Cuộc họp công bố kết quả kinh doanh Quý 2 năm tài chính 2027 của Dell (DELL): Giá trị đơn hàng AI tồn đọng đạt 95 tỷ USD, nâng triển vọng kinh doanh

Điểm tin chính

• Dell Technologies đã công bố doanh thu quý 2 năm tài chính 2027 đạt 47 tỷ USD, tăng 58% so với cùng kỳ năm ngoái, trong khi EPS pha loãng phi GAAP tăng 203% lên mức kỷ lục 7,04 USD.
• Doanh thu của Nhóm Giải pháp Cơ sở hạ tầng (ISG) tăng 89% lên 31,8 tỷ USD. Lợi nhuận hoạt động của ISG đạt 4,8 tỷ USD, với biên lợi nhuận hoạt động mở rộng 620 điểm cơ bản lên 15%.
• Đơn đặt hàng máy chủ AI đạt mức kỷ lục 60,9 tỷ USD, doanh thu máy chủ AI đạt 16,4 tỷ USD và giá trị đơn hàng tồn đọng cuối kỳ tăng lên 95 tỷ USD. Dell đã ghi nhận 131,7 tỷ USD đơn đặt hàng AI trong 12 tháng qua.
• Doanh thu từ máy chủ truyền thống và thiết bị mạng tăng 122% lên 10,5 tỷ USD, trong khi doanh thu mảng lưu trữ tăng 26% lên 4,9 tỷ USD. Ban lãnh đạo cho biết nhu cầu này đến từ việc hiện đại hóa trung tâm dữ liệu, các khối lượng công việc CPU liên quan đến AI, các yêu cầu về bảo mật và sự gia tăng thị phần.
• Dell đã nâng dự báo doanh thu cả năm thêm 25 tỷ USD lên mức trung vị là 192 tỷ USD. Công ty hiện kỳ vọng EPS pha loãng phi GAAP đạt 25,50 USD và doanh thu máy chủ AI đạt 74 tỷ USD.
• Công ty đã hoàn trả mức kỷ lục 4,3 tỷ USD cho các cổ đông trong quý thông qua việc mua lại cổ phiếu và chi trả cổ tức, nhờ dòng tiền tự do điều chỉnh đạt 8,1 tỷ USD.

Kết quả tài chính cốt lõi

Các thước đo lợi nhuận, biên lợi nhuận và dòng tiền là phi GAAP trừ khi có chỉ dẫn khác trong cuộc họp công bố kết quả kinh doanh.

Kết quả hoạt động kinh doanh và vận hành

Cơ sở hạ tầng AI

Động lực phát triển máy chủ AI đã tăng tốc trong quý. Dell ghi nhận 60,9 tỷ USD đơn hàng và 16,4 tỷ USD doanh thu, kết thúc quý 2 với lượng đơn hàng tồn đọng là 95 tỷ USD. Theo ban lãnh đạo, quy mô cơ hội kinh doanh trong 5 quý của công ty đã tăng so với quý trước và tiếp tục gấp nhiều lần lượng đơn hàng tồn đọng.

Nhu cầu mở rộng đối với các khách hàng neocloud, chính phủ/quốc gia và doanh nghiệp lớn. Số lượng khách hàng AI của Dell đã vượt quá 6.500, trong đó có 3.300 khách hàng mới được bổ sung trong ba quý vừa qua. Ban lãnh đạo cũng báo cáo sự gia tăng về số lượng khách hàng doanh nghiệp, khách hàng mua lại, doanh thu từ doanh nghiệp và quy mô cơ hội kinh doanh từ doanh nghiệp.

Dell cho biết các đợt triển khai AI phức tạp có thể yêu cầu hơn 50 thiết kế để giải quyết các yêu cầu về hiệu suất khối lượng công việc, nguồn điện, tản nhiệt và trung tâm dữ liệu. Công ty cũng trở thành đơn vị đầu tiên giao các hệ thống tủ rack được thiết kế trên nền tảng NVIDIA Vera Rubin.

Máy chủ truyền thống và thiết bị mạng

Doanh thu từ máy chủ truyền thống và thiết bị mạng tăng 122% lên 10,5 tỷ USD, với nhu cầu vượt quá nguồn cung hiện có. Ban lãnh đạo cho biết hầu hết sự tăng trưởng đến từ các khách hàng doanh nghiệp hiện hữu đang hiện đại hóa cơ sở hạ tầng trung tâm dữ liệu cũ.

Theo ban lãnh đạo, Dell đã giành thêm hơn 10 điểm phần trăm thị phần máy chủ truyền thống trong hai quý qua. Công ty đã xác định 1,2 triệu thiết bị đã cài đặt đang chạy công nghệ 14G hoặc cũ hơn, tạo nền tảng cho điều mà họ coi là cơ hội nâng cấp và hợp nhất bền vững.

Số lượng nhân xử lý (core), dung lượng DRAM và dung lượng lưu trữ cao hơn đã làm tăng cấu hình hệ thống và giá bán. Dell cũng ghi nhận nhu cầu CPU gia tăng từ các quy trình làm việc AI tự trị (agentic AI), bao gồm các khoản mua từ các nhà cung cấp neocloud, khách hàng giao dịch tần suất cao và người dùng doanh nghiệp nâng cao.

Mảng lưu trữ

Doanh thu mảng lưu trữ tăng 26% lên 4,9 tỷ USD. Nhu cầu lưu trữ sở hữu trí tuệ (IP) của Dell đã tăng trưởng cao hơn mức bình thường của thị trường trong quý thứ sáu liên tiếp, trong khi tỷ trọng sản phẩm Dell IP đa dạng hơn cùng biên lợi nhuận cải thiện đã góp phần mang lại khả năng sinh lời cao hơn.

