today during today's call speak only as of today and are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause actual results to differ materially.

Additional information concerning these factors is included in today's earnings release our annual report on Form 20-F and our subsequent submissions to the SEC on Form 6-K. Except as required by applicable law, we undertake no obligation to update these statements.

I would now like to turn the call over to Bill. Please go ahead.

Vassilios Zarkalis

Thank you, Michael. Good afternoon, and thank you for joining Titan America's Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results Call.

I'll begin on Slide 4 by highlighting a few key messages. Earlier today, we reported our third quarter 2026 financial results. Revenue increased 5.7% year-over-year, driven by the contribution from Keystone Cement, while adjusted EBITDA declined 18.6%.

During the quarter, margins were impacted by a combination of heightened market headwinds increased energy costs, unfavorable weather and an unplanned maintenance outage at our Roanoke cement plant. While infrastructure demand remained resilient across our markets, deteriorating residential activity continued to weigh on our performance, particularly in Florida.

Our Mid-Atlantic business delivered solid revenue growth despite an unplanned maintenance outage at our Roanoke cement plant, which reduced like-for-like cement volumes and increased operating costs. The impact of the outage was further compounded by lingering effects from recent import supply disruptions, depriving us of the ability to tap on our own usual complementary supply sources.

In Florida, market conditions remain challenging with continued weakening residential demand and softer pricing in cement and concrete block affecting results. These headwinds were further compounded by job site labor shortages that disrupted activity and slowed the pace of nonresidential construction activity across the region.

Finally, demand was affected by record rainfall in key Southeast Florida markets during the month of September. During the quarter, we continue to make progress integrating our recent Keystone Cement acquisition. As mentioned during our second quarter call, this acquisition represents an important milestone in the execution of our long-term growth strategy. We are targeting at least $30 million of annual run rate Keystone-specific synergies by 2029.

Those synergies are focused on top line growth and enhanced operating margins for the acquired assets. While the benefits are expected to build over the next three years, our teams are already delivering early wins in terms of asset reliability, product quality and market synergies. At the end of our call today, we will provide an update on our full year guidance, taking into account recent near-term market dynamics.

Let's turn now to Slide 5. Cost discipline and a drive to set the competitive standard has always been a core part of Titan America's culture. However, in response to current market headwinds and ongoing inflationary pressures, we have intensified our focus on cost reduction, productivity enhancement and continuous improvement.

Earlier this year, we launched Project Cornerstone, a company-wide initiative designed to strengthen the foundation for long-term growth and operational excellence. The project has already delivered approximately $20 million in benefits during 2026, and we are targeting more than $50 million in annual run rate benefits by 2029.

Project Cornerstone is focused on several key value creation areas, including delivering best-in-class operational efficiency with high throughputs while optimizing materials and energy consumption with one of the key levers being our proprietary digital solutions. Also driving low cost to serve advantage as we capitalize on our investments in increasing the capacity and capabilities of our distribution network. At the same time, we are boosting our rail and track fleet efficiency.

Another key lever for us is our campaign to buy less and buy better as we have embedded procurement in our strategic business planning cycle capitalizing on AI-enabled analytical tools and forecasting models in order to increase focus on managing down consumption while negotiating lower unit prices and better terms with suppliers.

Let's turn to Slide 6 to discuss a project that highlights how we are strengthening the foundation for future growth. Titan America and Port Tampa Bay recently marked the opening of a newly constructed second berth serving our marine terminal at the port, a milestone that reflects more than two decades of successful partnership. The new berth expands port capacity, strengthen supply chain resilience and incorporates modern sustainable infrastructure features.

Constructed directly adjacent to Titan America's multiproduct mega marine terminal, the new berth significantly enhances the company's capabilities, reliability and operational efficiency. The strategic investment provides our terminal with increased capacity to serve our West Florida markets and customers with a broad range of upstream construction materials, including cement, cement tissues, aggregates and other bulk materials with greater flexibility, dependability and speed.

As Port Tampa Bay has expanded its capability and cargo volumes, Titan America has invested in terminal operations and infrastructure to support its long-term growth. including the installation of a state-of-the-art ready-mix operation on the side in 2023, the inauguration of a 70,000 metric ton bulk material storage expansion in 2024 and an upgrade of its dry bulk unloading infrastructure, seamlessly integrating existing operations with this new berth.

