USD/CNH: Scope to test 7.2850 – UOB Group

Jul 16, 2024 9:43 AM

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The US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a sideways range of 7.2650/7.2850 and, ultimately, with a downward bias towards 7.2400, UOB Group FX strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.

USD may test 7.2850 in the short run

24-HOUR VIEW: “We highlighted yesterday that ‘the risk is for USD rising today, but any advance is expected to face strong resistance at 7.2910.’ Our expectations did not quite materialise, as after rising to 7.2862, USD pulled back to close at 7.2740 (+0.04%). The current price movements are likely part of a sideways trading phase. Today, USD is likely to trade in a range of 7.2650/7.2850.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “Last Friday (12 Jul, spot at 7.2685), we indicated that USD ‘is likely to trade with a downward bias towards 7.2400.’ We highlighted that ‘the downward bias is intact as long as USD remains below 7.2910.’ There is no chance in our view.

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