Hội nghị công bố kết quả kinh doanh quý 3/2026 của Motorola Solutions (MSI): Đơn hàng tồn đọng kỷ lục 16,6 tỷ USD, nâng dự báo

Điểm nhấn chính

• Motorola Solutions (NYSE: MSI) ghi nhận doanh thu tăng trưởng 12% so với cùng kỳ năm trước trong quý 3 năm tài chính 2026, với mức tăng trưởng hai con số ở cả hai mảng kinh doanh và toàn bộ ba nhóm công nghệ.
• Lợi nhuận hoạt động non-GAAP tăng 19% lên gần 1,1 tỷ USD. Biên lợi nhuận hoạt động non-GAAP mở rộng 200 điểm cơ bản lên 32,5%, bất chấp chi phí chuỗi cung ứng tăng cao.
• EPS non-GAAP tăng 16% lên 4,69 USD. EPS GAAP giảm xuống 3,06 USD, chủ yếu do khoản chi phí phi tiền mặt 0,52 USD/cổ phiếu liên quan đến điều khoản thanh toán bổ sung (earnout) của Silvus.
• Lượng đơn đặt hàng tăng hơn 20%, và giá trị đơn hàng tồn đọng cuối kỳ đạt mức kỷ lục 16,6 tỷ USD, tăng 14% so với cùng kỳ năm trước và tăng 1 tỷ USD so với quý trước.
• Ban lãnh đạo đã nâng dự báo cho cả năm 2026 với doanh thu đạt khoảng 13,050 tỷ USD, EPS non-GAAP từ 17,94–17,99 USD và dòng tiền từ hoạt động kinh doanh đạt 3,05 tỷ USD.
• Ban lãnh đạo đã đưa ra những nhận định sơ bộ cho năm 2027, cho thấy doanh thu đạt khoảng 14,25 tỷ USD, tăng trưởng hữu cơ mạnh mẽ hơn năm 2026 và biên lợi nhuận hoạt động tiếp tục mở rộng.

Dữ liệu tài chính quan trọng

Kết quả kinh doanh và hoạt động

Doanh thu mảng Sản phẩm và Tích hợp Hệ thống tăng 12%, nhờ mức tăng trưởng hai con số ở nhóm mạng lưới thiết yếu và video. Biên lợi nhuận hoạt động của mảng tăng lên 31,7% từ mức 29,3%, phản ánh doanh số cao hơn và đòn bẩy hoạt động, dù bị triệt tiêu một phần bởi chi phí chuỗi cung ứng.

Doanh thu mảng Phần mềm và Dịch vụ tăng 13%, với mức tăng trưởng hai con số ở toàn bộ ba nhóm công nghệ. Biên lợi nhuận hoạt động của mảng tăng lên 33,8% từ mức 32,6%.

Doanh thu tại Bắc Mỹ tăng 10% lên 2,3 tỷ USD. Doanh thu quốc tế tăng 18% lên 1 tỷ USD, trong đó toàn bộ ba nhóm công nghệ đều ghi nhận tốc độ tăng trưởng hai con số.

Silvus tiếp tục là động lực tăng trưởng chính. Ban lãnh đạo kỳ vọng mảng này sẽ mang lại doanh thu hơn 900 triệu USD một chút trong năm 2026, bao gồm gần 300 triệu USD trong quý 3. Nhu cầu được thúc đẩy nhờ các hệ thống không người lái, sự mở rộng của NATO, khu vực Ấn Độ Dương - Thái Bình Dương và sự tham gia sâu rộng hơn với các khách hàng quốc phòng Mỹ.

Thời gian giao hàng của Silvus đã giảm từ khoảng 20–22 tuần xuống 12–14 tuần. Motorola Solutions đã tăng gấp đôi công suất tại Los Angeles, bổ sung một dây chuyền sản xuất LC và kỳ vọng cơ sở tại Salt Lake City sẽ bắt đầu mang lại lợi thế về công suất vào năm 2027.

Công ty đã hoàn tất thương vụ thâu tóm D-Fend với giá trị 1,3 tỷ USD sau khi trừ tiền mặt tiếp nhận. D-Fend bổ sung năng lực phát hiện máy bay không người lái bằng tần số vô tuyến và giảm thiểu rủi ro bị chiếm quyền kiểm soát không gian mạng vào danh mục mạng lưới thiết yếu. Ban lãnh đạo dự kiến doanh thu của D-Fend đạt khoảng 45 triệu USD trong giai đoạn ngắn còn lại của năm 2026.

Dự báo của ban lãnh đạo

Đối với quý 4/2026, ban lãnh đạo dự kiến tăng trưởng doanh thu khoảng 13% và EPS non-GAAP đạt từ 5,47–5,52 USD. Triển vọng này dựa trên giả định có khoảng 168 triệu cổ phiếu pha loãng và thuế suất thực tế là 22,5%.

Đối với cả năm 2026, công ty đã nâng triển vọng doanh thu từ 12,975 tỷ USD lên khoảng 13,050 tỷ USD. Dự báo EPS non-GAAP tăng lên 17,94–17,99 USD từ mức 17,62–17,72 USD.

Mảng Sản phẩm và Tích hợp Hệ thống hiện được kỳ vọng tăng trưởng 12%, trong khi mảng mạng lưới thiết yếu dự kiến tăng 11%. Ban lãnh đạo đã nâng mức mở rộng biên lợi nhuận hoạt động dự kiến lên 190 điểm cơ bản từ mức 170 điểm cơ bản và tăng dự báo dòng tiền từ hoạt động kinh doanh thêm 50 triệu USD lên 3,05 tỷ USD.

Đối với năm 2027, ban lãnh đạo đã đưa ra hướng dẫn sơ bộ—chưa chính thức—cho thấy doanh thu đạt khoảng 14,25 tỷ USD. Doanh nghiệp kỳ vọng tăng trưởng hữu cơ sẽ mạnh mẽ hơn so với năm 2026 và biên lợi nhuận hoạt động tiếp tục mở rộng. Ban lãnh đạo cũng dự kiến doanh thu của Silvus tăng khoảng 30% và doanh thu của D-Fend tăng 40%–50%.