I will now turn the presentation over to Larry, who will provide a breakdown of our third quarter financial results and business segment performance. Larry?

Lawrence Wilt

Thank you, Bill, and good afternoon, everyone. Slide 7 provides an overview of our third quarter 2026 financial highlights. Those results reflect the heightened market headwinds, higher material and energy costs an unplanned maintenance outage at our Roanoke cement plant and unfavorable September weather in Florida, which together weighed on our margins in the quarter.

Despite the challenges, solid revenue growth in the Mid-Atlantic, including the contribution from Keystone, offset top line softness in Florida. As indicated on the left-hand side of the slide, we delivered revenue of $462 million in the third quarter, an increase of 5.7% compared to $437 million in the third quarter of 2025, of which Keystone contributed approximately $30 million. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $95 million compared to $117 million in the prior year quarter, a decrease of 18.6%.

Our third quarter adjusted EBITDA margin was 20.6% compared to 26.7% in the third quarter of 2025, reflecting higher material and energy costs, job site labor constraints in Florida, the unplanned maintenance outage at our Roanoke Cement plant and a mix impact from the addition of Keystone.

On a year-to-date basis, our adjusted EBITDA margin was 20.9% compared to 23.5% in the first nine months of 2025. Net income for the quarter was $40 million compared to $57 million in the prior year quarter, with earnings per share of $0.22 compared to $0.31 in the third quarter of 2025. The decrease primarily reflects the lower adjusted EBITDA as previously described. As shown on the right-hand side of the slide, operating cash flow for the first nine months was $220 million compared to $215 million in the prior year period as lower net cash tax payments more than offset the effect of lower profitability.

For the same period, free cash flow was $67 million compared to $94 million in the prior year, reflecting increased investments in selective growth projects. I will discuss our CapEx profile later in the call.

And finally, after accounting for the impacts of the Keystone acquisition, our leverage ratio at the end of Q3 was 1.43x trailing 12 months adjusted EBITDA, up from 0.64x at December 31, 2025. Our leverage remains low, providing continued financial flexibility.

Turning to Slide 8. Our sales volume performance in Q3 was mixed with growth in aggregates, Fly Ash, and concrete block contrasted with lower ready-mix concrete volumes and lower cement volumes on a like-for-like basis. Including Keystone, cement volumes, including external sales and internal consumption, increased 9.6% year-over-year. On a like-for-like basis, excluding Keystone, our cement volumes were 6.2% lower, reflecting the unplanned maintenance outage at our Roanoke cement plant, import disruptions and softer demand in Florida.

Total aggregates volumes, which were supported by resilient infrastructure demand, increased 1.2% in the quarter when compared to Q3 2025. Despite healthy growth in the Mid-Atlantic, enterprise-wide ready-mix concrete volumes were 5.2% lower year-over-year, reflecting more challenging conditions in Florida.

Compared to the prior year, total Fly Ash volumes in the quarter increased 2% and concrete block volumes increased 0.7% despite a softer residential construction demand environment.

Turning now to Slide 9. External pricing was mixed, primarily reflecting both geographic and product mix. We continue to manage pricing responsibly in response to market conditions, driving value from our differentiated product portfolio. On a year-over-year basis, cement pricing decreased 1.7%, remaining broadly resilient despite softer demand conditions in Florida and the geographic mix impacts in the Mid-Atlantic segment.

Average aggregates pricing was broadly stable year-over-year and reflected product and geography mix. Ready-mix concrete pricing increased 5.4% when compared to Q3 2025, supported by pricing actions and favorable mix of high-performance product offerings in nonresidential and infrastructure end-use applications. Fly Ash pricing increased 6.6% year-over-year, benefiting from strong demand in a supply-constrained market. Concrete block pricing decreased 3% year-over-year, reflecting softer residential demand.

Turning to Slides 10 and 11, I'll walk you through our third quarter business segment performance. Let's start with Mid-Atlantic on Slide 10. Results in the quarter were impacted by an unplanned maintenance outage at our Roanoke Cement plant, which reduced cement production by approximately 60,000 tons. When combined with import disruptions in the Mid-Atlantic segment, we estimate a similar reduction in cement sales volumes in Q3 in a market territory of higher demand year-over-year.

