Global markets: War and peace risk narrative – Rabobank

Rabobank’s RaboResearch Global Economics & Markets Global Daily frames a broad geopolitical risk backdrop, from Middle East tensions to US-China relations and potential great-power summits. Citing former US intelligence officials and its own 2027 outlook theme ‘War and Peace’, the institution warns that rising geopolitical and geoeconomic stresses are increasingly intertwined with financial markets, warranting significant concern for investors.

Geopolitics, conflict and market stress

"If you think that’s an exaggeration, the Financial Times just ran an interview with the former Biden Director of National Intelligence, which begins: “Just a few minutes into lunch with Avril Haines, and the conversation lands on the subject of the third world war.” She then says, “I do think that is a plausible scenario – if we don’t figure out how to develop a structure that manages the conflict.”"

"The underlying global issue is who is trying to develop what structures to manage our conflict and how - and for now that clearly involves conflict; and the who is folded into them, and willingly or unwillingly; and what the likelihood of success is, as geopolitical, geoeconomic, and market stresses rise in tandem all around us."

"It’s not for nothing that our 2027 Financial Markets Outlook theme is ‘War and Peace.’"

"On all fronts, it’s time for a great deal of concern. "

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Know more.)