Rủi ro và các yếu tố cần theo dõi

Chi phí linh kiện bộ nhớ tiếp tục là một trở lực đáng kể. Chi tiêu trực tiếp cho bộ nhớ đã tăng từ khoảng 50 triệu USD vào năm 2025 lên ước tính 150 triệu USD vào năm 2026, và ban lãnh đạo cho biết chi phí này có thể tiếp tục tăng gần gấp đôi vào năm 2027.

Công ty có kế hoạch giải quyết các áp lực này thông qua biện pháp quản lý hàng tồn kho, đa dạng hóa nhà cung cấp, kiểm định chất lượng linh kiện và tăng giá có chọn lọc. Dù vậy, ban lãnh đạo nhấn mạnh sự cần thiết phải duy trì tính cạnh tranh về giá.

Khoản lợi ích liên quan đến thuế quan IEEPA trị giá khoảng 75 triệu USD được ghi nhận trong năm 2026 sẽ không lặp lại vào năm 2027. Chi phí chuỗi cung ứng cao hơn cũng được dự báo sẽ tiếp diễn, dù ban lãnh đạo vẫn kỳ vọng biên lợi nhuận hoạt động sẽ mở rộng.

Doanh thu của Silvus vẫn mang tính phi tuyến tính do thời điểm ký kết hợp đồng có thể ảnh hưởng đáng kể đến kết quả kinh doanh từng quý. Ban lãnh đạo cũng cho biết thương vụ mua lại dịch vụ mạng LMR của Bell Canada, trước đó dự kiến hoàn tất trong quý 4, hiện được kỳ vọng sẽ hoàn tất vào quý 1 hoặc quý 2 tùy thuộc vào sự chấp thuận của khách hàng và cơ quan quản lý.

Điểm nhấn phần hỏi đáp với chuyên gia phân tích

Ban lãnh đạo cho rằng mức tăng trưởng kỷ lục của giá trị đơn hàng tồn đọng đến từ lượng đơn đặt hàng mạnh mẽ ở toàn bộ ba nhóm công nghệ, dẫn đầu là mạng lưới thiết yếu, bao gồm LMR an toàn công cộng và Silvus. Lượng đơn hàng tồn đọng này mang lại khả năng dự phóng nhiều năm và củng cố triển vọng doanh thu sơ bộ năm 2027 của ban lãnh đạo.

Về LMR, ban lãnh đạo cho biết chu kỳ nâng cấp cơ sở hạ tầng D-Series kéo dài nhiều năm trên hơn 1.300 mạng P25 vẫn đang ở giai đoạn đầu. APX NEXT cũng còn nhiều dư địa tăng trưởng, với dự kiến khoảng 300.000 người dùng sẽ sử dụng các ứng dụng liên quan vào cuối năm 2026.

AI Assist được tích hợp trực tiếp trong các ứng dụng quy trình làm việc của Motorola Solutions chứ không bán dưới dạng một công cụ độc lập. Ban lãnh đạo cho biết gần như toàn bộ khách hàng lựa chọn các ứng dụng này đều chọn gói dịch vụ Assist cao cấp. Công nghệ này kết nối tổng đài 911, CAD, bàn điều phối, máy bộ đàm APX NEXT, camera gắn trên người và quy trình xử lý bằng chứng.

D-Fend đang được tích hợp vào nền tảng trung tâm kiểm soát tội phạm theo thời gian thực Aware. Sự kết hợp này nhằm mục đích liên kết tính năng phát hiện máy bay không người lái thông qua APX NEXT và các cảm biến khác với năng lực giảm thiểu rủi ro bị chiếm quyền kiểm soát trên không gian mạng của D-Fend.

Ban lãnh đạo cho biết Silvus tiếp tục đạt hiệu quả cao trong các môi trường tác chiến phức tạp và đang mở rộng ngoài lĩnh vực máy bay không người lái sang các ứng dụng hàng hải. Công ty dẫn chứng việc triển khai trên các phương tiện mặt nước không người lái của Saronic và mối quan hệ hợp tác sâu rộng hơn với Hải quân Mỹ.

Biên bản cuộc gọi công bố kết quả kinh doanh đầy đủ

Toàn văn cuộc gọi công bố kết quả kinh doanh

Phần trình bày của ban lãnh đạo

Operator

Good afternoon, and thank you for holding. Welcome to the Motorola Solutions Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. Today's call is being recorded. If you have any objections, please disconnect at this time. The presentation material and additional financial tables are posted on the Motorola Solutions Investor Relations website. In addition, a webcast replay of this call will be available on our website within 3 hours after the conclusion of this call. The website address is www.motorolasolutions.com/investor. [Operator Instructions]

I would now like to introduce Mr. Brian Piotrowski, Vice President of Investor Relations. Mr. Piotrowski, you may begin your conference.

Brian Piotrowski

Good afternoon. Welcome to our 2026 third quarter earnings call. With me today are Greg Brown, Chairman and CEO; Jason Winkler, Executive Vice President and CFO; Jack Molloy, Executive Vice President and COO; and Mahesh Saptharishi, Executive Vice President and CTO. Greg and Jason will review our results along with commentary, and Jack and Mahesh will join for Q&A.

We have posted an earnings presentation and news release at motorolasolutions.com/investors. These materials include GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliations for your reference. During the call, we reference non-GAAP financial results, including those in our outlook, unless otherwise noted. A number of forward-looking statements will be made during this presentation and during the Q&A portion of the call. These statements are based on current expectations and assumptions that are subject to a variety of risks and uncertainties. Actual results could differ materially from these forward-looking statements.

Information about factors that could cause such differences can be found in today's earnings news release, in the comments made during this conference call, in the Risk Factors section of our 2025 annual report on Form 10-K or any quarterly report on Form 10-Q and in other reports and filings with the SEC. We do not undertake any duty to update any forward-looking statements.

I'll now turn the call over to Greg.

Gregory Brown

Thanks, Brian, and good afternoon, and thanks for joining us today. I'm going to start off by sharing a few thoughts about the business before Jason takes us through our results and our outlook.