The acquired Keystone assets contributed approximately $30 million in year-over-year revenue growth with improvements in reliability, quality and initial commercial synergies positively contributing to the segment's adjusted EBITDA performance. Despite the unplanned maintenance outage, Mid-Atlantic external revenue was $213 million in the third quarter, an increase of 22.5% compared to $174 million in the third quarter of 2025. As mentioned, the increase was driven primarily by the addition of Keystone, but also reflects our strong position in ready-mix concrete, where higher volumes and prices more than offset the impact of on revenues from the lower volumes in our legacy cement operations.

Adjusted EBITDA for the segment was $37 million, in line with the prior year quarter, including the impact of the unplanned maintenance outage at our Roanoke Cement plant, which reduced cement production and sales volumes and increased unit costs. Disciplined cost management supported performance in the quarter partially offsetting higher energy and raw material costs.

Segment adjusted EBITDA margin was 17.2% compared to 21.1% in the prior year quarter. And on a year-to-date basis, Mid-Atlantic external revenue was $572 million, an increase of 18.8% compared to $481 million in the prior year period. Adjusted EBITDA was $102 million compared to $88 million, an increase of 15.7% when compared to the prior year period. Segment adjusted EBITDA margin was 17.8% compared to 18.3% in the first nine months of 2025.

Turning to Florida on Slide 11. Our quarterly results reflect ongoing housing affordability pressures and job site labor constraints, which negatively affected the pace of construction activity and the start of new projects in the quarter. September's record rainfall in some of our key Southeast Florida markets also weighed on activity. Solid infrastructure activity continued to underpin demand.

Florida's external revenue was $249 million in the third quarter compared to $263 million in the third quarter of 2025 as lower ready-mix concrete and cement volumes and lower cement and concrete block pricing were partially offset by favorable ready-mix concrete pricing and aggregate volumes. Adjusted EBITDA for the Florida segment was $61 million compared to $81 million in the prior year quarter, with adjusted EBITDA margin of 24.4% in the third quarter compared to 30.8% in the third quarter of 2025.

The change in adjusted EBITDA relative to revenue reflected higher material and energy costs, lower volumes and the residual effects from Q2 import disruptions, partially offset by cost control measures.

On a year-to-date basis, Florida's external revenue was $759 million compared to $777 million in the prior year period, and segment adjusted EBITDA was $184 million compared to $214 million in the prior year period. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 24.2% compared to 27.5% in the first nine months of 2025.

Now turning to our balance sheet and cash flows on Slide 12. As of September 30, 2026, we had $48 million of cash and cash equivalents and total debt of $580 million for a total net debt position of approximately $531 million. That represents a leverage ratio of 1.43x trailing 12 months adjusted EBITDA compared to 0.66x at January 1, 2026.

The Keystone acquisition completed in Q2 was funded with a combination of cash on hand and a new term loan maturing in February 2031. Our balance sheet, combined with continued cash generation and disciplined capital allocation, provides strategic flexibility to support growth and invest in operating efficiencies while maintaining our commitment to returning capital to shareholders and navigating evolving market conditions.

Slide 13 shows our capital expenditure profile for the first nine months of 2026. Net capital expenditures were approximately $153 million for the first nine months of 2026 and remain aligned with our long-term growth strategy. We prioritized attractive growth investments, including our Brunner Island Fly Ash expansion, strategic cement and aggregates investments and ready-mix concrete investments, including capital-light portable plants.

We also invested in alternative fuels to enhance fuel flexibility, efficiency and sustainability and in resource development at Keystone to support our integration priorities. Our investments reflect both our confidence in the secular long-term growth trends in our markets and our commitment to manage and maintain an attractive leverage profile. With respect to shareholder returns, at a meeting on October 29, our Board of Directors approved an issue premium distribution of $0.04 per share payable on January 11, 2027, to shareholders of record as of December 18, 2026.

With that, I'll turn the presentation back to Bill for his closing remarks.