Nhu cầu diễn ra trên diện rộng đối với các dòng PowerFlex, PowerStore, PowerProtect và PowerVault. PowerStore ghi nhận quý thứ chín liên tiếp đạt mức tăng trưởng nhu cầu hai chữ số, trong khi PowerScale và ObjectScale giúp mảng lưu trữ dữ liệu phi cấu trúc tăng trưởng ít nhất hai chữ số trong quý thứ ba liên tiếp.

Ban lãnh đạo kỳ vọng AI sẽ tạo ra nhu cầu lưu trữ bổ sung khi khách hàng chuẩn bị, di chuyển, lưu giữ và bảo vệ khối lượng dữ liệu lớn hơn. Lightning, hệ thống tệp song song của Dell dành cho các trường hợp sử dụng AI gốc, vẫn là một sản phẩm tương đối mới và đang được thử nghiệm beta tại một số khách hàng.

Nhóm Giải pháp Khách hàng

Doanh thu của CSG tăng 20% lên 15 tỷ USD. Doanh thu thương mại tăng 22% lên 13,2 tỷ USD, đánh dấu quý tăng trưởng thứ tám liên tiếp, trong khi doanh thu người tiêu dùng tăng 7% lên 1,8 tỷ USD.

Lợi nhuận hoạt động của CSG đạt 1,1 tỷ USD, chiếm 7,6% doanh thu. Kỷ luật về giá và quy mô lớn hơn đã hỗ trợ khả năng sinh lời. Các doanh nghiệp lớn tiếp tục nâng cấp dàn máy tính cá nhân (PC), mặc dù các khách hàng nhạy cảm hơn về chi phí đã kéo dài chu kỳ nâng cấp.

Dự báo của ban lãnh đạo

Dell cho biết họ kỳ vọng nửa sau năm tài chính 2027 sẽ mạnh mẽ hơn và đã nâng triển vọng trên tất cả các mảng kinh doanh.

Ban lãnh đạo cho biết tỷ lệ biên lợi nhuận gộp không bao gồm hiệu ứng cơ cấu từ máy chủ AI dự kiến sẽ tăng so với cùng kỳ năm ngoái. Công ty cho rằng đòn bẩy hoạt động của mình đến từ quy mô lớn hơn và những nỗ lực nhiều năm nhằm đơn giản hóa, chuẩn hóa và tự động hóa các hoạt động.

Rủi ro và các điểm cần theo dõi

• Nguồn cung vẫn bị hạn chế đối với DRAM, NAND, CPU, ổ đĩa cứng, linh kiện quang học, đế linh kiện (substrate), linh kiện nguồn và cơ sở hạ tầng tủ rack AI. Ban lãnh đạo cho biết nhu cầu đã vượt quá nguồn cung ở cả máy chủ truyền thống và máy chủ AI.
• Chi phí linh kiện tăng đang góp phần làm tăng giá máy chủ và mảng lưu trữ. Dell thừa nhận rằng một phần tăng trưởng doanh thu được báo cáo phản ánh lạm phát, mặc dù họ cho biết nhu cầu thực tế về số lượng đơn vị và cấu hình vẫn ở mức đáng kể.
• Ban lãnh đạo cảnh báo rằng không nên kỳ vọng mọi yếu tố thuận lợi đằng sau kết quả biên lợi nhuận ISG của quý 2—bao gồm cơ cấu sản phẩm và tỷ suất lợi nhuận—sẽ tiếp tục diễn ra ở cùng mức độ.
• Dell kỳ vọng biên lợi nhuận hoạt động của CSG trong quý 3 năm tài chính sẽ điều chỉnh về mức khoảng 6% khi công ty cân bằng giữa nhu cầu, thị phần và khả năng sinh lời.
• Các khách hàng mua máy tính cá nhân nhạy cảm về chi phí đang kéo dài chu kỳ thay thế, và Dell trước đó đã nhận thấy dấu hiệu thị trường PC tăng trưởng chậm lại trong nửa cuối năm. Công ty đã chuyển hướng một số linh kiện có sẵn sang các sản phẩm cơ sở hạ tầng.

Điểm nổi bật trong phần Q&A với các chuyên gia phân tích

Các chuyên gia phân tích tập trung vào việc liệu sự tăng trưởng cơ sở hạ tầng ngoài AI có được thúc đẩy bởi nhu cầu bền vững hay do giá cả và việc mua trước. Ban lãnh đạo cho biết hiện đại hóa, bảo mật, khả năng phục hồi và hợp nhất là những động lực chính. Dự báo nửa cuối năm của Dell giả định tăng trưởng máy chủ truyền thống vẫn duy trì ở mức trên 100% và tăng trưởng mảng lưu trữ giữ ở mức khoảng 15%.

Về nhu cầu AI dài hạn hơn, ban lãnh đạo cho biết quy mô cơ hội kinh doanh tiếp tục tăng ngay cả sau khi nhận được 131,7 tỷ USD đơn hàng trong bốn quý qua. Dell kỳ vọng các khối lượng công việc suy luận và AI tự trị (agentic AI) sẽ làm tăng nhu cầu đối với các máy chủ tăng tốc, hệ thống CPU truyền thống, thiết bị mạng và lưu trữ, mặc dù các ước tính thị trường dài hạn này vẫn là dự báo của ban lãnh đạo.