First, Q3 was another outstanding quarter, highlighted by record revenue in both segments, across all 3 technologies. Revenue and earnings per share exceeded our guidance as we continue to see strong momentum across our entire safety and security ecosystem. Both segments grew double digits with products and SI growing 12%, driven by growth in public safety LMR and continued robust demand for Silvus, while software and services grew 13%. Additionally, we expanded operating margins 200 basis points, with strong contributions from both segments, and that's inclusive of higher supply chain costs.

Second, demand remains exceptionally strong with our record Q3 orders and our highest ever ending backlog of $16.6 billion, up approximately $1 billion from last quarter. Orders grew over 20% versus last year with broad-based growth in both segments, demonstrating the critical need and continued trust customers put in our solutions.

And finally, following our strong Q3 performance, we are again raising full year guidance for both revenue and EPS as well as now increasing our full year cash flow expectations.

And with that, I'll turn the call over to Jason.

Jason Winkler

Thank you, Greg. Revenue for the quarter grew 12% and was above our guidance with double-digit growth in both segments and in all 3 technologies. Revenue growth from acquisitions was $211 million during the quarter, while FX tailwinds were $11 million. GAAP operating earnings were $777 million or 23% of sales, down from 25.6% in the year ago quarter, which included an $87 million noncash charge for the increase in the Silvus earn-out provision driven by the continued strong performance of the business.

Non-GAAP operating earnings were almost $1.1 billion, up 19% from the year ago quarter and non-GAAP operating margin was 32.5%, up 200 basis points, driven by higher sales and improved operating leverage partially offset by higher supply chain costs.

GAAP earnings per share was $3.06, down from $3.33 in the year ago quarter, primarily driven by the $0.52 noncash charge for the Silvus earnout that I mentioned earlier. Non-GAAP EPS was $4.69, up 16% from $4.06 last year. The growth in EPS was driven by higher operating margins, partially offset by higher interest and taxes in the current quarter.

OpEx in Q3 was $696 million, up $44 million versus last year due to acquisitions.

Turning to cash flow. Q3 operating cash flow was $662 million, and free cash flow was $589 million. Our year-to-date operating cash flow was almost $1.6 billion, up versus last year, inclusive of investments that we've made in inventory. And we're now raising our operating cash flow expectations $50 million from $3 billion to $3.05 billion for the year. Capital allocation for Q3 included $200 million of cash dividends, $94 million in share repurchases and $73 million of CapEx. Additionally, during the quarter, our Board of Directors approved a $2 billion increase to the share repurchase program.

Moving to segment results. In Products and SI, sales were up 12% versus last year, driven by double-digit growth in both MCN and Video. Revenue growth from acquisitions was $169 million and FX tailwinds were $7 million during the quarter. Operating earnings were $671 million or 31.7% of sales up from 29.3% in the prior year, primarily driven by higher sales and improved operating leverage, partially offset by higher supply chain costs.

Some notable Q3 wins and achievements in this segment include $140 million P25 systems and device order with the Federal Bureau of Prisons, a $98 million P25 device, an SVX order for a U.S. Federal customer, a $63 million P25 systems and device order for the Metro Government of Nashville and Davidson County, a $56 million fixed video order for a large convenience store chain and a $39 million service order for a German unmanned systems provider.

In Software and Services, revenue was up 13% compared to last year, driven by double-digit growth in all 3 technologies. Revenue growth from acquisitions was $42 million and foreign currency tailwinds were $4 million in the quarter. Operating earnings in the segment were $425 million or 33.8% of sales, up from 32.6% of sales last year, driven by higher sales and improved operating leverage.

Some notable Q3 highlights from this segment include a $139 million order that included P25 services, mobile video and command center solutions for the state of Louisiana over a 10-year period, a $78 million 8-year mobile video award with a U.S. federal customer, a $59 million 6-year LMR P25 services order for a state and local customer, a $51 million command center CAD and records management order for the Los Angeles Police Department and a $27 million LMR P25 services renewal with the North Carolina State Highway Patrol.

Looking next at our regional results. North America Q3 revenue was $2.3 billion, up 10%, with growth driven by all 3 technologies. International Q3 revenue was $1 billion, up 18% versus last year driven by double-digit growth in all 3 technologies.

Moving next to our backlog. Q3 ending backlog was an all-time record of $16.6 billion, up $2.1 billion or 14% versus last year and up $1 billion sequentially driven by record Q3 orders in all 3 technologies. In the Products and SI segment ending backlog increased $635 million versus last year, and $454 million sequentially due to strong demand in MCN and Video. In Software and Services backlog increased $1.4 billion compared to last year and $575 million sequentially, driven by strong demand in all 3 technologies.

Turning to our outlook. We expect Q4 sales growth of approximately 13%, with non-GAAP EPS between $5.47 and $5.52 per share. This assumes a diluted share count of approximately 168 million shares and an effective tax rate of approximately 22.5%. For the full year, we now expect revenue of approximately $13.050 billion, up from our prior guidance of $12.975 billion, and non-GAAP EPS between $17.94 and $17.99 per share, up from our prior guide of between $17.62 and $17.72 per share.

This full year outlook assumes a diluted share count of approximately 168 million shares, and an effective tax rate between 21.5% and 22%. With our increased guidance for the year, Products and SI is now expected to grow 12%, up from our prior guidance of 11% and MCN is now expected to grow 11%, up from 10% to 11% previously. And we now expect operating margin expansion of 190 bps, up from our prior expectations of 170 bps, which also includes expectations for gross margins now being up.

Before I turn the call over to Greg, I wanted to touch on a couple of key topics. First, on the M&A front, we are excited about the acquisition of D-Fend, which we closed for $1.3 billion net of cash acquired. D-Fend expands our radio frequency capabilities into drone detection and cyber takeover based mitigation and will be included in our mission-critical networks technology, along with LMR and Silvus. Our full year outlook contemplates approximately $45 million of revenue contribution from D-Fend this year during the stub period.

Bell Canada's LMR network services business, an acquisition we previously expected to close in Q4 is now expected to close in Q1 or Q2 as we continue to work through customer and regulatory approvals.

Finally, regarding our balance sheet. In August, we raised $950 million of new long-term senior debt at attractive rates to fund the D-Fend acquisition and refinanced $300 million of Silvus term loans that matured during the quarter. With continued strong cash generation expected in Q4, we remain well on track to end the year at around 2x of net debt to EBITDA leverage in line with the expectations that we have shared with you previously.