Vassilios Zarkalis

Thank you, Larry. Clearly, our team had to work hard to face the challenges of the third quarter of heightened headwinds, deteriorating housing market, increased energy and fuel costs, customer projects affected by job site labor shortages and unfavorable weather conditions. To add to all these challenges, the unplanned maintenance outage at the Roanoke Cement plant, which reduced cement volumes and increased operating costs.

Let's turn now to our 2026 outlook on Slide 14. Based on current visibility of the remainder of the year and in response to recent near-term market dynamics, including interest and mortgage rate levels, inflationary pressures and job site labor challenges, we have updated our full year 2026 outlook. Including the contribution from Keystone, we now expect mid-single-digit revenue growth compared to 2025.

We also anticipate adjusted EBITDA margin will decline by approximately 250 to 300 basis points year-over-year. Our updated outlook reflects evolving market conditions, the impact of the unplanned maintenance outages and the low pre-synergy contribution from the acquired Keystone assets.

Near-term market challenges do not change the big picture of a dynamic construction materials market with attractive long-term growth expectations, fueled by the secular trends of sustained infrastructure investment, digital transformation and the artificial intelligence economy, modernization of power production and distribution grids, manufacturing reshoring in our country, resilient urbanization and most importantly, the ballooning shortfall in housing required to meet the needs of the U.S. population.

We believe Titan America is in a strong position to capitalize on these trends as we continue to strategically invest in growing together with our customers. Supported by our strong market positions, strategic investments and ongoing productivity initiatives, we are confident in our ability to generate attractive medium- and long-term value for our shareholders.

Before we open the call for questions, I'd like to congratulate our Roanoke Cement team as they celebrate their 75th anniversary. We sincerely thank our customers, investors and community partners for the trust and support that have been the foundation of our success over the past 7.5 decades. This achievement stands as a testament to the generations of dedicated employees who have built Roanoke Cement into what it is today.

With that, I'll turn the call over to the operator for the Q&A session. Operator?

Operator

[Operator Instructions]

We'll take our first question from Anthony Pettinari with Citigroup.

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Anthony Pettinari

Larry, talk a little bit more about what you're seeing in Florida. And you cited labor shortage, weather and maybe weaker underlying demand in resi. And I'm just wondering, if you take maybe the $20 million year-over-year hit, how you would kind of roughly bucket that between those three categories? And just we heard a lot of homebuilders talk about pulling back pretty hard on activity from September to October. I'm just wondering if you could talk a little bit more about what you're seeing in Florida right now.

Vassilios Zarkalis

Tony, I'm going to start and then perhaps Larry can take it over a bit with more details. But clearly, in the third quarter of this year, we saw deteriorating market conditions in Florida. exacerbated by the increase of the mortgage rates. You know better, it started from 6.4% roughly in early June, and it started climbing up to 7.4%, which had a big impact, obviously, on housing activity.

Then on top of that, labor shortages, which were prevalent in other states across the year became intense in Florida. Perhaps you read the statistics, we had perhaps an impact of monthly arrest of about 25,000 people, which became during the third quarter, 50,000. And this had an impact on labor shortages in our customers' job sites, in the project job sites in Florida, which had an effect overall in the market conditions.

And the third major impact in the third quarter was a record rainfall in September, especially in the Southeast Florida. If I remember correctly, it was the record rate for over 20 years or more. I mean it was a very bad weather. So these were the three conditions that led to accelerated deteriorating conditions, especially in the housing market. Now having said that, infrastructure remains solid and certain parts of the nonresidential private activity were strong and underpinned overall the demand.

Larry, do you want to add anything else?

Lawrence Wilt

Yes. I mean, Tony, I think when we talk about the revenue impact, obviously, it's a strong revenue impact, but it also has a bottom line impact as well the revenue flows through to the bottom line. Obviously, you don't incur some of the variable costs. But we did see energy costs higher. We saw some raw material costs come in higher and then the volume effect closes the gap between that overall performance on the revenue and EBITDA that you see at the bottom. Those are the main contributors for the quarter.

Anthony Pettinari

Okay. That's very helpful. And then just shifting to Mid-Atlantic, the unplanned outage in Roanoke and the import disruptions that you mentioned, do those -- is there any carryover impact into 4Q? And just sort of operationally, are those behind you? Or any color there?