Các câu hỏi cũng đề cập đến cơ cấu khách hàng. Ban lãnh đạo cho biết nhu cầu máy chủ truyền thống vẫn chủ yếu đến từ các khách hàng doanh nghiệp lâu năm. Nhu cầu AI đang mở rộng trong các doanh nghiệp mà không làm ảnh hưởng đến hoạt động hiện tại từ các khách hàng chính phủ/quốc gia và neocloud lớn.

Về biên lợi nhuận, ban lãnh đạo xác định quy mô là yếu tố đóng góp lớn nhất vào sự cải thiện của mảng ISG. Quy mô đóng góp hơn 400 điểm cơ bản trong quý 2 và dự kiến sẽ đóng góp hơn 650 điểm cơ bản cho cả năm, cùng với cơ cấu sản phẩm lưu trữ, kỷ luật về giá và hiệu quả hoạt động.

Toàn văn biên bản cuộc họp công bố kết quả kinh doanh

Toàn văn cuộc gọi công bố kết quả kinh doanh

Phần trình bày của ban lãnh đạo

Operator

Good afternoon, and welcome to the Fiscal Year 2027 Second Quarter Financial Results Conference Call for Dell Technologies Inc. I'd like to inform all participants this call is being recorded at the request of Dell Technologies. This broadcast is the copyrighted property of Dell Technologies Inc. Any rebroadcast of this information in whole or part without the prior written permission of Dell Technologies is prohibited. [Operator Instructions]

I'd like to turn the call over to Paul Frantz, Head of Investor Relations. Mr. Frantz, you may begin.

Paul Frantz

Thanks, everyone, for joining us. With me today are Jeff Clarke, David Kennedy and Tyler Johnson. Our earnings materials are available on our IR website, and I encourage you to review these materials. Also, please take some time to review the presentation, which includes additional content to complement our discussion this afternoon.

During this call, unless otherwise indicated, all references to financial measures refer to non-GAAP financial measures including non-GAAP gross margin, operating expenses, operating income, net income, diluted earnings per share, free cash flow and adjusted free cash flow. A reconciliation of these measures to their most directly comparable GAAP measures can be found in our web deck and our press release. Growth percentages refer to year-over-year change unless otherwise specified. Statements made during this call that relate to future results and events are forward-looking statements based on current expectations. Actual results and events differ materially from those projected due to a number of risks and uncertainties, which are discussed in our web deck and our SEC filings. We assume no obligation to update our forward-looking statements.

Now I'll turn it over to Jeff.

Jeffrey Clarke

Thanks, Paul, and thanks, everyone, for joining us. Another outstanding quarter. I'm proud of how our team executed across the business delivering record revenue and record earnings per share. Revenue was $47 billion, up 58% and earnings per share was $7.04, up 203%. These results reflect the pounding benefits of our competitive advantages, the breadth of our portfolio and the strength of our operating model. Our modernization efforts are driving greater efficiency and significant operating leverage enabling us to grow earnings faster than revenue.

Customers no longer see IT environment simply as cost centers, but as value drivers that enable growth, productivity and competitive advantage. As a result, they are expanding and reallocating budgets to support continued investment. This is creating opportunities across our portfolio from infrastructure to client devices, our world-class supply chain and ability to serve customers across their IT environments are helping us meet more of their needs and gain share. Our deployment and service capabilities are helping customers integrate solutions across their IT environment and capture more value quickly. The proof is in our results.

Over the past 12 months, we have booked more than $130 billion in AI server orders. In just the past 2 quarters, we have generated almost as much revenue from traditional servers and networking as we have in any prior full year in company history. Storage returned to growth and share gain with strong demand for Dell IP storage products and CSG revenue is growing at the fastest rate in 5 years. It is clear why demand for our solutions is succeeding available supply, our results and guidance demonstrate the strength of our position as customers enter a new era of infrastructure modernization.

Customers are modernizing their data centers for both AI and non-AI workloads and the benefits are meaningful. AI is an important catalyst, but the opportunity extends well beyond AI optimized infrastructure. AI requires modern disaggregated architectures that keep data accessible and in motion across compute, storage and networking. It is also accelerating investment across traditional IT environments as customers see greater performance, efficiency and resiliency. Our AI server momentum continues to accelerate. We booked $60.9 billion of AI orders in this quarter than most in our history.

We are also seeing AI-related tailwinds in traditional servers and networking along with early signs of increased storage demand as customers prepare, manage and protect growing volumes of data. Deployment methods are evolving as well. On-prem and edge infrastructure offers attractive token economics for the right workloads while giving customers greater control over their data and intellectual property. Our portfolio, global reach and deep customer relationships position us to help customers design, deploy their right solutions for their performance, cost and security requirements. Together, these trends are expanding our addressable market and driving demand across compute, networking, storage and PCs. This represents a significant long-term opportunity for us. It plays directly to our strengths and expands the value we can deliver across the entire IT environment.

Now on to the results. Starting with ISG. Revenue increased 89% to a record $31.8 billion with operating income of $4.8 billion and an operating income rate of 15%. In AI, demand continues to accelerate. In Q2, we booked a record $60.9 billion in AI orders and recognized $16.4 billion in AI server revenue. We exited the quarter with a record $95 billion of AI backlog, and our pipeline continue to grow sequentially and remains multiples of our backlog even after converting $131.7 billion into orders over the past 12 months. Demand is broadening across neoclouds, sovereigns and enterprise customers and our customer count has surpassed 6,500. The scale and complexity of these deployments reinforce why customers choose us.