I would now like to turn the call back to Greg.

Gregory Brown

Thanks, Jason. I'd like to conclude with a few final thoughts before we open it up. First, I'm extremely pleased with our execution in the quarter. We achieved double-digit revenue growth in both segments while also driving significant operating margin expansion. Additionally, we saw record Q3 orders, ended the quarter with an all-time record backlog of $16.6 billion and continued to generate strong operating cash flow.

Second, over the last month, our teams met with hundreds of customers at the Army's AUSA Conference in D.C. and the International Association of Chiefs of Police in Orlando. The energy, customer engagement and momentum coming out of both events was outstanding. At AUSA, Silvus was front and center underscoring the critical need for high throughput, jam-resistant tactical communications, powering unmanned systems in contested environments. And at IACP, it was abundantly clear that our safety and security ecosystem is resonating as public safety and defense leaders increasingly look to us to help simplify their mission-critical emergency workloads.

Our multiyear award for the State of Louisiana this quarter was yet another example of the momentum we're seeing and continued competitive wins like this one, demonstrate how customers are recognizing the compelling value of complementing our next-generation LMR devices and infrastructure with our mobile video and command center solutions. In those ecosystem wins, our purpose-built Assist AI amplifies the integration across these technologies, streamlining the end-to-end emergency workflow from incoming 911 calls all the way through case closure.

And third, we closed on the acquisition of D-Fend, which brings industry-leading counter-UAS technology into our portfolio, specializing in drone mitigation via cyber takeover capabilities. As drone detection and mitigation becomes an urgent priority for public safety and critical infrastructure, integrating this differentiated cyber takeover counter UAS technology into our mission-critical networks and command center platforms provides a critical highly differentiated tool for our federal, state and local public safety customers globally.

And finally, as we look to close out another record year and head into 2027, I feel very good about our position. The overall demand profile for safety and security remains robust. Our record backlog provides us with strong multiyear visibility and our core foundation of innovative and impactful solutions position us exceptionally well to serve an addressable market that is now approaching $100 billion.

I'll now turn the call over to Brian, and we'll open it up for your questions.

Brian Piotrowski

Thank you, Greg. Before we begin taking questions, I would like to remind callers to limit themselves to 1 question and 1 follow-up to accommodate as many participants as possible. Operator, would you please remind our callers on the line how to ask a question?

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question will come from Tim Long with Barclays.

Phần hỏi đáp

Timothy Long

Two for me, if I could. First, on Silvus. Maybe if you could just touch on kind of the near-term strength here, where you're seeing the most activity and related to that, if you could just update us on the capacity -- the new plant and the capacity increases and what that would mean as we head into 2027?

And the second, maybe for Greg, talking about 2027. Q4 is a solid year-over-year growth number. Obviously, a lot of visibility, a lot of good orders here, a lot of momentum in the business. So just give us a sense on how you're thinking about kind of growth into next year to the extent that you can at this point?

John Molloy

Yes. Tim, I'll start. So first of all, with Silvus, I think you asked what the strengths we're seeing. I mean, unmanned systems has clearly been a strength, not only internationally, but here in the States. And I think, as Greg just mentioned, it's high bandwidth. It's been tested, the Ukraine's litmus test, and I think in the most contested -- congested environments, it's the market leader. And I think that's the first thing.

The second thing is we've doubled the sales force. So we had a presence -- a heavy presence in the U.S. within the DoD. We've expanded internationally, and we're starting to get some significant traction in NATO given what's happening in the Ukraine. And we've also seen -- we're seeing an uptick in activity in Indo Pacific as well. So I think -- and the last thing I would say is a spectrum dominant software. I think continues to be a difference maker there. We continue to feed that invest from an R&D standpoint. So we brought scale, we brought coverage and from a supply constraint, we've actually doubled our Los Angeles capacity, so just to meet and bring down lead times in the second half of the year. We've added an LC line, which puts us front and center in programs like drone dominance. And then Salt Lake City, which we announced, I think, 60 days ago, will start to come online and get some benefits of that as we roll into 2027.

Jason Winkler

In terms of its expectations for the year, Tim, with all the performance that we've had and what Jack just mentioned, it's on pace to do probably a little more than $900 million this year.

Gregory Brown

$900 million, yes. And by the way, in terms of 2027, obviously, you know we're not going to guide specifics for next year. We'll update you in February. But kind of taking a step back, I think at this point, we're expecting, again, high level, Tim, revenue approximately in the ZIP Code of $14.25 billion. I would also say it's worth mentioning that, with that expectation, we believe organic growth will be stronger in '27 over 2026, and we also would expect, again, to expand operating margins. And that's in the face of increasing memory costs and supply chain headwinds.

I mean, it wouldn't surprise us if memory costs that could very well double, 2027 over 2026. But even with that, we would expect to provide operating leverage and grow operating margins in 2027 over 2026. That's my view at this point in time.

Operator

Your next question will come from Keith Housum with Northcoast Research.

Keith Housum

Just, Greg, if we can just unpack that memory cost that just kind of threw in there. What was the impact of that for the third quarter and the expiration for fourth quarter? You say doubling in '27 versus '26? Maybe give us some baseline for what the 2026 number is?

Gregory Brown

Yes. High level, we did about $50 million in 2025 of direct memory components. Last quarter, we talked about it being about $150 million -- $150 million, $160 million, I think we said $150 million. My commentary is related to that base number. So as we go into 2027, that could effectively double. And obviously, we will continue to do the things we do around that, whether it's accelerating inventory, working with suppliers to secure continuity of supply, maybe there's some surgical price increases, although we're very mindful to remain quite competitive on that front.

But I think overall, the supply chain team and Jack's sales and operations team have done a very good job. But even in the face of those headwinds, we still expect to grow operating margins in 2027.

Jason Winkler

And to dimensionalize how that $100 million of increase this year over last year in memory is presenting itself in the P&L. More of it is in the second half as we went through inventory and the price, as you know, Keith has gone up. So we're having more of it impact Q3 and Q4 than was there in the first half.