Vassilios Zarkalis

The unplanned shutdown was resolved within the quarter. As Larry mentioned, it had an impact of about 60,000 metric tons in cement production losses. Unfortunately, the lingering -- usually in the past, if we had an unplanned shutdown like that, we will flex up our imports in cement, and we will cover the needs of our customers through imports. But the lingering disruptions in supply chain didn't allow us this time to do that. Now the issues in relation to the unplanned outage, they are totally resolved.

Now lingering effects in relation to logistics disruptions remain. They're not as impactful or severe as they were in the second quarter. But so long as the war with Iran continues and there are disruptions there, one can expect that there may be some impacts in the coming months. But overall, not as severe as we witnessed in the second quarter of the year.

Operator

We'll take our next question from Philip Ng with Jefferies. And we'll circle back. We'll move to Chad Dillard with Bernstein.

Charles Albert Dillard

So given that we only have a couple of months remaining in the year, I was hoping to get your early thoughts on just how to think about '27. Maybe we can begin with some of the puts and takes, how to think about some of the cost savings kind of flowing through, how you're thinking about price cost? And then there have been like a few onetime items during this year and just trying to think through all of that as we're working to build our bridge to the new year.

Vassilios Zarkalis

We think in '27, the positive impact is going to be the continued infrastructure investment, clearly. We see the continued resolution into December 11, as you know. And there seems to be consensus, especially in relation to Build US 250 bipartisan consensus. And we think that the recent elections also send the message about the need for improved affordability in housing.

And also, we expect a continuation in positive trends in nonresidential. For example, the AI economy, overall, the investment in data centers, the investment in manufacturing reshoring in health care, and of course, resilient urbanization, all these trends, the positive trends are going to continue.

In relation to the elements related to the near-term deterioration we saw in the housing market, we think that these elements are not going to change in the near term unless we see a reduction in the mortgage rates and overall the pressures from the policy rates. So this may take a bit longer into the second half of 2027. Now in relation to cost optimization, we continue to focus on productivity improvements.

We mentioned that already we have generated $20 million in savings. And in the next three years, starting from 2027, we expect additional savings. And you see the graph that we have shared with an exit rate of these additional savings over the next three years of about $50 million or more. We also see that in 2027, we expect a catch-up in relation to prices versus cost. The rate of cost increases from raw materials with embedded cost of energy and fuels, but also overall, the direct impact from fuel and energy prices was going faster than the ability to increase our prices.

We expect to see some catch-up in 2027. We have already announced price increases as of January 1. We have announced $12 per ton of cement. $15 per cubic yard for our ready-mix concrete, $3 per metric ton for our prime aggregates and $0.10 price increase per block. So we're kicking this as of January 1 across all our areas, including the Northeast, which obviously, in the past, it used to be later in the year towards the spring time. So we start as of January 1 because it's absolutely necessary to counter the hikes in the cost that we have. So there is a positive, let's say, momentum in relation to that.

Charles Albert Dillard

Great. That's super helpful color. And just second question is just on Keystone. I was hoping you could decompose the growth during the quarter versus legacy Titan and just how to think about margins on a go-forward basis, that trajectory?

Lawrence Wilt

Chad, it's Larry. On Keystone, we give you a sense of where revenues were for the three months and for the nine months ended or five months ended, I guess, in that case for Keystone in the results, you saw that in the release. We don't break out the individual units, whether it's Essex or Roanoke. We don't break that as a policy. But we do try to give you a little sense of where Keystone is heading on the revenue side. We shared before that the opening margins for Keystone a year ago were 10% year-over- last year for the full year at Keystone EBITDA margin. And we shared, I think, in the last call that we have a couple of year plan to raise that to more normal levels.

Obviously, we're just five months into that plan through September 30. And we shared, I think, on the last call as well, we need to get through really a planned regular order outage for Keystone to put in place some of the regular CapEx investments and interventions that you can only do an extended outage, which you can't do in the middle of the summer, obviously. So that's the plan. still struggles a little bit on margins, but coming around on reliability, coming around the quality of the product and some early synergies in some of the market areas that we see there.

Operator

We'll move next to Brian Brophy with Stifel.