AI infrastructure requires much more than assembling and delivering components. These opportunities demand significant engineering, design and deployment expertise with some engagements requiring upwards of 50 unique designs as customers optimize for workload performance, power, cooling and the data center environment. This complexity plays to our strength. Our engineering capabilities, broad portfolio, global supply chain and ability to deploy and support infrastructure at scale globally differentiate us, enable customers to move from design to production more quickly.

We demonstrated those capabilities again by becoming the first to ship rack systems engineered on the NVIDIA Vera Rubin platform. The AI market is evolving rapidly, and we are focused on expanding our platforms and capabilities solving increasingly complex customer challenges and innovating across the infrastructure stack with accelerating demand and a growing pipeline and differentiated capabilities, we are well positioned to capture the opportunity ahead.

Moving to traditional servers. Revenue was up 122% as demand remains exceptionally strong, supported by multiple vectors of growth. First, a majority of our growth is coming from existing customers as they continue to refresh and modernize their data centers to support traditional workloads. Heightened security and resiliency requirements are also creating incremental demand as customers modernize their infrastructure. Second, we are seeing a growing trend of customers that require meaningful CPU compute capacity to support AI and agentive workflows. These workloads are creating incremental demand for traditional servers. We are executing very well against both opportunities and gaining share.

Over the past 2 quarters, we have gained more than 10 points of traditional server share, and we expect to gain share again this quarter. With the majority of the installed base still on 14th generation or older servers, we see a significant and durable refresh opportunity ahead. The strength and breadth of demand, combined with our continued share gains demonstrate the competitiveness of our portfolio and the consistency of our execution.

Turning to storage. Revenue was up 26% as strong demand for our Dell IP portfolio translated into revenue growth and improved storage profitability. Dell IP delivered another record demand growth quarter making this our sixth consecutive quarter of demand growth above market. Demand remains broad-based, enterprises continue to modernize their storage environment as data growth increases the importance of keeping data available and secure. At the same time, we are beginning to see incremental demand from AI workloads, which require customers to prepare, manage and move increasingly large volumes of data.

We saw strong growth across PowerFlex, PowerStore, PowerProtect and PowerVault, with PowerStore posting double-digit demand growth for the ninth consecutive quarter. PowerScale and ObjectScale also drove another exceptional quarter in unstructured storage which has now grown at double digit or better for 3 consecutive quarters. Storage is becoming a more meaningful contributor to our growth and profitability. Dell IP continues to increase as a percentage of our storage mix and margins continued to improve, supporting overall ISG profitability. Our share gains expanding Dell IP mix and accelerating pace of product development give us confidence in the opportunity ahead.

Turning to CSG. Revenue grew 20% with demand growth across all regions and verticals. Commercial revenue grew 22%, our eighth consecutive quarter of growth with demand up for the tenth quarter. Large enterprise customers continue to refresh their PC installed base, driving double-digit growth across all regions. More cost-sensitive customers are extending their upgrade cycles. This is increasing the number of older devices in the installed base and expanding the long-term refresh opportunity for CSG. Consumer revenue was up 7%, the fourth consecutive quarter of demand growth. CSG profitability remained strong, benefiting from price discipline and greater scale.

In closing, we delivered record revenue and EPS with continued strong cash flow and record capital returned to shareholders. Our results reflect several reinforcing factors. First, infrastructure demand is growing structurally driven by data center modernization, AI adoption and attractive economics of deploying workloads on-prem. Second, our broad-based portfolio across AI infrastructure, traditional servers and networking, storage and PCs enable us to serve the full range of our customers' needs. And lastly, we delivered value at scale through our engineering and deployment expertise, supply chain scale and fast disciplined operating model. Our full year operating expense rate guidance of approximately 8% of revenue is the lowest in our company's 42-year history demonstrates the operating leverage this model can deliver.

These advantages reinforce one another. They are driving growth, share gains, profitability and cash generation. By creating more value for our customers, we compound our advantages and create durable cash flow and long-term value for our shareholders. I am proud of our team's performance. We entered the second half with strong momentum and confidence in our position.

With that, let me turn it over to David to walk through the financials and our outlook.

David Kennedy

Thanks, Jeff. We delivered another record quarter, capping a very strong first half of the year. The team executed exceptionally well, driving record revenue, record EPS and record shareholder returns. Total revenue was up 58% to $47 billion. Gross margin dollars grew 78% to $9.9 billion. Gross margin rate was 21.1% driven by an improvement in ISG margin rate and a higher mix of ISG revenue. Operating expenses were up 22% to $4 billion, primarily from variable compensation tied to our outperformance.

Building on last quarter, we continue to drive significant scale in the P&L with OpEx down 250 basis points to 8.5% of revenue. Operating income grew 160% to $5.9 billion or 12.6% of revenue, driven by higher revenue, scale and price discipline across servers, storage and CSG. Net income was up 189% to $4.6 billion, primarily driven by strong operating income. Diluted EPS increased 203% to $7.04, a record.

Moving to ISG. ISG delivered record revenue of $31.8 billion, up 89%, marking the tenth consecutive quarter of double-digit or better revenue growth. AI server momentum accelerated, and we set records across the board, including $60.9 billion in orders, $16.4 billion in revenue, and $95 billion in ending backlog. Traditional server and networking revenue was $10.5 billion, up 122% as demand continued to outpace supply. Storage revenue was $4.9 billion, up 26%, with strong demand across the Dell IP portfolio, driving revenue growth and significant margin contribution. Dell IP storage demand has grown above market for 6 consecutive quarters. Unstructured storage remain one of our fastest-growing solutions with broader strength across the rest of the portfolio.