Gregory Brown

By the way, one other thing, Keith, I'd add, as I think back to Tim's question on 2027, again, high level, probably expect revenue linearity as we look out at this point in time in November 2027 to be very similar to linearity in 2026, just high level.

Jason Winkler

One other point, Keith, the IEEPA tariff, which we booked in Q2, which we were very clear on -- in Q2, also helped Q2's margin offset from memory. So as we think about next year, of course, that's about a $75 million good guide this year. That, of course, doesn't present itself next year.

Keith Housum

Appreciate a reminder there. And then if we just go back to Silvus and the expansion of the manufacturing capacity, I think you guys referenced lead times coming down in the capacity expansion in Salt Lake City. Perhaps maybe just color on how that's coming down. Any concerns about being able to meet demand for next year?

Gregory Brown

Yes. So #1, we are -- we have no concerns. We have not had any loss of business, which I think is really important with -- in the face of increased demand. We've been able to remediate from what was at one point in time around 20, 21, 22 weeks. We're down around 12 weeks right now, 12 to 14 weeks, depending on the line. And obviously, as I alluded to earlier, Salt Lake City puts us in a better position as we roll into '27.

So I'd tell you what, between the Motorola supply chain team and the public supply chain team at Silvus, we have had escalation in demand and we've been able to meet the need of the OEM, the unmanned OEMs as well as the end user environment that we've been invested in as well. So I'm really pleased with the work we've done.

Operator

Your next question will come from Joseph Cardoso with JPMorgan.

Marc Vitenzon

This is Marc Vitenzon on for Joseph Cardoso. Thanks for the 2027 commentary. I guess with regards to 1Q, there's typically a pretty steep step down from 4Q to 1Q, and 4Q happens to be pretty strong as guided this year. So how should we think about the magnitude of that step down and some of the kind of puts and takes that take us into the linearity that was described. And then I have a follow-up.

Jason Winkler

Well, as Greg mentioned, the linearity that we see at this point for next year reflects the linearity that's playing out this year. So as you pointed out, Q1 is typically our smallest quarter of the year, and reflects the seasonal patterns in our business. We expect that next year will look a lot like this year in terms of how growth represents itself. We have strong demand, strong backlog and the continued ability to convert that is included in the color that we gave in November.

Marc Vitenzon

Got it. And then a follow-up. Going into the drone space now that you have D-Fend, are there any other parts of the market that you're interested in going into organically that might look attractive to you? Or is it now an opportunity to invest organically and grow from within?

Gregory Brown

Yes. We're pleased with where we are and people call the category "drone". But just to clarify, Silvus is MANET drone infrastructure, Mobile ad hoc networking infrastructure. And it's agnostic and it powers a lot of primes and a lot of other integrators and it's a preferred technology, proven technology and the tip of the spear often used in conflict. And on D-Fend, it's counter-drone public safety and critical infrastructure driven.

Our focus right now, Marc, is on integrating those. Jack and the team have done a phenomenal job growing Silvus. As Jason mentioned, we now expect Silvus to be a little over $900 million for the year. We're investing in the sales force. We're investing in R&D. We're investing in capacity, lead times are coming down and demand remains very strong. And on D-Fend, they're obviously a relatively newer acquisition. We're focused on integrating them. And we love the fact that they have leading-edge mitigation cyber takeover technology, which is much more than just jamming mitigation, which I think is differentiated.

Now having said that, we'll always look at the funnel of inorganic opportunities, but our focus around kind of things in unmanned, I would continue to characterize as defense and public safety centric, and we'll see how things unfold.

Operator

Your next question will come from Meta Marshall with Morgan Stanley.

Antonio Jaramillo

It's Antonio on for Meta. I wanted to go back to the backlog here. Nice to see that accelerate on the quarter. I was wondering if you could unpack some of the key drivers behind that? And if you saw any type of impact leading up to the midterm.

Jason Winkler

Sure. So we're definitely very pleased with the 16.6%, which we mentioned is its highest ever. We -- that was driven sequentially by record orders in all 3 technologies, the biggest of which was MCN, which includes not only Silvus, but also our LMR public safety business and the strength of those orders continuing. And our backlog position now as well as where we anticipate it to be at the end of this year informs the revenue color that we gave entering for next year as well.

Antonio Jaramillo

That's helpful. And then as a follow-up, thanks for those growth comes into 2027. Could you maybe double-click into some of like the key drivers that you see for growth next year just across all parts of your business?

Gregory Brown

At this point, I think it's pretty broad-based. I mean we obviously have LMR that continues to grow robustly. LMR, we expect to grow strong double digits in Q4. Backlog is driven handsomely, as Jason referenced, driven by mission-critical networks, again, a lot of which is land mobile radio as well. We talked about Silvus. I think D-Fend is relatively nascent and early on. I would expect that D-Fend is still expected to be about $185 million of revenue for fiscal full year 2026. And as we look into 2027, we would expect that to grow 40% to 50% given the wide aperture of opportunity that sits in front of that. Obviously, we're doing D-Series infrastructure refresh. We're doing device refresh. Services, multiyear services continues to be in high demand. And Mahesh has done a great job embedding and integrating AI throughout the portfolio with a focus around kind of an emergency workload. So MCN is growing nice. LMR is growing nice. Silvus is growing nice.

D-Fend, as I mentioned, 40% to 50%. Video is growing double digits again this year. Command Center is going to grow 15% this year, and the backlog growth is broad-based. And by the way, orders -- overall orders are up 25%. So it's been a really good, I think, performance to date. I like the position we're in, the visibility we have and the momentum. And also, I think that we're a bit indifferent to the political ebb and flow. Obviously, there was the "blue wave or blue tsunami" yesterday. But often, and Jack could probably comment on this, he's got more data than I do. But public safety bubbles to the top consistently in blue administrations, in red administrations, funding remains really strong in state and local. I think DHS is funded through 2029. So demand is strong, funding is strong. I think that there's a lot of wins at our back.

Now having said all that, we got to execute. We got to run through the tape on Q4. Don't take anything for granted. We talked about memory things we'll manage through and continue to manage through. But you've got more data on midterm than I do.