Brian Brophy

Just wondering if you could provide some additional color on the new Tampa Bay berth and what it enables for you guys? Is it expected to drive incremental volume? Or is this more of a cost-saving benefit?

Lawrence Wilt

Brian, it's Larry again. A little bit of both. Certainly, on the berth itself, they're right adjacent to our facilities, the dome we put in place, the silos that already existed. It's a priority berthing right for us. So things perhaps that were incurred in the past and things like demurrages when we had to leave the berth is not a priority berthing arrangement for us. These can certainly be reduced on the cost side. When you look at the products itself, we've imported recently some slag into the facility. So this gives us some additional capabilities of the multiproduct terminal that we described. So now we have additional flexibility to introduce other products there as well at the Tampa facility.

Brian Brophy

Got it. That's helpful. And then just on Project Cornerstone, is there any color you can provide on the level of spend that's required to realize some of the benefits you mentioned?

Lawrence Wilt

Nothing terribly significant there. Some of it would come from some CapEx interventions on some of the logistics activities, for example, but they're not heavy and some of them are already in flight.

Vassilios Zarkalis

The investments in the distribution network expansion that gives us additional capabilities, capacities and reduced costs have been executed already. So it's very minimal remaining investments.

Operator

We will take our next question from Philip Ng with Jefferies.

Philip Ng

Can you hear me now? Sorry about all the technical issue. Larry, I guess margins were certainly impacted in 3Q by inflation. Can you size up the inflation impact in 3Q versus rate in the first half of the year? I ask because I thought historically, you guys have done a pretty good job in terms of passing freight through surcharges and whatnot. And then you buy for on the energy side. So you just give us a little more perspective in terms of you offsetting that going forward.

Vassilios Zarkalis

Sorry, you were breaking up a little bit on my side, Phil, but I think I got the nature of the question. So on the energy side, certainly, as things progress during the third quarter, energy costs had gone up year-over-year compared to even the second quarter impact. So we saw an acceleration of that.

Diesel fuel, as you know, is $6.29, $6.30, something like that today was $2 plus less than that a year ago in the third quarter. So a big impact coming through. We also saw some increases more in Florida than in Mid-Atlantic, certainly in natural gas coming into the facility down here. So that has some impact.

Now we mitigated some of that with increased levels of alternative fuels. So that didn't all come through, but it was something that we certainly faced during the year. There's some embedded energy costs, as you know, on some of the raw materials that come into the facility, things that are transported in aggregates, for example, cement, for example, coming into the ready-mix facilities has an impact there as well.

We saw some increases in some aggregate costs as well to the extent that we buy that from third parties more in the Mid-Atlantic than in Florida, obviously, in that case. So those are the main drivers, I think, that you would see had the intervention on some of the costs, certainly as we were describing for some of the repairs at Roanoke. And as we look forward to the next quarter as well, just to get ahead of the question perhaps a little bit. We do have the annual outages that come in Roanoke and now Keystone in the first quarter of next year as well. So just something to be aware of there as well.

Philip Ng

Okay. Is there any way to size up those outages in Q4 and Q1 on a year-over-year basis won't be surprised?

Lawrence Wilt

Q4, we don't have any planned outages of any significant intervention, right? You may have a week or so, but nothing significant that would come. It's comparable year-over-year in that case. So you wouldn't see something in that case. Next year, the outage in Keystone would be generally on the expense side. It would look generally like the Roanoke outages typically. So it's a typical pattern there. What's different perhaps about Keystone is the intensity of winter in Pennsylvania, Ohio is a bit different than it is in Virginia and the Carolinas. So it can have an impact as well come Q1.

Philip Ng

Okay. Helpful. And just a follow-up question. The price increases you guys announced that you just mentioned, Bill, are those all for January 1? Or it's going to be more of an April 1?

Vassilios Zarkalis

January 1... All of them.

Operator

And this does conclude the question-and-answer portion of today's call. I would now like to hand the call back to Michael Bennett for any additional or closing remarks.

Michael Bennett

Thank you for your time today. We appreciate your interest in Titan America and look forward to updating you on our progress on our fourth quarter earnings call. Have a great rest of your day. Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. This brings us to the end of today's meeting. We appreciate your time and participation. You may now disconnect.