ISG operating income was a record $4.8 billion, up 225%, marking the ninth consecutive quarter of double-digit or better growth, primarily driven by higher revenue across the business. Operating margin was 15%, up 620 basis points. Looking at the key drivers of margin performance, a number of factors came together and went our way this quarter. The demand environment was strong, mix and rates were favorable and the team executed with discipline. While we would not expect every benefit to continue at this level, the quarter also reflects meaningful structural improvements in the business, which is reflected in our second half guidance.

Looking more closely at the drivers. First, we are realizing the benefits of our multiyear modernization journey. That work is driving greater efficiency and strong operating leverage, resulting in significant scale. Second, storage profitability was up with a higher mix of Dell IP and rate expansion across the solutions. And third, we maintained strong operational and price discipline in the dynamic environment reflecting our team's strong execution and continued focus on supporting our customers.

Turning to CSG. CSG revenue was up 20% to $15 billion. Commercial revenue grew for the eighth consecutive quarter, up 22% to $13.2 billion, and consumer revenue increased 7% to $1.8 billion. CSG operating income was $1.1 billion or 7.6% of revenue, driven by pricing discipline and the benefits of scale in the P&L. We will continue to balance customer demand with availability of supply to drive profitable share gain. CSG remains an integral part of the business. It provides scale across our supply chain and manufacturing, completes our end-to-end portfolio with the essential productivity device and is our most capitally efficient business. Together, these strengths make CSG a significant source of cash generation and helps fund growth across Dell and capital returns to our shareholders.

Moving to cash on the balance sheet. We delivered another strong cash quarter with cash flow from operations of $2.2 billion and adjusted free cash flow of $8.1 billion. This is primarily driven by sequential revenue growth and higher profitability. We returned an all-time record $4.3 billion to shareholders this quarter, including repurchasing 9.5 million shares at an average price of $401 per share and paying a dividend of approximately $0.63 per share. This acceleration in shareholder return, up $2.2 billion quarter-on-quarter reflects our agility and commitment to capital deployment as we generate more significant adjusted free cash flow as well as our confidence in our long-term value creation. We ended the quarter with $14.2 billion in cash and investments of $0.2 billion sequentially and our core leverage ratio is at 0.8x.

Overall, our strong cash generation and healthy balance sheet, further validated by positive credit rating actions during the quarter provides significant flexibility to invest in the business and continue returning capital to shareholders.

Turning to guidance. We've had a strong first half of the year, and we expect the second half to be stronger. The momentum we've seen continues, and we are raising our expectations about every line of business. Our second half gross margin rate outlook has improved over the past 90 days and we continue to drive significant operating leverage and scale. For Q3, we expect revenue to be $49 billion at the midpoint, up roughly 80% year-on-year. We expect ISG to grow roughly 145%, supported by $19 billion in AI server revenue. CSG revenue is expected to be up roughly 15%.

Operating expenses are expected to be down low single digits sequentially. Operating income is expected to grow roughly 120%. We expect ISG operating income rate to be up just over 1 point year-over-year, even as AI server revenue more than triples year-over-year. We expect CSG operating income rate to moderate to roughly 6% as we balance demand, share and profitability. We anticipate a diluted share count of approximately 651 million shares. Diluted non-GAAP earnings per share is expected to be $6.50, up over 150% at the midpoint. For the full year, we are raising our revenue guide by $25 billion to $192 billion at the midpoint, up roughly 70%, with diluted non-GAAP EPS of $25.50 up approximately 150%. We expect ISG to grow roughly 120%, driven by AI server revenue up 3x year-over-year to $74 billion. We expect traditional servers to grow just over 100%, storage up in the mid-teens and CSG revenue to grow in the mid-teens.

Excluding the mix impact of AI servers, gross margin rates are up year-over-year. Our modernization efforts are paying off, simplifying, standardizing, automating and enhancing our operating model with AI delivering significant operating leverage with operating expenses to be approximately 8% of revenue, the lowest level in the company's 42-year history. With gross margin improvement and the benefits of significant scale, operating income is expected to grow approximately 120% with over 2 points of rate improvement year-over-year. I&O is expected to be between $1.4 billion and $1.5 billion. Diluted non-GAAP earnings per share is expected to be $25.50, up approximately 150% at the midpoint.

In closing, we've delivered another exceptional quarter, capping a record first half of the year. Over the past 2 quarters, revenue was $90.8 billion, up 71%, EPS grew 208% to $11.90. We generated record cash flow from operations of $6.3 billion and returned an all-time record $6.3 billion to shareholders. The team executed exceptionally well across the business. The second quarter provided further evidence that AI momentum is accelerating with $60.9 billion in orders $16.4 billion in revenue and a backlog approaching $100 billion. At the same time, traditional servers, storage and CSG all contributed, reinforcing the breadth and balance of our portfolio.

Beyond the numbers, I would highlight the operating discipline. The modernization work we've invested in over several years is showing up in scale, in margin structure and in our ability to execute in a dynamic supply environment. We're entering the second half from a position of strength, and we'll continue to balance growth with discipline to drive long-term shareholder value. You are seeing the compounding benefits of our durable competitive advantages, differentiated operating model and operational discipline. We're excited about the second half and confident in our long-term value creation.

Thank you to the team for their execution, and thank you all for your time today. Now I'll turn it back to Paul to begin Q&A.

Paul Frantz

[Operator Instructions] Let's go with the first question.

Operator

Our first question comes from Amit Daryanani with Evercore.