John Molloy

Yes. I think, Greg, you kind of hit some really good points. I think the one thing I'd always stress is that when you think about our government business, the state and local business is the majority of that business. And what gives us great balance there is we've got like think about P25 kind of our anchor tenant from an LMR standpoint. We've got 1,300 networks. So there's a lot of balance in funding, meaning local funding sales, income, real estate taxes and then there's 911 fees. So we have that.

The other piece of it is we look back -- we went back and did an analysis over 20 years. And in the years where you've seen a midterm flip, we've still had better-than-expected growth rates. And by the way, some of those years, we weren't in a funding environment conducive as we are right now with the portfolio as good as we have right now. So I think all things being equal, we feel pretty good as we enter '27.

Operator

Your next question will come from Ben Bollin with Cleveland Research Company.

Benjamin Bollin

Greg, I wanted to hit on a couple of items you just mentioned. When we look at the LMR refresh cycle, P25, D-Series and the subscriber trends, interested in your thoughts, like where are we? How much we got left? Just any high-level thoughts on that? And then I have a follow-up.

Gregory Brown

Well, I think I'll start with -- we'll start with the network piece of it. D-Series, as I mentioned, we've got over 1,300 P25 networks we are very much in the early stages of a multiyear refresh. I'd remind you there that a lot of this is vintage driven, meaning it's a longer reset -- refresh cycle depending on the age of the system that was actually fielded. When I think about, I would dimensionalize a couple of things. Interest is high, engagement is robust. And I think I look at our pipeline, and it's healthy. If you just look over the last 4 quarters, we've had 3 of our biggest statewide networks, Tennessee, Michigan and Colorado that have signed new agreements. Good things there. Yes, they've signed new infrastructure. But with those refresh cycles, they come long-term support and service contracts that typically add -- they're accretive because they're adding new things like cyber services, software agreement plans. So that's that.

As it relates to the APX NEXT journey, we've talked -- there's roughly 2 million first responders in the United States. but we've still got great opportunities ahead of us. I think the highlight there that we probably don't talk about enough, we did probably earlier this year with the recurring revenue that, by the way, gets reported in Command Center software. We've talked about the fact that we will now have 300,000 users that are consuming those applications by the end of 2026. And again, APX NEXT, early days, we had good traction with state and local.

We've now seen good traction this year as we've highlighted with some of the wins within DHS. We had a $96 million deal APX with SVX in Q3. So like I said, I think I'll reiterate my point. As we sit and we look at our mission-critical networks business and the foundation, which is LMR devices, we've got new. We continue to see great competitive wins. We think we're in a good position there. And in infrastructure, we've got a lot of room to run.

Benjamin Bollin

That's great. Last one for me. When we look at Silvus, could you talk about what does that mix look like today, international versus domestic? And how do you feel about your actual execution thus far in the domestic defense complex. When does that really start to scale and ramp in a bigger way from the U.S. customers?

Gregory Brown

Yes. So as we've talked about, largely -- so since we've acquired last August 4, early days, it was more international. And even early -- late last year in the third quarter, a lot of that was Ukraine. We have seen significant expansion into NATO into the Indo Pacific internationally. So good momentum there. But I think one of the things I'm most proud of is the growth we're getting in the U.S. They were doing business within the Army, but we've made pretty significant investments, not at the executive levels, but also at the business development levels. We're now doing work. We're in test at the Marine Corps within the Air Force, and I mentioned the Army, but also at the Navy as well.

So we're doing business in more broad efforts. As you know, if you follow the defense sector right now, I would categorize a lot of what's happening within the U.S. is there's a lot of testing. We've comported very well in those testing because they're doing a lot of the testing in highly contested environments. And a lot of what succeeded for us, and we talked about the litmus test of Ukraine and things like radio roundup and some of the other tests that have happened, we performed exceptionally well, I think as it relates to some within our peer group. So by the way, so a lot of work to do there, but we're really pleased not only what's happening internationally, but what's happened in the U.S. as well.

Operator

Your next question will come from Matt Niknam from Truist.

Matthew Niknam

Congrats on a great quarter. My question is more related to this year's guide. So if I think about Silvus, I think last quarter, you were expecting $850 million for the year, now it's a little over $900 million. You're including D-Fend. I think that collectively is an incremental $95 million. And obviously, third quarter came in a lot stronger than expectations, yet the annual guide only moved up by about $75 million. So I'm just trying to figure out what changed? Were there any more material pull-ins into third quarter or maybe what was anticipated in the fourth quarter?

And then just really quickly on -- one follow-up on the $211 million from M&A, how did that break down between Silvus and a little over a month from D-Fend?

Gregory Brown

So as we think about the full year guide, Matt, obviously, which includes Q4 anchored in your question, love the fact that we beat and raised, obviously, a third time now. Contemplated in the $13.050 billion would be our strongest and best Q4 ever. Also included in that is the expectation for LMR to grow strong double digits with product orders and backlog also informing that and being very strong as we head into 2027.

I think the other thing I would just simply say is it's a prudent view at this point, and we are focused on finishing the year successfully, executing and closing the business we need to, continuing to drive orders and backlog and then get a running start into 2027 to continue revenue growth, operating margin expansion and additional cash flow generation. That's kind of the context and the color.

Jason Winkler

And Matt, on the $211 million, that was growth driven by acquisitions. D-Fend was pretty small. We were expecting $45 million on the year. But given the timing of the close, most of that $211 million was Silvus.

Operator

Your next question will come from George Notter with Wolfe Research.

Brenden Rogers

It's Brenden Rogers on for George. Just had a question on the AI assist progress that you guys have seen over the last couple of quarters. You guys have a pretty broad portfolio. So if you could just sort of walk us through where attach rates are the highest within that sort of emergency workflow and sort of which specific products you guys feel most differentiated in?

And then I'll just ask another one on D-Fend. Any exciting synergy opportunities that you guys see with sort of your existing portfolio as you guys spend more time with those guys?

Mahesh Saptharishi

So on AI assist, I would say that as opposed to sort of other models of how AI gets deployed, we embed AI in our core workflow applications. AI is an inherent part of the application. And what we have seen over the past many quarters is that customers are opting in for the Assist tier, which is a premium tier of every workflow application and almost 100% of every one of those applications across all of them have been at the assist tier.