Phần hỏi đáp

Amit Daryanani

I want to spend some time on the non-AI part of ISG? And if I look at a traditional server growth of 122% was actually faster than AI compute and storage grew 26% as well. I think a worry folks will have is this driven by a combination of pricing and prebuys rather than real demand. So I don't know if you can spend some time just talking about what do you think is driving this demand? And is there a way to think about pricing versus demand versus share gains? And really, any color on what workloads or use cases are you seeing this infrastructure going into and durability effect would be helpful.

Jeffrey Clarke

Sure, Amit. Let me try a little bit. So if you look at traditional servers and what we're seeing, which is the vast majority of the growth that we saw in the quarter. It's a consistent theme that I think we talked about last quarter. One, there's a modernization in the data center. That modernization continues to drive consolidation. It is increasing space, driving power efficiency and cooling, and it's obviously driving demand. And demand for new servers that have more cores, new servers that have more DRAM, the new servers that have more storage in them as we consolidate an aged installed base.

Secondly, that's probably the next big opportunity for us. As much as we've modernized and to give you a sense that it's not an end near or it's a onetime thing, we still have 1.2 million assets that are 14G or older in the installed base. They have to be upgraded. They're going to have to be consolidated with new technology, whether it's our 17G and the consolidation ratios 6:8:1 or a new 18G, they will begin shipping next month, where we see consolidation rates in the 12 to 14 servers per new 18G server. That is going to happen and a forcing function is going to be the security environment that we live into them. So we think about what's happening in the world of security and driving increased resilience and new requirements like post-quantum photography coming online, old infrastructure has to be updated.

And then increasingly, we're seeing enterprises drive AI workloads, specifically agentic workloads. I know your question was specifically the non ones, but it's complemented by growth there. In storage, we see a very similar dynamic. We have the dynamic of our products are very, very competitive in the marketplace. Data continues to grow. So regardless of the inflationary environment that exists, more data is being created on the planet at the edge and data centers in the cloud, and that data has to be stored. It has to be encrypted and protected. And those are the opportunities that we see, which is why we believe our Dell IP portfolio has a pretty significant tailwind. Think about it.

I think if we blend Q1 and Q2 together, we grew storage 17% in the first half of the year. We continue to see our Dell IP storage growing ahead of the market for 6 consecutive quarters on a demand basis. We could run off a bunch of fund numbers. PowerStores now grown 10 consecutive quarters in a row. We have PowerScale 5 quarters in a row, ObjectScale 4 quarters in a row. Data Domain, 3 quarters in a row, our all-flash arrays have grown now 10 quarters in a row. So there is inherent demand. Our products are more competitive. And we're seeing that play out in the marketplace from the largest enterprise customers down to small and medium-sized businesses. And then there, there's also the opportunity to grow with AI, which is driven by agents and KB Cash and new techniques in the AI world. I hope that helps.

David Kennedy

And maybe to add, Jeff, I think it's part of the durability of that growth and demand. Again, we see as part of our guide, our second half growth rates maintaining what you've seen in the first half. So Jeff mentioned the 17% growth in storage, pretty similar to mid-teens for the second half. We'll continue to guide to traditional server growing triple digits again for the second half as we drive that through. So we continue to see pipelines build. You continue to see the use cases that Jeff mentioned, and it all points to a more broad-based, more durable ecosystem.

Operator

And the next question will come from Ben Reitzes with Melius Research.

Benjamin Reitzes

I'll echo pretty impressive quarter and guide there. wanted to ask about a little longer term, your partner in AI servers talked about growing 70% next year in overall revenue. You guys are growing faster than that. Your backlog just surged. I was -- and you also have these CPU racks that are new, adding to traditional servers. So would you be willing to -- should you grow kind of in line with NVIDIA for next year? You guys are really part of the [ ACIE ] segment they have. Do you see that kind of growth rate in your future or anything you want to kind of say about your long-term growth rate, given it's so much better than expected, would be appreciated.

David Kennedy

Thanks, Ben. Look, I think if you anchor in on our second half trajectory building on the last question, you can see we like the position in relation to the durability that we see in the demand. We see it across the portfolio, and that's giving us tremendous leverage. As we continue to grow that scale that we get in the P&L, again, offers us the opportunity to continue to find scale and growth in the business.

As the second half growth, which is 68% is pretty much a mirror image to the first half, 71%. And it's obvious we're seeing signs where the data center is turning in from this cost center approach to a value creator. And the ecosystem and the enterprise customers that we're seeing are starting to embrace that. There's lots of complexity and execution. I think right now, really keen to execute a strong second half continue that great momentum as we go through the second half of the year, I think we'll be in a great position at that point, and we'll continue to look for the growth going forward.

Jeffrey Clarke

And then maybe some more context around that. Our 5-quarter pipeline grew sequentially. That's after booking $131.7 billion of orders over the past 4 quarters. I think that gives you a sense of what's happening today. And then if I look at the longer-term trends, I know you're a believer of this, but as we see it, agentic demand is reshaping the data center and the underlying infrastructure. Inferences past training and it's pure demand in our industry. We think the tokens that inference drives is going to grow 87x to 3,600 trillion tokens by 2030. Training demand grows 5x to 850 Zettaflops by 2030.

Enterprise agentic is expected to be the single largest workload by 2028. We're expecting AI to be 75% of all data center demand by 2030, adding 200 gigawatts of power over that same time frame. And half of that, we believe, is right in our sweet spot with our customers, the neocloud, sovereigns and enterprises. And if you look at that math, we think the opportunity in front of us is more than $1 trillion over that time frame. And we believe we're well positioned. We believe that our model is differentiated, that our engineering is differentiating ourselves with every customer that we interact with. The scale of our deployment capabilities is unmatched globally.