In terms of differentiation, I think of it as assist really brings together, it's almost a connectivity fabric that brings together the core of our applications. So from a PSAP standpoint, a public safety answering point standpoint, where you have 911, CAD and consoles, those 3 pieces tightly getting integrate AI assist, that is one of the key differentiator that separates us from the rest out there. Not only that, that now going into our APX NEXT devices where a summary of an incident, conversations that happened during the incident, getting pushed proactively right into the radios connects everything in the field now back into what's happening at the PSAP.

Now going beyond that, once the SVX and our body-worn camera portfolios gather evidence the ability now for us to generate reports, the ability for us to leverage AI for reduction. Those are the capabilities now that thread in the full story. And on the SVX and the APX NEXT integration, Critically, we have mentioned this before. The key is that we have access to the right data sources to generate the most accurate reports. And even if an officer is wearing a ear piece, we're able to capture all the audio conversations that otherwise would not have been captured with just a stand-alone body-worn camera.

So that is how we are seeing traction across the entire ecosystem and the successes that we have highlighted in this call talk about ecosystem acquisitions more than a product acquisition. And I think much of it is also driven by the fact that Assist brings all these products together.

Brenden Rogers

And then talking about defense synergy?

Mahesh Saptharishi

So in terms of D-Fend, we are tightly integrating D-Fend into our RTCC solution, our Aware platform. And what we see there is that within the real-time crime center, the key point of attraction there is, in fact, drones -- both DFR, Drone as a First Responder capability and very specifically, D-Fend, which is counter UAS integration into that same framework both for detection purposes but also for mitigation, which is really the unique part that D-Fend plays into this mix.

And just talking about the ecosystem integration a little bit more, when we think about mission-critical networks. For us, mission-critical networks is not just a communications platform, it's actually a sensing platform as well. And within the context of the sensing platform, we have capabilities now within our APX NEXT radios, where the APX NEXT radios are able to detect drones. Now that data feeding back into Aware, allowing our -- the RTCC operator to identify drones that potentially need to be mitigated and D-Fend bringing in the mitigation capability into the mix as well. So overall, within our mission-critical networks portfolio, not just a communication story, it's a sensing story as well.

Operator

Your next question will come from Tomer Zilberman with Bank of America.

Tomer Zilberman

Just wanted to unpack some of the numbers further that were discussed on the Q&A earlier. Jason, I think earlier, you said that Silvus is shaping up to be about $900 million for the year. Last quarter, you disclosed $210 million in 1Q, $230 million in 2Q. I appreciate that you guys are lapping the acquisition this quarter, so there's probably more limited disclosure you can give us. But if I look historically over the last 4 quarters, Silvus was about 90% to 95% of the gross sales of acquisitions. If I assume a similar contribution this quarter, it means that Silvus was within the range of, call it, $290 million to $300 million this quarter. So the question is, as we look to next quarter, the remainder would only be about $160 million. I guess the first question in that would be, is that directionally sound? And two, is there anything in terms of seasonality capacity constraint until the Salt Lake facility comes online in 1Q that gives you any pause to Silvus growth in the next quarter?

Jason Winkler

Your numbers are definitely directionally correct as to what we've disclosed, and Silvus had a very good quarter of near $300 million in Q3. It's always, as we've described, been a nonlinear business. Some of the deals that Jack mentioned benefited us in Q3. With it now looking to be $900 million or maybe a bit more than $900 million, that puts it in a ZIP code of having a good Q4 to finish and then be on pace to perform again next year.

Tomer Zilberman

Got it. Maybe a follow-up looking to the next year guide. You talked before about the D-Series infrastructure, if I move to the MR segment for a second. kind of driving growth above historical kind of 1% to 3% LMR growth, maybe closer to the 4% to 5% range. Is that still the right framework for next year?

Gregory Brown

I think we're going to stick, Tomer, primarily at this point on the higher-level color. We'll dimensionalize the segments and the technologies when we get into February. But maybe just providing a little bit more color and connected to your last inquiry on Silvus and the numbers Jason outlined. I think as we look forward to 2027, again, higher level, we would expect Silvus, it's performed above the business case. It is nonlinear. But just to be clear, the investments Jack is making will improve capacity, and we certainly don't see any slowdown of demand at all on Silvus. But at a high level, we expect Silvus to grow about 30% next year, and we -- our expectation is that we continue to take share.

Operator

Your next question will come from Irvin Liu with Evercore ISI.

Jyhhaw Liu

I had one and a follow-up. On Silvus, I wanted to get your view on sort of the industry mix shift toward lower cost expendable or attributable unmanned systems. Just from a product perspective, how is Silvus positioned to address the kind of lower end of the market that offer a higher unit volume opportunity, but perhaps at a lower ASP?

Gregory Brown

Yes. So as we've kind of continually talked about, where we've excelled within the portfolio is in the unmanned systems business. There's a lot of -- to your point, there's some focus on attributable drones. But the reality is the contested environment ultimately is where this thing is won and lost, and that's won and lost through low probability of intercept detection, the ability to resist jam and to get the right throughput. As I mentioned, though, because to your point, we want to participate in broader parts of the market, we added a facility in Culver City that's focused on a mesh radio called LC. And by the way, that does not come with all the same software capabilities I highlighted from spectrum dominance.

So -- we're carving out certain speed, security features in those -- for those things. So we'll have price points that will play in most parts of the market. But really, we're focused on the contested environment. We think that's been the game set match. We -- in fact, we haven't seen any degradation at all. Our price points continue to hold and appreciate. And I think that just speaks to performance and execution.

Jyhhaw Liu

Got it. And then for my follow-up, you're delivering on very, very impressive margin expansion despite higher memory costs. I think the magnitude of the overall margin expansion is actually larger than that of prior years where you didn't have to contend with this type of component cost headwinds. So can you just share with us some of the underlying drivers of improving profitability? Is it pricing, mix, better execution? Any color here would be helpful.

Jason Winkler

Sure. So as I mentioned earlier, the $100 million increase in memory costs that were expected to bear this year, in part, the IEEPA refunds helped offset a decent chunk of that. In terms of what we're doing to continue to navigate a very dynamic environment, additional suppliers, qualifying additional components, continuing to get the supply lines that we need, paying higher prices. That's a function of the market as we see it. In terms of the P&L and our own sales, we're also, in some cases, reflecting those higher prices and making some adjustments to our sales prices. And that, in turn, along with mix favorability is what's helping offset and create the margin expansion that you noted.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your next question will come from Ryan Abbott with Piper Sandler.

Ryan Abbott

Ryan on for James Fish. What early feedback are you guys receiving on the integration of AI-driven analytics into your dispatch and body-worn camera workflows?

Mahesh Saptharishi

Can you repeat the question once more, please?

Ryan Abbott

Yes. Yes, what early feedback are you guys receiving on the integration of AI-driven analytics into your dispatch and body-worn camera workflows?

Mahesh Saptharishi

Yes. So right now, without the ability for us to have critical workflow acceleration, whether that be reaction, whether that be report writing capabilities, whether that be just search through assist chat, we have those as basically fundamental capabilities within our application set. So the -- in terms of thinking about traction, these are no longer just nice-to-have capabilities. These are essential capabilities that are part of our applications.

And the feedback we're continuing to get is that it is critical and the usability is there. It does what it needs to do in terms of simplifying workflows to begin with and also acting as the glue that integrates into other parts of our ecosystem effectively as workflows flow not just from one person working in the context of one application, but a team of individuals more effectively responding to incidents.

Ryan Abbott

Great. And then following up, how are you guys expecting D-Fend to impact your margin profile into '27? And what does that look like at steady state? Any color you guys could give there would be great.

Jason Winkler

Sure. So Greg mentioned on a full year calendar view, they're expected to do $185 million. We'll get about $45 million on the stub. They had been growing -- have been growing at 50% historically. So good growth rate. In terms of its margin contributions, we expect it will be 40% to 50% growth next year in terms of sales and its contributions to our overall margin profile of the company are positive, and it will be accretive next year.

Operator

Our final question will come from Louie DiPalma with William Blair.

Louie Dipalma

Greg Jason, Jack, Mahesh and Brian, it was great seeing the team at AUSA. I was wondering, LMR had very strong orders for its radios and the D-Series and maybe some of that strength was related to SVX. And on the topic of SVX, are there plans for Motorola to offer the SVX speaker microphone with the AI assist internationally to take advantage of the strong relationships that you have for Motorola's body cameras internationally?

Jason Winkler

So Louie, I'll take the first part of that question, and you're absolutely right. LMR had a very strong quarter, 25% product orders growth, most of that driven by LMR as well as some Silvus and MCN. So very strong orders growth and much of the overperformance during the quarter relative to our guide was driven by that important part of the business, LMR. In terms of SVX...

Gregory Brown

Yes, there's 2 things, and Mahesh might want to jump in and piggyback into this. So SVX traction, we got 200 agencies that have ordered to date. 1/3 of those are now utilizing DEMS. We've talked about our -- we've won some major competitive deals in Florida Highway Patrol, Kansas City, Missouri, St. Joseph County. But I also want to highlight, we've talked a lot about the seating strategy. Jason mentioned during the script, we won $139 million deal, 10-year deal with the state of Louisiana. It isn't just one customer. It's actually 5 customers. And in that, 2 of the -- 3 of the customers actually went with the V700 out of the gate, but it's critical to point out that part of the refresh over 10 years is they are all matriculating to the SVX device because of all the benefits that it brings from an ecosystem standpoint. Internationally, we continue to compete very well.

We're the market leader. We believe we're the market leader internationally in 20-plus countries in Europe alone. Related to -- I think we probably -- SVX, it's obviously -- it's a TETRA, most of those countries internationally, except for really Australia, which is a P25. The rest are TETRA. So there's some things to think about. But I don't know, Mahesh, if you've got any thoughts on top of that.

Mahesh Saptharishi

For sure. I think our V500 body-worn camera that we sell internationally, one of the key capabilities within the V500, it is integrated with our TETRA radios. So the integration and the synergy between the radio and the body-worn camera is certainly a capability that our customers are asking for. And as we think about successive generations of SVX, we are thinking about it more broadly, not just from a North America market, but from an international market where we feel like there is going to be more capabilities that we can bring to bear, not just with P25 networks, but TETRA DIMETRA networks as well.

Louie Dipalma

Great. And one final one. As it relates to Silvus growth, I know that every single analyst before me has asked about Silvus. So I also want to get in my sale of Silvus. But the U.S. Navy recently awarded a series of contracts for unmanned surface vessels across the maritime segment. And everybody knows that Silvus has established itself as the leading provider of mesh networks for unmanned aircraft. But I was wondering what has been the traction with Silvus on the maritime end market? And does it have the opportunity to have that same leadership with maritime as it's demonstrated with unmanned aircraft?

Gregory Brown

So we're pleased. As you're well aware, a lot of the -- really one of the leaders there has been Saronic from a maritime standpoint. And we -- as we do with a lot of the OEMs, we've got a great relationship. We're specified, utilized on a number of Saronic different vessels. And in fact, even in the Gulf and some of the challenges that are going on there now, it's Silvus' communications platform that's powering those unmanned surface vessels. So really pleased with the work, the penetration that we're getting into the Navy, and I think there's more room for us to run there.

Operator

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I will now turn the floor over to Mr. Greg Brown, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer for any additional comments or closing remarks.

Gregory Brown

Thanks. I'd just simply close by saying we're really pleased with an exceptionally strong Q3. But more importantly, we're very pleased with the way things look going forward. We've talked about strong momentum, and we talked about the customer engagement, particularly just within the last few weeks at AUSA and IACP. Demand is strong and it's broad-based. We had record Q3 orders and record Q3 ending backlog. The pipeline of visibility is also strong. We've had 3 raises this year. And importantly, strong operating margin expansion this year and our expectations for continued operating margin expansion next year. The balance sheet is in great shape, operating cash flow, capital allocation gives us a lot of opportunity. So I just think we're very well positioned. I want to welcome the D-Fend team to Motorola Solutions, and I want to thank all of the employees and partners that continue to make this a very special mission-driven company and put up the results we continue to post onward and upward.

Operator

This does conclude today's teleconference. A replay of this call will be available over the Internet within 3 hours. The website address is www.motorolasolutions.com/investor. We thank you for your participation and ask that you please disconnect your lines at this time.