We believe what we're doing on the support side is equally important, helping customers ramp getting to that first token faster than anyone else and then keeping it running. And then the DFS component that we have to help customers in that bridge point from an order to that first token is something that we believe is differentiating us, and we're going to continue to focus on that. And then if you believe that demand is there, it drives more servers, the agentic workload, and it drives more data around that agentic workload growing each of those areas for us as well.

Operator

And our next question will come from Mark Newman with Bernstein.

Mark Newman

A few more details on the huge strength you're seeing in both traditional and AI servers. First of all, for traditional service, this has been traditionally almost all enterprise customers. And I believe you're lumping in the CPU racks, the agentic AI servers that are CPU racks in there, I believe. Is this traditional server category still almost all enterprise? Or are you seeing a portion of that from, say, neoclouds and then similarly, for the AI server customer mix, both revenue and orders, I know majority in the past has been new clouds or Tier 2 CSPs.

Is that still the same? I wondered if you could give us any hints in terms of the relative growth rate between enterprise versus other larger customers in the AI server mix because previously, you said enterprise had been growing faster. And I just wondered if that is still the case given the huge step-up, particularly in the orders.

Jeffrey Clarke

You bet. Mark, traditional server, the 122% growth. It's primarily our historical enterprise customers. I'd stress demand outstrip supply. Demand was even greater than the results that we published there. We are supply constrained but demand is from our traditional enterprise customers. That's where the vast majority of the workloads are. That's where the modernization is occurring. That's where the aged installed base is. That's where the heightened awareness around security and resiliency has been driving demand. I introduced last quarter that we are beginning to see an AI servers and when I talked about that and it would be the same that happened this past quarter that our neoclouds buying that. So of our high-frequency trader customers are buying those types of servers as well as very advanced in their AI deployments, our largest and most sophisticated enterprise customers.

So vast majority of that 122% growth are traditional customers across all segments, all geos. AI servers are beginning to show up with that set of customers which is exciting to see that grew quarter-over-quarter. It grew across neoclouds. It grew across our HFT customers as well as our enterprise customers. So that's exciting to see. And the mix inside our traditional AI business is exciting and something that we've talked about, and I think we mentioned in our remarks, we now have more than 6,500 customers buying Dell AI factory. 3,300 of them have happened in the last 3 quarters that took us 8 quarters to get to the first $3,200. That acceleration is enterprise.

Enterprise customers grew quarter-over-quarter year-over-year. Repeat buyers grew quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year. Enterprise revenue grew quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year, and the pipeline of enterprise customers grew sequentially as well. So we are seeing more enterprise customers. The mix didn't necessarily change because we are still winning on the sovereign side as well as the large neocloud side but the momentum with enterprise that's measured by a number of customers. The number of customers that are buying repeatedly is all up and the indicators are strong. And they tend to buy more storage and they tend to buy more networking when they engage with us, a more complete solution. I hope that helped.

Operator

And we'll take a question from -- [Audio Gap]

Jeffrey Clarke

That work has to be retained. Depending on what type of customer you are, there's compliance and regulatory requirements about how long that's got to be retained and what the protection policies are with that. So you have another new source of growth for storage. You see the same happening with KB Cash and how it's being used and driving more efficient inference. So we see multiple new lines or new paths for storage growth in our businesses. If we think about this across agentic workloads as we head towards physical AI and what's going to happen in manufacturing and IoT sensors and robotics, which drive tremendous amounts of multimodal unstructured data, Arthur likes to call it unstructured repositories. There's a lot of structured data and databases. The growth of that is immense, and we actually see it accelerate not slowing down.

And that bodes well for someone that's in the storage business, which we absolutely are and equally important in the data business and how do we start helping customers with forms of data management. We talk about this internally around creating a data semantic layer, a layer of intelligence that helps make something of all of that data to feed the AI engines to make sure that they can actually produce something even more worthwhile to help the agents be more efficient, et cetera, to help training.

That virtuous cycle, we believe, is just starting. And as we understand it today, we're very optimistic about the growth of storage going forward in the AI world. And we're positioned quite well across all of our storage assets. We protect data. We store all forms of data and as we build more of our data automation platform, we think about our data management work, I think we have a huge opportunity to grow and to be even more important to our customers as their data needs grow.

Operator

And our next question will come from Asiya Merchant with Citi.

Asiya Merchant

Great results here. Can I just ask a little bit about supply? Jeff, I know you mentioned supply constraints. Maybe if you can just help us understand where the supply constraints have anything's changed from the last quarter? Clearly, some of the component makers are talking about supply agreements that have been signed. How do you think about your supply going ahead? And what we should think about where some of the incremental supply constraints are perhaps relative to last quarter in order to meet the demand durability you're talking about even going into next year?

Jeffrey Clarke

You bet. How I think about supply, as I'm often reminded by our sales force, it's not enough. So we are doing everything we can to get more supply. In today's environment, that's a very difficult task. What we've been doing is, I think, optimizing the bits and bites that we have coming in, whether that be with configuration that being building match sets to maximize the output of the corporation out of the factories.

Our ability to increase guidance by the $25 billion is a direct reflection of our ability to optimize what's coming in, shaping demand, planning it accordingly and getting it out the door. One of the things that we did earlier this year as we saw the PC market showing signs of softening in the second half, we optimized the bits and bites we have towards the infrastructure business. There's a lead time associated with that. We're working through that lead time, which is part of why the second half looks a little better.

We've been able to realize greater shipments as a result of that. The constraints remain the same. DRAM, DRAM, DRAM, followed by NAND, NAND NAND. We have spotty CPU shortages. There are shortages with disk drives. If you go further down in the supply chain, just about every product going through a leading node is constrained, but churn nodes that are building MOSFETs, Power ICs, microcontrollers, drivers are constrained. There are shortages of ABF substrate, T-Glass, all of which we monitor. There are shortages in optical. The AI supply chain is working red line all out to build CDUs, power, racks. Welcome to the life of a supply chain person at Dell. This is what we do, chasing parts. We love it. trying to optimize the outcomes for the company. I think we've done largely a good job of that with the second half guide up, and we'll continue to focus on trying to get more supply and take the supply we have and optimize the output.

Operator

And the next question will come from Aaron Rakers with Wells Fargo.

Unknown Analyst

This is Michael [ Spednoff ] on behalf of Aaron, thanks so much for letting me ask the question. I wanted to ask on the storage business, obviously, very strong. Within that, you mentioned several solidly performing DIP portfolio products, one of which I wanted to ask about is Lightning. How is that contributing at this point? And kind of what level of attach are you seeing to those cloud AI server deals?

Jeffrey Clarke

Well, Lightning, our parallel file systems. Sorry, parallel file system designed for native AI use cases. We continue to have the product out in the field. We continue to see interest. It's still a relatively new product. It's in beta at several customers. We're in runoffs against other competitors with the product that will continue and as it builds momentum. I'm certain we'll give you an update in the future, but that's where Lightning is at the moment.

Operator

And our next question will come from Joseph Cardoso with JPMorgan.

Unknown Analyst

Maybe can you guys -- and I know you guys have talked about the traditional business here in length, but maybe just curious if we break down the growth that you're seeing on the traditional server and storage side between volume and pricing. Relative to your earlier view, how much of the upside is coming from each of those vectors? And maybe more importantly, as you think about going forward and the momentum you're seeing in the business, how are you thinking about headroom for customers to keep on digesting these higher prices? And are you -- in your customer discussions, are you starting to see any pushback there?

Jeffrey Clarke

Parsing servers and storage by revenue and growth. Let me try. So if I look at servers and what we're seeing in traditional servers, we're seeing, again, this notion of modernization that's driving higher core count, more DRAM and more storage. Those products are -- those configurations are part of this modernization or consolidation, and they continue to grow rapidly. They cost more than they did last quarter and the quarter before and the quarter before. So there's a notion of inflation inside our growth.

But the underlying demand for the technology is significant. I think about the new use cases, that's all new use cases, all new growth, which is being driven by agentic AI, essentially running the harness, if that makes sense. And we continue to be optimistic about the prospects. Again, demand outran supply last quarter, demand outran supply this quarter. The pipeline remains robust. David just gave an update on guidance of the server business, which is very healthy. And clearly, there's a component of that driven by the price increases as our input costs continue to go up.

Storage is a very similar story as I think I mentioned to one of the earlier questions, as we see a ramp down of our partner IP portfolio, it's being offset by more units in our Dell IP portfolio that come with higher revenue and higher margin rates. We're seeing a greater use of our storage products in AI applications, which is good to see most notably with our unstructured products, which had unprecedented growth again, but I rattled off a bunch of numbers earlier about every category of our traditional or core Dell IP portfolio growing multiple quarters now. The Dell IP stack has grown 6 consecutive quarters now ahead of the marketplace. We expect to take share again. And clearly, some of that is uplifted by the increased cost of the underlying material. Our software-defined products are doing well in the storage portfolio, which is incremental business for us. So I hope that gave some color.

Paul Frantz

And we'll take one more question before we go to a close.

Operator

And that question will come from David Vogt with UBS.

David Vogt

Maybe for Jeff and David, can you help us understand sort of the long-term margin differentials as customers modernize to next-gen servers off of older generation servers like 14 on the way to like 17G, 18G? And how much of the margin uplift that you're seeing in ISG comes from a like-for-like margin lift as we modernize data centers versus sort of your efficiency improvements and scale economics that you're seeing just from more volume going through the supply chain?

David Kennedy

Yes. I mean, if you look at our Q2 results here, ISG up 15 points, obviously, tremendous performance. As Jeff outlined it earlier, the #1 driver here is a scale conversation given the growth that we're seeing in accelerated growth that we're seeing. That for the ISG business was a driver of just over 400 basis points. For the full year guide, it's worth over 650 basis points. So you see the leverage that we can adopt into the ecosystem.

Outside of that, you then -- as you do your storage growth and again, we drive that 13% guide, our 15% guide, excuse me, for the full year, that $2.5 billion of incremental storage is a huge drag in terms of revenue dollars that we pushed through. As you look at our guide for the second half of the year then for ISG, you'll see it's up over 1 point in the second half and you'll see it grow from Q3 to Q4 also even with the expansion of AI, which is over 3x growth year-on-year to $74 billion guide. So all of that's kind of contributing to a robust portfolio and then across the rest of the portfolio, it's really about mix, product mix, geo mix and just traditional execution, pricing discipline and operational rigor across our supply chain engineering and sales teams.

Paul Frantz

All right. We'll move it over to Jeff to close this out.

Jeffrey Clarke

Sure. Thanks, Paul. Thanks, everyone, for joining us today. Our advantages are compounding, our addressable opportunity is expanding and our differentiated operating model is delivering significant leverage with our full year OpEx rate at a 42-year low. We raised our full year guide by $25 billion to $192 billion with $25.50 of EPS. We are optimistic about a stronger second half and the momentum we carry into next year. Thanks, everyone, for your time today.

Operator

Thank you. That does conclude today's conference. We do thank you for your participation. and have an excellent day.